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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Minneapolis descends into chaos

The New Neo Posted on May 29, 2020 by neoMay 29, 2020

And its government is nowhere to be found. The furious mob (oops, I mean “protestors”) is allowed to destroy at will.

You can read about it and see photos from James Lileks here. Please read the whole thing, but the following is of particular interest to me and an angle not too many people are covering (the first line is some graffiti Lileks spotted and photographed):

“When our turn comes we will make no excuses for the terror.”

Karl Marx. There’s more than a few of his fans about, I think. It would not be ridiculous to assume that people previously given to direct action for ther sake of destroying the existing order wouldn’t show up at these events and lend a helping hand, would it? People on reddit and twitter think there are neo-Nazis in the riots, trying to start something, but you know, I’m looking at the guys who have a lot of practice with the whole “break things because you’re all fascists” pasttimes.

A housing development under construction was burned. It was supposed to supply below-market-rate housing: ah well. No matter. It is better that people suffer today if it brings about the necessary future. Every one and every physical thing is expendable.

And of course, there are also leftists in charge of the city’s government. The mayor of Minneapolis – to whom I’d previously paid not a particle of attention – is very young (often referred to in the descriptions I’ve read as the “Boy Mayor”) and seems right now (and perhaps always?) to be good only for ineffectual platitudes:

We have witnessed a massive failure of leadership in the City of Minneapolis and the State of Minnesota. Boy Mayor Jacob Frey has been exposed as a childish nonentity. Meanwhile, what about the Minneapolis City Council, which is responsible for the city’s Police Department? It is one of the most far-left political bodies in the U.S., and so far it has not been heard from, as far as I have seen. Governor Tim Walz, too, has been AWOL, although I do have to give him a little credit for his State Police cracking down on CNN. Amid the general incompetence, President Trump is threatening to step into the breach…

This is followed on the post by a graphic (which can’t be copied) that features a photo of Trump and two tweets:

I can’t stand back & watch this happening to a great American city, Minneapolis. A total lack of leadership. Either the very weak Radical Left Mayor, Jacob Frey, get his act together and bring the City under control, or I will send in the National Guard & get the job done right.

These THUGS are dishonoring the memory of George Floyd, and I won’t let that happen. Just spoke to Governor Tim Walz and told him that the Military is with him all the way. Any difficulty and we will assume control but, when the looting starts, the shooting starts. Thank you!

Twitter has blocked that last part of Trump’s second message for “glorifying violence.” Yes, that’s right – it’s Trump who glorifies violence. If you want to see the thread as it stands now – complete with the lovely reactions of the left on Twitter – go here. And you can read Twitter’s reaction here.

The left, the Twitter censors, and the MSM could not care less about stopping violence, as long as it’s the approved sort of violence. Au contraire.

Meanwhile, Minneapolis burns.

Posted in Law, Race and racism, Trump, Violence | 32 Replies

What’s going on with Judge Sullivan? [Part III]

The New Neo Posted on May 28, 2020 by neoMay 28, 2020

[NOTE: Trying to write about the Flynn case and Judge Sullivan is like swallowing an elephant whole and trying to digest it. Maybe several elephants. And I need to do it prior to June 1, when Sullivan (and/or his lawyer?) is supposed to answer to the court on the writ of mandamus. In the meantime, I’m trying, but this is far more perfunctory a treatment than I intended. There’s a lot more to be said, but I’ll leave it at this post – for now.

A reminder: here’s Part I. Here’s Part II. Here’s a post that deals with Flynn’s original lawyers’ conflict of interest as well as the FARA issues in the case. Also, see this for more background. And in particular see this as well as this about the “secret side deal” in which both the prosecutor and Flynn’s original attorneys illegally kept the deal about protecting Flynn’s son secret, so that they wouldn’t have to reveal it later in subsequent trials in which Flynn testified for the state against others who’d been accused. A huge outrage, and only revealed in late April, in documents Flynn’s defense lawyers suddenly “found” after the Jensen investigation probably motivated them a bit more strongly to turn them over voluntarily.

And a question for all you lawyers out there: do you know whether the Brady disclosure rules apply to defendants who have pled guilty, or just to those who’ve been tried? I’ve found a few tremendously long law articles on the subject, but they are fairly old, and rather than plow through all that outdated material, I’m looking for a short and current answer.]

During Flynn’s December 18, 2018 sentencing hearing, Judge Sullivan suddenly began talking about Flynn’s possible treason. This was a turning point in the trial that signaled to everyone that Sullivan was going off the deep end in his pique at Flynn – probably through a combination of rage and politics, as well as hubris and the desire for the spotlight. But it also signaled that Sullivan wasn’t even aware of the facts of the case.

Is Judge Sullivan also – as Ace puts it today, relying on a lawyer named Robert Barnes – stupid? Is he dependent on his clerks, and has he hired the lawyer to answer the writ because he’s unable to come up with any justification for his actions? I don’t know for sure, and it wouldn’t be possible to tell from his written work, which could be the product of clerks. But some of Sullivan’s remarks during that December 18, 2018 hearing, and in particular what he said about treason, certainly make me suspect that cognitive problems – whether long-term or recent and age-related – could indeed be part of the mix.

So that’s go back to the treason-talk episode. Sullivan said (p. 33 of the transcript) [emphasis mine]:

Moreover, you lied to the FBI about three different topics, and you made those false statements while you were serving as the National Security Advisor, the President of the United States’ most senior national security aid[e]. I can’t minimize that.

Two months later you again made false statements in multiple documents filed pursuant to the Foreign Agents Registration Act. So, all along you were an unregistered agent of a foreign country, while serving as the National Security Advisor to the President of the United States.

I mean, arguably, that undermines everything this flag over here stands for [indicating]. Arguably, you sold your country out.

Flynn had filed a FARA document prepared by lawyers who were supposedly the best in the field, paid a hefty sum for that service, and all he was accused of was making some false statements on the complex forms, not even necessarily intentionally. Most importantly of all, he ended his connection with all of that before he was serving as the National Security Advisor to the president.

Either Sullivan’s outrage was so hot that he made a stunning error there, or he didn’t even know the facts of the case in the first place. I think both were true.

In the middle of the tirade, Sullivan mentioned incarceration once again, and added that even after Flynn offers help with the other case, Sullivan might still incarcerate him. He also mentioned the usually-moribund Logan Act, and the prosecutor hastened to respond that they aren’t considering charging Flynn with that.

Then Sullivan suggested a recess, for Flynn to think over whether he wants to be sentenced now or to wait till he has totally fulfilled his obligation to help the government (by testifying against his two associates indicted for FARA violations). What else could Flynn say at that point but that he wanted a delay? It was clear that if he was sentenced by Sullivan that very day, it would be to prison, no matter what the lawyers – including the prosecutor – might be recommending.

But right before they recessed, Sullivan got so angry that he couldn’t resist one more dig, and that was this (p. 35):

[SULLIVAN]: …is there an opinion about the conduct of the defendant the following days that rises to the level of treasonous activity on [Flynn’s] part?

MR.VAN GRACK [prosecutor]: The government did not consider–I shouldn’t say– I shouldn’t say did not consider, but in terms of the evidence that the government had at the time, that was not something that we were considering in terms of charging the defendant.

[SULLIVAN]: All right. Hypothetically, could he have been charged with treason?

MR.VANGRACK: Your Honor, I want to be careful what I represent.

[SULLIVAN]: Sure.

MR.VANGRACK: And not having that information in front of me and because it’s such a serious question, I’m hesitant to answer it…

One day after that sentencing hearing, which ended without a sentence being pronounced, Andrew C. McCarthy wrote this [emphasis mine]:

…[I]t’s tough to fathom how a judge could spin such a thing into treason when (a) the foreign power, Turkey in this case, is a NATO ally (at least technically), (b) General Flynn was not a U.S. government official when he acted as Ankara’s agent, (c) the prosecutor did not think it was an important enough crime to charge against Flynn, (d) Flynn is a decorated 33-year combat veteran who has written a book detailing a strategy for defeating America’s actual enemies, and (e) the prosecutor, in fact, has proposed a sentence of no jail time for the process crime that was actually charged in the case.

After calling a brief time-out in the proceedings, a contrite Judge Sullivan returned to the bench and retracted his loopy treason comments. All in all, it was a disgraceful performance: Flynn’s is not a complicated case, yet Sullivan failed to have a grip on basic facts.

When they all returned after the recess, Sullivan realized his error and backpedaled and even apologized as well as trying to pretend it was no biggee, as I described in Part I. What had happened with Sullivan during that recess? I have a feeling that someone had informed him of his error – perhaps one of his clerks – and he realized that he’d stepped in it.

And I very much doubt that any of this has had the effect of making Sullivan less angry at Flynn. I think the embarrassment made him even more angry, more motivated to blame Flynn, and more determined than ever not to let him off.

I believe that’s still operating with Sullivan right now. His actions since Barr’s DOJ pulled out of the case have been so outlandish, so egregious, so obviously incorrect in legal terms, that I think he has indeed reached Captain Ahab levels.

Again, that doesn’t mean that’s all that’s going on with Sullivan. Not at all. I think politics is part of it. I think he’s also angry at Powell (I might write more about that later), at Barr, and of course at Trump. I think he’s gotten a lot of encouragement and assistance from a bunch of legal leftists and/or Trump-haters such as Judge Gleeson, who wrote the editorial in the WaPo egging Sullivan on.

But I also think Judge Sullivan has had the rug pulled out from under him at the moment, finally. Till now, he has held all the power and exercised it as he sees fit. He has come down hard and sometimes irrationally not only on Flynn, but on Sidney Powell as well (for example, with a ridiculous accusation of plagiarism when her cite was a hyperlink rather than being done traditionally).

I don’t think Sullivan expected the higher court to respond to the writ of mandamus the way it did, and why would he? It’s highly unusual to even answer such writs, and it’s perhaps unprecedented to ask the judge in the case to personally respond. I don’t think he’s at all prepared to justify his actions. I don’t even think he is aware of any legal justification, except what others (such as Gleeson: “The Flynn case isn’t over until the judge says it’s over”) have provided. Sullivan’s clerks may even be throwing up their hands and saying “don’t look at me; I can’t defend your cockamamie actions.”

No wonder he hired a lawyer to help.

Posted in Law | Tagged Michael Flynn, Russiagate | 48 Replies

COVID-19 research: the press interprets

The New Neo Posted on May 28, 2020 by neoMay 28, 2020

Here’s an article from Time entitled “Up to 80% of COVID-19 Infections Are Asymptomatic, a New Case Report Says.”

Sounds as though that’s good news, right? Ah, but Time doesn’t think so:

The research shows just how prevalent asymptomatic transmission of COVID-19 may be—a reality that both suggests official case counts are drastic underestimates, and emphasizes the importance of practicing social distancing even if you feel healthy.

Researchers have known for months that asymptomatic transmission of COVID-19 is possible and common, but without population-wide testing, it’s been difficult to estimate how many people get infected without showing symptoms. The new paper provides an example of how widespread asymptomatic transmission can be, at least in a contained environment.

I went to the study thinking I’d read some interesting data about asymptomatic transmission. Here’s the paper. It actually does not even address the issue of asymptomatic transmission or social distancing.

What it does report is that in the closed environment of the ship, 59% of passengers and/or crew ended up testing positive for COVID (128 out of 217 total passengers and crew), but 80% of them were completely asymptomatic. That conforms to many statistics we’ve read from other places. It could just as easily be used to argue for what we’ll call the Swedish Approach rather than more shutdowns and strict distancing.

Another finding was that one person died. The article doesn’t explain who that person might have been. But out of 128 people infected – in what was probably an older-than-average population with a lot of pre-existing conditions – a case fatality rate of under 1% sounds relatively encouraging compared to earlier reports.

Nineteen percent of the infected people (24) were symptomatic, which is also in line with data from, for example, the Diamond Princess cruise ship. Might they not have been the spreaders, or the majority of the spreaders? We simply don’t know – and I don’t see anything in the study that even attempts to tell us – whether the asymptomatic people figured as strongly as the symptomatic in spreading the disease. Maybe they did, maybe they didn’t. But asymptomatic spread is what Time wishes to talk about.

On day 3 the cruise line tried to end the cruise, but the ship ended up in limbo for a while because it was difficult to find a port that would accept it. That’s when most of the disease spread seems to have occurred, and the entire time the passengers were confined to the ship was 28 days. As for social distancing, the ship had embarked after the COVID pandemic was already happening although not yet fully in swing. At the outset, passengers were tested and their temperatures taken regularly, and multiple hand washing stations were placed on the ship. Nevertheless:

The first recorded fever on board the ship was a febrile passenger on day 8. Isolation protocols were immediately commenced, with all passengers confined to cabins and surgical masks issued to all. Full personal protective equipment was used for any contact with any febrile patients, and N95 masks were worn for any contact with passengers in their cabins.

So it sounds as though social distancing of a fairly strict sort was indeed practiced, and it didn’t matter.

The last paragraph of the Time article goes like this:

That’s a particularly important lesson to consider as states reopen and nice weather eats away at many people’s resolve to stay home. The virus can and does spread undetected—and an asymptomatic case can still cause serious illness if it spreads to someone else. Until a vaccine is available, the safest way to keep coronavirus from spreading is to keep your distance from others, whether you’re sick or not.

But that’s not what the study indicates; it really doesn’t address the subject, although it’s what Time seems to want its readers to think it indicates.

Posted in Health, Liberty, Press | Tagged covid | 50 Replies

Those who are ignorant of history…

The New Neo Posted on May 28, 2020 by neoMay 28, 2020

…become journalists.

Or they become Joe Biden in his dotage.

Posted in Uncategorized | 6 Replies

Minneapolis riots

The New Neo Posted on May 28, 2020 by neoMay 28, 2020

I feel as though I’ve written this post before. Oh, the details are different, but the phenomenon is much the same. A black person (usually a man) dies at the hands of police, either by being shot outright or in the process of some sort of strange technique supposedly used to subdue him. The police involved are suspended or fired, pending an investigation that sometimes exonerates them and sometimes implicates them. Sometimes they end up in prison themselves.

And at some point the riots and destruction begin. Sometimes the riots start as protests, and then more destructive nihilistic elements take over and use the cover of protests to go on a lawless and destructive spree. Sometimes they start as riots without the peaceful protest part. In the end, the community suffers.

At this point, quite a bit of video has surfaced in the death of George Floyd, and the police’s actions look bad. It’s mostly one officer with his knee on Floyd’s neck for many minutes; they rest stand by. The four involved have been fired. My guess is that they are guilty of, at the very least, gross negligence. But I know from previous experience that it’s always best to wait for autopsies and more information before coming to firmer conclusions. But even if Floyd died of a heart attack or something of that sort, the police can be held responsible if they were acting wrongly.

The riots are the sort of thing that we’ve come to expect under the circumstances, including the looting and burning. It’s depressing and it’s sad, and in this case the politicians and police of Minneapolis don’t seem to have done much to stop it. For further discussion, I refer you to the writers at Powerline, based in Minneapolis, such as John Hinderaker and Scott Johnson.

Video has surfaced of the moments leading up to the incident, and Floyd does not seem to have resisted arrest, contrary to early police reports. The officer kneeing Floyd’s neck had previously been the subject of a number of complaints.

And a large under-construction building that was burned down was low-income housing:

The under construction affordable housing development that burned in the widespread violence in south Minneapolis late Wednesday and early Thursday was to be a six-story rental building with 189 apartments for low-income renters, including more than three dozen for very low-income tenants.

And here’s an article describing other destruction in the community at the hands of the rioters (called “protestors” in the article):

Shattered glass, broken golf clubs and trash littered East Lake Street on Thursday morning after the destructive standoff between protesters and police, with some breaking into and setting fire to stores.

Many of these businesses, including fast-food restaurants, auto shops and banks, were ransacked by Thursday morning. The brick foundation of a Metro PCS store, the only part that remained, continued to burn as the crews dug a line in front to prevent a gas leak.

Smoke billowed from the shopping complex near Lake Street and Hiawatha Avenue, the burning smell wafting over across Lake Street. A Wendy’s restaurant smoldered; so did a building behind it, no longer recognizable…

Charles Stotts, who has owned Town Talk Diner for four years, looked at his restaurant with gentle eyes and a somber frown. Its windows were shattered, the bar ransacked. Smoke filled the dining room and water from the sprinklers flooded the floor and poured out onto the street.

“It’s worse than anything I could have ever imagined happening to our little restaurant,” he said. “What did my little building on the side of the road do?”…

[Another store owner’s wife], Gita Zeitler, later sat on the stoop in front of their shop. She said she was disappointed in a lack of security provided by the police for the businesses. “The Minneapolis police has been useless for a long time,” she said.

“Why are we targeted here?” she asked. “We know the police didn’t do the right thing. Police is hiding, policymakers are not here, and local neighborhood life is taken away by the riots.”

Minneapolis is run by Democrats, of course. But no doubt they’ll find a way to blame Republicans.

Posted in Law, Race and racism, Violence | 57 Replies

What’s going on with Judge Sullivan? [Part II]

The New Neo Posted on May 27, 2020 by neoMay 27, 2020

[NOTE: Here’s Part II, and the plan right now is that there will be a Part III as well, because Part II became very long and unwieldy. Part I can be found here.

ADDITION: And to clear up any misunderstandings that might arise on the following point – nothing in this post or any of the others in the series is an excuse for Judge Sullivan’s behavior, which I believe is inexcusable. These posts are an attempt to offer a description and explanation for the portion of his behavior that consisted of an emotional reaction that got out of control, which is something that should never occur with a judge. Explanations are not excuses.]

I’ve often wondered what it takes to be a judge. Not the academic or job qualifications, but the personality makeup. It seems to me that, although there’s probably a wide variation among judges, a general tendency would be the need to have faith in one’s own decisions and in one’s ability to be fair. Corrupt judges, of course, would have other characteristics, but I’m speaking generally – and let’s hope that generally in this country most judges are not corrupt.

After all, a judge makes decisions that hugely determine the course of people’s lives. Also, in his/her court, a judge is treated with remarkable deference – all that “Your Honor”-ing”, almost like a remnant of royalty. I know it’s supposed to be deference to the position and the institution of the court rather than this or that specific human flawed person who happens to be the judge, but I think it would be hard for judges not to take all that high esteem personally, especially after years and years of receiving it every day at work. Doesn’t a judge get used to thinking he or she is nearly infallible, a kind of semi-deity?

A judge dealing with criminal cases must decide a number of things and in particular sentence people, sometimes to lengthy terms in prison. In a large number of cases, the way our present legal system operates, those sentences follow guilty pleas arrived at through plea bargaining.

It would take a very naive person to believe that only guilty people plead guilty, particularly as a result of a plea bargain. Many people cling to that notion, however, because to believe otherwise – to believe that a significant number of innocent people plead guilty through fear, intimidation, ignorance, bad legal advice, or frameup – is frightening. It’s a hard thing to face, but it’s true, and it’s also true that in recent years the number of cases decided by plea bargain guilty pleas has risen to huge proportions (see this).

Do some judges actually believe that only the guilty end up pleading guilty? It’s hard to believe judges could be so naive, immersed in the system as they are. But perhaps, on a certain psychological level, they do believe it – or at least they prefer to preserve some portion of that belief in their own minds in order to go about the business of sentencing people.

Was anything like that going on with Judge Sullivan in the Flynn case? Keep in mind that many things can simultaneously be true: Sullivan can hate Flynn politically, Sullivan can be allied with powerful forces that tell him to treat Flynn harshly, Sullivan may be feeling the effects of age, and yet Sullivan can still be motivated at least in part by a belief that Flynn must be guilty if he pleads guilty – and, since Flynn pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI, that Flynn is therefore an opportunistic self-serving liar, and that he became even more of a liar later when he tried to take that plea back and blame others for mistreating him.

I offer as exhibit A to defend this point of view a rather curious thing Sullivan said during the sentencing hearing on December 18, 2018, the same one in which Sullivan’s out-of-the-blue-came-from-nowhere talk of Flynn’s possible treason got a lot of publicity in the MSM (I’ve discussed some aspects of that hearing already in Part I). The December 18, 2018 proceeding was supposed to be a sentencing hearing some time after the plea colloquy – when Flynn had pleaded guilty under oath – had occurred under a different judge who’d had to recuse himself because of a previously undisclosed friendship with Strzok, of all things. But on December 18, Judge Sullivan (the new judge) said at the outset of the sentencing hearing that he considers this an “extension” of the plea colloquy.

In a later document from Flynn, he describes that announcement from Sullivan as having been something neither he nor his lawyers had prepared for, so it took them by surprise. But at the hearing, we see that Flynn’s lawyer fails to object, and so it proceeds as an “extension” of the plea colloquy.

Go to the transcript of the hearing and look at page 7 (in the following, when Judge Sullivan refers to Flynn’s “briefing,” he is referring to a memorandum Flynn’s lawyers had recently filed that stated Flynn had been interviewed by the FBI without receiving a warning and without counsel) [my emphasis]:

SULLIVAN: Mr. Flynn’s briefing concerned the Court, as he raised issues that may affect or call into question his guilty plea, and, at the very least, maybe his acceptance of responsibility. As such, the Court concludes that it must now first ask Mr. Flynn certain questions to ensure that he entered his guilty plea knowingly, voluntarily, intelligently, and with fulsome [sic] and satisfactory advice of counsel. I cannot recall any incident in which the Court has ever accepted a plea of guilty from someone who maintained that he was not guilty, and I don’t intend to start today. So I’m going to invite Mr. Flynn and his attorney or attorneys to come to the podium, and I’m going to ask the courtroom deputy to administer the oath to Mr. Flynn.

Sullivan is saying something quite curious there, in my opinion. Does he actually think that no one in his court has ever entered a false plea of guilty? Or is he just saying that no one has ever simultaneously said he/she is guilty and not guilty? But Flynn had not entered that memorandum about not having a lawyer at the interview in order to say he therefore was not guilty. He’d entered it as part of the argument for getting a lighter sentence without jail time. And yet Sullivan seems to see a contradiction between the guilty plea and the statements in the memorandum.

I think this is where Sullivan feels an element of genuine anger at his own discomfort. There is some uneasiness and/or contradiction he senses in the situation that causes him some cognitive dissonance. So to resolve that feeling, he wants to make it crystal clear in the record – and to himself – that Flynn fully intends to plead guilty. That’s when Sullivan puts Flynn under oath and asks him a series of questions that cement Flynn’s guilty plea once again.

In addition to feeling that Flynn’s admission of guilt must be reiterated, Sullivan wants to make sure the Flynn takes responsibility for this terrible thing he’s done, this lying. The memorandum from Flynn’s side that mentions Flynn’s not having been afforded warnings and a lawyer strikes Sullivan for some reason as an attempt to evade responsibility, which I think angers Sullivan as well.

Sullivan wants to see a penitent, unequivocally guilty Flynn taking full responsibility, and Sulllivan doesn’t perceive Flynn to be doing that, which makes Sullivan uneasy. So he’s going to make Flynn own up to it, by gum.

I don’t think that at that point Sullivan was aware of the specific pressures and threats brought to bear on Flynn in order to extract that guilty plea, but Sullivan must have known or should known that this is often part of the plea bargaining process. Flynn describes his own feelings in a later document (see p 10) in which he says that in the days leading up to the December 18 hearing, which was expected to be perfunctory and basically an approval of the lenient sentencing agreement negotiated by the two sets of lawyers, his own lawyers from Covington kept advising him to “follow the path” (that is, the guilty plea) to make sure nothing further would happen to his son. In paragraph 41 (they are numbered), Flynn says the fact that the hearing turned into a plea colloquy took him and his lawyers “completely by surprise” and that they were “unprepared.” He also says “the entire experience was surreal, and that day was one of the worst days of my life.” And in paragraph 42 he says he was unprepared to decide on the spot whether to withdraw his guilty plea, consult with other lawyers, or follow the advice that his then-lawyers had been hammering home to him. He also mentions that, prior to that December 18 hearing, his lawyers had told him that if he withdrew his guilty plea, he would be “giving them the rope to hang yourself.”

He was caught in a terrible dilemma and without guidance, so he “followed the path” that had been rehearsed and set out: continue to plead guilty.

I am relatively sure that when Flynn says it was a surreal and terrible day, he is referring not just to his surprise and his dilemma about the plea, but in particular to Judge Sullivan’s “treason” outburst that followed later, and which I’ve already described somewhat in Part I. What prompted the outburst from Sullivan?

First the transcript indicates that after Flynn and his lawyers had answered all of Sullivan’s questions designed to re-state the plea and its related elements, Judge Sullivan went on to what was supposed to be the sentencing phase, the original plan for the hearing (starts on p. 17). As part of that process Sullivan reviews the possible penalties, and the facts of the case to which Flynn had previously acceded, including the Kislyak phone call and Flynn’s FARA filings (the FARA issues begin to be described on p. 22). Sullivan also described the cooperation that Flynn had offered the government and agreed to offer in the future (that discussion begins on p. 25).

It was that last bit – help in the future – that apparently was the sticking point for Sullivan regarding sentencing that day. On page 26 he says “the courts are reluctant to proceed to sentence unless and until cooperation has been completed.” He indicated that he couldn’t simply approve the plea bargain and the suggested sentence (no prison) of the two sets of lawyers, because Flynn needed to offer further assistance, and that assistance should involve testifying in the trial of his business associates’ FARA case (the one I’ve described at some length in this previous post).

Prosecutor Van Grack (p. 27) tries to say that Flynn has already cooperated in that case – and mentions the fact that the accused, Rafiekian and Alptekin, had just been indicted the day before, with Flynn’s help. And at the bottom of page 27, Sullivan asks whether Flynn could have been charged, too, in that indictment, to which (p. 28) Van Grack answers “yes.”

This must have sent a shiver down Flynn’s already well-chilled spine, reminding him that if this hearing didn’t go well, there was still the possibility not only of his own indictment regarding Turkey and FARA, but of his son’s, although Sullivan doesn’t mention the latter and may not even be aware of it, since the lawyers on both sides had made sure that that part of their agreement had been (illegally) kept from the court, as I described in this post.

Sullivan and the prosecutor then discuss the substantial penalties possible for the type of FARA offense Flynn has neither been charged with nor indicted for, but supposedly could have been charged with. Then finally it seems as though Sullivan is beginning to discuss the actual sentence he will be imposing that day, and (p. 31) Sullivan says he’s not bound by the recommendations in the lawyers’ agreement.

This also must have been a shock to Flynn, who previously had been assured that it would be approved. It might also have been a surprise to both sets of lawyers. The reason Sullivan gives for his statement is that Flynn has not yet fulfilled his full end of the bargain. Sullivan also makes it clear (towards the bottom of p. 31 into p. 32) that the sentence he’s planning to give Flynn if he sentences him today probably is going to be harsher than Flynn would get after helping further with the trial of the other two men.

And then (p. 32) Sullivan says this:

This crime is very serious. As I stated, it involves false statements to the Federal Bureau of Investigation agents on the premises of the White House, in the White House in the West Wing by a high ranking security officer with, up to that point…an unblemished career of service to his country.That’s a very serious offense.

I think by then Sullivan had revved himself up to an even greater a state of outrage. At this point, I believe that he saw Flynn as a liar who had disgraced his position and his stature, and had just admitted that disgrace and those lies once again, under oath. I think Sullivan felt what may have been a satisfying rush of contempt for Flynn, one that relieved him of any lingering doubt about the fact that Flynn needed a harsh punishment – and that he, Judge Sullivan, was going to extract his full pound of fleshy cooperation from Flynn before he would lighten the sentence one iota no matter what the lawyers and even the prosecutors had recommended. He was the judge, wasn’t he?

And it was then, with hardened heart and feeling what he considered righteous anger, that Sullivan made his extraordinary and completely uncalled-for statements about treason, some of which have already been described in Part I.

[NOTE II: To be continued soon in Part III.]

Posted in Law, Politics | Tagged Michael Flynn, Russiagate | 72 Replies

The “legacy interface” – its days are numbered

The New Neo Posted on May 27, 2020 by neoMay 27, 2020

For my age, I do pretty well with a computer. But I’m very bad at learning something new, and I usually hate doing so. Once I’m “interfacing” with a system, it becomes almost automatic and easy.

That’s when they change it up.

It’s always in the name of progress. “Oh, this will be so much better for you,” they say. “Take your medicine, honey.” And yet it very often is much worse after they’ve made their “improvements.” Don’t get me started on every single kind of email I use, for example, and the lousy changes they keep making.

But the thing that especially bugs me is that the systems that do this pretend to give you options. But it’s only for a short while that you get to opt out of the new and use the “classic” version you prefer. And then, after a few weeks or months, down the rabbit hole that classic goes.

I’m posting about this today not because anything special has happened along those lines, but because this at Ann Althouse’s gave me a chuckle:

I’d be interested in seeing a science fiction movie called “The Legacy Interface Will Still Be Optionally Available.” You’d easily know that this would be some dystopia where normal life had been nightmarishly disrupted. In “The Matrix,” the legacy interface is optionally available. You take a pill to opt out of the new world that had become the default for all users.

And I bet towards the end of the film, the plot would entail the erasing of the legacy option entirely, and the person’s frantic efforts – successful? unsuccessful? – to find the magic wormhole to access it again.

Posted in Blogging and bloggers, Me, myself, and I | 20 Replies

The Left shows Tara Reade what happens to traitors to the cause

The New Neo Posted on May 27, 2020 by neoMay 27, 2020

Their past is raked over to find something to destroy them, if possible.

Reade may have believed the left meant it when it said believe women (which was always an absurd slogan anyway, for anyone who knows anything about women or men). But if so, she was sadly mistaken. The full slogan is “believe women who accuse a person the left either wants to destroy, or who is expendable to the left” (an example of the latter is Al Franken, who would immediately be replaced by another person from the left).

When Reade’s accusations against Joe Biden were first made public, one possibility I considered was that the powers that be on the left had decreed Biden to be a millstone around their necks, and this was a good way to get rid of him and replace him with a less foggy and more demographically correct candidate. That turns out, at least so far, to not be the case. For whatever reason, for now anyway, they’ve decided to go with Joe.

And so Tara Reade must be destroyed:

The Monterey County District Attorney’s office has launched an investigation into whether Tara Reade lied on the witness stand while acting as an expert witness.

Reade, under the name Alexandra McCabe, for years testified as an expert in domestic violence cases for the California D.A.’s office. Among the issues is whether she lied about her credentials to qualify as an expert.

“We are investigating whether Ms. McCabe gave false testimony under oath,” Monterey County Chief Assistant District Attorney Berkley Brannon told POLITICO on Tuesday.

Brannon said the office does not yet know in how many cases Reade testified as an expert.

“We have no database or search engine to use to determine in how many cases she testified,” Brannon said. “However, that effort is ongoing.”

Oh, you can bet “that effort is ongoing.”

As Beria said, “Show me the man and I’ll find you the crime.” And of course that goes for women, too.

Tara Reade may be a liar, for all I know. She may have lied when she gave her credentials as an expert witness. She may be lying about Biden’s alleged attack. As in almost cases of the sort of accusations she made, my position is that we don’t know. I do know that Reade’s accusations had a great deal more credibility because of contemporaneous corroboration that most – certainly far more than those of Christine Blasey Ford, who was nevertheless nearly canonized by the left because her target was extremely politically useful.

But none of that matters to the left. What matters is the lesson the whole thing teaches, which is that any movement and any principle is only adhered to if it helps the cause, and the cause is the left’s gaining more power.

Posted in Law, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | Tagged Joe Biden | 21 Replies

So I underestimated how long it would take to write Part II of the Sullivan post

The New Neo Posted on May 26, 2020 by neoMay 26, 2020

So sue me.

I said yesterday I thought that Part II would be posted today. But I overestimated my capacity to churn that thing out. It’s such a big topic with so much information to digest. I’ve written a portion of Part II but I realize that I’ll have to try to finish it tonight, and hopefully I’ll post it tomorrow.

Sorry! But to compensate for that, there may even be a Part III.

And I’d better grind the entire thing out before June 1, which is when Judge Sullivan is supposed to respond to the Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit’s order.

Posted in Uncategorized | 29 Replies

Release the Kraken – I mean the transcript of the Flynn/Kislyak phone call

The New Neo Posted on May 26, 2020 by neoMay 26, 2020

Although the transcript of the Flynn/Kislyak phone call (or calls) does exist and the FBI had it when they interrogated Flynn in order to set their perjury trap for him, neither he nor his lawyers have ever been allowed to see it. Nor have we.

Flynn was “persuaded” to plead guilty not just because of the FBI’s prosecution threats to himself and his son for supposed FARA violations, but on their say-so about the other evidence supposedly against him: that he lied to the FBI when they questioned him about the content of the Kislyak call. And I don’t think Judge Sullivan ever saw it either, nor has either set of Flynn’s attorneys.

Well, seems like we all might get to see the transcript(s) after all these years. Grennell has just declassified them on his way out, and it will be up to Ratcliffe his successor to decide whether to release them or not.

Interestingly, one of the people wanting the transcripts to be released is Adam Schiff, who must feel they bolster his case or can be successfully spun to bolster his case. Susan Rice asked for it to be done as well. And Sidney Powell, Flynn’s attorney, feels it will tend to exonerate her client. And this article says the push to release the transcripts was “bipartisan.” More information on that can be found here.

Releasing the transcript and related documents could be like opening the box in which Schrodinger’s cat languishes, either dead or alive. However, I must say that things are seldom that clear, and the MSM can spin anything, or try.

It’s not completely clear to me, either, who has actually seen any of this information up till now. I suppose Rice has, since she was Obama’s National Security Advisor at the time of the December 29, 2016 call. But who else among these players, in particular the members of Congress, has seen the documents?

[NOTE: Here’s the reference in the title of this post.]

Posted in Law | Tagged Michael Flynn, Obamagate, Russiagate | 19 Replies

Democrat bigwigs fear an economic upswing before November

The New Neo Posted on May 26, 2020 by neoMay 26, 2020

Of course they do:

…Furman laid out a detailed case for why the months preceding the November election could offer Trump the chance to brag — truthfully — about the most explosive monthly employment numbers and gross domestic product growth ever.

Since the Zoom call, Furman has been making the same case to anyone who will listen, especially the close-knit network of Democratic wonks who have traversed the Clinton and Obama administrations together, including top members of the Biden campaign.

Furman’s counterintuitive pitch has caused some Democrats, especially Obama alumni, around Washington to panic. “This is my big worry,” said a former Obama White House official who is still close to the former president. Asked about the level of concern among top party officials, he said, “It’s high — high, high, high, high.”

And top policy officials on the Biden campaign are preparing for a fall economic debate that might look very different than the one predicted at the start of the pandemic in March. “They are very much aware of this,” said an informal adviser.

Of course they’re worried, and of course they’re very aware. What goes down sometimes goes back up. Many Democratic governors are doing their best to prevent that possibility. But will it be enough to keep things down?

I don’t know. I hope not; I certainly am hoping for a recovery and hope it takes place before November. But I imagine that a lot of rank-and-file Democrats – you know, working people (or formerly working people) who are not solid leftists but who nevertheless vote Democratic – would agree with me. This is particularly true if they are out of work either temporarily or permanently.

Do the Democrat operatives realize this? Or have they written those people off already? Have they calculated they won’t need them?

More:

“In absolute terms, the economy will look historically terrible come November,” said Kenneth Baer, a Democratic strategist who worked in a senior role at the Office of Management and Budget under Obama. “But relative to the depths of April, it will be on an upswing — 12 percent unemployment, for example, is better than 20, but historically terrible. On Election Day, we Democrats need voters to ask themselves, ‘Are you better off than you were four years ago?’ Republicans need voters to ask themselves, ‘Are you better off than you were four months ago?’”

Actually, I would hope (and almost certainly in vain) that voters would ask both questions, and if either answer is “no,” then they’d ask themselves a follow-up: and whose fault is that? And if I lived in a blue state, the answer certainly wouldn’t be “Donald Trump’s fault.”

Posted in Election 2020, Finance and economics, Liberals and conservatives; left and right | Tagged COVID-19 | 42 Replies

Obamagate: our very own army of little Berias

The New Neo Posted on May 26, 2020 by neoMay 26, 2020

I bring you the following documents to peruse and read at your leisure, and be sure to fortify your stomach before you do. The first is Michael Flynn’s petition to withdraw his guilty plea, which describes (in summary, anyway) what happened to Flynn at the hands of the FBI and Mueller’s goons. The second is this summary of the frameup of George Papadopoulos. Then there’s what happened to K.T. MacFarland.

Do you note a bit of a pattern here? I sure do. And it’s certainly not limited to those three victims. In a larger sense, of course, we’re all the victims. Not just potential victims; actual victims, because Americans have been subject to a vast and dangerous disinformation campaign in which falsehood masquerades as truth in order to hide truth and gain power.

[NOTE: Beria was the head of the USSR’s KGB (at the time the NKVD) under Stalin. Beria famously said: “Show me the man and I’ll find you the crime.” He practiced what he preached.]

Posted in Election 2016, Law, Liberty | Tagged Michael Flynn, Obamagate, Russiagate | 40 Replies

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