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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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And now it’s the background of my passport photo that’s the problem

The New Neo Posted on October 22, 2026 by neoOctober 22, 2026

I need to renew my passport, which has expired. That requires a photo that follows all the rules.

Rather than try to do it myself, I went to CVS, which purports to have a service that takes a person’s photo in a government-compliant way. Although the ensuing photo was far from flattering, it seemed to pass muster. And their computer said so, as well.

But alas, when I tried to renew online the government website rejected the photo. Why? The background was too dark, it said. And yet the background was white. Quite white. Was it very, very, very white? Not exactly, I suppose.

So now it’s back to square one. Where do I go now? Walgreen’s or the UPS store? The post office no longer offers this handy dandy service. Where have you had success? Or are you do-it-yourselfers?

Posted in Me, myself, and I, Painting, sculpture, photography | 27 Replies

News roundup

The New Neo Posted on October 22, 2026 by neoOctober 22, 2026

(1) I think Troy Jackson may be in trouble in Maine (I certainly hope so). Not only was he rude to Susan Collins in their debate, but he didn’t backtrack during a later interview.

But that’s not really what I’m basing my opinion on. Granted, I’ve got a sample of exactly one, but I was talking to a Maine resident friend of mine the other day and she – a very strong Democrat and TDS sufferer – said she had reservations about Jackson and was having trouble imagining voting for him.

(2) Neil Bush says he voted for Talarico in Texas.

Because of course he did.

“My vote was motivated by two things: deep concern about Ken Paxton’s record and genuine admiration for the character and principles I see in James Talarico,” Bush wrote in a Facebook post. …

In his post, Neil Bush wrote that he is “deeply troubled by Paxton’s conduct as Texas Attorney General, particularly his decision to challenge the results of the 2020 presidential election in other states in an effort to help Donald Trump remain in power.”

January 6th and its aftermath – the gift that keeps on giving.

(3) This is a fascinating article in Tablet magazine that discusses why Israel is a fertility outlier among Westernized nations, with average birth rates considerably higher than the rest of the group.

(4) The DOJ has charged 28 non-citizens found on California voter rolls. Also, the DOJ is suing California about its reluctance to cooperate with determining the citizenship of its voters:

The Department of Justice on Thursday sued California for alleged “state-facilitated voter fraud,” seeking to block 20,000 people on the voter rolls suspected of being noncitizens. …

The DOJ specifically asked that the court bar California from tabulating mail-in ballots from likely noncitizens until the effective determination of that voters’ citizenship status.

But Los Angeles – where most of these people live – is saying it lacks a way to verify citizenship.

(5) On Russia and Ukraine:

Don’t bet much on word that Russia is “ready in principle” to resume three-way peace talks with Ukraine and the United States next month; after all, thugocrat Vladimir Putin has been ready to end the war since the day he started it . . . as long as his victim surrenders.

Maybe, just maybe, Moscow is signaling something positive, since that statement emerged after presidential envoy Steve Witkoff briefed Putin on the latest US ceasefire proposals, which he’d already cleared with Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky and other allies at an Oslo sitdown the day before.

Indeed, Zelensky announced he’ll accept a cease-fire that freezes current lines in place, allowing Russia to continue occupying vast swathes of his nation.

On the other hand, Putin’s made plenty of ready-to-talk noises before, only to then demand unilateral concessions before any actual sitdown.

I have no expectation that any change will come of this.

Posted in Uncategorized | 20 Replies

Fake polls

The New Neo Posted on October 22, 2026 by neoOctober 22, 2026

Not just sort-of-skewed or distorted polls. These polls were utterly fake:

A national polling organization revealed on Tuesday that the vast majority of its data had been fabricated, saying it was an “experimental project to demonstrate the vulnerabilities” of the modern political polling industry.

Wedgewood Polling, whose polls had been cited by national news outlets, released the statement after FiftyPlusOne, a polling and election analysis site, questioned the veracity of its results.

“We wanted to test a simple hypothesis: How easy is it for an entirely fabricated polling firm to gain traction, be taken seriously, and expose how little scrutinization exists in media and public commentary?” Wedgewood Polling said on X. “The short answer: Far too easy.”

And these completely fake polls, from a company that wasn’t very forthcoming about its history, ended up influencing at least one primary (was this the actual aim; to put its finger on the scale?):

Mallory McMorrow, a Democratic state senator in Michigan, suspended her campaign to become a U.S. senator in July, about a month before the state’s primary that progressive Abdul El-Sayed won.

In an X post on Tuesday, McMorrow detailed what she described as the impact of Wedgewood’s “experiment.”

McMorrow wrote that a Wedgewood poll in June showed her “plummeting into single digits (which was at odds with our internals).” As a result, she said “donations dried up” and “volunteers were devastated.”

You may recall that polls in that primary were uniformly inaccurate. Most predicted a much bigger victory for El-Sayed than occurred. However, he did score a victory, although considerably narrower than predicted.

And this is about what you’d expect as a result of the removal of the fake polls:

Nate Silver’s midterm elections forecast shifted slightly toward Republicans after he removed a series of fake polls that he said had been roughly 1 point more favorable to Democrats than the broader consensus.

The famed polling analyst said the biggest change came in Michigan, where Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed’s lead fell from 3.6 points to 3. Silver noted that the movement also reflected the addition of a Marist poll to the model that showed El-Sayed 2 points ahead of Republican former Representative Mike Rogers.

Well, Silver still has the abominable El-Sayed winning. However, when I go to Silver’s page, I see three things. The first is that El-Sayed is under 50% in the majority of the polls cited, usually 47% to 48%. The second is that most of the polls seem to be within the margin of error. The third is that, among the more recent polls, there are two that favor Paxton by small margins.

What’s it all about, Alfie? Your guess is as good as mine. But as I’ve said before, I have come to trust polls less and less and less.

Posted in Election 2026 | 5 Replies

Open thread 10/22/2026

The New Neo Posted on October 22, 2026 by neoOctober 22, 2026

Ann Miller was apparently 15 years old here:

Posted in Uncategorized | 24 Replies

How to live to be 107

The New Neo Posted on October 21, 2026 by neoOctober 21, 2026

Eat fish and chips.

But not too much of it.

Posted in Food, Health | 15 Replies

Uncovering fraud pays

The New Neo Posted on October 21, 2026 by neoOctober 21, 2026

Trump is instituting a new program:

President Donald Trump announced monetary awards for any American who offers tips that lead to successful fraud convictions or significant action.

The program is called the Fraud Whistleblower Incentive Program (WHIP).

The website America.gov/fraud said a tipster can earn up to $30,000.

However, Trump said the person could receive 1% of the amount of fraud they report …

Nick Shirley has already gotten $10K; he’s the guy who exposed a great deal of fraud in Minnesota.

Will the Powerline guys get a reward if Ilhan Omar is convicted of fraud? Just wondering. They would deserve it, IMHO.

Posted in Finance and economics, Law, Trump | 8 Replies

How do you know it’s a political prosecution (lawfare)?

The New Neo Posted on October 21, 2026 by neoOctober 21, 2026

Elissa Slotkin responds:

“And all I said was that if you’ve done something illegal, if you’ve used the government inappropriately and against the law, you should be held accountable,” she said in response to Trump’s criticism, according to Robinson.

But Slotkin’s original remarks weren’t simply about prosecuting identifiable crimes. They were about sending a warning to young people considering employment in the Trump administration.

They were about intimidation – political “lawfare” of a type quite common with Democrats.

For another excellent example, please see the Dershowitz quotes in this post about The 65 Project, a group promoting lawfare designed to intimidate lawyers who might work for Trump. From Dershowitz:

There is a nefarious group that calls itself The 65 Project that has as its goal to intimidate lawyers into not representing Trump or anyone associated with him. They have threatened to file bar charges against any such lawyers. When these threats first emerged, I wrote an op-ed offering to defend pro bono any lawyers that The 65 Project goes after. So The 65 Project immediately went after me, and contrived a charge based on a case in which I was a constitutional consultant, but designed to send a message to potential Trump lawyers: if you defend Trump or anyone associated with him, we will target you and find something to charge you with. The lawyers to whom I spoke are fully aware of this threat — and they are taking it seriously.

As usual with lawfare, The 65 Project describes itself as defending democracy and the rule of law. Orwellian.

How can one tell the difference between a bona fide prosecution and lawfare? For many people, it’s simple: if my party does it, it’s a bona fide prosecution. If the other party does it, it’s nefarious lawfare. But of course, that’s an obviously partisan test.

The real test goes like this:

(1) Is the evidence solid?
(2) Is the violation one that isn’t suddenly made up, nor is the statute stretched beyond recognition?
(3) Were the defendant’s rights violated in building the case?
(4) Are known felons the only people ready to testify against the defendant?

There’s probably more, but you get the idea.

Posted in Law, Politics | 47 Replies

Open thread 10/21/2026

The New Neo Posted on October 21, 2026 by neoOctober 21, 2026

News you can use? But I doubt it “shocks” anyone:

Posted in Uncategorized | 40 Replies

They seem to have Ilhan Omar’s DNA

The New Neo Posted on October 20, 2026 by neoOctober 20, 2026

Anyone who reads Powerline regularly probably concluded a long time ago that Ilhan Omar likely married her brother in an attempt to commit immigration fraud.

But can it be proven? And is this report true?:

People familiar with the years-long criminal probe said the feds have made use of whistleblowers, government records and now obtained DNA in an effort to substantiate decade-old allegations that Omar — and possibly members of her family like her father — defrauded immigration authorities.

One source said the DNA evidence was critical to proving an allegation that Omar married her brother when she wed Ahmed Nur Said Elmi in 2009 because she was trying to help him get a green card — which never came to fruition.

It’s unclear whether the DNA was taken before or after Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) searched the congresswoman’s home in Washington, DC, last Monday, when federal agents were seen exiting the bungalow with boxes marked “Seized Property Evidence.”

Interesting.

Posted in Immigration, Law | Tagged Ilhan Omar | 18 Replies

Is France burning?

The New Neo Posted on October 20, 2026 by neoOctober 20, 2026

Short answer: yes.

Is Paris Burning? is the name of a 1966 movie about France’s liberation from the Nazis. This is how it ended:

… [F]ighting breaks out in the streets and civilians join in the battle. Allied troops reach Rue de Rivoli and enter Choltitz’s office at the Hotel Meurice, asking him to have German officers accompany Free French troops throughout the city under white flags to convey the surrender order to his troops. French tanks reach Notre Dame Cathedral and reactivate the bells after years of silence. The crowd cheers and sings “La Marseillaise.” Free French forces parade down the streets of Paris led by General de Gaulle. Against a backdrop of cheering crowds, a phone receiver is shown dangling off the hook with a German voice repeatedly asking “Is Paris burning?” Aerial footage shows Paris intact, and the view switches from the black and white of 1944 to contemporary colour footage.

Contemporary in 1966, that is. France suffered widespread riots a bit later, in 1968. But they were somewhat different than today’s riots, and France was very different as well:

May 68 (French: Mai 68) was a period of widespread protests, riots, strikes, and general civil unrest in France that began in May 1968 and became one of the most significant social uprisings in modern European history. Sparked by student demonstrations against university conditions and government repression, the movement quickly escalated into a nationwide general strike involving millions of workers, bringing the country to the brink of revolution.

Note it started with students – or appeared to do so, much like today’s riots. The left took over pretty quickly, just as it’s doing now. Then again, there was no “green” back then in a red-green alliance. Most of the people involved were French rather than children of so-called “migrants” who are heavily involved today.

In 1968:

Inspired by countercultural, anti-imperialist, Marxist, and anarchist ideologies, students increasingly viewed themselves as part of a revolutionary struggle against capitalism and authoritarianism. At the same time, the French working class was dissatisfied with stagnant wages and poor working conditions, despite growth. The political order, dominated by President Charles de Gaulle’s Fifth Republic, was seen by many as outdated and repressive.

It was, after all, the 60s. As such, it was typical of the 60s, but French-style. France has a history of large leftist demonstrations/riots. You might say the original of the genre was the French Revolution.

What ultimately happened in 1968? De Gaulle made some economic concessions and the whole thing petered out. But France has been a welfare state for quite some time, and the French have gotten very very accustomed to being taken care of.

What will happen now? Darned if I know, but the consensus is that these riots will ultimately benefit Le Pen, and that the French economy is in bad enough shape that the Macron forces can’t satisfy the mob by upping the benefits:

Elections next year will see President Emmanuel Macron step down after a decade in power. The unrest is likely to boost far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen, who is already the frontrunner in polls and has long talked tough on law and order.

“Le Pen no longer needs to spend any money to campaign,” Jean-Baptiste Moreau, a former lawmaker from Macron’s camp, told Reuters. “It’s not just a clear path ahead of her, it’s a six-lane highway.”

Time will tell.

Posted in History, Violence | Tagged France | 23 Replies

Obama knows exactly what he’s doing

The New Neo Posted on October 20, 2026 by neoOctober 20, 2026

[Hat tip: commenter “Mike Plaiss.”]

Obama: knave, not fool. Here’s an excellent opinion piece in the WSJ by Elie Wiesel’s son Elisha. An excerpt:

Mr. Obama said of the Jewish people that after millennia of persecution, “they took land off people, and they were excessive. And those people understandably said, ‘This is injustice and I want my land back.’ ” …

Consider the word “excessive.” Was it excessive for Jews to buy land, at fair or often inflated prices, from absentee landlords in Beirut and Damascus who were glad to sell malarial swamps? Was it excessive for the Jews of Hebron, a community that had prayed there for centuries, to be slaughtered by rioters in 1929, nearly 20 years before there was a Jewish state, an occupation or a West Bank settlement to blame? Was it excessive for Jews to accept the United Nations’ 1947 partition plan while facing an impending invasion by five armies in 1948? To offer peace at Camp David in 2000, and again in 2008? To pull every soldier and settler out of Gaza in 2005?

Is it excessive to want to live in peace?

And what does “understandably” demanding one’s land back look like? Understanding Palestinian grievances isn’t the same as excusing Hamas, and Mr. Obama knows the difference. But words have consequences. The partition of India in 1947 uprooted more than 10 million people, Hindus, Muslims and Sikhs alike. No American president would tell a crowd that the grandchildren of those who were displaced “understandably” want those homes back, because everyone knows where that leads. We saw where it leads on Oct. 7, 2023. Hamas’s leaders have since vowed to do it again and again until Israel is gone. There can and should be no understanding of those ambitions.

The deeper problem is the story itself. In Mr. Obama’s telling, Jews were oppressed in Europe and then arrived somewhere else and took too much. Jewish history in the land disappears. My father drew a line when he wrote in the New York Times in 2001: “To compromise on territory might seem, under certain conditions, imperative. . . . But to compromise on history is impossible.” That is the line Mr. Obama crossed in Belfast.

The timing of his remarks matters. This week he will rally in Detroit for Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate nominee, who has accused Israel of “genocide” and “apartheid,” called it “bloodthirsty” and a “rogue state,” and, when asked three times on CNN whether Israel has a right to exist, refused to say yes.

Wiesel goes on to add that his father respected Obama but differed with him on Iran, and attended Netanyahu’s speech to Congress taking a stand against Obama’s Iran Deal. After that, Obama never spoke to him again. This surprises me not at all. He used Wiesel when he was pretending to be friendlier to Israel than he ever was, and dropped him when it no longer served him.

That’s not unusual for politicians. But I wrote long ago (although I don’t know how to find the post; this one written during his first campaign comes closest but isn’t quite it) that Obama was unusual at the time in that he pretended to be far more moderate than he was. I say “was unusual at the time” because now it’s the standard among Democrats. As with so many other things, Obama paved the way.

Yes, many politicians hide things – sexual promiscuity, for example, or their academic records. And sometimes they change their minds on something or even several things. But I can’t offhand think of another president who ran for office in the first place on a lie about who he was and what he intended. Obama did exactly that.

When arguing with people on the topic of Israel, I’ve often brought up India and Pakistan. They all have looked at me blankly; they either have no idea what I’m talking about and/or they don’t care because to them analogies are dangerous because they threaten their entrenched views about Israel. Can’t have that.

Wiesel ends his piece this way:

I hope Mr. Obama reconsiders his words and takes them back. It would be an act worthy of his friendship with my father.

That’s where he shows that he doesn’t quite understand what Obama is about.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Obama | 30 Replies

Open thread 10/20/2026

The New Neo Posted on October 20, 2026 by neoOctober 20, 2026

Posted in Uncategorized | 25 Replies

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