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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Biden polls

The New Neo Posted on June 22, 2022 by neoJune 22, 2022

“Going down?” – as they used to ask in the days when there were real live human elevator operators.

I remember elevator operators. They used to have them in all the big Manhattan flagship department stores. I wonder if they still do. And they had those sliding accordion metal grates, too.

Pleasant digressions aside, here’s a new Biden poll:

President Joe Biden is fast heading into worst-ever territory as people are rejecting his handling of the economy — and him.

In two new polls depressing the White House today, one put his approval rating at a career low of 32%, and another rejected the president’s finger-pointing on the economy.

The latest approval rating hit 32%, with 56% disapproving of the president. Even Democrats are expressing frustration, with their approval rate at a low 69%, according to the data.

It’s always tempting to wonder why Biden’s approval rating is still that high. But I’ve noticed that about a third of the population (and not always the same third) will approve of anything.

And I also note that some of Biden’s disapproval comes from people who think he hasn’t been leftist enough, and also from many who would nevertheless vote for him again if he ran against any Republican and especially Donald Trump.

Posted in Biden | 25 Replies

Colombia chooses the Venezuela/Cuba way

The New Neo Posted on June 22, 2022 by neoJune 22, 2022

There’s been an election in Colombia:

Former rebel Gustavo Petro is set to be Colombia’s first leftist president after voters handed him a slim victory in Sunday’s runoff election against Rodolfo Hernández, a political outsider and populist.

Petro had garnered 50.47% of the votes to Hernandez’s 47.25% on Sunday evening, according to preliminary results released by election authorities.

“Rebel” is a euphemism for guerilla.

Petro, who was jailed in the 1980s for his involvement in the defunct M-19 movement, promised a suite of economic reforms during his campaign, including higher taxes, more government spending, and changes to the country’s pension system.

While voters elected Petro on his progressive platform, he will have trouble delivering on his promises due to Colombia’s fragmented Congress.

Colombia is hardly alone in its veer to the left:

Argentina-based analyst Agustin Antonetti of the Fundación Libertad told Fox News Digital: “The triumph of Gustavo Petro is the missing piece, perhaps the most worrying, of this new reconfiguration in Latin America, leaning towards a new wave of leftist governments.”

Antonetti continued, “A region that is in alarming political and economic decline, in a complex global context, with three terrible dictatorships (Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua) that seem more alive than ever and surrounded by a large number of populist leaders, now in power, who they endorse them and are ready for anything. The big question is: Will the institutions in Latin America resist this new wave of governments in a clear rise of authoritarianism?”

I assume that “the institutions” include the military of each country?

More:

Isaias Medina, a former high-ranking Venezuelan diplomat at the United Nations who was one of the first Venezuela diplomats to resign in protest over the Maduro regime, said the U.S. needs to pay attention saying that Maduro and his acolytes were, “tightening the noose around democracy’s neck in Latin America.”

Medina told Fox News Digital, “The American beacon of light and freedom must shine brighter.”

Oh my. That light seems pretty dim right now in the US.

And of course freedom (I much prefer the term “liberty”) and democracy don’t always mesh. Democracy means that people can vote themselves right smack into tyranny – it’s not even all that unusual, especially in Latin America. That’s one of the reasons the Founders in the US designed this country as a republic rather than a democracy, in order to give an extra layer of protection. It’s not perfect protection – where there’s a will to tyranny, there’s a way.

Posted in Latin America | 66 Replies

Overview on yesterday’s Uvalde testimony from McCraw

The New Neo Posted on June 22, 2022 by neoJune 22, 2022

Last night I watched the entirety of Texas DPS head Steve McCraw’s testimony in front of the Texas Senate, including the question-and-answer period. It’s a lot to digest; something like four and a half hours. I could probably write a post on the subject that would take you about that long to read – but never fear, I won’t be doing that. However, that’s how much I could say about it.

But I’ll try to touch on some of what I consider the more important points. This post is just an overview; I plan at least one more post on the subject of his testimony, with more details. Here are some of my general observations:

(1) It’s not easy to present with clarity the huge accumulation of information of the type that McCraw was trying to convey. There’s (a) the information itself and how it was gathered. Then there’s (b) the interpretation of what some of the ambiguous pieces of information (and there were quite a few) might mean. And then there’s (c) the evaluation of the whole, including what the presentation indicates about the people involved and even what might have been going on in their minds to explain their behavior.

I wish McCraw had been clearer in separating out those three elements.

As for (c), one of my major objections until now has been so many people feeling sure they can figure that out and that it’s obvious (for example, “they’re cowards just trying to protect their own butts and not caring about kids”) before they ever got much clarity on (a) and (b) from official sources such as video. Because of McCraw’s testimony yesterday, we now have some additional (although not perfect or complete) clarity on (a) and (b), and yet people will continue to differ on their conclusions about (c). But one thing I think we all can agree on is that the police response was chaotic, disorganized, and ineffective. Some will go much further in condemning the police, but those three things have been clear almost from the start to just about everyone, and they remain clear.

Also regarding (c), commenter “Owen” muses, after having watched 20 minutes of McCraw’s appearance: “It leaves me wondering if there is any difference between gross incompetence and simple cowardice.”

I think there’s a huge difference. However, their terrible effects may be the same. It’s not always easy to tell the difference between the two characteristics, either, because both incompetence and cowardice are interpretations of the facts. Both rely on an understanding of people’s perceptions and emotions and how they affect behavior. That’s difficult to evaluate; we often don’t even know that about ourselves, much less about other people. So interpretations will differ, given the same facts. And it would help to hear more from the people we’re trying to evaluate, although of course sometimes they will lie about their own motives.

(2) I already knew this, but putting together an investigation like this is incredibly time-consuming and complex, yet necessary. This one isn’t finished yet.

(3) McCraw’s presentation yesterday was based on two things: video evidence (from a combination of surveillance videos and police bodycams) and audio records (for example, 911 calls as well as cellphone calls, including some from the school police chief Arredondo to headquarters). We didn’t hear the audio or see any of the video itself, however, which is too bad – especially for the video. We were relying on the investigators’ interpretations, but I’d also like to see for myself whenever possible.

However, information from eyewitness interviews was not included yesterday. In fact, McCraw said he had taken out some information on the previous timeline that had been based on witness descriptions. So, unfortunately, our picture is not as complete as it could have been, even at this point, had eyewitness information been included. Witness statements could have supplemented the video and audio evidence and helped us better understand what was happening, but I suppose that for legal and time constraint reasons they were eliminated. I assume they will be incorporated into the final report.

I had read an article in a Houston paper in early June that said that the Robb Elementary hallway video was of poor quality and had to be enhanced by the FBI. That turns out to be true; according to McCraw’s testimony, the video was taken with a fisheye lens at one end of the hall and the view was very distorted. I’d be curious to know more about that process of enhancement, but at any rate according to McCraw it worked rather well in terms of the videos becoming clearer. However, as McCraw also said, the view further down the hall – where classroom doors 111 and 112 were located – makes it a bit hard to see certain things unequivocally. For example, McCraw mentioned that when the shooter first arrived in the hallway to the front of those doors and shot towards them, you can’t see which classroom he’s shooting into.

(4) Having watched McCraw’s entire presentation carefully and taken notes the entire time, I found certain discrepancies. Some probably don’t matter much – for example, several times he misstates some times in the timelines and says “11” when he means “12.” I had noticed he did the same thing during his press conference on May 27, and it alerted me to the fact that I had to listen very carefully for confusion of that sort. There were other problems, though – which is not surprising in a presentation this long and full of detail. I’ll be saying more about them in another post, hopefully today but maybe tomorrow. But in general they had to do with two things. The first was McCraw’s subtly contradicting himself a couple of times, in certain details, while trying to explain something complex very clearly (for example the locks on the classroom doors). The second was senators occasionally asking questions framed in a way that shows that the senator had misunderstood some part of McCraw’s presentation (sometimes an important part), and McCraw not correcting (or perhaps not noticing?) the misunderstanding. I plan to give at least one example of this happening.

Posted in Law, Violence | 32 Replies

Open thread 6/22/22

The New Neo Posted on June 22, 2022 by neoJune 21, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 36 Replies

We finally get lots of detail on Uvalde, and what it says about the police reaction – and the general preparedness of the school – is terrible

The New Neo Posted on June 21, 2022 by neoJune 21, 2022

In Uvalde, as more information has come out, it has looked worse and worse for the police. But until now I have refused to come to any conclusions about guilt and responsibility except to say that, from the start, when we first heard some of the details of the attack, the police response appears to have been disorganized and unprepared, and perhaps a lot worse than that. But in any such situation (or really, any situation at all), I want to know who is giving out the evidence we learn, whether it’s authentic, and I’d even like to hear any defense the accused might offer and see whether it makes any sense at all. Until then my preference is to hold back, which is not the same as saying that the accused person or people are innocent.

Well, today Texas DPS head Steve McCraw has testified at length before the Texas Senate, finally giving us a great many official details. I’ve been very busy earlier today (and will be busy for a few more hours) and unfortunately haven’t yet had time to watch his lengthy and important testimony, but I certainly plan to do so. Perhaps I’ll have another post tonight based on that, or perhaps tomorrow.

However, a preliminary look at just a couple of minutes (I watched him describe some details about the doors and the locks or lack thereof), and the content of a few very quick summaries, indicates extremely serious problems and failures, not only with the police response – although failure of the police response (and particularly that of Arredondo, who appears to have been in way over his head) is certainly a very important part of it – but with the entire structure of the school and its lockdown preparedness.

Simply put – it was terrible. I have always said I would be more than willing to acknowledge that, if and when we got some evidence of it that was comprehensive and well-sourced. Well, today we appear to have gotten just that sort of evidence.

I plan to write much more about this, but only after I’ve watched much more of the testimony, which I still need to do. If anyone knows where I can find a transcript, which would make my task a lot easier and quicker, please put a link in the comments.

Posted in Law, Me, myself, and I, Violence | 101 Replies

Parliamentary stirrings in two countries: France and Israel

The New Neo Posted on June 21, 2022 by neoJune 21, 2022

The first is France:

The left won a lot more seats. A new party, or really a new party coalition called “Nupes,” united the Socialists, Communists, hard left and greens, won somewhere between 149-200 seats, which is a lot more than the 60 seats the left held in total before the election.

LePen’s National Rally party previously held only eight seats, but now will hold between 60 and 102.

Macron attacked the left during the parliamentary election season and is unlikely to form a coalition with them. He’s extremely unlikely to form a coalition with LePen’s NR, which leaves only Les Republicains — the traditional center-right party, the party of Sarkozy — as his only dance partner. They will elect between 40 and 80 members of parliament.

Macron will have to strike a deal with LR for their support, moving to the “right” to appease them, maybe even picking a PM from their ranks.

More here:

The strong support for political extremes reflects a frustration with Macron’s leadership that first erupted in 2018 with the yellow vest movement against perceived economic injustice, and has periodically resurfaced among those who see him as too pro-business, arrogant or tone-deaf to everyday concerns.

The strong performance of both Le Pen’s National Rally and Mélenchon’s coalition — composed of his hard-left France Unbowed party as well as the Socialists, Greens and Communists — will make it harder for Macron to implement the agenda he was reelected on in May, including tax cuts and raising France’s retirement age from 62 to 65.

“Macron is a minority president now,” a beaming Le Pen declared Monday in Hénin-Beaumont, her stronghold in northern France. “His retirement reform plan is buried.”

The summary version is that Macron’s bloc and the left united in the presidential elections against Le Pen in order to give Macron victory, but that coalition fell apart when it came to parliamentary elections, to Macron’s detriment.

And then we have Israel, where a fragile coalition government is in big trouble and another parliamentary election looms:

Israel is heading to its fifth election in three and a half years, after Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Alternate Prime Minister Yair Lapid gave up Monday on their efforts to stabilize the coalition.

In a joint statement, Bennett and Lapid said they would bring a bill to dissolve the Knesset to a vote next Monday. There is a consensus in the coalition and opposition on an October 25 date for the election…

According to the coalition agreement, Lapid will become caretaker prime minister until the election and until the new government takes power. He is set to greet US President Joe Biden when he comes to Israel next month.

The meeting of the lame ducks.

More:

There is still a chance that Netanyahu will succeed in forming an alternate government within the current Knesset. This would happen if members of the coalition, from New Hope and Yamina, switch sides and join Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc.

Netanyahu took credit for the government’s downfall and called it the “worst government in the history of the State of Israel.”

He vowed he would form the next government and that it would be “nationalist and wide.”

Netanyahu the phoenix. The article doesn’t discuss it, but I wonder whether some of this resurgence has to do with the weakness of the evidence against him in a bogus bribery case.

Here’s a memory-refresher on how Bennett and Lapid formed the present government in the first place. It’s not a pretty story:

Once Netanyahu proved unable to form a government [after the election], Lapid cajoled Bennett to desert the right-wing bloc and offered him the seat of prime minister as part of a rotation arrangement. Unable to resist Lapid’s offer, Bennett agreed to become prime minister, despite winning only seven mandates in the previous election…

Bennett [had] repeatedly told voters on national news programs that it would be undemocratic for a Knesset member to become prime minister with less than 10 mandates. Bennett had seven. In a stunt, Bennett [had] also signed a piece of paper that he brought into an Israeli evening news program stating that he would not join any Lapid-led government “with a rotation or without a rotation” because “I am right-wing and [Lapid] is left-wing.” Many right-wing voters supported Bennett on the basis of those broken promises.

Great guys. Interesting times.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Politics | Tagged Benjamin Netanyahu, France | 10 Replies

Signs that more Americans have gotten tired of the far left

The New Neo Posted on June 21, 2022 by neoJune 21, 2022

(1) The ratings for the January 6th hearings. I don’t think there are any minds still not made up. I don’t even think my leftist friends are watching it, and if someone doesn’t already believe the “insurrection” narrative, those hearings aren’t going to convince them. And at this point I think people have – as they say – “moved on.”

(2) Hispanic voters consistently show a trend to the right. That could be seismic. Many, much like Marya Flores who became the House member from the 34th Congressional district in Texas as a result of a recent special election, are disturbed by the Democrats’ stand on illegal immigration (Flores came here legally from Mexico at the age of 6) and their cultural excesses.

(3) Even some of my leftist friends who live in the Bay area are complaining about crime, and the recall of red diaper baby DA Chesa Boudin is a sign that there are many many more like them.

(4) Even some of my leftist friends here and there are complaining about the excesses of woke.

Most people I know voted for Joe Biden in 2020. They had their reasons, and it wasn’t love of Biden. I haven’t yet asked them whether, if they had it to do over again, they would repeat that vote, but I am almost certain virtually all would say, “yes.” That’s how dangerous and evil they thought Trump was.

That’s a guess, though. I don’t really know because I haven’t asked, and they haven’t volunteered. I don’t bring up politics with most people I know because it’s been talked about before with them and no one’s mind ever changed. Back when I voted as a liberal Democrat, I almost never talked politics to anyone and didn’t even know the politics of most of my friends and relatives. Isn’t that funny? It seems in retrospect like a golden time of live-and-let-live.

But I don’t hear anyone I know talking about what a great president Joe Biden is. Once, when I pressed a certain relative, the answer was “he’s doing fine,” but that might have reflected a reluctance to get into a spat with me and also that conversation occurred at least a half year ago.

What my Democrat friends mostly do discuss with me is their general sense of anxiety and unease about “the state of the world” and about “how things have been going.” There’s the bad economy, of course; we can all grouse together about the price of food and gas. But it’s more than that. Some find themselves worried about nuclear war in a way they haven’t in years. Some are vaguely worried about the world in which their grandkids will grow up. Some find themselves out of practice, post-lockdowns, with being out in the world and are feeling anxiety when interacting face to face with other people, an anxiety they’ve never felt before in their lives. The only ones who feel pretty good are those who have a relentless “live in the moment and don’t think about past or future” mentality, and that’s just a few.

Posted in Biden, Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Politics | 33 Replies

Open thread 6/21/22

The New Neo Posted on June 21, 2022 by neoJune 21, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 26 Replies

Uvalde and all the rest: on reading press coverage carefully – ever so carefully [BUMPED UP: scroll down for newer posts]

The New Neo Posted on June 20, 2022 by neoJune 20, 2022

The tragic events in Uvalde have been interesting in many ways, but one of those ways is how the response has acted as a reminder that most people – including people who know that the press often prints “facts” that turn out to be false – don’t read media reports with a critical eye. This is particularly true if the report aligns with some preconceived notion the reader has, but it’s not limited to that.

People often talk about paying attention to the 24-hour rule or the 48-hour rule, which is to wait for that long before believing a seemingly sensational story in the news. Sometimes I think it should be the 24-day rule, or the 24-week rule, or even more depending on the story’s complexity and the strength of the motive behind presenting it in a certain manner. For example, the facts of Russiagate are still emerging, all these years later, although most people who hate Trump are probably still stuck in their earlier perceptions of him as Russian asset and are quite happy to stay there. In that sense, the media will have accomplished its task of setting the “narrative” early and powerfully.

That’s one of the reasons I’ve written so many posts on Uvalde. This particular story has various features that put me on alert for poor coverage. The first is that it’s a highly emotional and very disturbing and even heartbreaking event to begin with, so we have emotions that are a mix of despair, fear, anguish, and rage. After the initial coverage and shock, though, the rage at the perpetrator starts moving to the background. After all, he’s a shadowy figure about which little is known, and now he’s dead so there isn’t that much to focus on – no trial, no confession, no nothing. But the police who failed to protect are an easy target, and in addition in this case (as in most) there were failures of execution and apparently a lot of confusion and even chaos, all of which has resulted in accusations of cowardice or worse.

The MSM has been focusing on that part of the story, and it started early with the release of videos of parents standing outside screaming at the police to do something. At that point, did they – or we – even know that the entire school was being evacuated by police and other officers? I don’t recall that being said until later, and it hasn’t been described often or in any detail. And yet it apparently happened, although we have yet to be given a timeline that would help us understand when it happened, and how efficiently or inefficiently.

In addition, there have been so many stories – some based on interviews with various participants, including traumatized child survivors – that no one is coordinating them and looking to see whether the facts being told match up with each other. I say “no one,” but supposedly someone is doing just that: those who are mounting a full investigation and who will be releasing some sort of report many months or even up to a year from now. Till then, they’re not supposed to leak, and one reason is that preliminary and fragmentary information can be very wrong.

But the public wants to know more, and now. For example, commenter “MBunge” writes, among other things:

…as long as you don’t also suggest we should be happy and content with Uvalde police preventing the public from hearing 911 calls or viewing body camera footage of that day.

I just want there to be one standard on this stuff. Not one where, for example, doubt is cast on the statements made by a mother in the immediate aftermath of the shooting but carefully planned and prepared comments by the Uvalde school police chief made over two weeks later are treated as gold.

That last paragraph is a criticism aimed at me. Some or even most of you may have missed what’s being referenced there, so I refer you to this comment of mine and also this, which both point out why I have some reservations about the much-reported story told by a mother who claims to have rescued her own kids. To briefly summarize, my hesitation about accepting the story at face value rests on a large problem with the timeline she gives, the lack of any corroborating evidence including photos, and the fact that the woman appears to have a criminal past. That does not mean her story is false – as I’ve also written. As for the police chief’s story, I have included reminders that we simply don’t know whether his story is true or not. We do need to hear it and evaluate it, though, and weigh it against actual evidence as it comes out, and we don’t have enough information yet to know.

I’ve repeatedly said that I have no problem condemning police if and when I do have more – and more reliable – information, and it points to their guilt. As it is, though, there’s plenty to already criticize, such as the chaos and confusion of the command structure, and the lack of knowledge about the keys, and I have criticized those things and more. But I refuse to say I know more than I know.

I plan another post that deals with the blockbuster story that came out over the weekend, saying that the police didn’t even try to see if the classroom doors were open or not as they waited in the hall, and that there is video evidence of this, and that at least one of those classroom doors was actually unlocked. Hopefully, I’ll get to it today or tomorrow (I’ve already written this lengthy comment about it, as well as others, but I have considerably more to say).

In the meantime, I’ll deal with this Vice article on which I’ve already written several comments; the article is about police “lawyering up” and refusing to release certain material. It is what commenter MBunge was referring to when he wrote: “…as long as you don’t also suggest we should be happy and content with Uvalde police preventing the public from hearing 911 calls or viewing body camera footage of that day.”

There we have the typically sarcastic idea that I’m saying “we should be happy and content” – something I never said. But think for a moment of what is being asked by MBunge and others: hearing 911 calls and viewing body camera footage of that day. I can’t offhand think of a school shooting where such footage was released by police before an investigation was complete. For example, bodycams (if there were any in Uvalde; I’ve heard differing reports on that) would show – among other things – the police entering and seeing the mutilated bodies of fourth-graders, some with their heads practically blown off. I’m being graphic here because it’s necessary to actually confront what’s being demanded. The 911 calls would feature the voices of terrified children who survived, and perhaps even some who died.

Does the public have right to demand such things, and are they ordinarily released so early in the game? I can’t recall any such release in the past, and certainly not at this point – which has nothing to do with being “happy” and “content” about it.

In addition, if you read that Vice article carefully, you’ll find this:

“Uvalde Hires Private Law Firm to Argue It Doesn’t Have to Release School Shooting Public Records” – Some of the records relating to the Robb Elementary School shooting could be “highly embarrassing,” involve “emotional/mental distress,” and are “not of legitimate concern to the public,” the lawyers argued.

Sounds terrible, and like a coverup. And it’s meant to sound that way. But note the shortness of the quotes. “Embarrassing” to whom? “Emotional/mental distress” for whom? We are meant to think it’s the police, of course – and indeed it probably would cause those things for the police. But from previous experience, I’ve learned that in order to understand what’s actually being said here, we need to see the full quote. What comes to my mind is that the release of the videos and 911 recordings would be highly likely to cause distress to some of the victims’ and survivors’ families, as well as the survivors themselves. That’s not rocket science.

Later on in the article there’s also this, which indicates this is just a preliminary legal position that is standard, and later there will be a determination by the court of what needs releasing and what doesn’t:

“The City has not voluntarily released any information to a member of the public,” the city’s lawyer, Cynthia Trevino, who works for the private law firm Denton Navarro Rocha Bernal & Zech, wrote in a letter to Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. The city wrote the letter asking Paxton for a determination about what information it is required to release to the public, which is standard practice in Texas. Paxton’s office will eventually rule which of the city’s arguments have merit and will determine which, if any, public records it is required to release.

And then we get to this [emphasis mine]:

The letter makes clear, however, that the city and its police department want to be exempted from releasing a wide variety of records in part because it is being sued, in part because some of the records could include “highly embarrassing information,” in part because some of the information is “not of legitimate concern to the public,” in part because the information could reveal “methods, techniques, and strategies for preventing and predicting crime,” in part because some of the information may cause or may “regard … emotional/mental distress,” and in part because its response to the shooting is being investigated by the Texas Rangers, the FBI, and the Uvalde County District Attorney.

So now we learn one of the reasons for the “lawyering up”: the city and its police department are being sued. Perhaps you don’t think they deserve to hire additional private legal representation, as they have done here (they apparently already have one in-house attorney). But I would think them very foolish if they hadn’t “lawyered up” under these circumstances. Note that again all those short quotes about embarrassing information and emotional distress are offered, with no further explanation of who would be experiencing those things. We are left to assume it would solely be the police.

The Vice article does include the text of the actual letter sent by the lawyer, in its entirety. This is in a little box, and is ten pages long (at least, it was that long in the font I use). How many people who read the Vice article will also plow through the letter, which is not only long but in dry legalese? I submit that it would be read by very very few. I quickly read it in order to determine whether it specifies who would be embarrassed or emotionally distressed, and it does not. This is unsurprising, because this is a legal document whose function it is to quote the relevant statute, which contains general language about those things, blanket language that applies to anyone who might be involved in the case.

So in summary, no one is asking anyone to be “content and happy,” only to look at a more full picture and to also wait for more information to see how things pan out. It’s also good to look at all articles carefully and read them with an eye towards noticing what is being put in and what is being left out. And to keep asking questions.

Posted in Law, Me, myself, and I, Press, Violence | 74 Replies

Lia Thomas’ Olympic hopes are dashed

The New Neo Posted on June 20, 2022 by neoJune 20, 2022

The international body has ruled:

Swimming’s world governing body, FINA, announced a ban Sunday on biological men competing in women’s events, unless they had “transitioned” before the age of 12.

In other words, transgender athletes who have experienced the enduring competitive advantages of a male puberty flooded with testosterone, such as greater muscle mass, lung capacity and height, will no longer have an unfair advantage in women’s competitions.

Leaving aside for the moment the question of male-to-female pre-pubescent transitioners and what rules should govern them, it’s a relief that FINA has done what the US agencies in charge have refused to do: re-apply common sense. The FINA ruling only applies to international competitions, however:

It does not necessarily apply to national or regional competitions or lower-level meets. National federations could apply their own criteria for their competitions.

The ruling also only impacts on transgender athletes in women’s competitions. Female-to-male transgender athletes (transgender men) will continue to be eligible to compete in men’s races without any restriction.

That last sentence is pretty darn funny, because I’m not aware of any female-to-male transitioners who would be competitive in men’s sports a high level. This is a one-way street on which only males-to-females have an advantage.

It remains to be seen whether US sports organizations will follow in the footsteps of FINA.

Posted in Baseball and sports, Health, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | 22 Replies

You can check in any time you want…

The New Neo Posted on June 20, 2022 by neoJune 20, 2022

…but they sure make it hard to leave.

That’s a slight variation on one of my favorite lines from the song “Hotel California.” What am I talking about? Oh, lots of companies that offer something free as long as you cancel before automatic payments kick in. And they are betting that you’ll either love their service so much that you’ll want it to continue and be willing to pay, or – and this is key – that you’ll forget to cancel.

Get enough people who forget, and you’ve got quite a tidy little sum of money.

Or if you do remember to cancel in time – and I write down the cancellation date on my calendar so I won’t forget – they make the process so confusing that you might just slip up and not accomplish it.

Recently it was the day before my one-month free Amazon Prime membership would stop being free. I had used it for a number of things that are hard to obtain elsewhere, but had no intention of continuing with it. But when I went to the cancel page and started the process of cancelling, an interesting thing happened.

First off, I found that when I checked off the first box saying I wanted to cancel, it led me to some other prompt (easily missed, I might add) where I had to reiterate that intent. Then on another page I had to do it again. And then again. I believe there was a total of four or five times that I had to click on boxes in order to actually accomplish the cancellation. Even then, I wasn’t 100% sure I had made it all the way to the end until I got an email confirming that I had opted out.

It’s not just Amazon Prime that does it this way, of course. There are plenty of other sites that do the same or worse. Sometimes they write things so confusingly that people probably often say they want to continue when in fact they don’t; something like “Yes, I want to stop cancelling” or some other slightly-convoluted construction. And unsubscribing from an email list is more of the same.

They are clever, no mistake about it.

Posted in Me, myself, and I | 20 Replies

Open thread 6/20/22

The New Neo Posted on June 20, 2022 by neoJune 20, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 74 Replies

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