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A blog about political change, among other things

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It’s not nice to change Mother Nature

The New Neo Posted on January 11, 2008 by neoJuly 9, 2009

It seems that a well-intentioned attempt to protect a certain kind of African acacia tree from the large beasts who would munch on it has had the opposite effect. In a complex interaction of insect, plant, and animal, the trees ended up losing nectar and the ants that ordinarily feed on it and by their presence scare off wood-boring beetles, which then invade and weaken the plant terribly.

This sort of finding is one of the reasons intervening to change nature in a particular direction (such as, for example, to stop global warming) is often a dicey proposition. Systems are way too complex for us to understand either the causes or the effects of what we do well enough to be able to correctly predict the consequences of our actions.

In nature, be careful what you wish for, and be careful how you intervene.

[And I’ll wager this was actually Bush’s fault.]

Posted in Science | 25 Replies

Cultural and moral relativism (Part II)

The New Neo Posted on January 10, 2008 by neoSeptember 2, 2023

[Part I]

Moral relativism is the idea that there is no absolute good and evil, but that all customs and practices of mankind must be evaluated in terms of their function in the society where they are found. Any attempt to make moral judgments about other cultures merely reflects our own cultural prejudices.

Some tolerance, doubt, and perspective is good. But this is the notion of tolerance taken to its ultimate—and ultimately, absurd and destructive—conclusion. Not only does it handicap our ability to make moral judgments within our own culture by weakening our convictions, but it handicaps our ability to see true evil as well as our ability to fight against it, and paradoxically can lead to the triumph of a very intolerant society.

The principle of moral relativism is often confused with cultural relativism, grounded in anthropology and discussed in Part I, here. But it turns out that moral relativism not only goes against traditional concepts of good and evil, but against the teachings of some anthropologists as well. Continue reading →

Posted in Best of neo-neocon, Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe | 59 Replies

If McCain wins….

The New Neo Posted on January 9, 2008 by neoJanuary 9, 2008

…they’ll have to retire the “chickenhawk” meme.

Not only is McCain a bona fide war hero of unquestioned courage and true grit, but it turns out his son is a Marine fighting in Iraq.

Posted in Uncategorized | 32 Replies

Yon’s moment of truth

The New Neo Posted on January 9, 2008 by neoJanuary 9, 2008

Michael Yon has another fine essay up about progress in Iraq. I think you’ll find it not only informative but encouraging without whitewashing the difficulties that still remain.

[NOTE: I plan to post Part II of “Cultural and moral relativism” tomorrow. Some of you may be pleased to learn I’m also working hard on the next installment in my “change” series, after a lengthy hiatus. It should be up some time in the next week or so—I hope.]

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Replies

The comeback kids

The New Neo Posted on January 9, 2008 by neoSeptember 8, 2011

I’ll leave it to other pundits to write reams about the NH primary vote. Let’s just say that NH is a small and quirky state that almost always gives results that are interesting. Often they’re even relevant to what happens later; sometimes not (see this for a list of which NH winners have gone on to win their party’s nominations; not a bad track record for a small and rather atypical state).

But articles such as this one annoy the fact-checker in me, so I thought I’d correct the record. CBSNews.com Editorial Director Dick Meyer writes:

Senator Clinton repeated the epic comeback that sent her husband on his way to the White House in 1992. It was a squeaker, but it was a win.

Perhaps it’s just the syntax, but the impression this gives is that Bill won NH in 1992. Yes, he called himself “the comeback kid” after the 1992 NH primary. But no, he did not win it, as Hillary did; he came in second. NH kept his seemingly moribund candidacy alive, and allowed him to go on to win the nomination, but Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts actually won the 1992 NH Democratic primary handily, 33.2% to 24.8%.

This matters to me not only because I like accuracy, but because I was a real fan; I considered him to be one of the few politicians I could get excited about, a man who seemed intelligent, sincere, realistic, honest, and reasonable—especially so for a politician. Although he was a Massachusetts Democrat, he was far from a flaming liberal, and in the small and intimate venue of New Hampshire he shone. Unfortunately, his strengths didn’t come across so well in larger states, since he lacked the slick and easy affability of his rival, and his campaign died after New Hampshire.

As it turns out, so did he—in 1997, of complications from cancer treatment. There was to be no comeback for Paul Tsongas. Here’s a tribute to him that gives you an idea of the measure of the man.

Posted in Politics | 1 Reply

A few quick thoughts on the NH primary

The New Neo Posted on January 8, 2008 by neoJanuary 8, 2008

The polls will be closing in about an hour and a half in New Hampshire, so here are some of my final pre-result thoughts on the proceedings:

(1) Weather, unbelievably great! An illustration of the old adage that if you don’t like the weather in New England, stick around for a few minutes and it will change.

(2) The high turnout is an indication that some of these candidates, at least, are exciting the populace. My bet is that the most excitement is generated by Obama.

(3) New Hampshire is indeed becoming a blue state.

On the latter point, it’s easy to forget how tiny New Hampshire is, and that it takes just a slight influx of liberal Democrats to change the political balance of the state. Here are the stats; you can see how small the state is and how fast it’s been growing. Anyone who lived there from the late seventies to the late nineties, as I did, can tell you how dramatic the changes have been.

If you want to know more of my thoughts on today’s NH primary, listen to the Sanity Squad podcast from last night.

[ADDENDUM, 9:10 PM Eastern time: Early returns indicate the Democratic race is closer than predicted, with Hillary in the lead, while the Republican race has already been called for McCain. Interesting. NH often surprises, although I’m never certain that the state primary there means a whole lot these days in the big picture.]

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Replies

Cultural and moral relativism (Part I)

The New Neo Posted on January 8, 2008 by neoSeptember 2, 2023

It used to be that virtually every society on earth had its own moral and social code and believed it was the best on earth—and not just the best for that particular society but the best, period. The only question was whether that society thought others should adopt the same code, or whether it had a laissez faire attitude on that score.

Western culture was no different, although with our dedication to the value of individual freedom of thought and belief, over time Western society developed an unusual attitude of tolerance for the beliefs and customs of others—up to a point, that is. This did not prevent the West from believing its values were best and should be the dominant ones, or that certain things were right and others wrong no matter what the prevailing cultural mores.

This point is well illustrated by a famous story said to describe the reaction of British General Charles James Napier to the custom of suttee in 19th century India:

You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours.

Come to think of it, the Napier quote is a nearly perfect (although somewhat sarcastic) example of cultural relativism. It is not, however, an example of moral relativism. Continue reading →

Posted in Best of neo-neocon, Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Science | 29 Replies

Join the Sanity Squad

The New Neo Posted on January 7, 2008 by neoJanuary 8, 2008

Well, they finally got me to talk about the primaries. Listen up at Blog Talk Radio to tonight’s Sanity Squad podcast with Dr. Sanity, Shrink, Siggy, and me.

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Replies

Fanaticism inherent in Islam itself: Hirsi Ali reviews Lee Harris

The New Neo Posted on January 7, 2008 by neoJanuary 9, 2008

Surprisingly, the NY Times has published a lengthy and somewhat favorable review of Lee Harris’s latest book about the threat Islam presents to the West, entitled The Suicide of Reason.

Hirsi Ali was the Times’s interesting choice as reviewer. Raised originally in Islamic Somalia but spending her teen years in Kenya and exposed to Western thought and culture, she became enamored early on with Enlightenment ideas such as the hegemony of reason (one of the conduits of which for Hirsi Ali was Nancy Drew books. with their combination of feminism, logic, and derring-do, characteristics her later life included).

The main thesis of Harris’s book is that Islam has not just been temporarily “hijacked” by the more extreme of its fanatics, as though the most restrictive sects of Christianity or Judaism had taken control of their respective religions. He asserts that fanaticism and world-domination are basic tenets of Islam. This is, of course, a familiar idea to those who are in the habit of perusing the blogosphere. Continue reading →

Posted in Religion | 35 Replies

Science and casualty figures in Iraq: lancing the Lancet boil

The New Neo Posted on January 5, 2008 by neoApril 6, 2015

The famous 2006 Lancet study indicating there had been more than ten times the previous estimates of Iraqi deaths in the war and postwar period engendered a storm of controversy right from the outset. How could such a huge number of deaths have gone unnoticed, and why were there not a similarly enormous number of accompanying wounded?

Now comes an in-depth review by Neil Munro and Carl M. Cannon in National Journal that describes deeply flawed methodology, refusal to release data, failure to implement routine safeguards against outright fabrication, and other suspicious findings (such as a 98% subject response rate to the questionaire) in the Lancet study.

The details are in the National Journal piece; read it to get the full flavor. There’s no need to recap them here; suffice to say that the data is highly suspect. There have even been so many problems with the study that officials of the Iraq Body Count (who are strongly antiwar themselves) consider the Lancet figures bogus and have issued a strong and devastating critique of it as well. The use of and misuse of science for political ends is not new, but it is shocking how easy the latter can be to accomplish.

All of the people responsible for this study, including those who funded it, had an anti-Bush and antiwar political agenda. They did not even bother to hide that fact. This does not mean they cannot do research in the field, but it does mean that they have an extra responsibility to assure that their research methods are impeccable. Continue reading →

Posted in Iraq, Science | 64 Replies

RIP, Andrew Olmstead

The New Neo Posted on January 5, 2008 by neoJanuary 5, 2008

Blogger Andrew Olmstead has been killed by small arms fire in Iraq. His final message—characteristically touching, thoughtful, and humorous—has been posted here.

Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Replies

The pause that refreshes

The New Neo Posted on January 3, 2008 by neoJanuary 9, 2008

I’m a bit under the weather today, having woken up with an aura that then segued seamlessly into a migraine.

Fortunately, I don’t get migraines too often, now that I’ve eliminated chocolate from my life. But every now and then a migraine still arrives, and today was one of those days.

Migraines are no fun, but they do have their slightly pleasant aspects. For one thing, the aura constitutes a twenty minute light show that looks something like this:

aura1.jpg

For another thing—well, that’s about it for pleasant aspects.

So I’m taking the day off from blogging and plan to return tomorrow. In the meantime, here’s a golden oldie for you—and a special bonus is that it has nothing whatsoever to do with the campaign of 2008.

HO JO’S NO GO

I heard it on my car radio this evening while I was driving. I don’t even know what they were saying about it—I just caught some fleeting mention of the name, and something about it being the last one in Maine.

The last what in Maine? The last Howard Johnson’s restaurant. Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | 13 Replies

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