It’s just a circuit court, and might be overruled, but the Virginia gerrymander vote has been declared unconstitutional

The New Neo Posted on by

It’s a start:

A circuit court in Virginia just ruled that the newly passed but incredibly biased gerrymandered congressional map is unconstitutional.

Former Virginia attorney general and Homeland Security official Ken Cuccinelli II posted on X Wednesday about the gerrymandered map, “UPDATE on referendum lawsuits: The Tazewell Circuit Court just ruled the referendum unconstitutional. The Judge entered an injunction blocking certification of the election & denied a motion to stay pending appeal. A final order will be entered once drafted, & it will be immediately appealed.”

It sure will. The Virginia Supreme Court refused to rule on the vote in advance, but now they will almost certainly need to do so. Of course, it will be more difficult to say it’s unconstitutional once “the people have spoken.” Difficult, but not impossible. It sounds to me like a timid court, though. Will the case ultimately be heard by SCOTUS?

I wonder who in Iran made this decision, and why

The New Neo Posted on by

An announcement from Trump:

President Trump on Wednesday said Iran will not executive eight Iranian women accused being involved in protests against the regime, as previously planned.

“Very good news! I have just been informed that the eight women protestors who were going to be executed tonight in Iran will no longer be killed,” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post.

The president said four of the women will be immediately released and the four others will be sentenced to one month in prison, a day after he urged the Islamic Republic to halt their executions.

Perhaps the regime never intended to go through with it in the first place. Now they get to look so very magnanimous.

There is no reason to trust them on anything, period.

[ADDENDUM: Ace writes about some Iranian attacks on ships going through the Strait, as well as the sparing of the eight women. First, on the women:

Iran can take an infinite number of its own people hostage and then release them as a “concession.

Exactly; they are hostages, and Iran is completely in control of their apprehension and their release. What a fun game.

Plus, on the ships:

Iran is attacking shipping. This is not them saying “SOS.” This is Iran attacking shipping.

Yes, they are collapsing financially — but that will take a while. In the meantime, they’re attacking shipping, and for some reason, we’re not blowing up their attack boats.

Because of the “cease-fire” that only we are observing.

Why are we not attacking the fast attack boats? Why are we not dropping air-burst bombs over their harbors?

I think we will be. But I’m not sure, and I agree with Ace that at this point our forbearance seems ridiculous. However, there may be things going on behind the scenes of which I’m unaware: time for assets to get into place (either ours or Israel’s), or perhaps some machinations regarding the Gulf States.]

The significance of the Virginia redistricting vote

The New Neo Posted on by

Yesterday I wrote a post on the results of the Virginia referendum, and I have more to say today.

But first I’ll quote commenter “JohnTyler” on the subject:

This Virginia redistricting is just a preliminary event and demonstrates, yet again, that demonkrats play hardball and they will do absolutely anything to gain and retain power.

When the Dems take Congress and the presidency they will pack the SCOTUS, bring in PR and DC as states, formally allow non-citizens to vote in any and all elections, open up the borders to allow in millions of illegals, get rid of the filibuster, arrest and indict Trump and any of his main supporters, totally nationalize health care, “informally” declare that Israel is a pariah state, re-establish US /Iranian relations as it was during the Obama era, etc. etc.

It will be a bloodless coup d’etat, because the constitution will be totally ignored as a result of the packing of the SCOTUS; imagine a bunch of Justice Jacksons on the court.

But hey, it’s up to the voters and it is the voters that will destroy our constitutional republic.

California, NYC and Chicago are just mini-examples of what will occur in the USA when the demonrats take power.

Except for the fact that I don’t use words like “demonrats,” I’m in agreement and have been saying it for many years. Leftists are True Believers and fanatics and one of the things in which they believe is that the ends justify the means. “The ends” equal permanent power for themselves.

Another True Believer – although in a different, strangely related, cause – is Erdogan of Turkey, who famously said:

Democracy is like a tram. You ride it until you arrive at your destination, then you step off.

That tram route can include fraudulent votes and misleading wording for a referendum such as the one in Virginia. And the stepping-off doesn’t have to be overt, because once the game is rigged, and then non-Democrats of the state are disenfranchised, you can stay on the tram indefinitely.

That’s been obvious about the Democrats for many many years, at least fifteen and probably many more. After the 2020 election, I thought it all would happen. But the Democrat majority in the Senate was small enough that Sinema and Manchin were able to thwart the plans. Now they’re gone and it’s the GOP with the tiny majority and people such as Murkowski to do the blocking. Plus, the GOP is not as fanatically devoted to bending the rules nor as united in aims.

What happened in Virginia? I see a lot of comments around the blogosphere from people on the right (or perhaps concern trolls) saying the Republicans did nothing to stop this. Well, they obviously didn’t do enough. But they didn’t do nothing. In my previous post on the subject, I wrote about the GOP lawsuit that failed when the Virginia Supreme Court refused to rule until the vote had occurred. In addition, there are allegations about fraudulent mail-in ballots in Fairfax County putting the Democrats over the top at the last minute; I have no idea if it’s true but I assume that even if it is it can’t be proven.

Plus:

Once the Democrats decided to set up this referendum to allow a bare majority of voters to permit the overturning of an amendment establishing a bipartisan redistricting body, and once the Virginia Supreme Court allowed the referendum vote to go forward despite a GOP challenge, what could the GOP do? I don’t think more money was the answer, although it wouldn’t have hurt. But at the moment, the reality is that Democrats hold the majority in Virginia – or effectively control the vote even if they don’t, because they control the populous counties and the voting process there.

Trump pauses the bombs but continues the blockade

The New Neo Posted on by

The responses to this message of Trump’s are brutal – lots of accusations of cowardice and the usual TACO stuff:

It may be that the economic approach will bear some fruit. Interesting observation here:

You might think that Iran would be happy after President Donald Trump announced that he would be continuing the ceasefire until their proposal is submitted and discussions are concluded.

But they actually seem very mad about the ceasefire being extended.

Why? Because the blockade continues. Just because they aren’t having bombs dropped on them doesn’t mean they aren’t still getting choked out by the blockade.

From Scott Bessent:

“In a matter of days, Kharg Island storage will be full and the fragile Iranian oil wells will be shut in. Constraining Iran’s maritime trade directly targets the regime’s primary revenue lifelines.

“The @USTreasury will continue to apply maximum pressure through Economic Fury to systematically degrade Tehran’s ability to generate, move, and repatriate funds. Any person or vessel facilitating these flows—through covert trade and finance—risks exposure to U.S. sanctions. We continue to freeze the funds stolen by the corrupt leadership on behalf of the people of Iran.”

I don’t pretend to be able to predict what will happen.

[NOTE: Tomorrow or the next day I hope to write some longer reflections on the dilemmas presented by this war.]

Virginia Democrats vote for the mother of all gerrymanders

The New Neo Posted on by

They tried it because they’re about grabbing power by hook or by crook, and they succeeded:

Virginia voters went to the polls Tuesday to vote on a referendum that would empower the Democrat-controlled state legislature to redraw the commonwealth’s congressional map.

The vote was in favor, and this means that according to the plan the number of Democrat to Republican districts in the state will change from 6-5 to 10-1. The 6:5 ratio pretty much reflected the actual proportions of Democrats to Republicans in the state, whereas 10:1 is ridiculously skewed. But only the courts could stop this now. The legal challenge:

The case centers on whether lawmakers violated the Virginia Constitution by keeping the special session open for nearly two years to pass the redistricting measure, a move critics say was an abuse of legislative authority. …

Democrats have argued to the Supreme Court that the General Assembly has broad constitutional authority to manage its own legislative sessions and procedures, including extending a special session, and that nothing in the Virginia Constitution explicitly prohibits how this particular session was handled.

The Honest Elections Project’s brief argues otherwise.

“If you look at what the law requires, it’s very clear that Governor Spanberger and her allies are steamrolling the process to try to launch a power grab,” Snead said.

The Democrats in Virginia are saying “the Republicans made us do it!” – arguing this is only a response to GOP efforts at redisticting.

More:

The [Virginia] Supreme Court decided in March to allow the referendum vote to move forward while it considers Republicans’ arguments challenging how the map amendment was passed by way of a special session.

“It is the process, not the outcome, of this effort that we may ultimately have to address,” the state’s highest court found. “Issuing an injunction to keep Virginians from the polls is not the proper way to make this decision.”

But an ounce of prevention would have been worth a lot of cure. Perhaps the Court hoped the populace would vote against it, and then the Court wouldn’t even have to rule. Now, of course, do they vote to undo the will of the people? I doubt it; here’s why:

Political and legal experts in Virginia agree the state Supreme Court is not overtly ideological, with many describing it as “small-c conservative,” leaning heavily on tradition and precedent rather than handing down ideologically right-wing rulings. And many observers say the court is wary of wading too heavily into political fights. But this time, it’s unavoidable.

“It’s kind of a state Supreme Court tradition to stay away from political matters whenever they can. They like to leave the legislating to the legislature. …

Virginia is one of only two states where the legislature elects Supreme Court justices. Because the state has had divided control for much of the past quarter century, the balance of the court’s justices were appointed by bipartisan compromise. The court’s current seven members include one justice who was elected when Democrats had sole control of the General Assembly, three when Republicans controlled both chambers and three when control of the legislature was split.

Some further background:

While state legislatures can redraw congressional maps in some states, Virginia voters in 2020 approved a constitutional amendment that created a bipartisan commission to draw their state’s map. Tuesday’s referendum set aside the current maps drawn up by the commission, replacing them with maps that were drawn by the Democratic-controlled General Assembly. The previous system will be put back in place after the 2030 census.

It’s so transparently unfair, basically disenfranchising nearly half the state. But it might be allowed to proceed. Would the case then end up in the US Supreme Court?

Iran pause

The New Neo Posted on by

I had in mind a longish post on Iran, but various obligations have intervened for a few hours in the real as opposed to virtual world. So this is a post for you to discuss Iran and related subjects.

I still do plan to write a post this evening, on this and perhaps one other topic. So please stay tuned.

Alan Dershowitz, Republican: the Senate vote on Israel

The New Neo Posted on by

I actually didn’t think Dershowitz would make an announcement that he’d become a Republican, although he’d already left the Democrats and become an Independent a couple of years ago. I thought he’d live out his remaining days as an Independent, but no:

Dershowitz announced his decision in a Wall Street Journal article, clarifying that while he maintains significant disagreements with Republicans on various domestic issues, his commitment to the State of Israel determined his final choice. According to Israel National News, the move marks the completion of a transition that began in 2024 when he initially registered as an independent.

The legal expert offered a sharp critique of his former party, describing it as the most anti-Israel party seen in the United States since he joined in the 1960s. He specifically pointed to a recent Senate vote where a majority of Democrats supported resolutions introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders to block arms sales to Israel. Dershowitz noted that only seven Democratic senators voted against the effort to freeze weapons shipments.

I’ve noticed a lot of negative response from the right, not just here (although some here) but on other blogs and other comment sections in news outlets. It takes various forms. The first is that he still is a Democrat and only did this because of Israel, and the second is, what took him so long? To both I say: change is hard and often incomplete. Big deal; I applaud him, because I know how hard it is.

Dershowitz has been a devoted Democratic his entire life until recently and a prominent and active one at that, and he’s 87 years old. He’s also been a principled Democrat, applying law evenly to both sides for the most part in his columns, which is highly unusual. He demonstrated bravery in speaking against the Trump impeachment in January of 2020, while still a Democrat. And yes, he’s an observant Jew to whom Israel does mean a great deal, and rightly so.

The third critique I’ve seen from the right goes like this: what difference does it make; his fellow Jews are still Democrats. I’ve dealt with that question (the politics of US Jews) many times before, for example here as well as here, here, and here. So no need to repeat myself.

As for the vote against arming Israel, with only seven Democrat senators failing to join, it’s another example – as though we needed more – of how morally bankrupt that party is. Morally bankrupt, but unfortunately not politically bankrupt. I shudder to contemplate the fact that they may do very well in the midterms.

Who were the seven? One you could almost certainly have predicted: John Fetterman of Pennsylvania. The others: Chuck Schumer, New York; Richard Blumenthal, Connecticut; Jacky Rosen, Nevada; Chris Coons, Delaware; Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada; Kirsten Gillibrand, New York.

For a while now, Israel has realized it must free itself from any dependence on any country for its armaments. It’s too bad, because the US gets as much out of the deal as Israel does. But it needs to be done, because if the Democrats come to power they will stab Israel in the back when it needs help. This war is an existential one for Israel and it must depend on itself; that was already clear and now it’s even more so.

Those voter rolls

The New Neo Posted on by

It seems to me that this lawsuit by the DOJ has merit. Of course, it depends what judge hears it:

The Justice Department filed lawsuits Tuesday against six blue states: Delaware, Maryland, New Mexico, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington, accusing them of violating federal law by refusing to provide statewide voter registration rolls upon request.

The complaints, filed by the DOJ’s Civil Rights Division, argue the states failed to meet their legal obligations under the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA), the Help America Vote Act (HAVA) and the Civil Rights Act of 1960, three federal statutes that require states to maintain accurate voter rolls and make those records available for inspection.

Attorney General Pam Bondi said state refusals to disclose the lists undermine the transparency and accountability those laws were designed to guarantee.

Can’t argue with that. Except that of course these states will. They also are probably counting on the legal proceedings taking long enough that even a decision in the DOJ’s favor would not be implemented in time for the midterms.

I also suspect that, if somehow the SAVE Act is passed before the midterms – unlikely, but theoretically possible – legal challenges might hold it up so that it could not go into effect for the midterms.

Iran roundup

The New Neo Posted on by

A roundup seems like the only way to deal with the recent Iran news after a day off. Of course, it’s sometimes hard to tell if a story is true or not, and which “experts” to follow. But hey, I have to try, right? So here goes:

(1) Who’s in charge in Iran? We don’t know, but here’s an article on what some “analysts” say:

IRGC Commander Maj. Gen. Ahmad Vahidi and members of his inner circle have allegedly taken charge of the Islamic republic, as evident by Iran’s attacks on ships trying to sail through the Strait of Hormuz and Tehran’s refusal to join peace talks with the US this week, the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW) think tank said.

The sudden shift to a hardline stance also shows that more moderate members of Iran’s leadership, including Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Abbas Araghchi, have been sidelined.

Haven’t most of us assumed right along that the IRGC has been in charge, although splintered, and that there are rival groups participating in the negotiations, plus that there probably are various other groups vying for control? It doesn’t take specialists to figure that out.

And I’m no expert, but I’ve never believed the IRGC will negotiate, and certainly not in good faith.

(2) Our ambassador to the UN, Mike Waltz, has this to say:

“I promise you, I assure you the United States doesn’t trust anything; any agreement that comes out will have to be verifiable and enforceable.” As U.S. ambassador to the UN, Waltz noted, “the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) and its nuclear inspectors…will be a key part” of any final resolution with Iran.

He said Pres.Trump has more tools available for the military to employ in the Strait to continue the blockade, and any ceasefire extension is up to the president …

On Sunday, the host asked Waltz what the U.S. and the president are prepared to do, if Iran does not sign on to an agreement. In this longer clip, he did not mince words, saying “all options are on the table” …

(3) And this may end up being of vital importance:

Late last week, Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent announced another turning of the screws by the U.S. in addition to the blockade and devastating bombings — economic pressure via what the administration is calling “Operation Economic Fury.” Freezing assets, including bank accounts, of top Iranian regime and IRGC figures, with the help of Iran’s neighbors in the Gulf states.

(4) The US Navy has seized an Iranian ship:

Today, an Iranian-flagged cargo ship named TOUSKA, nearly 900 feet long and weighing almost as much as an aircraft carrier, tried to get past our Naval Blockade, and it did not go well for them. The U.S. Navy Guided Missile Destroyer USS SPRUANCE intercepted the TOUSKA in the Gulf of Oman, and gave them fair warning to stop. The Iranian crew refused to listen, so our Navy ship stopped them right in their tracks by blowing a hole in the engineroom. Right now, U.S. Marines have custody of the vessel. The TOUSKA is under U.S. Treasury Sanctions because of their prior history of illegal activity. We have full custody of the ship, and are seeing what’s on board! President DONALD J. TRUMP”

From CENTCOM:

Guided-missile destroyer USS Spruance (DDG 111) intercepted M/V Touska as it transited the north Arabian Sea at 17 knots enroute to Bandar Abbas, Iran. American forces issued multiple warnings and informed the Iranian-flagged vessel it was in violation of the U.S. blockade.

After Touska’s crew failed to comply with repeated warnings over a six-hour period, Spruance directed the vessel to evacuate its engine room. Spruance disabled Touska’s propulsion by firing several rounds from the destroyer’s 5-inch MK 45 Gun into Touska’s engine room. U.S. Marines from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit later boarded the non-compliant vessel, which remains in U.S. custody.

(5) Commenter “CICERO” raises this issue:

Trump wants Iran (whoever, matters not) to surrender to the US all of Iran’s enriched uranium. Trouble is, Mr President, it is stored in underground sites which have bomb-blocked enrances per your command, so Iran cannot cough the uranium up on demand.

But if Iran can’t do it, they can allow us to do the honors. See these remarks:

[Dr. Matthew Bunn:] This is the Isfahan nuclear facility deep in Iran’s desert. Under this mountain, international inspectors say most of Iran’s HEU is stored in scuba tank sized containers. It’s believed those containers are in tunnels so far below ground, America’s bunker busting bombs may not be able to reach them.

Satellite images show in the weeks leading up to this current war, the Iranians blocked the tunnel entrances with dirt. Two weeks ago, images showed roadblocks. Nuclear analysts say it suggests Tehran is concerned about a U.S. or Israeli raid on the facility. …

… U.S. Special Forces have been training for deep underground facilities of one kind or another for a long, long, long time. …

Nuclear analysts have become increasingly concerned about another site in Iran, known as Pickaxe Mountain. Satellite images from February show an entrance to what’s believed to be a massive nuclear facility deep under solid rock. …

[Scott Roecker:] If there was a deal between the United States and Iran for the United States to take possession of that material it would be the National Nuclear Security Administration that would lead that effort. …

Roecker used lessons learned from Project Sapphire to remove nuclear material from countries around the world and ship it to the U.S. for safekeeping. So far the NNSA has removed more than 16,000 pounds of HEU.

There was agreement in place with the countries. And so that’s a really key fact here. You wanna have a willing partner who’s working with you hand in hand.

The article spends a lot of time talking about how difficult it would be to accomplish this without Iran’s cooperation – not necessarily impossible, but unprecedented. Of course, that’s why Trump wants a deal.