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A blog about political change, among other things

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A novel approach to the border

The New Neo Posted on December 1, 2018 by neoDecember 1, 2018

Just say “no.”.

That doesn’t mean it’s over, of course. Not by a longshot. But if you reward bad behavior you get more of it.

See also this.

Posted in Immigration, Latin America | 3 Replies

RIP, George H. W. Bush

The New Neo Posted on December 1, 2018 by neoDecember 1, 2018

The 41st president of the US, George Herbert Walker Bush, has died.

There’s no surprise there. He was 94 years old, had been in failing health for many years, and had lost his wife of 73 years, Barbara, just eight months ago. He’d lived a long, fulfilling, and very full life.

When he was president I wasn’t particularly involved in politics; I was involved in being a mother raising my family. I was also a Democrat and Bush was a Republican. But when I look back now on that time I think of him as a president from another era entirely, one that took place much longer ago than that, and I find that I get more nostalgic about it than I would have thought.

Polite, patrician, and moderate, if he inspired little love from the public he also inspired little hate. But I’m not going to write a summary of the high and low points of his presidency or his life; I’ll leave that to others. I’ll just point out this quote from the NY Times:

Admonished by his mother against self-promotion, Mr. Bush, an inveterate note writer, in his clipped diction avoided the first person singular pronoun.

That one sentence tells us how much the times have changed since then. The last two presidents have certainly not “avoided the first person singular pronoun”—au contraire. And I’m going to assume that will be true of presidents from now into the foreseeable future.

RIP, George H. W. Bush.

Posted in People of interest, Politics | 24 Replies

Busy day

The New Neo Posted on November 30, 2018 by neoDecember 1, 2018

Family stuff today. I’ll be posting more this evening.

UPDATE: Sorry, got back too late. See you tomorrow!

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Replies

Earthquake in Alaska

The New Neo Posted on November 30, 2018 by neoNovember 30, 2018

A large earthquake has been reported somewhat to the north of Anchorage, occurring at 8:30 AM local time (that’s 12:30 PM Eastern). Highways and buildings have sustained damage, but the extent is not yet clear.

This is a developing story. The reported magnitude keeps changing, but right now it’s said to have been 7.0.

Posted in Uncategorized | 13 Replies

If war is not the answer, what is?

The New Neo Posted on November 30, 2018 by neoNovember 30, 2018

I noticed on yesterday’s Merkel thread that commenter “huxley” mentioned the old pacifist saying “War never solved anything,” adding that, “What leftie-pacifists really mean is ‘War doesn’t solve everything.’”

Indeed.

Which reminded me that I’d written a post on the subject back in 2007, and I thought it might be time to revisit it. So here it is again, very slightly edited.

You’ve all seen those posters and bumper stickers: “War is not the answer.”

You’ve also seen discussions of why those sporting them are incorrect; war has solved some things and provided answers to certain questions—such as whether, for example, there would be a 1000-year Reich.

I’ve spent some time puzzling over the use of the “war is not the answer” mantra. For some people—the less thoughtful—I think it’s merely a kneejerk catch phrase, a method to decorate a car in a way that says, “I’m a good person, not a bloodthirsty sonofabitch like those who advocate war.” This group (and I have no idea what percentage of the whole it might represent) has no particular understanding of history, especially the history of warfare, and no real thought about the limitations of the perfectibility of human nature.

And then there are those who really don’t have much interest in pacifism, but have an ultra-Leftist political agenda that an alliance with pacifists serves. These people see pacifists as a subset of the category “useful idiots” that they’ve found so very helpful over time.

That leaves us with the third category, the one that interests me most, the committed and relatively thoughtful and well-meaning people who sustain a hope that, although war will sometimes happen, they can promote a set of programs that will lead to a world in which war will be resorted to less and less. I will summarize their position by saying that, although they understand that war sometimes has provided short-term answers to certain questions (such as the one posited above about the Third Reich), it has never provided a long-term answer to the problem of human intra-species aggression on a large scale, and each war has introduced new problems in its wake that lead to further war.

In other words, when members of this third group say “War is not the answer” their accent is on the word “the.” War isn’t the final answer to the problems of human conflict, and although it may appear to solve some things, other problems are bound to arise that will lead to future wars.

Well, excuse me but: duh. Or to put it more politely: there are no solutions to the problem of human conflict that will eliminate the need for force at times, just as there are virtually no large-scale societies that can do away with police or prisons.

The advent of the atomic age gave pacifists—and their hopes for a way to end war—a boost, and understandably so. As dreadful as war has been in the first half of the twentieth century, with the invention of nuclear weapons it became far worse to contemplate. Early on in the atomic age the hope was that nations would be sane enough that the prospect of mutually assured destruction would be a powerful deterrent to any war, and that therefore—paradoxically—the very power of the weapons would be the reason they were unlikely to be used in the future.

Amazingly enough, so far that hope has been borne out; Hiroshima and Nagasaki are still both the first and the last times nuclear weapons have actually been detonated on a populace.

But that does not mean war has ended; sub-atomic conflicts have regularly sprung up around the world, and many of those are presently of the asymmetrical variety, involving terrorism and/or guerilla warfare and insurgencies. Another common type of war in recent times has been the internecine inter-tribal, inter-ethnic, and/or inter-religious conflicts of the third world, particularly Africa.

As for nuclear weapons, unfortunately they have recently become tools that seem more likely to be used. We now have an enemy who is less obviously interested in life than in death, and motivated at least in part by apocalyptic religious thinking (example: Iran). We also have another and related enemy that is not a state and therefore has no nation of people to protect, would be difficult to trace a bomb back to, and is driven by the same aforementioned religious motivation and otherwordly emphasis, (examples: al Qaeda and its spawn).

All of this fuels the depth of the desire to find an alternative to war—an alternative that provides not only “an” answer, but “the” answer, in a way that war never can. If you go to websites that promote pacifism, such as this one run by a Quaker lobby, you’ll find attempts to explain what that alternative solution should be [NOTE: unfortunately that link is now dead].

What you find there, of course, is not “the” answer, either. This is no surprise, because if you hold the more tragic (and, I believe, more realistic) view of human nature that I happen to hold, then you’re not looking for “the” answer, because you believe there never can be one.

There’s really nothing so terribly wrong with the “solutions” offered there (except for reliance on the corrupt and/or incompetent UN), at least as far as they go, which isn’t all that far. But let’s not fool ourselves. Pope John Paul II negotiating a deal between Argentina and Chile over the Beagle Channel, or a social service society soothing the seething shantytowns of Ahmedabad in India through street plays and festivals—laudable though such things may be—aren’t about to give us “the answer.”

Prevention is wonderful, and I’m all for it. It’s good to exercise aerobically, to eat healthfully, try to avoid carcinogens, and to get your vaccinations. The disease model dictates, however, that although an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure, human beings rarely follow all the rules, and even those who do can end up with the shock of cancer or some other dread disease. When that happens, cure is worth many ounces of prevention, because prevention is no longer possible. And treatment must occur quickly.

Does that mean that someone who is diagnosed with cancer should give up practicing good health habits? Of course not; the two—prevention and treatment—work in tandem, and healthful practices can make treatment more effective. That’s why the “treatment” known as war does not preclude peace efforts such as those described on the Quaker website, as well.

War as a treatment? Yes—an exceptionally drastic one that should only be resorted to when there are no good alternatives, or when time has run out on the ones that might have worked in the past (the problem, of course, is deciding when that has happened). And like all drastic treatments it has many side effects, and can backfire and cause worse problems than those it attempts to address.

With war, every now and then there’s a cure, of course—World War II as a “cure” for Nazism, for example (although of course small pockets of that particular disease remain). But although World War II “cured” Nazism on a worldwide basis, the side effects were profound and devastating, and its aftermath fostered the growth of another already-existing disease: Communism.

Yes, indeed, war is not the answer to the problems that bring about armed conflict, and war is probably the least benign “treatment” on earth. But when prevention (and our very incomplete knowledge of how to accomplish it) has failed, sometimes it’s the only answer.

Posted in Pacifism, War and Peace | 36 Replies

The rise of the loud restaurant

The New Neo Posted on November 29, 2018 by neoNovember 29, 2018

Here’s an Atlantic article that discusses the rise and current ubiquity of something I’ve hated for a long time—the loud restaurant.

So loud you really can’t have conversation successfully—and to me conversation is a big part of the enjoyment of eating out.

It’s an interesting article, and author Kate Wagner goes into many aspects of how the phenomenon happened and why it happened. I’m in a hurry today and only had time to skim the piece, but in my brief look at it I didn’t see her raise a point I always thought was the main reason (besides the modern preference for clean unfussy lines) for loud restaurants: a widespread belief that noisy restaurants make people feel like they’re in a festive, trendy, lively, fun place.

I’ve long thought that most restaurant owners and designers nowadays purposely choose to have their restaurants be very noisy, the better to promote that perception of liveliness and trendiness. In addition, if a restaurant’s acoustics make it too loud to hear what a companion is saying, people have a good excuse for not saying much and still feeling they’re in a place that’s full of life and conversation.

Posted in Me, myself, and I, Pop culture | 45 Replies

Dershowitz says a Mueller firing would not be an impeachable offense

The New Neo Posted on November 29, 2018 by neoNovember 29, 2018

Alan Dershowitz keeps walking a lonely road as one of the few true liberals out there, trying to apply basic principles to cases no matter who might be involved and whether he, Dershowitz, happens to like that person or not. But Dershowitz stands more and more alone in the party he keeps insisting he belongs to, the Democrats.

Dershowitz has been reiterating what he’s said before:

“First of all, firing the special counsel would not be an impeachable offense because it wouldn’t be a crime,” Dershowitz said. “The president would have authority to do it. It would be politically very damaging to do it.”

The entire video at the link is worth listening to; Dershowitz makes several other points that all boil down to fairness and the pursuit of truth.

Regarding Dershowitz’s opinion on impeachment, it strikes me (and not for the first time) that the legal points he’s making are irrelevant to today’s current Democratic Party, which is all about power. They can impeach a president for anything they want, if they have the votes, because the bottom line is that impeachment is a political act although it has a legal framework. It is much more political than an ordinary legal proceeding, because the rules are much more vague, and the body making the decision is the US Congress (House for impeachment by simple majority, and Senate for conviction by super-majority). If Dershowitz thinks the politicians involved are interested in such niceties as whether a certain act is a crime or not, I’d say he’s got another think coming.

And of course, if deemed necessary, there is no problem whatsoever in getting an entire phalanx of legal scholars on the left to say that firing Mueller (or just about anything else Trump might do) would be an impeachable crime.

Posted in Law, Politics, Trump | 17 Replies

The “migrants” and nationalism: Angela Merkel speaks

The New Neo Posted on November 29, 2018 by neoNovember 29, 2018

Angela Merkel gave an uncharacteristically impassioned speech about a subject dear to her heart: “migration” policy. Merkel was defending Germany’s support of the UN-backed Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration, which has been rejected by the United States, Hungary, Austria, Israel, Australia and Poland, and which certain political factions in Germany are questioning, as well.

The agreement would be non-binding, so it’s hard to know in what way it would really be enforced. It seems to me mostly a declaration of intent, but an important one to Merkel, which is no surprise given her influential legacy in terms of immigration policy not just for Germany but for the EU as a whole.

Here’s one of the most quoted statements from her speech:

…Merkel trained her sights on “those who believe they can solve all problems on their own and only have to think of themselves — that’s nationalism in its purest form, not patriotism.”

That’s a strawman, of course. I cannot think of a single country that believes it can “solve all problems” on its own, a country that is so isolated that it doesn’t have multiple treaties, trade agreements, and all sorts of relations with other countries.

What’s more, there are some problems that countries must solve on their own. One happens to be setting the rules about who it lets in and who it bans, for what purposes and for how long, and how to go about defending its own borders. After all, what makes a nation a nation in the first place? Each nation decides on a form of government, of course, as well as how to pass laws and finance that government, but one of the clearest and most important tasks of any nation is defending its boundaries by making decisions about entry, immigration, and citizenship.

A nation without defined and defended boundaries is not a nation. Instead, it’s an undefined geographic area that is at the mercy of other nations to define it. If a nation surrenders its right to make the rules about its own boundaries and who will live within them as citizen or as temporary visitor, than the nation is no longer a nation because other people and other nations will decide on its makeup and population.

But protecting its own borders and its own definition of citizenry and how to achieve it is not the sort of problem-solving Merkel has in mind. I think the following is very telling:

…Merkel warned against thinking that migration is an issue “that one country can solve on its own.”

But of course migration is not an issue any one nation can solve on its own. Migration occurs all over the globe for a wide variety of reasons by a wide variety of people. But most countries are not trying to solve the general problem of migration. They are trying to solve a rather different problem: who to let into their own country.

The leaders around the world who object to the UN agreement are quite clear about what they see as the threat of agreeing to it: the surrender of their sovereign right to make such decisions as a nation. They consider that right to be a feature, whereas Merkel and those who agree with her consider it a bug.

For example, Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison had this to say:

“The global compact on migration would compromise Australia’s interest,” Morrison told 2GB Radio. “It doesn’t distinguish between those who illegally enter Australia and those who come the right way.”

And Israel’s Netanyahu said:

“I have instructed the Foreign Ministry to announce that Israel will not accede to, and will not sign, the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration,” the prime minister said. “We are committed to guarding our borders against illegal migrants. This is what we have done, and this is what we will continue to do.”

Trump has already spoken on the subject:

“We recognize the right of every nation in this room to set its own immigration policy in accordance with its national interests, just as we ask other countries to respect our own right to do the same – which we are doing,” he said. “That is one reason the United States will not participate in the new Global Compact on Migration. Migration should not be governed by an international body unaccountable to our own citizens. Ultimately, the only long-term solution to the migration crisis is to help people build more hopeful futures in their home countries. Make their countries great again.”

This seems completely obvious, and not too long ago would have had the support of the vast majority of people not just in the US but all over the world. No more.

[NOTE: Please see this previous post of mine for more about nationalism and some of the background to the post-WWII movement against it in Europe. For example, compare Merkel’s speech to this excerpt from author Thomas Mann’s 1947 introduction to Herman Hesse’s (both Germans) novel Demian:

If today, when national individualism lies dying, when no single problem can any longer be solved from a purely national point of view, when everything connected with the “fatherland” has become stifling provincialism and no spirit that does not represent the European tradition as a whole any longer merits consideration…

Sounds like Merkel, doesn’t it, just expressed a bit more elegantly?]

Posted in Immigration | 30 Replies

Old wall, new wall

The New Neo Posted on November 28, 2018 by neoNovember 28, 2018

Apparently the stretch of wall near San Diego that’s been built to new specifications was an area the caravaners did not successfully scale:

When it’s finished, the new section of border wall near San Diego will replace about 14 miles of an 8- to 10-foot-high scrap metal wall with an 18- to 30-foot bollard-style wall topped off with an “anti-climbing plate,” CBP announced earlier this year.

I assume there’s a way to climb or tunnel under any wall. But that’s no reason not to make it more difficult to do.

Meanwhile, protestors send the message “Let them all in.” That’s part of the open-borders movement—recall that the caravan was funded and promoted by a leftist group whose name translates as People Without Borders.

And a showdown in Congress is on the horizon:

“We need Democrat votes to have a wall,” the president stated, according to the WaPo. “Now, if we don’t get it, will I get it done another way? I might get it done another way. There are other potential ways that I can do it. You saw what we did with the military, just coming in with the barbed wire and the fencing, and various other things.”

What will the Democrats do? For that matter, what will the Republicans do?

Posted in Immigration | 20 Replies

Why the MSM couldn’t resist the Manafort/Assange story

The New Neo Posted on November 28, 2018 by neoNovember 28, 2018

If you blinked, you might have missed it, but the left-wing rag known as the Guardian published a bombshell story yesterday about a secret meeting between Manafort and Assange, and then slowly and stealthily crept the story back.

Everyone fingered in the story denies it most vociferously. Assange is threatening to sue. The Ecuadorian embassy in London, where the meeting supposedly occurred, has no logs of it.

Otherwise, no problem.

And even the Guardian has now introduced hedge-y language into the story to establish plausible deniability.

But perhaps the writers and editors at the paper aren’t as negligent as they might seem. I used to ask the question “fool or knave?” when this sort of thing happened. But in recent years I’ve come to think that it’s not all that relevant, because it’s pretty obvious that the MSM is more than willing to publish many stories with knowledge of their sketchiness (or even their downright falsehood) because the price they pay for this is low and the rewards are high.

If reporters see themselves first and foremost as warriors in the fight against the evil right (and the evil Trump, of course), then all news is only as good as its propaganda value. True or false, if it reaches a large audience it affects that audience, even if the story is later shown to be false. The mental seed is planted, and for many many readers the correction never comes. Which is all to the good if journalists see their role as Speaking a Greater Truth than Truth Itself.

Posted in Press | 17 Replies

And the Mississippi run-off election for senator goes to…

The New Neo Posted on November 28, 2018 by neoNovember 28, 2018

…Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith, as expected. Her victory brings the GOP Senate total to 53.

That’s good, because of the tendency of certain other Republican senators to bolt and to vote with the opposition.

But this particular race was a bit troubling nonetheless. First of all, the result will only last for two years, because Hyde-Smith is filling out the remaining term of the retired Thad Cochran. She will have to run again in 2020 if she wants to remain in the Senate.

The campaign also featured charges of racism against Hyde-Smith for things that seem more tone-deaf on her part than actually racist. But that’s what campaigns seem to have come down to in the 21st century. Just ask George Allen.

The final tally for Hyde-Smith vs. Espy was 54 to 46 in a state that Trump won by 18 points in 2016. That’s the sort of result we kept seeing in the 2018 midterms. Despite Trump’s relative unpopularity, many of the GOP’s candidates are even more unpopular in traditionally red states.

“Flawed candidates” is as good an explanation as any (although Trump was the original “flawed candidate”). It’s no wonder so many Republican candidates are flawed, though. Who would want to open themselves up to the combination of the Democratic Party, its donors, and the MSM in an all-out effort to search the Republican candidate’s entire past—everything that person has ever said or done, going back to childhood—for an Achilles heel or heels that can brand the candidate as a sexist or a racist or a rapist or some especially toxic combination of all three.

Posted in Election 2018, Race and racism | 14 Replies

Let’s hear it for orphanages

The New Neo Posted on November 28, 2018 by neoNovember 28, 2018

Orphanages have gotten a bad press for quite some time, but here’s a corrective that points out how often orhpanages have been either good experiences for their residents, or at least far better than many of the alternatives. Adoptive and foster homes are, after all, only as good as the parents involved in each placement.

I’ve long wondered about the kneejerk rejection of the entire idea of orphanages. Some have been quite literally life-savers and psyche-savers, although of course some have been abusive (just as foster families and adoptive families and birth families can be abusive). All else being equal, a family is better. But all else is not always equal (the following was written by a man who had a good experience growing up in an orphanage):

Beginning in the mid-1990s, I started surveying orphanage alumni from as many orphanages as I could find. I assumed initially that orphanage critics were likely right: “Orphanages were generally bad, but my orphanage was special”—or so I thought. After receiving more than 2,500 responses, I learned that my home was ordinary. An overwhelming majority (85 percent) of the surveyed alumni look back “favorably” or “very favorably” on their orphanage salad days. Only 2.3 percent of the alumni had hostile assessments.

Moreover, the alumni reported that they had done better than the general population on almost all measures, including education, income, attitude toward life, criminal records, psychological problems, unemployment, dependence on welfare, and happiness. For example, the alumni reported that they had an overall college graduation rate 39 percent higher than the general population in their age group (and the respondents, who lived an average of eight-plus years in their orphanages, were 56 to 97 years old, with a mean age of 68). They also reported 10 to 60 percent higher median incomes than those in their age cohort.

Other kinds of children’s institutions can work out well, too. One of the most famous alums of a group situation was the actor Steve McQueen. Possessed of not-exactly-symmetrical good looks, a coiled energy, and a sensitivity that was very magnetic, McQueen was not an orphan. But he had a troubled past that included these formative experiences:

At age 14 [McQueen] left [his great-uncle] Claude’s farm without saying goodbye and joined a circus for a short time, then drifted back to his mother and stepfather in Los Angeles – resuming his life as a gang member and petty criminal. McQueen was caught stealing hubcaps by the police and handed over to his stepfather, who beat him severely; ending the fight by throwing McQueen down a flight of stairs. McQueen looked up at his stepfather and said, “You lay your stinkin’ hands on me again and I swear, I’ll kill ya.”

After the incident McQueen’s stepfather persuaded his mother to sign a court order stating that McQueen was incorrigible, remanding him to the California Junior Boys Republic in Chino. Here, McQueen began to change and mature. He was not popular with the other boys at first: “Say the boys had a chance once a month to load into a bus and go into town to see a movie. And they lost out because one guy in the bungalow didn’t get his work done right. Well, you can pretty well guess they’re gonna have something to say about that. I paid my dues with the other fellows quite a few times. I got my lumps, no doubt about it. The other guys in the bungalow had ways of paying you back for interfering with their well-being.” Ultimately McQueen became a role model when he was elected to the Boys Council, a group who set the rules and regulations governing the boys’ lives. He eventually left the Boys Republic at age 16. When he later became famous he regularly returned to talk to the boys and retained a lifelong association.

McQueen wasn’t entirely out of the woods when he left the group home at the age of 16; as you can see if you read his Wiki entry, his tough-guy persona was no pose. Nor was Boys Republic a model institution, from the description given. But it offered McQueen an experience he never forgot, and one for which he remained grateful his entire life.

Posted in Education, People of interest | 14 Replies

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