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A blog about political change, among other things

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Happy Thanksgiving!

The New Neo Posted on November 22, 2018 by neoNovember 22, 2018

[NOTE: This is a repeat of a previous post]

I wish all of you a wonderful Thanksgiving. Here’s some corny American pictorial propaganda in honor of the occasion, one of my favorite holidays:

This painting was not originally created for the Thanksgiving holiday. It was part of Rockwell’s “Four Freedoms” series of 1941. Inspired by a post-Pearl Harbor speech of FDR’s about the war effort and why we were fighting, and designed to help sell war bonds, this particular one illustrated “Freedom from Want.”

So on this Thanksgiving Day I’ll reiterate the sentiment: may we all have freedom—of religion, of speech, from want, from fear.

Posted in Uncategorized | 25 Replies

Why did so many of the trees in Paradise survive the fire, when nearly all the homes were incinerated?

The New Neo Posted on November 21, 2018 by neoNovember 21, 2018

That question was asked recently several times on this blog, and this article provides a lucid answer.

I highly recommend the entire article. Since the November 8 fire, I’ve certainly learned far more about wildfires that threaten homes than I ever knew before. But that particular article is especially informative.

Here’s the part about the trees:

“[The Paradise fire] was an urban conflagration,” Pangburn [a member of the incident management team with the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection] said. “It was structure-to-structure-to-structure ignition that carried the fire through this community.”…

Fires that spread from house to house generate a force of their own. Embers, broadcast by the wind, find dry leaves, igniting one structure then another, and the cycle is perpetuated block after block. Break that cycle and the fire quits, and destruction can be minimized.

Paradise, though, never had that chance. Defensible space and hardened structures could not have kept the firestorm, carried on gusts clocking in the low 50s and feeding on the homes and low-lying vegetation, from reducing the town to ash…

Most telling were the trees. Most of the pines that sheltered this community still had their canopies intact. The needles, yellowed from the intense heat, were not burned — evidence that the winds that morning had pushed the fire along so fast it never had a chance to rise into the trees. But as a surface fire, it lit up the homes that lay in its path.

“I don’t know if there was anything that could have been done to save Paradise,” Pangburn said. “It was some of the most intense fire behavior that I have ever witnessed.”

There is so much more in the article, with many suggestions for how communities should be built based on what we’ve learned from fires in recent years, that I can only repeat my recommendation that you read the whole thing.

Posted in Disaster, Science | 42 Replies

Keys to Democratic success

The New Neo Posted on November 21, 2018 by neoNovember 21, 2018

I wasn’t particularly surprised at the results of the recent election. They were predicted, although not every exact detail. Probably none of you were really surprised, either.

But on another level I continue to be surprised at how many people seem to think the direction in which the Democratic Party is going now is just peachy keen. And yet I also know that I shouldn’t be at all surprised, because some of the reasons for it are glaringly obvious.

The first reason states the positives of what the Democrats offer: they promise “free” stuff to people who really do need it or who feel they need it. That has obvious appeal to the people who get the stuff, and that appeal doesn’t need explaining. But the approach also has great attractiveness to many of the people who will pay for the stuff. What do they get out of it? The feeling of being good and generous people, concerned with the welfare of others—unlike those mean and uncaring Republicans who are not good people at all. The approach also appeals to academics and intellectuals because they think they’ll be the ones to design the welfare state with their superior knowledge.

The second reason states the negatives of what Democrats say Republicans offer: racism and bigotry. The left has successfully managed to brand the right, even the moderate right—in fact, any Republican, particularly in what the left likes to call “the age of Trump,” as though he’s a dictator—as racist. With the ever-expanding definition of racism these days, they can include as racist those laws that—for completely unintended reasons, even if applied even-handedly—happen to fall disproportionately on minorities. And they can include as racist any criticism of a minority person, however justified and however much evidence is presented. When everything’s a dog whistle, the air is thick with racism.

The actual consequences of a given policy in the real world, and the fact that most people in both parties want the common good and just have different ideas about methods to achieve it, has gotten lost. Now we have a titanic and Manichean battle between the forces of good and the forces of evil.

That’s also why it’s important to the left to brand all people on the right who happen to be members of a minority group as betrayers of their own race (and thus, in a sense, racists themselves) and/or as inauthentic members of their own race. A black Republican is, to the left, an oxymoron—or at least must be presented as one. Such a person is a living breathing refutation of the “Republicans are racists” message, and therefore are especially and uniquely dangerous to the left and must be redefined in a way that eliminates the contradiction.

Posted in Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Politics, Race and racism | 27 Replies

Tips for talking politics on Thanksgiving

The New Neo Posted on November 21, 2018 by neoNovember 21, 2018

My tip?

Don’t.

Unless everyone is on the same page politically and you all know it. Even then, it’s best to avoid it. Why bother? This is Thanksgiving. There are so many other things to talk about. Art, science, philosophy, love, your gall bladder operation.

Posted in Uncategorized | 9 Replies

Happy day-before-Thanksgiving to you

The New Neo Posted on November 21, 2018 by neoNovember 21, 2018

[NOTE: This is a slightly-edited reprint of a previous post.]

I happen to like Thanksgiving. Always have. It’s a holiday for anyone and everyone in this country—except, of course, people who hate turkey. There are quite a few of those curmudgeonly folks, but I’m happy to report I’m not one of them. Even if the turkey ends up dry and overcooked, it’s nothing that a little gravy and cranberry sauce can’t fix. And although the turkey is the centerpiece, it’s the accompaniments that make the meal.

My theory on turkeys is that they’re like children: you coax them along and just do the best you can, but as long as you don’t utterly ruin or abuse them, they have their own innate characteristics that will manifest in the end. A dry and tough bird will be a dry and tough bird despite all that draping in fat-soaked cheesecloth, a tender and tasty one can withstand a certain amount of cooking incompetence.

One year long ago my brother and I were cooking at my parents’ house and somehow we set the oven on “broil,” an error that was only discovered an hour before the turkey was due to be finished cooking. But it was one of the best turkeys ever. Another time the turkey had turned deep bluish-purple on defrosting and was so hideous and dangerous-looking that it had to be abandoned. Another terrible time, one that has lived in infamy ever since, my mother decided turkey was passe and that we’d have steak on Thanksgiving.

Since I like to eat, I am drawn to the fact that Thanksgiving is a food-oriented holiday with a basic obligatory theme (turkey plus seasonal autumnal food) and almost infinite variations on that theme. Sweet potatoes? Absolutely—but oh, the myriad ways to make them, some revolting, some sublime. Pie? Of course, but what kind? And what to put on it, ice cream, whipped cream, or both?

For me, there are three traditional requirements—besides the turkey, of course. There has to be at least one pecan pie, although eating it in all its sickening sweetness can put an already-sated person right over the top. The cranberry sauce has to be made from fresh cranberries (it’s easy: cranberries, water, and sugar to taste, simmered on top of the stove till mushy and a bright deep red), and lots of it (it’s good on turkey sandwiches the next day, too). The traditional stuffing in my family is non-traditional: a large quantity of cut-up Granny Smith apples cooked in fair amount of sherry as well as a ton of butter till a bit soft; and then mixed with prunes, almonds, and one Sara Lee poundcake reduced to small pieces by crushing with the hands.

Thanksgiving is one of the few holidays that has a theme that is vaguely religious—giving thanks—but has no specific religious affiliation. So it’s a holiday that unites. It’s one of the least commercial holidays as well, because it involves no presents. It’s a home-based holiday, which is good, too, except for those who don’t have relatives or friends to be with. One drawback is the terribly compressed travel time; I solve that by not usually traveling very far if I can possibly help it.

The main advantage to hosting the day is having leftovers left over. The main disadvantage to hosting the day is having leftovers left over.

I wish you all a wonderful Thanksgiving Day, filled with friends and/or family of your choice, and just the right amount of leftovers!

Posted in Uncategorized | 21 Replies

Federal judge in San Francisco temporarily blocks Trump’s orders re the caravan and asylum seekers

The New Neo Posted on November 20, 2018 by neoNovember 20, 2018

This should come as no surprise whatsoever:

A federal judge in San Francisco late Monday temporarily halted President Donald Trump’s move to restrict asylum at the U.S.-Mexico border, dealing another blow to the administration’s immigration agenda.

Judge Jon Tigar’s ruling suspends implementation of a fast-track regulation and presidential proclamation issued Nov. 9 that barred migrants who cross the border between ports of entry from seeking asylum. The order will remain in effect until Dec. 19, when the court will consider arguments for a permanent ban.

The court’s ruling—which may or may not stand—seems to throw the entire issue back to Congress. By the way, I am nearly 100% certain that had Obama issued a similar order, this very same judge would have ruled differently.

I don’t think Congress will be acting on this in a way that assists Trump. If they did, they’d have to do it extremely quickly, before the new Democratic-majority House is seated. And I’m not even sure that the current GOP-majority House would support Trump on this, although I suppose it might. Same for the GOP-controlled Senate, although that control will continue in the new Congress.

If the judge’s order ends up being confirmed by later court rulings, these caravans will continue to be organized and sent by activist leftists in Latin America. The caravans have many purposes in addition to the obvious ones of affecting US demographics and ultimately voting behavior. One big one is to take up a great deal of the border control’s time and effort sorting through the asylum applications that every single one of the “migrants” will submit. Separating the wheat from the chaff is a tedious and lengthy task, and either the criteria will be loosened and a lot of bogus asylum claims will be granted, or stricter standards will be in place and the MSM and the left will set up a constant drumbeat of propaganda sob stories. Win/win for the left and the open borders crew, except for the possible backlash.

[NOTE: Judge Tigar was appointed by Obama in 2012. This underscores the importance of the power to appoint federal judges. Whether you believe his ruling is correct or incorrect, the power of a single federal judge can be very great.]

Posted in Immigration, Law | 24 Replies

The MSM, the blogosphere, and me

The New Neo Posted on November 20, 2018 by neoNovember 20, 2018

Blogging used to be the hot new thing. That was back in the dark ages of the Bush administration.

I’m not sure when I first discovered blogs, but it was probably around 2002, about two years after I had transitioned to reading most of my newspapers online. I also don’t remember what blog it was, but my guess is that the site is long defunct.

Something about blogs grabbed me immediately. I liked reading one person’s take on things, freely acknowledged as being one person’s opinion but backed up by links to the sources from which the opinion was derived, and often expressed informally and conversationally compared to the dry prose of most newspapers of the day. I liked the ability to comment, which wasn’t available at newspapers back then except through the laborious and hit-or-miss process of writing letters to the editor that might or might not (probably not) be selected for publication.

It was years before I became a blogger myself, and that was initially a lark with a free site set up by my son. I had no intention of ever using it, but a few months later I decided—on a sudden whim—to get serious about it and see what would happen. Little did I know that almost fourteen years later I’d still be blogging. At the time, I would have been surprised to learn I’d still be blogging fourteen days later.

Blogs had their heyday during the Bush administration, particularly individual blogs like this one. Now it’s all changed, of course, and blogs are somewhat passe, superseded largely by social media and also some group blogs. The latter spread the labor and offer readers more of a variety of points of view, and also encourage clicks by putting up new content often.

As all of this was transpiring, the news was changing, too. I’ve chronicled the beginnings of the transition away from the strict separation between straight news and opinion journalism in my posts about Walter Cronkite (see this and this), but now the two are a seamless fusion in which straight reporting has practically disappeared (if it ever existed in the first place). These days—and for quite a few years now—what is presented as straight news is a sometimes-subtle sometimes-flagrant blend of facts, suppositions, assumptions, misrepresentations, and omissions designed to lead the reader to a certain point of view rather than inform the reader of what happened.

There were many influences that led to this point: the turning point during Vietnam that Cronkite represented, the 24-hour news cycle as a hungry beast demanding to be fed, the rise of TV news as entertainment, as well as the internet influences of blogs and then social media such as Facebook and Twitter.

Although blogs are no longer so influential in terms of the MSM, they did garner a great deal of attention from regular journalists at the beginning. A lot of that attention featured attempts to say how superior journalists were, because journalists had all those trustworthy layers of fact-checking, all that experience and credentials, all that access to trustworthy government sources—in other words, all that skill and experience and inside info. But what subsequently happened is that newspaper reporting—already suffering—grew increasingly to feature the very flaws that the reporters had tried to pin on blogs.

These days when I read the MSM I usually have to wade through fiskable sentence after fiskable sentence. The term “fiskable” comes from the verb “to fisk,” coined to represent something that was happening as a result of the blogosphere: the penchant of bloggers to take an article from the MSM and refute it and critique it, sentence by sentence, almost word for word.

It was often ridiculously easy to do so. Articles were full of unsourced conclusions couched as tautologies, as well as quotes from anonymous “officials” that way-too-often turned out to be garbage. Then on to the next, and the next. Reporters grew younger and younger (and it wasn’t just that I grew older and older), bureaus closed down and papers relied more and more on stringers who had their own agendas.

Newspapers are still pretty good for covering some things, although nowhere near as good as they should be. For example, the fires in California have been covered pretty well, although of course there are some mistakes and revisions of the kind one might expect in a fast-breaking story of some complexity and detail. But once we get to the “why” of the fires, which concerns the interface of politics and science, the opinion journalism propaganda kicks in, big time.

To describe and link to the myriad ways that has occurred would be another long, long post, and this one is long enough already anyway. For now I’ll just say that it’s almost obligatory for each MSM article to add something simplistic such as “of course, the fires are all due to global warming, something Trump denies” while often failing to link to any scientific articles actually backing them up, and while often ignoring the ones that say otherwise and offer details on the extraordinarily complex set of causes and possible solutions to the wildfire problem in California (here was my quick effort at the latter).

In the last couple of years I’ve grown even more wary and weary of looking at the MSM. But it still influences a great many people, and it’s still our basic source for many stories. So there’s no way I’m going to be ignoring it. Although distrust of the MSM is high, most people read it and most people are still influenced by it in ways sometimes subtle and sometimes obvious.

Posted in Blogging and bloggers, Me, myself, and I, Press | 28 Replies

Meet the hemimastigote

The New Neo Posted on November 20, 2018 by neoNovember 20, 2018

There are more things in heaven and earth than are dreamt of in your philosophy—such as, for example a whole new supra-kingdom of living creatures.

And it consists of some organisms that were discovered over a hundred years ago but until now have never been captured and studied. However, two types were recently scooped up, by chance, in some dirt collected by a grad student while on vacation:

Canadian researchers have discovered a new kind of organism that’s so different from other living things that it doesn’t fit into the plant kingdom, the animal kingdom, or any other kingdom used to classify known organisms.

Two species of the microscopic organisms, called hemimastigotes, were found in dirt collected on a whim during a hike in Nova Scotia by Dalhousie University graduate student Yana Eglit.

A genetic analysis shows they’re more different from other organisms than animals and fungi (which are in different kingdoms) are from each other, representing a completely new part of the tree of life, Eglit and her colleagues report this week in the journal Nature…

About 10 species of hemimastigotes have been described over more than 100 years. But up until now, no one had been able to do a genetic analysis to see how they were related to other living things.

The results of such an analysis are that this type of creature appears to have branched off from a common ancestor to other forms of life on earth about a billion years ago.

Now hemimastigotes can be studied because one of the forms can be raised in the lab:

Once she knew what it ate, she reared its prey in captivity so she could also feed and breed captive Hemimastix: “We were able to domesticate it, in a way.”

That means scientists can now give captive specimens to other scientists to study, and their rarity is not the issue it was before.

Somehow this sounds like the beginning of a Michael Crichton novel, doesn’t it?

Posted in Nature, Science | 11 Replies

Amazon users: please order holiday gifts through neo

The New Neo Posted on November 19, 2018 by neoNovember 19, 2018

To all of you who like the convenience of Amazon for holiday gifts—please use my Amazon portal for your orders. Clicking on the Amazon widget on the right sidebar is the best way to accomplish it, although if your adblock is on you won’t see it. But just disable the adblock on the page and it will appear.

Or you can go here. I’m not 100% sure that will work as effectively, however.

Thanks to everyone who orders. It gives me a small gift, as well, and at no extra cost to you.

[NOTE: I’ll be announcing this quite a bit until Christmas is over, just as a reminder. Thanks again.]

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Replies

Netanyahu’s coalition government…

The New Neo Posted on November 19, 2018 by neoNovember 19, 2018

…reportedly is in trouble.

Some of it is connected with “the recommendation of the Israeli national police anti-corruption unit that Netanyahu be indicted on charges of corruption and influence-peddling.” There are several possible charges.

Also, in view of recent events in the western part of the US, the following problem facing the Netanyahu administration was of particular interest to me:

Hamas found a method, several months ago, of terrorizing Israelis and threatening to ruin Israel’s agricultural sector by floating incendiary kites and balloons over the Gaza border to land and start fires all over the southern half of Israel. This was especially dangerous over the summer dry season in the country, when little rain falls. As a result, massive fires ravaged forests and crop-lands throughout the south, spurring loud protests and demands for the government to “do something.”

The primary response has been limited, targeted air strikes against Hamas targets in Gaza. These did little or nothing to halt the onslaught of deadly kites and balloons.

Much much more about Netanyahu’s myriad problems at the link.

But if Netanyahu goes, it doesn’t look like his replacement is likely to be to the left of him politically. Au contraire.

Israeli politics is nothing if not complex, however. For example:

In today’s Israel, forecasting the end of Netanyahu’s political career is so outlandish, it attracts attention. After all, we’ve been there and done that: Convinced ourselves that the signs point to a Netanyahu loss only to find out that the Israeli public didn’t see them and voted him into office. The collective memory holds that Netanyahu is perennially written off up until the polls close, at which time it turns out that news of his political demise was premature.

History, on the other hand, has a different version of events. No one can take from Netanyahu either his phenomenal rise from UN ambassador in 1988 to prime minister in 1996 or his lock-hold on power and trifecta of electoral victories since 2009. But Netanyahu is far from invincible: He lost badly to Ehud Barak in 1999, was trounced by Ariel Sharon in the Likud primaries in 2002 and was drubbed by Ehud Olmert and Kadima in the 2006 elections, in which his Likud mustered a measly 12 seats in the Knesset. So it can be done.

The article goes on to list 12 reasons it might indeed happen that Netanyahu is ousted.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, People of interest | 15 Replies

On the 40th anniversary of the Jonestown massacre

The New Neo Posted on November 19, 2018 by neoNovember 19, 2018

Yesterday was the 40th anniversary of the Jonestown massacre, an event that caused the death of close to a thousand people (about a third of them children) who were killed in the group’s compound in Guyana.

Note that I write “were killed” rather than “killed themselves.” One of the many many misconceptions about the Jonestown tragedy was that for most of its victims it represented an act of suicide. For some it did, but for many it did not. The children, of course, did not have that capacity (some were infants and toddlers). And although the adults had all signed onto the Jim Jones enterprise of their own free will, many (perhaps even most?) had essentially been kept prisoner there against their will, long after the nature of the movement had changed. What’s more, as I wrote previously in a lengthy post on the subject:

There is also forensic evidence that those adults who did protest or try to escape were forcibly injected with cyanide as they attempted to flee…

According to the testimony of many of the survivors (a small group, but an articulate one), once they realized the true character of the man in whom they’d placed such hope and faith, it was too late. They were in a prison, subject to various forms of physical and psychological torture in Jones’ attempt to control the inmates. And in the final year before the terrible end, the prison we know as Jonestown was at least as isolated as Alcatraz, because it was located in the heart of the Guyanese jungle.

Two forms the psychological torture/indoctrination took are especially instructive. The first is that as Jones became increasingly paranoid, he regularly harangued his followers that they would be under attack soon, either from the CIA or the Guyanese authorities, and that mass suicide would be the only way out. In fact, he had many rehearsals for the killings, which had the effect of getting people used to what would be happening and more ready to accept it, as well as more doubtful when the real thing began to happen that it actually was the real thing; maybe it was another rehearsal?

The second was a particular type of psychological coercion described in Deborah Layton’s very fine and highly recommended book Seductive Poison. I am describing this from memory (I read the book many years ago), but my recollection is that they were encouraged to inform on each other if they heard anyone complain about or criticize Jones or Jonestown. The tattler was then publicly praised, while the complainer was subject to public harangues, physical punishment, withdrawal of privileges, and ostracism. In a totally controlled environment, this was especially difficult to take, even for those with strong personalities.

What was even more terrible—and diabolical—was the fact that Jones made some of his close confederates pretend to be be discontented, confiding their criticism of Jones and Jonestown to others. The listeners had no idea that these were false “confessions.” If they listened sympathetically and perhaps shared their own discontent, they were reported and punished. But worse, if they failed to report the confidences of their “friends”—who were actually, unbeknownst to them, Jim Jones plants—then they were punished as well.

And it is no accident that Jim Jones himself was a socialist who apparently was not really religious at all but who used religion as a screen to further his socialist ends.

Not only do I highly recommend Deborah Layton’s aforementioned book, I also recommended this much shorter article (from a book I haven’t yet read) by Jackie Speier. She was in Guyana as an aide to Congressman Leo Ryan, who had led the delegation to investigate Jonestown. Ryan and four others were murdered at the airport by some of Jones’ most devoted followers. Speier herself, 28-years-old at the time, was wounded severely.

Speier’s story is astounding. It not only tells some of the tragic and terrible tale of Jones and Jonestown, but because she was part of Ryan’s crew it sheds some light on their approach and activities there. Hindsight is 20/20, of course, but it seems to me that some of Congressman Ryan’s actions were somewhat naive in view of what he did know even before going down there. There was enough evidence of possible violence to come. Ryan and Speier had met with defector Deborah Layton (the same person who later wrote the book I read) and this is what they learned from her:

We listened as she offered a detailed and disturbing account of her experience. She mentioned a Bay Area couple, the Stoens, who had defected and were fighting for the return of their young son, John. Debbie said the couple had gone to court to try to compel the Guyanese government to intervene; Rev. Jones responded by telling them that if any actions were taken to remove John, the entire Jonestown population would commit suicide.

Once, Debbie continued, Jones woke up the camp in the early hours of the morning. It wasn’t unusual for Temple members to be awakened at dawn over the loudspeaker and summoned to the pavilion for one of his increasingly unhinged sermons. But this particular morning, Jones told his followers that they had to kill themselves to keep from being tortured by mercenaries who were preparing an ambush. Debbie stood in line to drink the red liquid that she was told would kill her in a matter of minutes. When the time of their supposed deaths came and went with everybody still alive, Jones announced it had just been a drill to test their loyalty. They had passed.

We compiled similar testimonies from other defectors who corroborated Debbie’s reports of physical and sexual abuse, forced labor and captivity. We heard that the church had weapons, and that Jones was paranoid and possibly on drugs. He had engineered complete authority—collecting members’ Social Security and disability checks, and determining when and how his disciples could communicate with their families. Anyone running afoul of Jonestown’s security detail was put in a labor camp and forced to clear jungle. Repeatedly, the defectors mentioned forced participation in mass-suicide rehearsals known as the “White Night trials.”

Leo Ryan wanted answers. Never one to accept second-hand information, he decided to embark on a fact-finding—and potentially life-saving—trip.

Knowing all of that, wouldn’t it make sense that there would be terrible repercussions if the Ryan group helped a whole bunch of people defect? That was what they arranged, and not only did it cost many in the Congressional delegation their lives, it also cost the entire population of Jonestown their lives. The intentions of the Ryan group were laudable, but their failure to protect themselves (or even to take a security detail) proved fatal—although I assume that had they brought obvious security, they wouldn’t have been allowed in.

And all of this occurred at the hands of one demented, paranoid, and powerful person who had initially attracted followers to a Utopian ideal through his charisma and eloquence but turned out to be a Pied Piper leading them to their doom. By the time many of them realized their error they were trapped.

The details of Jonestown were unique, but the trajectory of leftist Utopian promises leading to murder was not.

RIP to all the victims of Jonestown and to all the victims of other leftist Utopias that turn into nightmare.

Posted in Evil, Violence | 19 Replies

When Republicans win close elections, the results are illegitimate

The New Neo Posted on November 19, 2018 by neoNovember 19, 2018

That’s the accusation from the Democrats.

But when Democrats win them, they’re hard-fought victories as well as evidence for the increasingly blue nature of the city or state in which they occur, or the country as a whole.

When did this begin? I think 2000 was a kind of turning point. That situation was unusual to begin with because it really really was a national election that was almost unbelievably close, so close that declaring a winner was nearly impossible by the usual means. The Democrats—and I was one of the Democrats at the time—generally felt robbed, although I have to say I was not among those who felt that way. At the time, I figured that if Gore (not my favorite candidate in the world, although I had voted for hm) had ended up losing the election it was because the system played itself out relatively fairly in a situation in which it truly was almost impossible to figure out who was the winner. The cards just didn’t fall his way.

But a lot of Democrats felt angry and betrayed, and never considered Bush a legitimate winner. And now this sort of accusation has become more or less the norm in close elections, as Liz Shield points out:

Do you notice that whenever there are close elections, possibly resulting in a recount, the narrative the media and its left-wing puppet masters trumpet is that the winner, if a GOPer, is illegitimate? Are there any consequences for these people for undermining the faith in our election system? There were all kinds of public shame and ridicule when candidate Trump talked about “rigged” systems. Meanwhile, a few Democrats are scraping out victories from recounts in California, but no one is talking there about illegitimacy.

This is what has happened with the Georgia governor’s race. The winner is illegitimate because it should have been the Democrat. “I certainly would not have treated the ‘winning’ candidate as the normal head of the state, & we should not do so here,” former Obama admin Norm Eisen wrote. Right out of the Trump playbook: if our candidate loses, we will treat the real winner as illegitimate.

“I acknowledge that former secretary of state Brian Kemp will be certified the victor in the 2018 gubernatorial elections,” Georgia gubernatorial loser Abrams said. “But to watch an elected official — who claims to represent the people of this state, baldly pin his hopes for election on the suppression of the people’s democratic right to vote — has been truly appalling.”

The argument now seems to hinge on this idea that every effort Republicans make to reduce or prevent voter fraud is a case of suppression of the liberal vote. Requiring voters to show IDs or even citizenship is now voter suppression. And “voter suppression” means that every election that is close would have “really” been won by the Democrat but for this phenomenon of constant voter suppression.

The flip side of this is that Republicans are rather quick to shout “fraud” when close elections are won by Democrats. Democrats respond by saying there’s no “evidence” of vote fraud. You can find many articles like that, as well as articles from the right saying “of course it exists.” An example of the latter is this:

When it comes to election fraud, the question is not “if,” but “how much?” For years, The Heritage Foundation has been documenting instances of proven election fraud in an online, searchable database.

…the database is only a small, illustrative sampling of election fraud.

In fact, to quote from my own op-ed, which apparently inspired Gibble’s reaction, “Heritage’s database is not comprehensive, so for every case we identify and track through to conclusion, many more likely go undetected or hidden in court records that are not easily accessible.”

Not only is there plenty of proof that some degree of election fraud exists, but common sense dictates that there is plenty of motivation to commit election fraud. In addition, as I’ve written recently:

Arguments that election fraud doesn’t exist always remind me of those people who swear they can invariably detect when a man is wearing a toupee. The logical flaw is so obvious, and yet they don’t see it (despite their supposedly eagle eye for hairpieces). But here it is: what about hairpieces that are too good to detect?

So if election fraud exists, what about voter suppression? Does it exist? Well,it certainly used to exist—particularly in the South at the hands of Democrats via the poll tax. I assume that even now, each side wishes to maximize the number of its own voters and to minimize the number of the opposing party’s voters. The point is to make sure that the rules for voting are reasonable and as fair as possible in order to reduce both voting fraud and suppression of bona fide voters.

Posted in Election 2018, Politics | 18 Replies

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