I’m fascinated by assertions such as this one that the conservative candidates for president such as Cruz, Walker, Jindal or Fiorina are not electable on a national scale, each for somewhat different reasons*.
I’ve only been doing this for ten years (ten years!), but one thing I know is that the right wing of the GOP—call it conservative or Tea Party or whatever else you want—has been criticizing the entire concept of “electability” all that time. The argument against it is has been that it’s a ploy of the moderate establishment wing, used in order to get conservatives to go along with RINO establishment GOP candidates, and that conservative aren’t buying it any more.
During the 2012 election, some commenters on this blog were under the impression I used the “electability” argument to push Romney. My response was that they were incorrect; he was not my favored candidate at the outset of the primaries, and once he was nominated I argued that he was actually much more conservative than the right credited him with being, and that I thought he’d make a good president if elected. In fact, I always felt tentative about his chances of winning (his “electability”), and I was rather pessimistic although I tried to fight that feeling.
So this year we have a bunch of very viable conservative candidates. Initially I liked Walker, and I still do, but right now I’m slightly more in favor of Cruz or Fiorina. Any of them would be fine with me.
The argument of the conservative wing in the past for nominating a conservative always went like this: it’s the establishment who use that “electability” thing to block the nomination of a conservative, but a conservative could and would win if he/she were to be nominated over the heads of the establishment, and could articulate the conservative message properly to the people.
Well, the aforementioned foursome have those characteristics. I think that Fiorina and Cruz are the best communicators, with Walker having a regular-guy appeal and a history of conservative action (also quite important) more than eloquence. Jindal is less appealing as a candidate, but not because of his conservatism, it’s because he comes across as nerdy and he talks too fast.
Now some are even suggesting that it’s Trump who is the “electable” one, because of his populist tell-it-like-it-is anger. I really differ on that—I think he will alienate more people than not. But it seems particularly ironic that “electability” would be the argument anyone on the right would use to justify support of a nominee who is neither conservative nor tested nor consistent nor eloquent nor trustworthy. It is particularly ironic because this is the year we have the best slate in memory of articulate conservatives from which to choose.
[* The commenter also asserts that election fraud makes the candidates unelectable, but that only a populist candidate who appeals to the low information voter, such as Trump, would have a chance against it.]
[NOTE: I’m fighting the urge to write so much about Trump. But the reason I’m doing it nevertheless is that his candidacy gets at some important themes and conflicts that have dogged the right since around the middle of the 20th century. It’s not really about Trump, it’s about that conflict.]
[ADDENDUM: By the way, on the topic of Trump and his consistency on immigration, as well as his “anti-establishment” status, reflect that shortly after the 2012 election Trump had some very interesting things to say about the mean Republicans re illegal immigration:
“The Democrats didn’t have a policy for dealing with illegal immigrants, but what they did have going for them is they weren’t mean-spirited about it,” Trump says. “They didn’t know what the policy was, but what they were is they were kind.”
Romney’s solution of “self deportation” for illegal aliens made no sense and suggested that Republicans do not care about Hispanics in general, Trump says.
“He had a crazy policy of self deportation which was maniacal,” Trump says. “It sounded as bad as it was, and he lost all of the Latino vote,” Trump notes. “He lost the Asian vote. He lost everybody who is inspired to come into this country.”
Trump is not only mouthing the detested “establishment” line that Republicans should have wooed Hispanics with a kinder gentler policy, but he is wrong about the Democrats as well. When last I checked, Obama’s a Democrat, and in June of 2012 prior to the election he created DACA, Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, otherwise known as Dreamers.]