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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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And the winner is…

The New Neo Posted on March 27, 2017 by neoMarch 27, 2017

Hey, wait a minute. What’s the contest? you ask.

As well you might. It’s a competition I’ve never heard of before: European Tree of the Year.

And the winner this year is a glorious oak with a history:

A Polish tree that two Jewish brothers used as a shelter for hiding from the Nazis during World War Two has been voted European Tree of the Year 2017.

Oak Jé³zef, in the village of WiÅ›niowa, south-eastern Poland, was also printed on Polish 100 zÅ‚oty bills. Today it is admired by many visitors and is captured in many photos and paintings.

The Brimmon Oak, in Newtown, in Wales, came runner-up in the competition.

Here’s the first, in photographs of the actual tree and the artwork on the zloty bill:

And here’s the Welsh runner-up”

The bathing suit competition was a little rough.

I love these trees. Old trees (we have plenty of them in New England) can often be very very beautiful, gnarled and twisted and full of personality and a sense of their great antiquity.

Posted in Nature | 4 Replies

Here comes your 19th nervous breakdown

The New Neo Posted on March 27, 2017 by neoMarch 27, 2017

I found the following at Buzzfeed. Now, Buzzfeed isn’t a site I usually visit and certainly not a site I often (or ever?) quote. But this description of the current news coverage struck somewhat of a resonant chord in me nevertheless:

There’s so much discordant noise that just making out each individual thing and tracking its journey through the news cycle requires enormous effort. It’s tough to get your bearings. Trump’s presidency currently poses a fundamental question for each person: Is this overall moment weird but ephemeral, maybe not so bad ”” or is it an emergency? Given the current level of uncertainty (does Trump really mean X?) and the sheer volume of incoming information (what will Trump do tomorrow?), each day demands your judgment. Is this normal? Is this normal? Is this normal?

These questions are exhausting.

I’m not familiar with author Katherine Miller’s work, but although I’m going to assume she’s a liberal, the phenomenon of overload being described there is a more universal one—although for the right, the “fundamental question” about each moment includes the question “is this good?” or even “is this great?” in addition to the more neutral or negative choices Miller lists.

Think back to those first few heady weeks of Trump’s presidency (seems like a long time ago, doesn’t it?) when there was a sort of euphoria on the right (even among non-supporters of Trump) about the scope and unexpectedness of the GOP victory and the prospect of having a government with the right firmly in control of two branches and probably about to be at least somewhat in control of the third. That giddyness is gone—which makes sense, because reality was always going to intrude. But part of that reality is that, at this point, even someone like me—who analyzes and reacts to the news on a daily basis, and has long been skeptical of coverage—has gotten to the point of dreading reading about politics.

What will Trump do today? Will it be good, okay, or counter-productive and harmful? And how relentless and distorting and over-the-top (and successful) will the negative media spin on it be?

And above all: where to find anything even approximating the truth? It’s like panning for gold in a river that has little or no precious metal left, even of the gold dust variety.

Don’t worry, though; I’m not about to stop blogging. I seem to be a glutton for punishment.

NOTE: The title of this post comes from this Rolling Stones song:

[ADDENDUM: And yes, I realize that any angst we feel today is small, small potatoes compared to what the citizens of many other countries (or eras) feel or felt on a daily basis. Nevertheless, it’s still tiring, frustrating, and often confusing.]

Posted in Music, Press, Trump | 33 Replies

Trump and the timing of the Obamacare reform attempt

The New Neo Posted on March 27, 2017 by neoMarch 27, 2017

Commenter “Brian E” writes that Obamacare repeal “was not part of [Trump’s] campaign platform,” and offers a series of ways in which Trump suggested that Obamacare be tweaked.

He certainly made such suggestions. But not only did he never say “don’t repeal it,” he explicitly promised many many times not only to repeal it, but to call on Congress and work with them to repeal it immediately as well as to replace it:

Trump is correct [when he claims that at] no point in time did he pledge to repeal and replace Obamacare in 61 or 64 days. Instead, he pledged to demand a repeal on Day One ”” even if it took a special session of Congress to make it happen. He pledged on several occasions to repeal it “immediately.” The message he conveyed to his voters was very much not that “this is something we will get to eventually” but that this was something that would come first on the agenda.

That WaPo article I just quoted goes on to offer many additional campaign statements of Trump’s to that effect. This one from September, 2016, is typically unequivocal, and it is not the only time Trump said as much:

On my first day I’m going to ask Congress to immediately send me a bill to repeal and replace Obamacare.”

Trump made many more campaign statements in that vein (some are listed in the article I linked). Now Trump is trying to back off from the fact that he made these promises (should I put the word “promises” in scare quotes?). However, Trump spoke often not only of Obamacare repeal/replace, but of the importance of doing it immediately.

Now, there are a lot of things a person could say about that if a person wanted to get Trump off the hook (not that Brian E. is doing that; I think he’s just explaining some of the specific things Trump said he wanted in the bill). A person could say that Paul Ryan also had a role in the recent bill and its haste, of course that’s correct. But that does not undo what Trump said, and the fact that he made it clear that this had to be done right away, and that he pushed the passage of this particular bill which was clearly inadequate and hasty.

A person could also say, “Oh, those statement were among things that Trump said but didn’t mean.” But it’s ex post facto rationalizing, a perfect way to justify making excuses for anything Trump said that doesn’t work out.

Or a person could say that Trump’s not a policy wonk, so he relied on Ryan to tell him the bill was a good one. But Trump had better have a mind of his own and the ability to judge such things—or have advisors who are independent of Congress who can explain such things to him so he can understand, or we are in deep trouble.

I’m sure there are other ways avid Trump supporters could spin this to absolve him of responsibility. Success has many fathers, failure is an orphan.

This particular defeat has many fathers, but one of them is Trump. I’ve long said that during the Trump presidency I will do my utmost to be fair to him. I will give credit where it’s due, and blame him when he deserves it. I intend to continue that path.

But I’d much rather he give me cause to give the credit.

Posted in Election 2016, Health care reform, Ryan, Trump | 46 Replies

“Oliver Twist”: on depicting violence

The New Neo Posted on March 25, 2017 by neoMarch 25, 2017

As far as I’m concerned, the 1948 David Lean black-and-white version of “Oliver Twist” is the masterpiece of the many movie versions of the story. I first saw the film as a child and it scared me horribly at times, but I recognized its artistry and chiaroscuro brilliance. Here’s a clip depicting the death of Nancy, in which Robert Newton is absolutely perfect as Bill Sykes. And the dog’s behavior sends chills down my spine to this day. :

Here’s an older silent version from 1922, a version which I had no idea existed:

The musical film “Oliver” was a much brighter entity entirely. But Oliver Reed was still a very good Bill Sykes, although the scene in question was substantially changed from the way it’s depicted in the book:

Note that in all three versions, the actual violence is somewhat hidden and/or mimimized. That’s not the way of current movies, but it’s very effective. The imagination can fill in the horrific gaps, and Nancy’s death is all the more poignant and terrible for that.

The Greeks had a prohibition on graphically depicting acts of violence onstage, despite the often-bloody plots of their tragedies:

…[I]n traditional Greek tragedy, no blood””not even that of an animal””was spilled on stage. In the piece ”˜Drama and Dromena: Bloodshed, Violence, and Sacrificial Metaphor in Euripides,’ Albert Henrichs points out that in Greek tragedy “the most extreme forms of tragic violence are presented as off-stage events, out of sight but very much within the emotional reach of the audience.”…

Sophocles…spares no detail of Oedipus’ bloody fate””an act so repulsive that it could make even modern audiences flinch. Yet only after the chorus’ description does Oedipus himself re-enter the stage, blinded. Just as he comes into view, the chorus gives voice to the audience’s shocked reaction, exclaiming, “This is a terrible sight for men to see! ”¦I shudder at the sight of you.” (Oedipus the King 1297-305) Here, the chorus narrates the action, informing the audience of the events that occurred offstage. Their vivid descriptions serve to fuel the imaginations of the spectators, who are left to picture the horrible sight…the chorus members do not act as impartial observers; they react to the tragic events that unfold before them in the same way the author intends the audience to react. In effect, they play a dual role: both relaying the necessary information to the audience and modeling the audience’s intended emotional response.

…Interestingly, the Greek tragedians made the best of their limited circumstances, discovering effective ways to manipulate the emotions of the audience””chiefly through the chorus””conveying a greater overall sense of tragedy.

In the story of Oliver Twist, the dog serves a similar function to the Greek chorus. Although the dog is unable to speak, it is an eloquent witness and expresses the horror the audience is expected to feel, particularly in the Lean version. Every time I see those clips from Lean’s movie—the way the light streams through the window on the morning after the murder, the depiction of the flow of Sykes’ thoughts interspersed with the dog’s trembling—I am in awe of what the director has done there.

Posted in Literature and writing, Movies, Violence | 17 Replies

Have you noticed…

The New Neo Posted on March 25, 2017 by neoMarch 25, 2017

…that it’s not just the Democrats who are crowing over the GOP failure to pass the replacement for Obamacare? Have you noticed the over-the-top hype the MSM is currently making of that failure? This is the worst debacle ever, etc. etc. etc…

I wonder if the ordinary voter feels that way. I wonder if he/she doesn’t care more about other things right now, and just sees this as part of typical DC gridlock. I wonder if he/she doesn’t think that perhaps a bill on the subject will be passed later, in the not-altogether-distant future.

I think what happened with the Obamacare replacement was a failure and an enormous error, but I certainly don’t see it as insurmountable. What will be insurmountable is if the GOP keeps on being unable to come up with some sort of solution to the problem—perhaps not a perfect one, but an improvement. And what will be even more insurmountable would be if the failure on Obamacare were followed by similar miscalculations and broken promises on other issues of importance.

Posted in Uncategorized | 48 Replies

Did Obamacare succeed in creating the expectation of universal health care?

The New Neo Posted on March 25, 2017 by neoMarch 25, 2017

Charles Krauthammer thinks it did:

On Friday’s edition of ‘Special Report’ on Fox News Channel, syndicated columnist Charles Krauthammer made the case that President Obama’s strategy for Obamacare was not to create a perfect health care system, but to create the expectation that health care is something the government is responsible for. He said Obama had been successful at “creating the expectation of universal care” and that as a result “the zeitgeist of the country has really changed.”…

“That is the logic of Obamacare. It was a jerry-rigged system which would temporarily create an entitlement, but would not work because it is financially impossible… But they have succeeded at creating the expectation of universal care, and once you have that… What we’re going to get is Democrats going to a single payer,” he added.

This is indeed what we’ve been hearing and thinking since Obamacare was passed. It was certainly the fear of most people on the right—that the passage and then the implementation of Obamacare would constitute a point of psychological no-return because entitlements cannot be turned back. Even if the GOP could agree on a way to do so (and so far, they cannot), the idea is that the public would not accept that way anymore, because they have become psychologically dependent on it, and wedded to the idea that health care is a right and not a privilege.

But I’m inclined to turn Krauthammer’s idea on its head. I reflect that Obamacare was preceded many decades ago by Medicare, and then in the early part of the 21st century by Part D (passed by the GOP, you may recall). In between (1986) we had EMTALA, the law that guaranteed emergency medical care at hospitals and didn’t really figure out how to pay for it—a law that was passed by a Republican Senate and Democratic House, and signed by Ronald Reagan, as part of a larger bill:

That’s government racketeering explained in a nutshell: create the problem (strain on hospitals due to mandated free care) and use it as an excuse for wealth transfer, which is what universal healthcare amounts to in the end. And look how perfectly it works. The requirements under EMTALA are ostensibly what led to “Romneycare” and inspired the Heritage Foundation and Newt Gingrich to propose government- mandated health insurance coverage, giving liberals and libertarians a fair basis for pointing to “conservatives” as the ones who first proposed health insurance mandates.

Our previous system of health insurance worked pretty well for most people, actually, but it was extremely complicated and quite a few people fell through the cracks. Meanwhile, the growing entitlements (such as EMTALA) were at least part of the reason that health care was becoming more expensive and more often out of the reach of many of those without any insurance. Without going into the ins and outs and the details at the moment, I’ll just say that the expectation that the federal government do more to alleviate the burden was growing and growing and growing, and all the laws that I just mentioned were passed not just to expand those expectations but in response to expectations that had already expanded in a slow but seemingly inexorable progression.

I use that word “progression” purposely. “Progressives” of the left call themselves that in order to promote the idea that their policies represent a natural, normal, and morally good example of human progress going forward in time. But those policies also create dependence, restrictions on liberty, rising costs, and bureaucratic messes that are hard to fix and resistant to change.

Yes, as Krauthammer suggests, Obamacare has “create[d] the expectation that health care is something the government is responsible for.” But it’s also true that Obamacare reflected and was a response to the already-evident fact that the belief that “health care is something the government is responsible for” had been growing and growing for many decades. The details of Obamacare may not (and in fact were not) popular. The idea of it was. The whole thing was a system in which the expectation fed into the legislation, and then the legislation solidified the expectation that something similar would continue.

The current impasse among Congressional Republicans represents a split between those moderates who don’t think we can or should go back very far—those who prefer tweaking Obamacare to keep the general idea in place but somehow make it “better”—and those on the right who think that turning it back entirely (and replacing it with one or another far more conservative solution) is not only possible but necessary for the good of the country and its people. This is a profound split rather than a minor one. It’s also an obvious split, and anyone who worked on a new bill to replace Obamacare had to be cognizant of it.

[NOTE: In yesterday’s thread on the pulling of the bill, several commenters remarked that the 2016 election sent a message to establishment Republicans that they had lost, but they didn’t get the memo. I understand what people who say that are getting at, but I disagree at least somewhat. After all, on the subject of replacing Obamacare, the person whose election most represented that anti-establishment message was Donald Trump, and yet he is also one of the Republicans in government who is furthest to the left on health care reform. No, this does not break down to a simple “establishment versus the right.” Trump’s victory was not a victory for conservatism, you may recall. Although he’s certainly a lot more conservative than Hillary would have been, his conservatism is spotty and inconsistent, and does not include his attitude on health care reform.

Also, see this on the subject of who was to blame for the rush on health care reform. Promises, promises. I blame both Ryan and Trump for the rush (which I see as having been fatal to the effort), and for the failure to design and back a bill more GOP members of Congress would be willing to support.]

Posted in Health care reform, Liberals and conservatives; left and right | 22 Replies

No vote on health care reform

The New Neo Posted on March 24, 2017 by neoMarch 24, 2017

If you don’t get enough people on board for “yes” and schedule a vote anyway, you’re going to end up having to cancel it. And that’s what happened today. There was a lot of jockeying for position and a lot of arm-twisting (and perhaps twisting of other body parts), and now all that’s left are the threats and the excuses and the pause and the ridicule.

I don’t know what the ultimate result will be for Obamacare, Trumpcare, Ryancare, something-or-other-elsecare. I do know that today is embarrassing for both Trump and the GOP, both of whom promised that Obamacare would be repealed and replaced, pronto, and both of whom look like the Keystone cops (without the humor, that is).

Chuck Schumer was quick to make hay of the debacle (temporary or otherwise):

In my life, I have never seen an administration as incompetent as the one occupying the White House today.

“They can’t write policy that actually makes sense, they can’t implement the policies they do manage to write, they can’t get their stories straight, and today we’ve learned that they can’t close a deal, and they can’t count votes,” he said.

“So much for the Art of the Deal.”

Trump’s supporters will say that the master negotiator was playing his usual 3-D chess. I don’t see it, although I do know that news cycles are short, and this one will disappear soon, to be replaced by another. I also believe that this bill was not a good one and that a better one can be crafted, although I’m not sure whether that will happen and how long it would take. In the meantime, Obamacare wends its merry way downward.

Some think Obamacare should die of its own accord. Trump is on record as having said that at one point, but he’s said many things at many points.

I also believe that this statement by Paul Ryan is not going to impress anyone:

Ryan says it is difficult moving from an opposition party to a governing party: “We’re feeling those growing pains today.”

“We came really close today but we came up short,” he says.

He calls it a “disappointing day” and says the GOP needs time to reflect.

“It all comes down to choice — are we all willing to give a little to get things done?

A party that’s not ready for prime time and asks for a little patience is a party that’s not going to get anyone’s respect. They had many years in the wilderness to reflect on this, and they should have been better prepared. The GOP leadership isn’t leading—and that “leadership” includes both Ryan and Trump, the latter of whom at least has the excuse of having never been in government. Not that that’s an excuse any more valid than Ryan’s “we’re new at being in power.”

The thing that angers me is that it wasn’t hard to see this coming; I certainly didn’t think the vote would happen. Why did they let it get to this embarrassing point? Obamacare repeal and replacement was a huge cornerstone of the platform of the Republican Party (including Trump). They should have come to a better compromise or at least figured out a more effective way to twist arms. But, just as compromise seems to be impossible these days between right and left in the US as a whole, it also seems impossible for the moderate vs. conservative wings of the Republican Party. And if they manage to do it in the next few months or even the next year, and pass a bill for health care coverage that actually works and makes sense, I’ll be happy to put today behind me and praise them.

Posted in Health care reform, Politics | 43 Replies

Batteries included

The New Neo Posted on March 24, 2017 by neoMarch 24, 2017

I purchased a battery-powered implement the other day of a type that’s been proliferating in stores during the last few years: the heel smoother.

You can find a plethora of buffers and scrapers, shavers and grinders, all guaranteeing to pare down those horny heels. And then we have the creams—sticks and tubes and jars, all promising (with photos!) heels as velvety soft as a baby’s bottom.

Riiight.

My particular gizmo was cleverly called “achilles’ heel” and I found it on sale for a pittance at T.J. Maxx, where it beckoned seductively to me—after all, it’s manufactured by a company called “bliss” (and all those lower-case words are not an error on my part; “bliss” seems to have e. e. cummings writing its copy).

But that’s not what this post is about. This post is about the book of instructions that came with my heel buffer. And in that book of instructions, along with such helpful hints as “don’t operate under a blanket; can cause a fire” and “ensure that your hands are dry when operating the controls,” I found the following:

Remove battery promptly if consumed.

If consumed? I know that lawyers create these things nowadays, and they like to cover all possible bases. But, eating batteries? Would anyone really think to do such a thing? Or is it the entire implement (which is not enormous, but certainly a rather large item to swallow) that might be ingested?

And then, how to remove, once down the gullet? The mind boggles at the thought.

Fortunately, as is true of most instructions these days, these came in several languages. Turning the pages to the only other language of which I have even a rudimentary knowledge, I saw that in Spanish the sentence became:

Retire las pilas ré¡pidamente si esté¡n agotadas.

I retain enough high school Spanish to know that must mean something like, “remove the batteries quickly if they are…” and then some verb. If they are eaten? No. If they are chewed? No.

But the internet is a glorius thing, and a search immediately provided the meaning of the verb “agotar”: exhausted; depleted.

If the batteries are exhausted or depleted. It was both a relief and a disappointment at the same time.

Posted in Fashion and beauty, Language and grammar, Me, myself, and I | 12 Replies

It’s not the tapping, it’s the leaking

The New Neo Posted on March 24, 2017 by neoMarch 24, 2017

See this.

Posted in Uncategorized | 10 Replies

London terrorist Masood was a convert to Islam

The New Neo Posted on March 24, 2017 by neoMarch 24, 2017

And most likely a prison convert. He’s been identified by several possible birth names and aliases, but the bottom line is that he was born in Britain of non-Muslim parents, had a history of violent crime as a younger man, and converted to Islam (perhaps while in prison).

If Masood’s conversion happened in prison, this would fit into a not-unfamiliar pattern. Religious conversions while serving prison terms are so common as to be a cliche, and they are not limited to Islam. But Islamic conversions have been quite common in prisons for decades. And it stands to reason that a person such as Masood who has already proven capable of violence and who then converts to a radical jihadist form of Islam would have a leg up on becoming a terrorist. Now that person’s violent tendencies would be harnessed in a cause that the person sees as especially worthy and not just selfish.

The most unusual thing about Masood, in my opinion, was his age: 52. That’s somewhat old for a terrorist.

Posted in Terrorism and terrorists | 14 Replies

Trump’s threat?

The New Neo Posted on March 24, 2017 by neoMarch 24, 2017

Note I put a question mark after the word “threat.”

Here’s the story as it’s being reported:

… a frustrated White House told a group of GOP lawmakers meeting in the Capitol basement Thursday evening that negotiations were “done” and a vote would take place Friday.

If the bill is defeated, Trump threatened to simply leave the current healthcare law in place and move on to other issues, according to a message delivered by the president’s budget chief, Mick Mulvaney, according to Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.).

“The message is tomorrow it’s up, it’s down ”” we expect it to be up ”” but it’s done tomorrow,” Mulvaney said Thursday night.

It remained unclear whether Trump’s extraordinary ultimatum was real or a pressure tactic designed to bringunruly Republicans in line.

What are we to make of this “my way or the highway” pronouncement by Trump through his representative?

First: if it was indeed said that way, it wouldn’t be a surprising example of Trump’s negotiating style, in which he has stated before that one of the tactics is to threaten to walk away.

Second: note the fourth-hand nature of the report: according to a message delivered by the president’s budget chief, Mick Mulvaney, according to Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.). With games of telephone, the message can get garbled. Why do I call it fourth-hand? Well, first we have Trump, then Mulvaney, then Collins, and then the reporter writing the story.

Third: when last I checked, Congress was a separate branch of government than the president, and able to pass or not pass whatever legislation it wants to take up. It doesn’t have to follow a president’s lead, and in fact often presidents are of different parties than Congress. As far as I can see, Congress could pass a bill anyway that differed from the one Trump wants, now or later, and put it before the president—who, in order to make good on his threat, would have to veto it. Is that what Trump is saying? That if Congress passes any bill on health care reform other than his approved bill, he’d veto it? If so, talk about declaring war on Congress, and on the American people and your own voters as well! Of course, if the GOP leaders of Congress agreed with Trump (either because of threats or for any other reason), and failed to allow a vote on any other bill, then Trump would have gotten their cooperation and no vote would occur.

Right now, the bill is being debated. Whether it will be voted on today is anyone’s guess.

Whatever the truth or falsehood of Trump’s reported message is, I am of the firm opinion that pushing this bill today is a bad move. There’s no all-fired rush, and a week or two more of negotiation and fine-tuning certainly would make sense.

[ADDENDUM: As I’ve said before, Trump will be judged by results (by most people, anyway). If a bill passes and it ends up being a good one for the vast majority of people affected, he’ll get credit. If it isn’t and it doesn’t, both he and the GOP will lose favor.]

Posted in Health care reform, Trump | 16 Replies

Will there be a vote tonight on health care reform?

The New Neo Posted on March 23, 2017 by neoMarch 23, 2017

I’m not even going to bother to put up any links because the situation is so fluid and changing that nothing anyone says is worth much in terms of prognostication.

Will the House vote this evening on repeal/replace? That’s the question, and the answer (drum roll, please) is: maybe. Right now the vote is scheduled to take place, as far as I can tell.

But my guess is that it will be postponed, because they don’t have the votes right now to pass it. I also don’t really see what the big all-fired rush is.

That’s my opinion. What’s yours?

Posted in Health care reform | 26 Replies

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