The US and China have signed an emissions agreement that, as far as I can tell, is a lot of hot air.
It’s about what each would really like to do—actually, what they’d like their successors to do:
Today, the Presidents of the United States and China announced their respective post-2020 actions on climate change, recognizing that these actions are part of the longer range effort to transition to low-carbon economies, mindful of the global temperature goal of 2℃. The United States intends to achieve an economy-wide target of reducing its emissions by 26%-28% below its 2005 level in 2025 and to make best efforts to reduce its emissions by 28%. China intends to achieve the peaking of CO2 emissions around 2030 and to make best efforts to peak early and intends to increase the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 20% by 2030. Both sides intend to continue to work to increase ambition over time.
…The United States and China hope that by announcing these targets now, they can inject momentum into the global climate negotiations and inspire other countries to join in coming forward with ambitious actions as soon as possible, preferably by the first quarter of 2015. The two Presidents resolved to work closely together over the next year to address major impediments to reaching a successful global climate agreement in Paris.
What would they like to do? Obama wants to cut US emissions, China wants to keep going till 2030. And this just might be my favorite phrase: “Both sides intend to continue to work to increase ambition over time.”
Well, some people are very impressed:
“This is, in my view, the most important bilateral climate announcement ever,” said David Sandalow, formerly a top environmental official at the White House and the Energy Department. “It sends the signal the two largest emitters in the world are working together to address this problem.”
It certainly sends a signal that they’re willing to pay lip service to it. Still not sure exactly what China is even paying lip service to here, but maybe that’s just because I’m a “stupid American,” as Jonathan Gruber would say.
But I’m not so stupid that I don’t know that Obama already wanted to do this in the US, and that he has long planned to do it through—you guessed it!—executive action:
The coming rollout includes a Dec. 1 proposal by EPA to tighten limits on smog-causing ozone, which business groups say could be the costliest federal regulation of all time; a final rule Dec. 19 for clamping down on disposal of power plants’ toxic coal ash; the Jan. 1 start date for a long-debated rule prohibiting states from polluting the air of their downwind neighbors; and a Jan. 8 deadline for issuing a final rule restricting greenhouse gas emissions from future power plants. That last rule is a centerpiece of Obama’s most ambitious environmental effort, the big plan for combating climate change that he announced at Georgetown University in June 2013.
…And on top of all that, the administration is expected in the coming weeks to pledge millions of dollars ”” and possibly billions ”” to help poor countries deal with the effects of climate change…
The kicker for Republicans eager to stomp* all over the president’s agenda: Congress has little immediate recourse..
The word from the Hill “is that McConnell really is interested in trying to show that Republicans can get things done, so I think they’re going to try to come up with some narrow bills where the President could sign,” Holmstead said.
Among other possibilities, Sen. John Hoeven (R-N.D.) hopes to bring up legislation that would shift authority away from EPA on regulating coal ash ponds. Given the agency’s previous reluctance to deal with coal ash at all, the White House might not fight him too hard…
Former Sen. Tim Wirth, a Democrat who served as the Clinton administration’s top international climate negotiator, thinks Obama will push through his main agenda regardless of what Republicans come up with.
“He’ll just do what he’s going to do anyway,” Wirth said.
Indeed.
Most of these regulations were carefully postponed till after the 2012 and 2014 elections, for obvious reasons.
[ * NOTE: The use of the word “stomp” there is rather typical of the way the MSM writes these days about Republicans. It expresses the idea of stopping or destroying something, of course, but it also conjures up the vision of a child having a temper tantrum, or an angry person out-of-control in a fit of rage. It also makes it personal: they are “eager” to “stomp all over” the President’s agenda. They’re not just against these policies and also outraged at the president’s by-passing Congress; no, that wouldn’t convey enough vindictive petulance.]

