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A blog about political change, among other things

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How the left argues

The New Neo Posted on January 1, 2015 by neoJanuary 1, 2015

John Hinderaker of Powerline expertly takes Adam Gopnik to task for Gopnik’s relentless and shameless sophistry in this New Yorker article on gun control, describing point by point how Gopnik goes wrong.

Unfortunately, though, neither Gopnik nor the vast majority of Gopnik’s readers will care. As Hinderaker himself writes:

This is a great summation of contemporary liberalism: what [liberals] think is “sanity and common sense,” what [conservatives] think is “fanaticism and irrationality.” Facts? Arguments? Not needed!

Facts are not needed because demagoguery that appeals to emotions works. In fact, it works really really well, because emotions are simple and factual arguments are usually more complex.

I said that emotions are simple, but that’s probably not strictly true. However, emotions can be triggered by simple arguments and appeals that are easy to follow, and that makes them extremely useful.

As for Gopnik, it’s the old “knave or fool” argument again: does he know what he’s doing, or does he actually believe what he’s saying? The answer can be found here, and it is “both”; just substitute “leftist” for “Stalinist” and you have it:

It is in the nature of Stalinism for its adherents to make a certain kind of lying””and not only to others, but first of all to themselves””a fundamental part of their lives. It is always a mistake to assume that Stalinists do not know the truth about the political reality they espouse. If they don’t know the truth (or all of it) one day, they know it the next, and it makes absolutely no difference to them politically For their loyalty is to something other than the truth.

Posted in Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Press | 27 Replies

Booty calling

The New Neo Posted on January 1, 2015 by neoJanuary 1, 2015

I had heard the term “booty call” before but wasn’t quite sure what it was. Nor had I spent a particle of time finding out. But now I know, at least according to this article’s definition:

They’re casual, brief, sexual relationships arranged through text or call, often between friends or former partners. While the timeless one-night-stand is a chance occurrence hatched with an acquaintance, the booty call involves a bit more forethought and emotion.

How romantic.

It’s a trade-off:

Fundamentally, the booty call is a compromise, [researcher and psychologist] Jonason says.

“For men who engage in this type of relationship, a booty call offers sexual access at a low, although not minimal, cost. For women, a booty call relationship offers more affection than a one-night stand.”

“More affection than a one-night stand”—now, there’s a consummation devoutly to be wished. Forgive me if I don’t think this represents an advance for women or men in the long run, much less for society.

People have always had one-night stands, and they probably always will. But I think I’m on firm ground in saying that they were far less common in my youth, and the booty call was something most (not all) woman would have shunned. And that wasn’t because we didn’t like sex, either. It was because the sort of market described here had not yet gone into effect:

As Baumeister and Vohs note, sex in consensual relationships”¦commences only when women decide it does. And yet despite the fact that women are holding the sexual purse strings, they aren’t asking for much in return these days””the market “price” of sex is currently very low. There are several likely reasons for this. One is the spread of pornography: Since high-speed digital porn gives men additional sexual options””more supply for his elevated demand””it takes some measure of price control away from women. The Pill lowered the cost as well. There are also, quite simply, fewer social constraints on sexual relationships than there once were. As a result, the sexual decisions of young women look more like those of men than they once did, at least when women are in their twenties. The price of sex is low, in other words, in part because its costs to women are lower than they used to be.

But just as critical is the fact that a significant number of young men are faring rather badly in life, and are thus skewing the dating pool. It’s not that the overall gender ratio in this country is out of whack; it’s that there’s a growing imbalance between the number of successful young women and successful young men. As a result, in many of the places where young people typically meet””on college campuses, in religious congregations, in cities that draw large numbers of twentysomethings””women outnumber men by significant margins.

The booty call is described by Jonason as a compromise. But it seems to me to be a compromise that skews more towards the adolescent male ideal of a sexual encounter than the female one. But if I were to do a poll of present-day young women, I wonder whether they’d agree with what I just wrote. It’s my impression that many young women today believe it is part of their liberation to accept and even desire sex without strings, and to consider it a badge of modernity and emancipation. But they have been raised in a society that imparts that notion to them, and have probably been greatly influenced by it. Female sexuality hasn’t changed, but female attitudes towards it have.

Men are hardly sitting pretty, either. Just take a look at all those discussion boards full of disgruntled and/or rageful men who feel (no doubt some of them with great reason) that they’ve been used by the women in their lives, either financially or sexually or both.

Posted in Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | 28 Replies

Happy New Year!

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2014 by neoFebruary 26, 2025

Here it comes again, folks, New Years Eve. The night it’s obligatory to have a rollicking good time.

Why, I’m not so sure. Perhaps because the passage of the years can be depressing, especially after the age of forty or so. Or perhaps it’s because we have to face learning to write a different number on our checks just when we’ve finally gotten used to the old one.

And then there’s the drinking. In previous years, I offered this hangover recipe for the day after, even though I don’t really drink.

As for tonight, I’m planning a quiet time. That’s the prerogative of age, although to tell you the truth I’ve never been a big New Years Eve carouser.

And then there are the ubiquitous resolutions. This year I’ve fastened on a single one: to go to bed earlier (although not on New Years!). It’s a goal I’ve focused on before—actually, every year for quite some time. Obviously I’ve had a lot of trouble keeping it, since here I am, trying again. I’ve always been a tremendous nightowl, and being a blogger hasn’t helped me any in my (admittedly weak) efforts to change my nightowl proclivities.

So a very HAPPY NEW YEAR to all of you! Are you planning anything fun?

2015 New Year celebration

[NOTE: This is an revised version of a previous post.]

Posted in Me, myself, and I | 25 Replies

Revisiting Tawana Brawley and Al Sharpton

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2014 by neoDecember 31, 2014

My latest piece is up at PJ: “Revisiting Tawana Brawley and Al Sharpton.”

Plus é§a change, plus c’est la méªme chose.

And Al Sharpton has never been riding higher than he is now, having been given the White House’s cachet of approval.

Posted in Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex, People of interest, Race and racism | 15 Replies

Obama: it was a very good year

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2014 by neoDecember 31, 2014

Have you noticed all the end-year political summaries about how great Obama has been in 2014, despite some setbacks? Not to mention Obama’s own glowing assessment? And the approval polls climbing upward into comfortable territory again?

Its the meme the media and the administration have been pushing, relying on the ADD and suggestibility of the American public. Obama and the MSM count on most people not paying close attention; after all, life contains a lot more than boring old politics.

Don’t ever forget, either, that some of Obama’s earlier low approval ratings came from people on the left thinking Obama was not being leftist enough. His more recent boldness on that score despite the 2014 election results have delighted them.

The threat Obama represents to the Constitution? Most people neither know nor care about the Constitution—just results, and if they like the results they don’t see any danger. To way too many people the Constitution is some fusty book written by old white men, something they were told long ago to learn about and respect but didn’t and don’t. They have no idea what the Constitution protects them from, or how brilliant it is, or why, or how. And it is the design of those who would thwart the Constitution to keep them ignorant, helped along by laziness, the press, and human nature.

But I hate to be so negative, especially on New Years Eve. Here’s to a wonderful 2015!

Posted in Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Obama, Politics | 14 Replies

I’m a bit surprised…

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2014 by neoDecember 31, 2014

…that this article doesn’t refer to the man who tried to run down cops with his car as “unarmed.”

Posted in Law, Violence | 1 Reply

Who should investigate police abuse?

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2014 by neoDecember 30, 2014

I don’t usually agree with The New Yorker’s Jeffrey Toobin, but this is a fairly good article:

When local district attorneys investigate local police officers, there is an inherent conflict of interest. In virtually all usual circumstances, police and prosecutors are partners, working together to build cases against defendants. This is especially true in a place like Staten Island, where the elected district attorney, Dan Donovan, both works closely with the police and answers to many of them as his constituents. As Schneinderman noted, on the rare occasions when prosecutors investigate the police, even when all parties act with the best of intentions, “the question is whether there is public confidence that justice has been served*, especially in cases where homicide or other serious charges against the accused officer are not pursued or are dismissed prior to a jury trial.”

Schneinderman, the AG of the state of New York, has proposed a solution: appoint the AG! But even the Democratic DA of Brooklyn, Kenneth Thompson, has rejected that idea in no uncertain terms:

Thompson pointed to potential practical problems””saying that it would stretch the attorney general too thin, particularly if it came to include all accusations of police brutality, not just those that ended in death. But Thompson’s objections were also more profound. “As the duly elected district attorney of Brooklyn, I am more than able to thoroughly and fairly investigate any fatality of an unarmed civilian by a police officer,” Thompson said. Indeed, Thompson recently brought a police-brutality case against two officers, and is investigating the recent police-shooting death of an unarmed man in a housing project.

The solutions are hard to come by.

It reminds me of a knotty problem that occurs a lot in law (and elsewhere, too): how to replace a flawed system with a system that isn’t even more flawed than the one it replaced. More often than not (although certainly not always!) in law, I’ve observed that it tends to be better to have a system that features more variation, more local control, and more people making decisions, than to streamline the process and have fewer people or one person making decisions (special prosecutor, complete federal control).

That is the inherent problem with special prosecutors. Not only are they not answerable to the people they serve, and especially the local community, but they are only one person. Toobin writes [emphasis mine]:

Still, special prosecutors are not necessarily good or bad. Like the locals they replace, they are only as good as the cases they bring, or refrain from bringing. That, ultimately, will rest on the good judgment of the individuals involved, and no one has yet figured out a way of putting the right person in place all the time.

I hope that last (emphasized) part of Toobin’s sentence was meant to be somewhat tongue-in-cheek, and that he realizes such a thing would be impossible. There can be no “right person all the time.” If Toobin isn’t aware of that, it’s a flaw in his thinking.

[ * NOTE: There are a great many members of the public whose definition of “justice” appears to be ends-based rather than means-based. That is, they decide what result they want to see based on their politics and feelings rather than the evidence, and then if the process doesn’t yield that verdict they define the process itself as unjust. Such people will not be satisfied by a mere change of process unless it reliably yields the verdicts they wish to see.]

Posted in Law, Violence | 20 Replies

Happy New Year and away with trans fat sprinkles

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2014 by neoDecember 30, 2014

Eat up on those sprinkles for the next two days, they’re going the way of other trans fats:

…[T]he federal ubernannies have decreed that sprinkles should no longer adorn kids’ ice cream because they contain the trans fat that liberal groups once pushed for.

Come the New Year, the Food and Drug Administration, ignoring the principle that in most cases it’s the dose that defines the poison, will issue new regulations designed to remove even trace amounts of hydrogenate oils, commonly known as trans fats, from our diets.

I wonder how many people eat enough sprinkles to matter. I’m certainly not one of them. Sprinkles used to taste better when I was a kid; maybe because back then they weren’t made of trans fats? When trans fats came into play the health pushers said they were better for you than the other sort of fat. Woe, the irony!:

…[T]rans fats were once pushed by liberal groups such as the Center for Science in the Public Interest. This poster child for the food police in 1988 published a book titled “Saturate Fat Attack” that condemned the use of saturated and polyunsaturated fats then in vogue. Food companies soon switched to trans fats, a move for which CSPI proudly took credit.

The worm turns, what goes up must come down.

But when I read the news about sprinkles I couldn’t quite imagine that food manufacturers would give up on them so easily. Won’t the trans fat sprinkle be replaced by some other type of fat sprinkle? Inquiring minds wish to know, and since my mind is certainly inquiring I discovered to my relief that the sprinkle will go on:

In fact, the Paulaur Corporation has already removed trans fats from its line of sprinkles by using a non hydrogenated palm oil…

“Food police” opponent Jayson Lusk argued that there was no need to ban trans fats because food companies had already reduced the amount that was used because of new labeling laws.

So don’t worry, be happy.

And in New England, it’s all about the jimmies. When I first emigrated there, I was stunned to discover that the little thingees New Yorkers and the rest of America call “sprinkles” are called “jimmies” there. No reason for it; they just are, and that’s that, and no, it’s not a racist thing.

Posted in Food, Health, New England | 26 Replies

Does anyone think…

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2014 by neoDecember 30, 2014

…this won’t ultimately end with doctors being ordered to take Medicaid patients, or else find another profession?:

Just as millions of people are gaining insurance through Medicaid, the program is poised to make deep cuts in payments to many doctors, prompting some physicians and consumer advocates to warn that the reductions could make it more difficult for Medicaid patients to obtain care.

The Affordable Care Act provided a big increase in Medicaid payments for primary care in 2013 and 2014. But the increase expires on Thursday ”” just weeks after the Obama administration told the Supreme Court that doctors and other providers had no legal right to challenge the adequacy of payments they received from Medicaid.

The impact will vary by state, but a study by the Urban Institute, a nonpartisan research organization, estimates that doctors who have been receiving the enhanced payments will see their fees for primary care cut by 43 percent, on average.

Stephen Zuckerman, a health economist at the Urban Institute and co-author of the report, said Medicaid payments for primary care services could drop by 50 percent or more in California, Florida, New York and Pennsylvania, among other states.

I wrote “ultimately end” with doctors being required to take Medicaid patients or leave medicine. But that probably won’t be the ultimate end; government-run health care will.

I wrote about much the same issue a little over a year ago. In that post, I also discussed what had happened to the practice of medicine in the Soviet Union, and its legacy in the Russia of today. It makes very sobering reading.

Posted in Uncategorized | 35 Replies

Found

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2014 by neoDecember 30, 2014

One wouldn’t think that news of wreckage and multiple bodies being pulled from the sea could be classified as “good.”

But given what we already very strongly suspected—which was that AirAsia Flight QZ8501 had crashed, and that the likelihood of survivors was very poor—and given the continued unknown whereabouts of Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, the news that the wreckage of QZ8501 has been found and that 40 bodies have been recovered so far can be considered “good” in the relative sense, despite its horrific nature.

There was always more hope of finding this plane than of locating Flight 370. We didn’t know much about QZ8591, but at least we knew that it had encountered bad weather, and that it had probably gone down suddenly in waters that were less than 150 feet deep. Had it not been for the mystery of Flight 370, it would have assumed that QZ8501 would have been found in due time. That is what has happened, and there is every reason to suppose that the flight data recorder and cockpit voice recorder will be recovered and we will learn the most likely cause of the disaster.

The plane was found about six miles from where it lost radio contact with the ground, and there are reports that a plane-shaped “shadow” can be seen under the water. In addition:

The aircraft’s last request – to climb higher to avoid a storm – was turned down…

Geoffrey Thomas, editor of AirlineRatings.com, told Sky News: “We have a radar plot which shows the plane actually climbing through 36,300ft – it wasn’t given permission to do that.

“It also shows that its speed had decayed by 134mph and dropped dramatically to a level where it couldn’t sustain flight.”

I heard a supposed aviation expert on some cable news program saying that pilots usually are steered around storms, not above them, because the storm ceiling is often high and gaining altitude can cause more instability rather than less. Any pilots out there might be able to say whether that is correct.

RIP to all the victims, and prayers for their grieving families and friends.

Posted in Disaster | 12 Replies

Looking back: a portrait of Obama in law school

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2014 by neoDecember 29, 2014

This article appeared at HuffPo in 2008. It was written by Jackie Fuchs, a woman who went to law school with Obama, and is one of those pieces that are enriched by hindsight.

The following excerpt from the portrait of Obama should seem very recognizable to anyone who’s been around for the past six years. But back in 2008 most people probably found it way too critical. My only surprise is that HuffPo published it back then:

When I met Barack Obama, in our first year of law school, he had already put on his big-time politician act. He just didn’t quite have it polished, and he hadn’t figured out that he needed charm and humor to round out the confidence and intelligence. One of our classmates once famously noted that you could judge just how pretentious someone’s remarks in class were by how high they ranked on the “Obamanometer,” a term that lasted far longer than our time at law school. Obama didn’t just share in class – he pontificated. He knew better than everyone else in the room, including the teachers…

The Barack with whom I went to school wasn’t the Barack that debuted on the national stage at the 2004 Democratic National Convention, but the president suit was already on, even if it was still too big for him. In law school the only thing I would have voted for Obama to do would have been to shut up. When he made that speech almost exactly four years ago, I wanted to vote for him. For something, for anything. Now, as his vision of himself becomes a real possibility, though, I find that he may have filled out that suit all too well. It’s hard to see the humanity underneath. Even the humor feels calculated now.

Interesting that Fuchs thought Obama obnoxiously arrogant and full of himself in law school, but by the time she heard his 2004 speech she was completely taken in. He had mastered a way to mask the narcissism and cast a spell among even those who knew better.

Fuchs doesn’t seem to have written anything political since 2009, at least nothing I can find online. I wonder what she thinks of Obama now? She can get to say “I told you so” if she cares to, but she doesn’t seem to care to.

Posted in Academia, Law, Obama | 39 Replies

Ludwig von Mises has some things to tell us [Part II]

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2014 by neoDecember 29, 2014

[Part I here.]

Some more gems from von Mises:

Representative democracy cannot subsist if a great part of the voters are on the government pay roll. If the members of parliament no longer consider themselves mandatories of the taxpayers but deputies of those receiving salaries, wages, subsidies, doles, and other benefits from the treasury, democracy is done for.

Experience shows that nothing is operated with less economy and with more waste of labor and material of every kind than public services and undertakings. Private enterprise on the other hand naturally induces the owner to work with the greatest economy in his own interest.

What distinguishes civilized man from a barbarian must be acquired by every individual anew.

Modern civilization will not perish unless it does so by its own act of self-destruction. No external enemy can destroy it.

It is not true that the dangers to the maintenance of peace, democracy, freedom, and capitalism are a result of a revolt of the masses. They are an achievement of scholars and intellectuals, of sons of the well-to-do, of writers and artists pampered by the best society.

The only task of the strictly Liberal state is to secure life and property against attacks both from external and internal foes.

The concept of a just or fair price is devoid of any scientific meaning; it is a disguise for wishes, a striving for a state of affairs different from reality.

Many of our contemporaries are firmly convinced that what is needed to render all human affairs perfectly satisfactory is brutal suppression of all bad people, i.e., of those with whom they disagree.

Government is not, as some people like to say, a necessary evil; it is not an evil, but a means, the only means available to make peaceful human coexistence possible. But it is the opposite of liberty. It is beating, imprisoning, hanging. Whatever a government does it is ultimately supported by the actions of armed constables. If the government operates a school or a hospital, the funds required are collected by taxes, i.e., by payments exacted from the citizens.

The government pretends to be endowed with the mystical power to accord favors out of an inexhaustible horn of plenty. It is both omniscient and omnipotent. It can by a magic wand create happiness and abundance.

No one can find a safe way out for himself if society is sweeping towards destruction. Therefore everyone, in his own interests, must thrust himself vigorously into the intellectual battle. None can stand aside with unconcern; the interests of everyone hang on the result.

Only the literati are enthusiastic about poverty, i.e., the poverty of others. The rest of mankind, however, prefer prosperity to misery.

The intellectual leaders of the peoples have produced and propagated the fallacies which are on the point of destroying liberty and Western civilization.

Man can never become omniscient. He can never be absolutely certain that his inquiries were not misled and that what he considers as certain truth is not error. All that man can do is to submit all his theories again and again to the most critical reexamination.

Lenin’s ideal was to build a nation’s production effort according to the model of the post office.

It is a fact that a hundred years ago only a few people anticipated the over-powering momentum which the anti-libertarian ideas were destined to acquire in a very short time. The ideal of liberty seemed to be so firmly rooted that everybody thought that no reactionary movement could ever succeed in eradicating it.

Marx and Engels never tried to refute their opponents with argument. They insulted, ridiculed, derided, slandered, and traduced them, and in the use of these methods their followers are not less expert. Their polemic is directed never against the argument of the opponent, but always against his person.

There is no evidence that social evolution must move steadily upwards in a straight line. Social standstill and social retrogression are historical facts which we cannot ignore. World history is the graveyard of dead civilizations.

The incomparable success of Marxism is due to the prospect it offers of fulfilling those dream-aspirations and dreams of vengeance which have been so deeply imbedded in the human soul from time immemorial. It promises a Paradise on earth, a Land of Hearts Desire full of happiness and enjoyment, and ”” sweeter still to the losers in life’s game ”” humiliation of all who are stronger and better than the multitude. Logic and reasoning, which might show the absurdity of such dreams of bliss and revenge, are to be thrust aside.”¦ It is against Logic, against Science and against the activity of thought itself.

That last one just may be my favorite. But they’re all good.

Posted in Finance and economics, Liberals and conservatives; left and right, People of interest | 21 Replies

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