[NOTE: I know there are other topics than Iran. But Iran is really really on my mind. So here’s another post about it; there’s so much Iran news, however, I can only scratch the surface.]
During most modern wars until recent decades, the dead were soldiers at fronts and/or civilians who were bombed or who starved. Weapons were precise only when they were close up and personal. Bombs were imprecise, and they were used often.
Starting with the Gulf War we have used “smart bombs” that have gotten smarter and smarter and smarter. Also, starting in the 1970s, we’ve had an all-volunteer military and no draft. These two things have contributed to making us more averse than ever to having any soldiers killed. That’s very life-affirming, and I certainly don’t want a single soldier killed, but it also means that as our weapons get better and better we have become so risk-averse that we usually no longer use approaches that will decisively win wars.
In this war against Iran, we also are facing something else new in our warfare history, as far as I can tell. Iran isn’t just a tyrannical regime (we’ve certainly fought those before), nor is it just terrorists or states that shield terrorists (we’ve also fought those before). It is a terrorist regime that has waged a 47-year terrorist war against us, Israel, and the west in general.
Hamas is/was also a terrorist regime – and happens to also be a client/ally of Iran. But we haven’t been at war with Hamas. Israel fought that war, and we assisted them with military supplies. Plus, Gaza is a very small place.
Iran, on the other hand, is very large. And we are currently at war with them, or at least in an extended military operation of large proportions. They have been at war with us for their entire existence, but mostly through terrorism because they didn’t have the reach for anything else. The main reason we attacked them is that they were intent on expanding that reach and its lethality, and had already done so to an alarming extent.
In WWII the war had fronts and leaders were behind the lines in undisclosed places. I strongly believe that if we could have assassinated Hitler we would have done so. We couldn’t. Even the German Resistance failed to do it, although it tried very hard. We did manage, however, to do things like kill Japan’s Admiral Yamamoto:
To boost morale following the defeat at Guadalcanal, Yamamoto decided to make an inspection tour throughout the South Pacific. It was during this tour that U.S. officials commenced an operation to kill him. On April 14, 1943, the United States naval intelligence effort, codenamed “Magic”, intercepted and decrypted a message containing specifics of Yamamoto’s tour …
President Franklin D. Roosevelt may have authorized Secretary of the Navy Frank Knox to “get Yamamoto”, but no official record of such an order exists …
On the morning of April 18, despite urging by local commanders to cancel the trip for fear of ambush, Yamamoto’s two Mitsubishi G4M bombers, used as fast transport aircraft without bombs, left Rabaul as scheduled for the 315 mi (507 km) trip. Sixteen P-38s intercepted the flight over Bougainville, and a dogfight ensued between them and the six escorting Mitsubishi A6M Zeroes. First Lieutenant Rex T. Barber engaged the first of the two Japanese transports, which turned out to be T1-323, the one Yamamoto was travelling in. He fired on the aircraft until it began to spew smoke from its left engine. Barber turned away to attack the other transport as Yamamoto’s aircraft crashed into the jungle.
Yamamoto’s death was a major blow to Japanese military morale.
One of the interesting things about the Iran War is what it reveals about Israel’s penetration of Iran in terms of intelligence. Israel probably had the technical and intelligence ability to do this sort of killing of leading Iranian figures previously, but didn’t until now because it required not only the political will to do so but also the degrading of Iran’s air surveillance capacities as well as the weakening of Iran’s aggressive proxies that surrounded Israel. Previously, Israel seems to have thought bombing Iran’s nuclear facilities and killing scientists would do the trick. It didn’t. October 7 happened, waged by Iran proxies and originally planned to include Hezbollah, and it was a moment of sharp truth for the Israelis. The would be a war for its very existence.
I think many people underestimate how very different this war is from other wars we have fought. And yes, although regime change isn’t the stated goal, it is a goal in the indirect sense of facilitating its occurrence through the action of the Iranian people themselves.
And that is another difference – the Iranian people are strongly on our side. It is their own government that has warred against them. Unfortunately, it’s the Iranian government that has the weapons and not its people – at least so far.
