… which is that for the most part terrorists rely on the creations of Western technology.
9/11 was an excellent example of that. In a jijitsu-like move, the terrorists turned a modern Western invention – jet planes – against one of the societies that had created and maintained that invention. The move was utterly unexpected by the US government – although imaginative writers such as Tom Clancy had come close to envisioning it.
And if Iran gets a nuclear weapon capacity – and it seems well on its way – it won’t be because Iranian scientists came up with the idea and launched a Manhattan Project.
Nor did any Arab nation come up with the idea or technology of pagers (or walkie talkies – source of today’s new Hezbollah casualties). Even wealthy Arab nations such as the Gulf States get their income mostly from oilfields which were originally developed by Westerners and are only of any value because of Western inventions which make use of oil energy.
Even as early as 9/11, Arab terrorists made tremendous use of the internet. They are well aware, however, that although reliance on modern technology gives them greatly increased reach and power and the ability to coordinate attacks and spread propaganda about them, it also creates a vulnerability. That’s why Hezbollah had abandoned cellphones as too dangerous, and replaced them recently with pagers and walkie-talkies – probably to their great dismay at this point.
A commenter yesterday suggested, perhaps tongue-in-cheek, that terrorists might now resort to carrier pigeon. It’s a possibility, however, and was done (for example) by ISIS in 2016.
Israel, in contrast, is a country known for technological innovations. But it’s over-reliance on technology for military intelligence was one of the things that made it vulnerable on 10/7, when its leaders showed a failure of imagination that Hamas exploited. I hope it doesn’t make that mistake again. And I doubt Hezbollah will be using cellphones or pagers or walkie-talkies in the future. At the very least, it won’t be ordering them in bulk from foreign countries.

