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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Terrorists and technology: the exploding pagers point out a fact about modern-day terrorists

The New Neo Posted on September 18, 2024 by neoSeptember 18, 2024

… which is that for the most part terrorists rely on the creations of Western technology.

9/11 was an excellent example of that. In a jijitsu-like move, the terrorists turned a modern Western invention – jet planes – against one of the societies that had created and maintained that invention. The move was utterly unexpected by the US government – although imaginative writers such as Tom Clancy had come close to envisioning it.

And if Iran gets a nuclear weapon capacity – and it seems well on its way – it won’t be because Iranian scientists came up with the idea and launched a Manhattan Project.

Nor did any Arab nation come up with the idea or technology of pagers (or walkie talkies – source of today’s new Hezbollah casualties). Even wealthy Arab nations such as the Gulf States get their income mostly from oilfields which were originally developed by Westerners and are only of any value because of Western inventions which make use of oil energy.

Even as early as 9/11, Arab terrorists made tremendous use of the internet. They are well aware, however, that although reliance on modern technology gives them greatly increased reach and power and the ability to coordinate attacks and spread propaganda about them, it also creates a vulnerability. That’s why Hezbollah had abandoned cellphones as too dangerous, and replaced them recently with pagers and walkie-talkies – probably to their great dismay at this point.

A commenter yesterday suggested, perhaps tongue-in-cheek, that terrorists might now resort to carrier pigeon. It’s a possibility, however, and was done (for example) by ISIS in 2016.

Israel, in contrast, is a country known for technological innovations. But it’s over-reliance on technology for military intelligence was one of the things that made it vulnerable on 10/7, when its leaders showed a failure of imagination that Hamas exploited. I hope it doesn’t make that mistake again. And I doubt Hezbollah will be using cellphones or pagers or walkie-talkies in the future. At the very least, it won’t be ordering them in bulk from foreign countries.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Science, Terrorism and terrorists, War and Peace | 17 Replies

Open thread 9/18/2024

The New Neo Posted on September 18, 2024 by neoSeptember 18, 2024

Mark Knopfler looks so happy here. He wrote this song. The Everly Brothers are way past their prime, but boy do they still sound good. And Chet Atkins looks like George W. Bush to me:

Posted in Uncategorized | 51 Replies

Is the ABC whistleblower bona fide?

The New Neo Posted on September 17, 2024 by neoSeptember 17, 2024

By now you’ve probably heard that there’s a supposed ABC whistleblower saying the debate was rigged, and it is alleged that he signed an affidavit to that effect on September 9 and sent copies to himself registered mail, as well as to others such as Speaker Johnson.

It’s either for real or a hoax, and we don’t know which at this point. I can’t find any statements by Johnson on the matter, for example.

Here’s what ABC debate moderator Linsey Davis has said about pre-debate agreements:

ABC News’ Linsey Davis, one of two moderators for last week’s presidential debate, admitted to the Los Angeles Times that the plan was only to fact-check former President Donald Trump, and not Vice President Kamala Harris.

As Breitbart News noted, Davis and co-moderator David Muir fact-checked Trump seven times — often incorrectly — while never fact-checking Harris once, even when she used hoaxes, such as the Charlottesville “very fine people” hoax.

Davis told the Times that ABC had deliberately targeted Trump — and only Trump — because of perceptions that he had been allowed to get away with false statements in the CNN debate against President Joe Biden in late June.

I can’t get to the LA Times story and see what Linsey actually said, but although I agree that all the fact-checking (much of it false, by the way) was against Trump, and that Harris was allowed to get away with lie after lie after lie, I would be surprised if Linsey Davis flat-out admitted “we only wanted to fact-check Trump.” And sure enough, I see here:

Despite zero fact-checks for Harris, Davis insisted that her team intended to fact-check both candidates throughout the course of the night.

The Times stated, “With co-moderator David Muir, Davis had studied hours of campaign rallies and interviews to prepare for the much-anticipated event at Philadelphia’s National Constitution Center, and were ready to counter the candidates’ most egregious statements.”

Davis countered accusations of bias by stating that she and Muir could not catch every misstatement, the Times reported, without noting that none of Harris’ incorrect statements received rebukes.

Horse pucky. It would have been simplicity itself to fact-check Harris. She uttered many lies, all predictable. Davis and Muir are either so abysmally ignorant that they should never be allowed on the air again, or would like to pretend to be just that stupid and negligent. It’s ye olde fool versus knave question, and I feel confident in saying that both are operative but almost certainly the “knave” factor is most in ascendance.

ABC has issued a statement on the whistleblower’s allegations, a highly inadequate one:

However, an initial statement from ABC did not address the specific claims made within the document, saying: ‘ABC News followed the debate rules that both campaigns agreed on and which clearly state: No topics or questions will be shared in advance with campaigns or candidates.’

A spokesperson for the network was subsequently forced to issue a more full-throated denial to the Daily Beast. ‘Absolutely not. Harris was not given any questions before the date,’ the spokesperson said.

But this is a strawman argument. The accusation wasn’t that Harris was given the actual questions flat out. The affidavit actually alleged that, “the Harris campaign was provided with sample questions that, while not the exact questions, covered similar topics that would appear during the debate.” Other whistleblower allegations included that the Harris campaign was assured that only Trump would be fact-checked and not Harris, and that certain topics listed by Harris to be off-limits wouldn’t be asked about. If there really is an affidavit listing these things, and it was truly dated the day before, that absolutely needs investigating.

Posted in Election 2024, Press | Tagged Kamala Harris | 15 Replies

Ryan Routh’s Iranian connections

The New Neo Posted on September 17, 2024 by neoSeptember 17, 2024

We all know that Iran would dearly love to assassinate Trump – although Iran’s not the only one. With the recent assassination attempts comes the idea that one or both of the would-be assassins were financed or helped by Iran. For Crooks, I don’t see much evidence on which to hang such a possibility, but Routh had a very different history and online profile that makes such a theory more plausible.

I still think it most likely Routh did this all on his own, but I don’t think it’s crazy to think he was recruited by Iran. At the very least, there are some strange connections. Here’s one:

In information shared with Townhall.com, Sarah Adams, a former CIA targeter and intelligence analyst, shared a Be On The Lookout warning (BOLO) from June 2, 2023 warning of criminal activities by Ryan Routh: …

“Beware of American Ryan Routh. Reports indicate that he is leading a human trafficking scheme. He is instructing Afghans to travel illegally to Iran with the promise they will link up eventually with the Ukrainian legion to fight. This is a fraud as NO official pathway exists for this from the Ukrainian Government for our allies in Afghanistan. Also, despite promised funding support it has not come to fruition and he has abandoned Afghans illegally in Iran.”

Does that mean he actually got some Afghans into Iran? How did he do that? Did he have contacts in Iran? Where did his money come from?

And in Routh’s self-published book he wrote:

“You are free to assassinate Trump,” Routh wrote of Iran in an apparently self-published book in 2023, “Ukraine’s Unwinnable War,” which described the former President as a “fool” and “buffoon” for both the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riots and the “tremendous blunder” of leaving the Iran nuclear deal.

So he was greatly in favor of Obama’s Iran nuclear deal. Interesting.

The Ukrainians wanted no part of Routh:

But Routh never served in the Ukrainian army or worked with its military, said Oleksandr Shahuri of the Foreigners Coordination Department of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Command.

Shahuri told AP that Routh periodically contacted the International Legion of Ukraine with what he described as “nonsensical ideas” that “can best be described as delusional.”

Although Iran is trying to kill Trump, would they hire a loony tune like Routh? Then again, how did he get his traveling funds?

I wrote all that before I watched this video, which contains more information and speculation:

Posted in Iran, People of interest, Trump, Violence | 19 Replies

Paging Hezbollah

The New Neo Posted on September 17, 2024 by neoSeptember 17, 2024

I didn’t even know that this could be done or how this could be done, but apparently it’s a real story. This time, the word “unprecedented” is fully warranted (unless you’re talking about a science fiction writer’s fevered dream):

At least nine people were killed and thousands were injured when pagers held by Hezbollah members across Lebanon exploded on Tuesday afternoon, in what appeared to be a widescale, coordinated attack attributed to Israel.

The unprecedented wave of explosions, which also reportedly killed and injured several people in Syria, sparked chaos in a region already on high alert for the outbreak of full-scale hostilities.

It came hours after Israel designated the halting of Hezbollah’s attacks one of its main war goals and announced that it had foiled an assassination attempt by the Iranian proxy group against a former senior official.

Lebanese Health Minister Firas Abiad said in an evening press conference that nine people were killed and 2,750 more were injured in the blasts, including some 200 people in critical condition.

Iranian proxy Hezbollah has clearly been contemplating a huge attack on Israel in addition to the rockets that rain on Israel daily and have meant that, ever since October 7, citizens who ordinarily live in the northern part of Israel have been mostly evacuated and living as internal refugees.

Hezbollah claims that some non-Hezbollah members died or were injured in this pager attack, and I don’t doubt it. However, these were pagers, not cellphones, and therefore I would imagine there isn’t a whole lot of lending out of one’s pager.

An attack of this type has tremendous shock value in the psychological sense in addition to the physical sense. The message is something like: “we see when when you’re sleeping, we know when you’re awake – and we can get you in ways you’ve never even imagined.” It also adds to the perception that the Israeli intelligence forces still have nearly-magical powers, although those powers were sorely lacking on October 7.

As I already said, I haven’t a clue how this could be done. Did the pagers originate in Israel in the first place? I doubt it. Perhaps some Israeli scientists were told, by some Hezbollah-based spy or mole, what sort of paging equipment the terrorists of Hezbollah use, and a vulnerability in the lithium batteries was exploited. This article says that Hezbollah used to employ mobile phones but switched to pagers, but doesn’t say when. Also:

“It looks likely that the pagers they [Hezbollah] purchased may have been compromised and turned into remote bombs,” [an anonymous Israeli] security expert said, stressing that this was just speculation based on his expertise.

Related theories here:

Reportedly, the Israeli intelligence send a message to the pagers which shortened the batteries of the pagers, causing them to explode.

Another, less Tom Clancy‘ish explanation would be that these fighters all belonged to the same unit and someone sabotaged them (assuming here that pagers are routinely collected, stored and distributed; which would mean that pagers were distributed this morning; perhaps it’s a mix of both).

In other words, who knows?

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Violence, War and Peace | 30 Replies

Open thread 9/17/2024

The New Neo Posted on September 17, 2024 by neoSeptember 17, 2024

IMHO the greatest interpreter of Chopin ever. In this clip, Horowitz’s wife – Toscanini’s daughter Wanda – seems rather annoyed:

Posted in Uncategorized | 45 Replies

RIP Michaela DePrince

The New Neo Posted on September 16, 2024 by neoSeptember 16, 2024

I was shocked and saddened to read yesterday of the extremely untimely death of ballet dancer Michaela DePrince. To compound the sorrow, her mother died a day later. It’s an incredible tragedy for the family and for Michaela’s sister Mia in particular, who had become very close to Michaela when they were both little children in a Sierra Leone orphanage. Mia’s and Michaela’s lives were utterly transformed when they were adopted by the same American family and they became sisters for real.

I wrote this post ten years ago about Michaela’s story. Her life could rightly be considered inspirational; she triumphed over great odds and hardship early on. In that previous post I included this video, but I’ll include it again:

Michaela DePrince was twenty-nine years old. Her family has not revealed her cause of death; perhaps they don’t even know it yet. Her mother died of unrelated causes without learning that Michaela had died, nor did Michaela know her mother was about to die (see also this).

Posted in Dance, Health, People of interest | 7 Replies

SCOTUS now leaks like a sieve

The New Neo Posted on September 16, 2024 by neoSeptember 16, 2024

Now we have another reminder of how far this country has degenerated. The NY Times recently published this piece about recent SCOTUS deliberations concerning the Trump cases. From this Reason article by Volokh:

First, this leak is far worse than the Dobbs leak. In Dobbs, one or more people exfiltrated a draft opinion from inside the Court, and somehow that opinion made its way to Politico. (Maybe Jodi Kantor can tell us how that happened!) It was devastating for the draft decision to become public, and it nearly led to the assassination of Justice Kavanaugh. But the aftermath of the leak was swift and overwhelming: the Court was placed on lockdown, and a sweeping investigation was launched to find the culprit(s). But the Trump leaks are systematic and thorough. We have insights of confidential memoranda, detailed conversations at conferences, KBJ’s changed vote, Justice Alito losing the Fischer majority, and information about many Roberts clerks were working on the case. This tapestry would require insights from so many different people. Moreover, all of this comes after the Dobbs leak when Chief Justice Roberts (apparently) put strict limitations on access to Court information. What did all of those measures accomplish? Apparently not much.

Second, and I alluded to this point in my earlier post, Justice Kagan is absent from this reporting. There is absolutely nothing about what she thought or did during these deliberations. There are insights into all of the other eight Justices, but nothing on Kagan. This isn’t new. Back in the day when Biskupic got the scoops, Kagan was also largely absent. I think it likely that Kagan, or at least Kagan surrogates, are behind these leaks. If Kagan is willing to publicly undermine her colleagues in a speech at the Ninth Circuit, why would she do any less off-the-record?

In recent years, the left has been chipping away at respect for the Court. They consider it an unacceptable outrage that, for the moment, it has a majority appointed by Republicans. The left sees the left as the only legitimate holder of power in all branches of government and all institutions.

Posted in Law, Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Press | 30 Replies

The would-be Trump assassin

The New Neo Posted on September 16, 2024 by neoSeptember 16, 2024

Ryan Routh, the guy who tried to assassinate Trump yesterday, seems like a Trump-hater (no surprise there) with a few screws loose (no surprise there either). Among other things, he’s very pro-Ukraine and has tried to somehow recruit soldiers to fight for that country. He’s also got a record in North Carolina:

Routh is a native of North Carolina, where his list of arrests includes simple drug possession, driving without a license, expired inspection and operating a vehicle with no insurance. In addition, the Greensboro News & Record reported in 2002 that Routh was arrested after barricading himself in his roofing company’s office during a three-hour standoff that followed a traffic stop in which he put his hand on a gun before fleeing.

Routh apparently voted for Trump in 2016 but later came to hate him and support Democrats.

One very interesting and revealing comment is by his son [my emphasis]:

The son of the alleged gunman who targeted former President Donald Trump on his Florida golf course Sunday said his dad hates Trump like “every reasonable person does” — but claimed he’s not a violent person, according to a report.

Oran Routh told the Daily Mail that his father, Ryan Routh, who was arrested in the alleged assassination attempt, isn’t a fan of the Republican nominee.

“I don’t like Trump either,” he added.

I’m glad we’ve got that cleared up – neither of them is one of those Trump-loving crazies. This particular form of virtue-signaling by Routh’s son is an excellent sign of how such hatred has been utterly mainstreamed by the relentless hammering home by Democrats and the MSM that Trump is literally Hitler and deserves to die.

Speaking of Democrats:

Kamala Harris openly joked about assassinating President Trump in 2018 as an audience of lobotomized clapping seals cheered

And you’re wondering how we ended up here?

pic.twitter.com/JH3m0Cbl9L

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) September 15, 2024

And who’s responsible for all the violence against Trump, according to the MSM? Why, Trump, of course.

From the Bee:

Democrats Accuse Trump Of Inciting Further Violence By Not Dying https://t.co/0nEo2Yo9fb pic.twitter.com/vQeoThwNgL

— The Babylon Bee (@TheBabylonBee) September 16, 2024

Posted in Election 2024, Trump, Violence | 54 Replies

Update on Gerard’s book

The New Neo Posted on September 16, 2024 by neoSeptember 16, 2024

The projected launch date for Gerard’s book of 46 essays – THE NAME IN THE STONE – is November 1. I’m about 95% sure everything will be in place by then. I’ll let you know the details of how to order the book as we get closer to that date, but I thought you might appreciate this heads-up.

Posted in Blogging and bloggers, Literature and writing | Tagged Gerard Vanderleun | 8 Replies

Open thread 9/16/2024

The New Neo Posted on September 16, 2024 by neoSeptember 16, 2024

I’ve written about Clive Wearing before. He’s still alive now, at 86, although this documentary seems to have been made about twenty years ago:

Posted in Uncategorized | 45 Replies

Another Trump assassination attempt

The New Neo Posted on September 15, 2024 by neoSeptember 15, 2024

The suspect is in custody, and Trump is completely unharmed.

You can read about it here.

Posted in Law, Trump, Violence | 72 Replies

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