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A blog about political change, among other things

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Open thread 9/25/2024

The New Neo Posted on September 25, 2024 by neoSeptember 25, 2024

Posted in Uncategorized | 48 Replies

Israel strikes targets in Lebanon

The New Neo Posted on September 24, 2024 by neoSeptember 24, 2024

It’s been known for a long time that Israel must degrade Hezbollah’s forces in Lebanon, because the Iran proxy is determined to destroy Israel. And although much of the world mouths sentiments about supporting Israel’s need to defend itself, when Israel actually does so it is accused of crimes it is not committing. It seems much of the world considers Israel’s self-defense to be a crime.

But Israelis have a stubborn desire to not be murdered or tortured or taken hostage by the enemies who surround it. And so, with the pager attacks a few days ago, the larger – and inevitable – attack on Hezbollah has begun. Talks will not deter either Iran (the country behind Hezbollah) or Hezbollah itself from action to destroy Israel, and that’s why this is necessary.

Hezbollah’s forces make Gaza look like pikers. If Hezbollah had joined in on October 7 with a large attack from the north, I think Israel would have been occupied and destroyed. That didn’t happen, and I’ve read that the reason was that Hamas jumped the gun on the attack, as it were, and Hezbollah was caught flat-footed. At any rate, here are some estimates:

According to estimates, prior to the October 7 massacre, Hezbollah had 40,000 short-range rockets able to travel up to 40 kilometers, as well as a few thousand medium-range rockets. …

Following the recent intensified strikes in Lebanon, the IDF estimates that approximately half of Hezbollah’s short- and medium-range rockets were hit.

However, Hezbollah still has a large supply of the missiles, as well as several thousand medium- and long-range rockets, as well as tens of thousand other short-range weapons which can reach up to 10 kilometers from the Israel-Lebanon border. The terror group also possesses UAVs and other types of weapons which may threaten Israel.

Over the past day, Hezbollah has fired around 200 rockets into Israeli territory. Israel, however, is assuming that if and when the terror group chooses to fire longer-range rockets, it will be able to do so.

The latest attacks by Israel involve this:

The Israel Defense Forces said it struck some 1,600 targets across Lebanon on Monday, including many homes it said housed weapons directly threatening the country, in the deadliest barrages of airstrikes since the 2006 war against Hezbollah, ratcheting up fears of a fresh outbreak of all-out conflict on the restive border.

“Fears of a fresh outbreak”? There’s been a simmering war there for a long time, and an outbreak of a larger war was inevitable. I’m no military expert, but I think it’s clear that when an enemy wants to destroy you and has the means and will to do so, war is going to break out. It’s a fantasy to think otherwise, or a self-deception. And if you don’t actually think otherwise but speak as though you do, then it’s a destructive lie.

More:

Speaking from an underground command room at military headquarters in Tel Aviv, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel was changing the balance of power with Hezbollah, signaling Israel would no longer play defense after months of cross-border violence.

Tens of thousands of Israelis have been displaced from their homes in northern Israel since last October by relentless Hezbollah rocket fire, and Israel’s cabinet last week designated the secure return of those residents to their homes as an official aim of the current conflict.

Most of the world doesn’t want those Israelis to return to their homes. But Israelis aren’t listening, nor should they be.

NOTE: Lebanon was once a fairly stable country where Muslims and Christians lived together in relative peace. Who destabilized it? It began with welcoming Palestinians to the country. A summary:

In 1970, the PLO attempted to overthrow a reigning monarch, King Hussein of Jordan, and following his quashing of the rebellion in what Arab historians call Black September, the PLO leadership and their troops fled from Jordan to Syria and finally Lebanon, where cross-border violence increased.

With headquarters moved to Beirut, PLO factions recruited new members from the Palestinian refugee camps. South Lebanon was nicknamed “Fatahland” due to the predominance there of Yasser Arafat’s Fatah organization. With its own army operating freely in Lebanon, the PLO had created a state within a state. By 1975, more than 300,000 Palestinian displaced persons lived in Lebanon. Aside from being used as an operation base for raids on Israel and against Israeli institutions across the world, the PLO and other Palestinian militant organizations also began a series of airplane hijack operations, targeting Israeli and international flights, carrying Israelis and Jews. The more profound effect on Lebanon was destabilization and increasing sectarian strife, which would eventually deteriorate into a full-blown civil war.

Israel intervened and drove the PLO out. Then Iran saw an opportunity and used Hezbollah to fill the power vacuum.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Terrorism and terrorists, Violence, War and Peace | 30 Replies

Routh’s son arrested for possession of child pornography

The New Neo Posted on September 24, 2024 by neoSeptember 24, 2024

They searched the computers and other devices of Oran Routh, the son of would-be Trump assassin Ryan Routh, and found hundreds of examples of child pornography. As a result, Oran Routh has been charged with receipt of and possession of child pornography.

I have some reservations about this. The search was of course initially in connection with his father’s assassination attempt, but at this point it’s hard to trust the authorities to be on the up and up; did they plant evidence for some reason? Nevertheless, my strong suspicion is that Oran Routh really has been a consumer of child pornography.

So my second reservation has to do with the harsh penalties for “mere” possession. I’m just not sure what penalties are appropriate for possessors. On the other hand, people who make or distribute or are connected with the making or distribution of child porn should have the book thrown at them. Child pornography is a huge scourge. And those who sexually abuse or molest children: likewise. Penalties should be great.

But the crime of possession of child pornography involves the downloading of the images created by the pornographers. The consumer gets off on these images, and that’s extremely creepy. In addition, it may or may not be a gateway to sexual exploitation by that person of children whom he (or she, but it’s overwhelmingly men) encounters in the real world, and if such abuse does occur, the penalties should be harsh. But what of those whose direct exploitation of children remains in the world of fantasy and imagery only?

The argument for strong punishment for such people is that, by looking at the photos or videos, they re-exploit the child and they also support and therefore encourage the business of those who make the pornography. These arguments have validity. I think possessors of child pornography should therefore be punished, but how much? That’s where I’m uncertain. The average sentence for possession seems to be 70 months. That’s about six years, although like most offenders, those sentenced for this crime often don’t serve their full terms.

Is this a fair penalty? Do the offenders get any treatment? Does treatment even work for this particular activity? Do the penalties have a deterrent effect? When someone with this particular perversion is in the privacy of his home and thinking about downloading child porn, does he even realize that this is a crime with harsh penalties? I think most people are well aware that the making or selling of such material is a terrible crime that directly involves the actual abuse of an actual child. But is there general awareness of the extent of the penalties for possession? And does that knowledge stop people from taking the risk? And should that lack of knowledge matter at all in terms of sentencing? Probably not.

I think almost everyone is aware that participating in child pornography in any way is wrong, however, although there are people who try to excuse it and normalize it. Same for child sexual abuse. Neither phenomenon is new, but like many things in society these days, the problems have been exacerbated, and the practices facilitated, by the computer. Things that were difficult and required special efforts to pursue – like child pornography – are now ridiculously simple to obtain online.

What’s more – and this is a different but related topic – children are getting access to adult porn online, and that is very dangerous as well. They are not at all ready for the intense experience, and to compound the problem much adult porn today involves violence against women. I have been impressed by the number of young girls identifying as trans in early adolescence who say that they began to feel that way as a reaction to seeing violence against women in online porn. That had become their perception of adult sex, since they had no actual experience of sex in the real world (or they themselves had been abused as children). In response, they developed a strong desire to escape their female identity, because that seemed to be the only way to avoid being the object of sexual violence.

Posted in Law, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | 20 Replies

Are these really pro-Kamala?

The New Neo Posted on September 24, 2024 by neoSeptember 24, 2024

When I saw these two Kamala Harris ads/cartoons at RedState, I figured that surely they must be spoofs meant to diss Harris. Unquestionably. They are that terrible.

But apparently they are really meant to boost Kamala Harris.

Here’s the first one. It offered by the abominable Lincoln Project, the place where ex-“conservatives” unite with far-leftists in their common cause of Trump-hatred. And true to form, that’s what the video is about as well: the unity of left and supposed-right or former right. In it, Sanders and Cheney look like two grumpy curmudgeons from “The Simpsons”:

Bernie Sanders and Dick Cheney are united on something… that tells us all we need to know. pic.twitter.com/N7JDE1ysJJ

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) September 22, 2024

Let that sink in.

And now, we have The Kammy. Before I posted it, I kept thinking that no, this can’t be a pro-Kamala effort. Cannot cannot be. It must be mockery. And so I did some more research, and apparently it was made by the writers of the original “The Nanny” theme, and they are indeed Kamala supporters:

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Kamala Harris | 31 Replies

Open thread 9/24/2024

The New Neo Posted on September 24, 2024 by neoSeptember 24, 2024

The Bee Gees’ music was more complex than you might imagine:

Posted in Uncategorized | 36 Replies

I noticed that the editing box for comments has shrunk down

The New Neo Posted on September 23, 2024 by neoSeptember 23, 2024

It’s still usable, but a bit more difficult.

I’m not sure why it happened or how to fix it. The plugin is updated, so it’s not that. Any suggestions?

Posted in Uncategorized | 9 Replies

Roundup

The New Neo Posted on September 23, 2024 by neoSeptember 23, 2024

There’s so much news I could go on and on. But here’s a small sample:

(1) Is Hezbollah’s Ali Karaki still safe, after an Israeli attack? Judge for yourself.

(2) Peggy Noonan, of all people – I stopped reading her long ago – calls Kamala Harris an “artless dodger.” Not a bad turn of phrase by Peggy:

Kamala Harris Is an Artless Dodger by @Peggynoonannychttps://t.co/PO4zpt9T9o

— Wall Street Journal Opinion (@WSJopinion) September 22, 2024

(3) Mark Robinson’s candidacy is apparently a train wreck and he is very likely to lose the NC gubernatorial election, and this was true even before evidence of his alleged previous offensive comments on a sex site years ago came out.

(4) Reporter Olivia Nuzzi has been sending nude-ish photos of herself to RFK Jr. Sounds like some sort of honey trap action to me, or perhaps she really is infatuated with him. Ah, female empowerment! At any rate, the fact that this is coming out now, after his endorsement of Trump, seems like an obvious attempt to hurt him by implying RFK cooperated and encouraged her. He does have a history of philandering, but if memory serves he says he stopped that long ago, probably when he got sober.

(5) Zelensky appears in Pennsylvania and speaks out against Trump and Vance. The Biden administration had flown him to Pennsylvania on a U.S. Air Force C-17. Zelensky’s actual statements appear to me to be more anti-Vance than anti-Trump. About the latter, his statements seem mixed. I have assumed Zelensky would prefer Harris to Trump anyway, for obvious reasons.

(6) That UN resolution the other day calling for Israel’s withdrawal from the supposedly “occupied territories” saw thirteen other nations on the side of “no,” along with the US. They are an assorted bunch. I don’t know the reasons for all of these to vote that way, but here’s the list: Argentina, Hungary, Paraguay, Palau, Micronesia, Nauru, Fiji, Tonga, Tuvalu, Papua New Guinea, Malawi, and Czechia. The article at the link goes into some of the reasons; Argentina’s was obvious, and it’s Milei.

Much of Western Europe, on the other hand, are shameless appeasers of terrorists. Many of those countries abstained, and some voted “yes” – Ireland and Belgium, for example, two of the most anti-Semitic and anti-Israel countries in Europe. Here’s the list:

Among the 43 countries that abstained were Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, and European Union countries Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Denmark, Germany, Italy, Lithuania, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, and Sweden.

New Zealand supported the resolution as did 13 EU nations: Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Greece, Ireland, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain.

Posted in Uncategorized | 49 Replies

Would-be assassin Routh offers a reward for Trump’s assassination

The New Neo Posted on September 23, 2024 by neoSeptember 23, 2024

This is puzzling as well as troubling – puzzling because supposedly the guy had/has very little money, and troubling because the DOJ decided to release the content:

Authorities got the letter from a civilian witness, who said Routh gave him a box several months ago.

The witness opened the box after the September 15 assassination attempt. It included the letter, “ammunition, a metal pipe, miscellaneous building materials, four phones, and various letters.”

“This was an assassination attempt on Donald Trump but I failed you,” wrote Routh. “I tried my best and gave it all the gumption I could muster. It is up to you now to finish the job; and I will offer $150,000 to whomever can complete the job.” …

“Everyone across the globe from the youngest to the oldest know that Trump is unfit to be anything, much less a U.S. president,” Routh continued. “U.S. presidents must at bare minimum embody the moral fabric that is America, and be kind, caring and selfless and always stand for humanity. Trump fails to understand any of that.”

So apparently the letter was written quite a while ago and only opened by the recipient after the assassination attempt. Did Routh give instructions to the person to only open it if anything happened to him? Did the person abide by that, and why would Routh have trusted him to not open it? It must have been very tempting. Has the letter been authenticated by the DOJ as being from Routh? It was entered as evidence “as part of prosecutors’ written arguments for why Routh should continue to be detained.” There will be a hearing on this today.

Does Routh really have that sort of money? If so, was it earned, or of some other provenance?

And why was the letter released to the public at this point? That seems somewhat unusual to me. I suppose it’s meant to establish a clear motive: assassination. To most people, I think that motive was already obvious. To others, it won’t convince them because they’ll say the letter is a scam or a feint.

And to some, will it be an inspiration? So many are already inspired, and not just by Routh but by motives similar to his. To me, this is the most informative part of the letter:

Everyone across the globe from the youngest to the oldest know that Trump is unfit to be anything, much less a U.S. president. U.S. presidents must at bare minimum embody the moral fabric that is America, and be kind, caring and selfless and always stand for humanity. Trump fails to understand any of that.

There’s so much there. Does Routh really think his views are shared by “everyone across the globe”? If so, how about that half of the American population who voted for him? Do they simply not exist? Does America’s moral fabric consist of kind, caring, selfless, and always “standing for humanity”? Are these the premier characteristics you want in a president? How is “standing for humanity” measured? Trump is quite anti-war; does that not count? Gold Star families say he has been kind to them; does that not count?

Or is it all about mean tweets, after all? I know that many of my acquaintances hate Trump with the heat of a thousand suns, and I also find that they often assume this attitude is shared by every person who isn’t a racist hater. So the idea of the righteousness of the cause of getting rid of Trump is widely held. A recent poll documented the extent of the wish for Trump to be killed:

While 92% of Republicans say America would be worse off had Trump been killed, less than half of Democrats—48%—hold that same view. Another 28% of Democrats answered yes to the question—that America would be better off—and 24% of Democrats said they were unsure.

Routh must have thought that, had he succeeded, he would have been a hero to a lot of people. It seems he was correct in that assumption.

I recall that John Wilkes Booth thought he was striking a blow for the republic and against tyranny when he assassinated Lincoln. As he jumped to the stage, breaking his leg, he is said to have shouted, “Sic semper tyrannis” – that is, “thus always to tyrants”:

John Wilkes Booth wrote in his diary that he shouted “Sic semper tyrannis” after shooting U.S. President Abraham Lincoln on April 14, 1865, in part because of the association with the assassination of Caesar.

Legend is that Brutus said it when Caesar was assassinated, although it’s not clear that the words actually were said. But Routh – whipped up by Democrats and the MSM – seems to have been in the same tradition of thinking he would be helping us all out if succeeded in assassinating Trump, and a significant number of Americans agree.

Depressing, to say the least.

NOTE: Remember that Routh’s son, on hearing of his father’s arrest, said that “his dad hates Trump like ‘every reasonable person does'”.

Posted in Law, Trump, Violence | 28 Replies

Open thread 9/23/2024

The New Neo Posted on September 23, 2024 by neoSeptember 23, 2024

This made me chuckle:

Posted in Uncategorized | 41 Replies

More evidence that Trump wanted increased security on J6

The New Neo Posted on September 21, 2024 by neoSeptember 21, 2024

Well, well, well:

Committee on House Administration’s Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Barry Loudermilk (GA-11) revealed that days before January 6, 2021, President Trump met with senior Pentagon leaders urging them to do their jobs to protect lives and property. The transcripts released show Trump gave senior Pentagon leadership directives to keep January 6 peaceful – including using the National Guard – which the Pentagon leaders ignored. This revelation directly contradicts the conclusions drawn in the flawed DoD IG reporton January 6, 2021.

Loudermilk also said they will continue to dig until the American people know the truth. I wonder what percentage of the American people will get the news, though. And I also wonder if it would change the minds of many – or any – Democrats about what actually happened on J6.

Posted in Election 2020, Trump, Violence | 78 Replies

Israel says Hezbollah was planning another 10/7 type attack

The New Neo Posted on September 21, 2024 by neoSeptember 21, 2024

I can well believe it. The Radwan forces Israel killed had plans:

In a statement, Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesman Daniel Hagari said Aqil, a senior commander in Hezbollah’s elite Radwan forces, was killed alongside senior operatives in the group’s operations staff and other Radwan commanders.

Hagari said they “were gathered underground under a residential building in the heart of the Dahiyah neighbourhood [in southern Beirut], hiding among Lebanese civilians, using them as human shields”.

The IDF spokesman added that the individuals killed were “planning Hezbollah’s ‘Conquer the Galilee’ attack plan, in which Hezbollah intended to infiltrate Israeli communities and murder innocent civilians”.

The plan was first reported by the Israeli military in 2018, when the IDF said it was blocking tunnels dug by Hezbollah to penetrate Israeli territory and kidnap and murder civilians.

So they knew that type of strike was possible, from Hezbollah? As early as 2018?

This may be one reason we haven’t heard too much protest from Washington:

In April, Washington said it was searching for Aqil, also known as Tahsin, and offered financial rewards to anyone with “information leading to his identification, location, arrest and/or conviction”.

Did the pager explosion smoke him out, as it were? I heard somewhere that he had been wounded and briefly hospitalized from his pager. Did that lead Israel to learning his whereabouts, and help them track him?

In other news (hat tip: commenter “sdferr”), more terrorists were killed:

IDF Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari says the two terrorists who likely murdered hostages Hersh Goldberg-Polin, Eden Yerushalmi, Ori Danino, Alex Lobanov, Carmel Gat, and Almog Sarusi in a tunnel in the southern Gaza Strip were killed by Israeli forces.

“A day after the murder of the hostages, forces with the 162nd Division identified two terrorists emerging from a nearby tunnel in the Tel Sultan area, and killed them in an exchange of fire,” Hagari says in a press conference.

“After we investigated the findings from the tunnel and equipment from the terrorists, we found DNA and several items that belonged to the terrorists that we killed,” he says.

Hagari says that the findings reveal that the two terrorists were inside the tunnel where the six hostages were murdered, during the murder.

“We are checking their involvement in the murder,” he adds.

But of course Palestine is being rewarded by the UN:

Despite a raging war against Hamas terrorists in Gaza, and escalating violence between Israeli forces and terrorists in the West Bank, the U.N. General Assembly took the unprecedented step during its September session of seating a representative of the Palestinian Authority among member nations for the very first time. This new right was bestowed on the P.A.’s delegation, even though it is not a full member of the international body, nor does it rule the Gaza Strip, where about 40% of Palestinians live. …

The State of Palestine has held an observer-only status in the United Nations since 1974. In 2012, its status was upgraded from an “observer entity” to a “non-member observer state.” The United Nations adopted a resolution in May 2024 that granted new rights to the State of Palestine, excluding voting. Among the U.N.’s procedural rights that were granted to the Palestinian leadership beginning with this session were:

The right to sit among full member states.
The right to be elected as officers of the General Assembly.
The right to make motions, and submit proposals and amendments.
The right to speak on agenda items beyond issues related to the Middle East.

Next to Iran, the UN is the greatest booster of the Palestinians. The UN may even be equal to or exceed Iran in that regard.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Terrorism and terrorists | 11 Replies

Parody ad for Kamala Harris

The New Neo Posted on September 21, 2024 by neoSeptember 21, 2024

This is very funny. But how could anyone think it was anything but a parody?

Meanwhile, Newsom has signed a law to fight such ads. And that’s no joke:

California has enacted some of the nation’s strictest measures to combat the spread of deepfakes in elections ahead of the 2024 vote.

Gov. Gavin Newsom signed a series of bills at an AI conference in San Francisco.

New policies include a law targeting AI-generated fake political ads and materials that could mislead the electorate.

This law, which took effect immediately, allows individuals to sue for damages if they have been harmed by deepfake content.

It also empowers courts to order the removal of misleading AI-generated materials that misrepresent candidates, election processes, or even election workers. …

A lawsuit was filed in Sacramento by a political activist who had created parody videos featuring altered audio clips of Vice President Kamala Harris.

This individual, whose work has been shared by Elon Musk, claims the new laws infringe on First Amendment rights.

No laughing matter.

Posted in Election 2024, Law, Liberty | Tagged California, Kamala Harris | 20 Replies

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