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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Non-news story of the day: Christie’s not running

The New Neo Posted on October 4, 2011 by neoOctober 4, 2011

Chris Christie has made it official once again: he’s not running for president in 2012.

Did anyone ever think he was?

Christie explains that he’s not throwing his hat in the ring because New Jersey still needs him as governor, and he’s not finished there. Although that may indeed be a reason, I don’t think it’s the whole reason, or even the real reason. Perhaps he doesn’t have the fire in the belly. Perhaps he’s got some skeletons in his closet along with those size XXXL jackets. Perhaps internal polls told him he couldn’t win this year against the Republican contenders, or against Obama. Perhaps he wants to lose some weight first to end all the fatty jokes. Perhaps—well, we’ll never know.

Personally, although I happen to like Christie’s style, I think he would ultimately have been rejected in the Republican primaries as an opportunistic RINO. I don’t happen to think that’s what he is, but I do think it will be fine to let him do his thing in New Jersey and show the public more of who he actually is and what he might do if president.

In 2012 the Republicans will just have to be energized by their desire to vote Obama out of office rather than great love and enthusiasm for his eventual opponent. But I am highly encouraged by the up-and-coming field of possible Republican candidates in 2016 and beyond—that is, if the press doesn’t manage to destroy them first, and if the country is still functioning by then.

Posted in Politics | 14 Replies

Obama the underdog

The New Neo Posted on October 3, 2011 by neoOctober 3, 2011

This is a very odd interview from President Obama.

In it, he breaks what I would consider one of the cardinal rules of campaigning for an incumbent, and answers the age-old question “are you better off than before I was elected?” with the truthful “no.” This seems to be an attempt to set himself up as an underdog, which is certainly an odd stance for an incumbent:

“Absolutely,” he said in response to a question from ABC News’ George Stephanopoulos about whether the odds were against him come November 2012, given the economy. “I’m used to being the underdog. But at the end of the day people are going to ask — who’s got a vision?”

Wow. Obama is used to being an underdog? Certainly the 2008 election was hotly contested and close, but never was Obama an underdog except perhaps towards the beginning of the Democratic primaries. As for his earlier elections, he was always in safely Democratic districts, and his only underdog status came in the primaries as well. As far as I know, he lost only one of those, an ill-thought-out 2000 challenge against incumbent Bobby Rush for his House of Representatives seat; the older (and fellow African-American) Rush trumped Obama by stating the following about him during that battle (which I submit that a white man would not have gotten away with saying), “Barack Obama went to Harvard and became an educated fool. Barack is a person who read about the civil-rights protests and thinks he knows all about it.”

In fact, Obama’s main claim to fame in his campaigns prior to the 2008 election was his skill and/or luck in knocking his opponents off the ballots before the election, through means fair or foul, planned or fortuitous (see this and this). Underdog? Don’t think so.

And if Obama is an underdog today (and if he is, it’s by only a tiny bit, and it depends on who he’s running against) he has only himself to blame. But true to form, that’s not who he’s fingering. Why, it’s those Republicans:

“At every step of way, I have tried to get the Republican Party to work with me on the biggest crisis of our lifetime. And each time we’ve gotten ‘No,'” he said.

Let me get out my handkerchief.

And then there’s the vision thing. At the end of the day people are not going to ask “who’s got a vision?” That’s very 2008. Now that you have a record, Mr. President, people are going to ask about that.

Posted in Obama | 12 Replies

Dudley Williams, dancer

The New Neo Posted on October 3, 2011 by neoOctober 3, 2011

The other day I was doing some YouTube surfing of old dance performances. But try as I might, I was unable to find a tape of one of my favorites, Dudley Williams of the Alvin Ailey Dance company doing the “Rocka My Soul” excerpt from Ailey’s masterpiece “Revelations.”

I’d hate to think that Williams’ ebullient, exuberant yet understated performance is lost to antiquity. I’ve seen many younger dancers try to fill his shoes, but they just can’t, no matter how hard they try.

The following clip of Williams will have to do instead for now. It’s from a different portion of the same piece, his solo “I Want To Be Ready. Williams, a man whose skinny frame belied his considerable strength, didn’t retire from performing until the extremely advanced (in dance years) age of 66, and the YouTube clip I’m about to offer here shows him in his later years, when his technique had diminished considerably.

But Williams was never really about technique. Here’s what he had to say about “I Want To Be Ready,” and about performing itself:

“Revelations” is credited to Ailey, but “I Want to Be Ready” was actually choreographed by James Truitte, an Ailey dancer who, like his boss, had studied with the California dance guru Lester Horton. Williams says the whole dance is just a Horton class exercise: “It’s a coccyx balance””laterals, hinges, laterals, hinges.” In Truitte’s hands, however, it became a dance. When he taught it to Williams, he told him how it was supposed to feel: “He said, ”˜When you start, it’s like someone is on your shoulder, and pushes you back down. You try again, and you go a little higher, and they push you down. You try again, you go higher, and you break out.’ ”

Williams radiates calm onstage, but he says he is a very nervous performer: “I sweat in the palms of my hands””I wish the theatre would burn down.” He sees this as part of the process. “Dancing is about acting, about being a liar, basically,” he says. “Because often you don’t feel like dancing, but it’s your job. So you get out there and you do the movement, and it’s not happening. So you work harder, you work harder, you go deep inside what you’re about.” And what started as an act becomes a reality.

Williams was always ready.

Posted in Dance | 5 Replies

Beware of lawyers and their…

The New Neo Posted on October 3, 2011 by neoOctober 3, 2011

…desks.

Huh?

At least it wasn’t a government study. And at least it wasn’t in this country.

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Replies

The MSM’s battle plan

The New Neo Posted on October 3, 2011 by neoOctober 3, 2011

Commenter “southern James” has some observations on the WaPo/Perry/n-word thread that I think worth highlighting:

We all ain’t seen nothing yet. The MSM is going to pull out every possible trick and artifice and propaganda talking points, which will be pounded over and over again until it is perceived by a significant percentage of the populace as the truth ”” in order to try to get this failed President re-elected. “Didja hear that Palin said “she can see Russia from her porch, as her answer to how qualified she is in foreign affairs!!” ”¦.”Yeah, I did ”“ I mean, WTF, Dude? Is she, like, a moron or something?”

“What do you think of that Perry guy?” “Hmm, not sure”¦.wasn’t there something a few month ago about him and the N-word they had on some rock on a ranch of his is or something”¦.I heard that he is kind of a racist.” “Oh”¦.wow”.

Don’t think they can’t do it, either. Don’t let yourself assume that the general public is in any way on top of things, based on exchanges in little echo chambers such as this one.

Whoever gets the GOP nomination will be in for the worst sliming, and repeated talking point attacks, any of us have ever seen in our lifetimes.

President Zero cannot run on his record or on any more Hopey Changey Bulls”“t. And he knows it and the MSM knows it. He is already doing nothing but running for re-election ”“ and it appears to be based on two themes: 1) pretending to still be a Washingon outsider ”“ even tho his party controlled the entire govt for his first 2 years, and he has been president for almost three; and 2) class warfare combined with demonization of Repubs.

It would be an absolute landslide loss ”“ worse than what McGovern suffered in 72”¦”¦but for the fact that the GOP candidate is going to be pilliored from every major media outlet, non-stop.

The most depressing thing about all of this is that there’s every reason to think the tactic has a good chance of working. That’s why it’s so popular with the press.

[ADDENDUM: By the way, the brouhaha over the original name of the rock at the hunting camp that Perry’s father leased is similar to problems around the country, such as this one in Utah, which was solved by obliterating the original offensive place name and adopting “Negro Bill Canyon” as its new moniker. Just shows how hard it is to keep pace with the times; should it be rechristened “African-American Bill Canyon” instead?

And is “christened” now an offensive word?]

[ADDENDUM II: In Texas they’re aware that Rick Perry is no racist. But don’t sit on a hot stove till the WaPo mentions it.]

Posted in Press | 31 Replies

The once proud WaPo goes fishing—

The New Neo Posted on October 2, 2011 by neoOctober 2, 2011

—finds nothing, and refuses to throw it back.

And quite a few of its commenters don’t seem to notice that there’s no “there” there, because one thing they do know is that southern Republicans are racist SOBs.

Posted in Race and racism | 21 Replies

Recommended reading

The New Neo Posted on October 2, 2011 by neoOctober 2, 2011

If you’re looking for something to do this lovely fall weekend, here’s some interesting reading.

Also this, in case you missed it earlier.

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Replies

Madame Roseanne Robespierre…

The New Neo Posted on October 2, 2011 by neoOctober 2, 2011

…says “off with their heads!”

Or maybe it’s the Queen of Hearts Roseanne’s channeling.

Which one you think it is may depend on whether you find Ms. Barr amusing or not. She certainly doesn’t seem to be making a joke here:

Posted in Finance and economics, Pop culture, Violence | 25 Replies

Churchill/Christie: the visuals

The New Neo Posted on October 1, 2011 by neoOctober 1, 2011

Gerard Vanderleun of American Digest has offered this teaching aid in response to my piece on criticism of Christie’s girth. I thought it merited a post of its own:

Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Replies

Want to buy an island in the Bronx?

The New Neo Posted on October 1, 2011 by neoOctober 1, 2011

With views, yet?

This guy’s got one to sell you:

The property is to be sold starting at 1 p.m. Sunday by Alex Lyon & Son, which announced the sale with this pitch: “Build your dream home with 360 degree panoramic view of the water or pursue a zone change and create an opportunity for a sound commercial investment.”

Just a few tiny problems, but nothing a little TLC couldn’t fix: it’s a pile of rocks that floods often, and there’s “no water, waste or electrical services or even a dock.”

And then there’s the little matter of the name: Rat Island. No real rats, though; apparently even they won’t live there.

Owner Red Brennan suggests that any interested buyers should consider building a house on stilts. Oh, and his cousin Sam’s got a bridge in Brooklyn…

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Replies

Was it legal to kill al-Awlaki?

The New Neo Posted on October 1, 2011 by neoOctober 1, 2011

Was it legal to kill al-Awlaki without due process, courtesy of drone?

Some will say “who cares? Good riddance.” But they are ignoring the importance of the issue and the possible danger of the precedent, while those who question the mission’s legality are asking a question that is necessary to confront: under what circumstances can a president order the liquidation of an American citizen (or possible former American citizen) without any courtroom procedure, even a military tribunal?

I have some respect for those on the left who were vocally against Bush’s extra-judicial treatment of terrorists and who also are criticizing Obama for his actions. At least they display an admirable intellectual consistency, although I think they’re wrong.

Here’s why, from Kenneth Anderson at the law blog Volokh. Anderson writes:

The government has maintained throughout all this that Al-Aulaqi was deemed a lawful target not on account of his expression of opinions, including calls to violence against the United States and its citizens, but instead on account of his operational involvement in AQAP, in ways going to leadership of an associated force terrorist organization and operational and planning involvement. My view of this targeted killing is straightforwardly, congratulations, Mr. President. What has been visible publicly leaves little or no doubt in my mind that Al-Aulaqi was deeply involved in AQAP in operations, and indeed at the highest levels…

Who? As an international law matter, is Al-Aulaqi a lawful target? The US government sees him as taking part in hostilities, part of the operational leadership of an associated force with Al Qaeda, the AQAP. So, yes, he can be targeted with lethal force ”” and targeted without warning, without an attempt to arrest or apprehend as a law enforcement matter.

Where? Does it matter that he was in Yemen, and not an “active battlefield” in a conventional hostilities sense? The US government does not accept the idea that the armed conflict with Al Qaeda ”” or armed conflict generally ”” is confined as a legal matter to some notion of “theatres of conflict” or “active battlefields” or related terms that have been used in recent years by academics and activist groups. As I understand the US government position, it sticks by the traditional concept of “hostilities,” and that where the hostiles go, the possibility of armed conflict goes too… So the fact that he was present in Yemen does not make him beyond targeting, because he is not present in some “active” battlezone such as Afghanistan.

There’s more in the essay, much more—and I highly recommend reading the entire thing—as well as this draft of an article by Robert Chesney, written before the killing. It all dovetails considerably with my own thought process on the subject (which I wrote before reading any of the legal discussions), here:

Al Qaeda is a foreign-based international terrorist group that has declared war on the US and put its money where its mouth is. So for al-Awlaki, he’s got a combination of factors that distinguish him: member of foreign terrorist organization that declared war on US, foreign residence for years, and participant in killings.

I will add that it is disturbing and troubling that a US citizen (whether or not he effectively although informally renounced his citizenship some time before that) was summarily killed by a drone. But the arguments are strong that in this sort of case it is legally acceptable to have done so, and the practical arguments also make it clear that there was no other way to prevent further attacks on this country by this person. In his draft, Chesney writes on the latter subject (again, his piece was written before the killing):

(i) there is substantial evidence that [al-Alwaki] is planning terrorist attacks, (ii) there is no plausible opportunity to incapacitate him with non-lethal means, and (iii) there is not good reason to believe that a plausible non-lethal opportunity to incapacitate him will arise before harm to others occurs. A second question then arises, however. Must al-Awlaki be linked to a specific plot to carry out a particular attack, or is it enough that the evidence establishes that he can and will attempt or otherwise be involved in attacks in the future without specificity as to what the particulars of those attacks might be? The former approach has the virtue of clarity, yet could rarely be satisfied given the clandestine nature of terrorism. The latter approach necessarily runs a greater risk of abuse and thus perhaps justifies an especially high evidentiary threshold, but in any event it is a more realistic and more appropriate approach (particularly from the point of view of the potential victims of future terrorist attacks).

Fighting international terrorism presents us with a different kind of war. That does not mean we can do whatever we want. But it does mean that the rules need developing and clarifying. I’ll finish with Anderson again:

As to the due process claims, as Robert Chesney notes at Lawfare, the US government does not appear to be taking a blanket position that a US citizen deemed to be a targetable participant in a terrorist group has no due process rights outside of the US in any sense, on the one hand, but neither does it appear to take the position that the vindication of whatever those due process rights are entitles the citizen to merely being subject to an attempt to arrest, including in a remote location in Yemen, and to warning before using lethal force. I don’t think the US government has a worked out position suitable for every case ”” as seems to me quite appropriate. It is in the process of working out something that is only partly like straight-up armed conflict law and something that is gradually, inchoately emerging as a sort of “state practice” of covert intelligence operations. The working out of those positions is proceeding case by case.

Posted in Law, Terrorism and terrorists | 52 Replies

Buffett opines on the Buffett rule

The New Neo Posted on October 1, 2011 by neoOctober 1, 2011

Buffett isn’t so sure he likes the Buffett rule, although he’s still sure he likes Obama. Nor is he all that certain that he knows how Obama plans to define it.

This is the Buffett rule as Buffett now says he would like to see it:

[Buffett] noted he was describing a very limited number of wealthy Americans who earn the majority of their income through capital gains, which is taxed at a 15 percent rate.

“What I’m talking about would not apply to someone that made $5 million a year as a baseball player or $10 million a year on media,” Buffett said on Fox Business Network. “It would apply only to probably 50,000 people out of 309 million who have huge incomes, pay very low taxes. There should be a policy that applies to people with money who earn lots of money and pay very low rates. If they earn it by normal jobs what I say would not hit them at all.”

Going back to Buffett’s NY Times op-ed that started all the commotion, I think he’s rewriting history about the scope of his suggestions. After all, his piece ended with these thoughts, which appear to apply not just to capital gains but to regular income as well:

But for those making more than $1 million ”” there were 236,883 such households in 2009 ”” I would raise rates immediately on taxable income in excess of $1 million, including, of course, dividends and capital gains. And for those who make $10 million or more ”” there were 8,274 in 2009 ”” I would suggest an additional increase in rate.

My friends and I have been coddled long enough by a billionaire-friendly Congress. It’s time for our government to get serious about shared sacrifice.

[NOTE: I wrote about Buffett’s original Times article here.]

Posted in Finance and economics | 20 Replies

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