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A blog about political change, among other things

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I have a question for Michael Totten

The New Neo Posted on July 11, 2013 by neoJuly 11, 2013

Did Egypt actually reject political Islam? Or just the Morsi/Brotherhood brand du jour of political Islam?

And why? Was it because they don’t want an Islamic government at all? Or because this particular Islamic government didn’t solve their economic problems?

Posted in Middle East | 31 Replies

Are Congressional Republicans growing a spine?

The New Neo Posted on July 11, 2013 by neoJuly 11, 2013

Or maybe at least a notochord?

If so, then good:

Meeting for the first time as a group to hash out their approach to immigration, House Republicans on Wednesday came down overwhelmingly against a comprehensive overhaul of the nation’s immigration laws, putting in jeopardy the future of sweeping legislation that includes a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants…

The bottom line was clear: The Republican-controlled House does not plan to take up anything resembling the Senate bill, which many believe is bad policy and smacks of an amnesty strongly opposed by the conservatives who hold sway over much of the rank and file. The House also does not intend to move very quickly, and some Republicans are wary of passing any measure at all that could lead to negotiations with the Senate, talks that could add pressure to the House to consider a broader plan.

The Senate immigration bill may have been very popular in the Senate, but it’s not popular with the American people. Someone may be clamoring for this bill, but it’s not the general public. Obama, the Senate, the gang-of-however-many-it-is-now, the left, and probably quite a few businesses, as well as parts (certainly not all) of the Hispanic population of the country may want such a bill, but not the majority of the people and certainly not the Republican base or even Independents. What they are clamoring for is a bill that controls and limits illegal immigration.

But they’ve been clamoring for that for years and Congress has managed to resist the call, or to pass immigration bills that are either unenforceable or merely are not enforced. There’s obviously been no special urgency about that.

Plus, since President Obama has made it clear he won’t enforce parts of laws he doesn’t like, why trust him to enforce anything he doesn’t like in this one or any other one? No, the fierce urgency of the Senate immigration bill came from the same source as the fierce urgency of the Obamacare bill—meaning, from the need for the left to push through their pet and long-planned transformative legislation while they are in power, in order to perpetuate that power. It’s pretty much as simple as that. But why should Republicans be their enablers?

Republicans were spooked by the 2012 election. Many have bought the line that if they could court the Hispanic vote they would reverse the slide, and they think that supporting this bill or something of the sort (rather than stopping this bill or something of the sort) is a way to do it. But it won’t work—although Democrats would prefer that Republicans continue to think it will—and it’s a good way to alienate Republicans’ own base and even other voters in the middle as well.

So I’m happy to see pieces like this appearing. In it, Senator Jeff Sessions of Alabama writes:

In pushing for this bill, the Left has abandoned and taken for granted the struggling worker. By doing the right thing on immigration, the GOP can distance our party from the corporate titans who believe the immigration policy for our entire country should be modeled to pad their bottom line…

The White House has made its central legislative priority a bill that would result in decades of stagnant wages, stubborn unemployment, and increasing poverty. Instead of joining in that destructive effort, the GOP should reject it and demand reforms that encourage self-sufficiency and promote rising wages.

Both as a matter of economic policy and social policy, the best course for America is one that helps more of our residents move off of welfare, off of unemployment, and into good-paying jobs. We can’t simply ignore the large number of chronically underemployed Americans. Immigration policy should promote ”” not inhibit ”” individual opportunity and community confidence.

The Senate immigration bill is Obamacare’s 1,200-page legislative cousin. It is a disaster on every level. Republicans should make no effort to salvage it or to offer even the slightest hope of revival. Instead, we should draw sharp and bold contrasts that earn the loyalty of our faithful supporters and the newfound respect of the millions of working Americans who have turned away.

Some of Sessions’ fellow Republican senators get it. But way too many of them still don’t. The House is more amenable to his message than the Senate, though, and there’s no reason on earth that Republicans there should support any bill that the Senate majority can then take, twist, make into what they want it to be, and pass in some shady manner, like what happened with Obamacare. Until now, I have assumed the House would do just that, and they may disappoint me once again and commit party suicide in just such a manner. But I have a tiny little bit of hope that this current verbal defiance won’t prove to be just empty bluster, as so many brave words have proven before.

[ADDENCUM: A tangential issue of interest.]

Posted in Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Politics | 46 Replies

Hitching a ride…

The New Neo Posted on July 11, 2013 by neoJuly 11, 2013

…in a pinch:

Posted in Nature | 2 Replies

US drops to second…

The New Neo Posted on July 10, 2013 by neoJuly 10, 2013

…in the list of the world’s fattest developed nations.

Quick—without reading the article, what are the others?

I would not have had a clue. I’m not even sure what I would have guessed—maybe Samoa (or is that considered a “developed” nation)? But if so, I would have guessed wrong.

The new #1 nation is actually Mexico, which come to think of it should not have been a surprise to me. I’ve eaten enough Mexican food to understand exactly and precisely how that could happen.

But what really, really surprises me are the other fattest countries. Number three is—get ready for it—Syria. Syria??? With Venezuela and Libya tied for fourth? Excuse me but—what??

The “what” is possibly explained in this rather mysterious statement:

“The same people who are malnourished are the ones who are becoming obese…

It’s true that things like pasta and sweets are less expensive than meat and vegetables and fruit, but this still seems rather odd. We’re obviously not talking about starvation here, but about less-than-optimal nourishment.

Further down in the article the mystery about Samoa is solved. I was right, pretty much:

The world’s fattest nation overall is Nauru, a South Pacific island where a staggering 71.1 percent of its 10,000 inhabitants are obese.

The U.N. report does not include data for American Samoa, which has been tabbed in the past as the world’s fattest. According to a 2010 World Health Organization report, nearly all of that Pacific island’s inhabitants (95 percent) are considered overweight.

You can see the entire list at the article.

The first comment after the piece is pretty funny, too. It goes like this:

We will reclaim the title! Twinkies are back so it won’t be long.

Posted in Food, Health | 32 Replies

This is absolutely irrelevant but…

The New Neo Posted on July 10, 2013 by neoJuly 10, 2013

…I find it odd that the three doctor witnesses in the Zimmerman case (the first two for the prosecution, the third for the defense) were named Rao, Bao, and Di Maio.

Posted in Uncategorized | 8 Replies

The Texas abortion battle

The New Neo Posted on July 10, 2013 by neoJuly 10, 2013

As expected, the Texas House has passed legislation banning abortions after 20 weeks and placing other restrictions on the operation of abortion clinics, restrictions that supporters say are intended to protect women’s health and will not close down many or even any clinics, and which opponents say will close almost all the clinics in the state. I know that it would surprise me very much if the latter turned out to be true.

Typically, the left considers those who have been fighting the bill heroes (or heroines, or is that word no longer PC?). Kirsten Powers (who when last I checked, was still a liberal, although one who sometimes goes against the usual liberal stands) disagrees:

In addition to the limit on late-term abortions, the Texas legislature sought to pass regulations on abortion clinics similar to what was passed in Pennsylvania in 2011 after the Gosnell horror. The New York Times warned that the Texas bill “could lead to the closing of most of Texas’s 42 abortion clinics.” That sounds familiar. In 2011, the Pennsylvania ACLU claimed a post-Gosnell bill “would effectively close most and maybe all of the independent abortion clinics in Pennsylvania.” Last month, a Pennsylvania news site reported that “several” abortion clinics have closed, which isn’t quite the Armageddon the abortion-rights movement predicted.

So no, I don’t stand with Wendy [Davis]. Nor do most women, as it turns out. According to a June National Journal poll, 50 percent of women support, and 43 percent oppose, a ban on abortion after 20 weeks, except in cases of rape and incest.

One can assume I am also not the only woman in America who is really tiring of the Wendys of the world claiming to represent “women’s rights” in their quest to mainstream a medical procedure””elective late-term abortion””that most of the civilized world finds barbaric and abhorrent. In many European countries, you can’t get an abortion past 12 weeks, except in narrow circumstances.

When Roe v Wade was handed down, it legalized first trimester abortions. Now, as one might expect, that’s not even remotely good enough for the pro-abortion forces. In the years since Roe the expectation and demands have changed, and any backtracking (such as that in Texas) in which things that have come to be considered rights are taken away is fought tooth and nail by abortion proponents, who want ever-expanding access to the practice.

[NOTE: As it stands now—before it has gone to the Senate, where it is also likely to be passed—the bill’s ban on post-20-week abortions does not contain an exception for rape and incest.]

Posted in Law, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | 11 Replies

Should men* be allowed to opt out of child support?

The New Neo Posted on July 9, 2013 by neoJuly 9, 2013

For biological reasons, men and women are inherently unequal when it comes to their roles in becoming parents. To be exact, women become pregnant and give birth and men don’t, and those differences are likely to remain into the foreseeable future.

If a child isn’t wanted by both sexual partners, you’d think that—with the advent of reliable and easily available birth control—unwanted or unplanned pregnancies would happen very rarely. Well, we all know how that’s turned out.

Once an unplanned pregnancy occurs, a mother-to-be and father to-be have some decisions to make, about which they might agree or disagree with each other. If unmarried, they can decide to get married if they want, and to have the baby and raise it together, if both want that as well. If neither wants the baby born, and both are in favor of abortion, the woman can decide to abort it and the man would be likely to approve. It neither believes in abortion and in addition neither wants the baby, the woman can give birth and give it up for adoption, and both would agree that’s a good solution. And if both want the baby born and both want to raise it, but they don’t want to get married, they could agree on custody and visitation arrangements, or alternatively there can be a custody hearing that would be somewhat similar to what would occur if they had been married and were now divorcing.

But what about other disagreements? For example, what if the mother wants to have an abortion and the father doesn’t want that? What if she wants to give the baby up for adoption and he wants to raise it himself? And what if he doesn’t want her to keep the baby because he doesn’t want to be forced to pay child support? The law addresses these fact situations and cases differently.

The first legal principle is that the mother makes decisions about her body. Let’s say the mother wants an abortion and the father wants to stop her, or the father wants her to have an abortion and she wants to have the baby. Legally he has no say in the matter. Although it’s his baby as well, the baby is developing within her body, and he cannot compel her to have or not to have an abortion against her will. That’s a sad fact of life (and death) for fathers, but there’s no way around it legally because the consequences of a different ruling—that he could force her to carry the baby and have it against her will, or force her to have an abortion against her will—would be terrible. Of course, you might say that with abortion all of it is terrible anyway.

But adoption is different. No, a father can’t compel a pregnant woman to keep the child and raise it after its birth. But if she does decide to bear the child and wants to give it up for adoption, although the law is complex and varies from state-to-state in terms of what he must do to preserve his right to raise the child, much of the time he can do so—providing, of course, he knows there is a child in the first place, and is willing to accept responsiblity for it. Sometimes he is kept in the dark about the existence of a child, especially if he is no longer in contact with the woman during her pregnancy. In certain circumstances, if a mother-to-be wants to keep mum about the identity of the father of the child she can. So in the realm of stopping an adoption, fathers have some rights, because the baby is no longer part of the mother’s body.

But what if she decides to keep the child and raise it, and the father does not wish to be involved in any way? The way the law stands now he is liable for child support no matter what his wishes, and there’s nothing he can do about it. This is true whether he consented to the birth of the child or not, or even if the mother lied to him and said she was using birth control when she was not, or whether he and/or she used birth control that failed for some reason or another. Whether or not he wanted a child or even had reason to believe the act of intercourse in which he engaged was highly unlikely to result in conception, the state has an inherent interest in holding parents responsible for supporting their children financially. The state does not want to have to support those same children itself through welfare.

But what if such a father were willing to relinquish all parental rights, including those of custody and/or visitation, and thus be excused from paying child support? At first glance, that seems to be only fair. After all, it equals the playing field somewhat, since it merely gives a father the right a mother already has (through adoption or abortion) to opt out of parenthood and responsibility for an unwanted and unplanned child.

It’s an especially attractive proposition if in fact the woman lied to him and said she was on birth control pills, for example. Why should he have to spend eighteen or so years supporting the unintended (by him) result of her lie?

A personal word here—I don’t like any of this. I fervently wish people only had children wanted by both parents. I wish birth control were foolproof. I wish people didn’t lie to each other about stuff like whether they are using birth control (something men can do, too; all they have to do is say that they’ve had a vasectomy when they have not). I wish all children were conceived in love and mutual respect. I wish I wish I wish—and what difference does it make what I wish?

Reality is different, and it seems as though it’s getting more different every day. And the law must deal with reality, not wishes. Given the inherently unequal situation in reproduction that I started this post by acknowledging, and the present-day facts of abortion and adoption and unmarried parents and all the rest, doesn’t it behoove us to make things as equal between the sexes as possible?

I think it does. But we must beware, beware the law of unintended consequences. Because if fathers are allowed to relinquish their parental rights in order to get out of paying child support for an unwanted child, it may be that one of the consequences is likely to be that more children will effectively become fatherless, and the state (that is, the taxpayer) may end up having to pay instead of the father.

Of course, we don’t know for sure what would happen. It could be that, instead, such a law would cause potential unwed mothers to think more carefully before they have sex with a guy who’s not marriage material, and who isn’t serious about them and about his future responsibilities, because the potential mother would know she can’t necessarily get him to pay. Hey, maybe the illegitimate birth rate would even drop. Maybe more babies would be given up for adoption and more infertile couples could raise them, loved and wanted by both parents, because the biological mother would know she would face a high probability of having to struggle financially without the father’s legally-mandated help.

Maybe.

But there’s a strange inequality that would probably rear its head if father opt-out were allowed: what about married men? Would anyone argue that a married man should have the same choice regarding a child he conceives within that marriage as an unmarried man would have? (Let’s simplify things a tiny bit by leaving out those special and complex cases in which a married man has been forced to support a child not biologically his, which does unfortunately happen at times). Wouldn’t it be unconscionable if married men could voluntarily relinquish rights (and duties) to their own children and remain married? And even if they wanted to divorce the mother and live apart and relinquish rights and responsibilities to their children, it would seem as a public policy matter that they should not legally be allowed to walk away from supporting their own children by that mechanism, even if the divorce is not their fault. Children would suffer even more than they do now, and it’s bad enough the way it is.

But if married (or previously-married) men couldn’t opt out of child support obligations and unmarried men could opt out, what effect would that differential have on marriage itself? I submit it would have a chilling effect on marriage. Many men are already opting out of marriage (see this), and so what would happen if unmarried men could evade responsibility for the children they father but married men could not? How many men would decide to get married under those unequal circumstances?

I don’t profess to know for sure. But my gut tells me the marriage rates would plummet. Marriage has fewer and fewer obvious benefits now, and a man already stands to lose a great deal in a divorce. A law like this would increase the penalty for marriage, would it not? Since for the most part men can have sex pretty easily outside of marriage these days, and even father children if they want, why wouldn’t they wish to preserve their freedom to decide to be a parent or not by remaining unmarried to the mother?

I can envision a day when only the highly religious get married, and the rest just have various fluid and ever-changing legal arrangements. Stability? What’s that?

Whenever I wade into these topics I find it depressing. There doesn’t seem to be any good solution to the problems of love gone bad and the resulting turf wars over children. And the comments sections of various blogs (including this one) for posts dealing with these questions often devolve into rageful shouting matches. I see many of the problems, but (as in this post) the solutions that come to mind are fraught with other problems, many of them even worse for children and society.

Life isn’t fair, sad and difficult choices must be made, and you can’t always get what you want—and although the law can change, it can’t change that basic fact. Nor can it change the law of unintended consequences.

[* NOTE: I put an asterisk next to “men” in the title of this post because, although men would be the ones most commonly affected by such a law, it is certainly possibly that some women would take advantage of it too. Although there are fewer of them in the situation than men, there are women who also lose custody and have to pay child support, and those women currently are not legally allowed to opt out of that responsibility either (there are those of both sexes who just disappear, of course, and opt out de facto rather than de jure). I would imagine that some of these women would willingly relinquish their parental rights in order to be exempted from paying support if it ever became legal to do so.]

Posted in Law, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | 147 Replies

Karsenty explains the verdict in the France2/al-Dura case

The New Neo Posted on July 9, 2013 by neoJuly 9, 2013

Now that he has lost the most recent defamation judgment in the long-running saga of his fight against Charles Enderlin, France2, and the famous al-Dura tape, Philippe Karsenty describes why the French “Court” of Appeals (scare quotes mine) decided against him. Their reasoning would be laughable if the consequences weren’t so very very serious:

On June 26, the Paris Court of Appeals found me guilty of defamation against television station France 2 and broadcaster Charles Enderlin.

After waiting one long week following the verdict, I was finally able to get the written arguments of the judges. The arguments state that ”” despite the hoax eventually becoming obvious to all who looked at the case ”” I was found guilty for having said that the al-Dura news report was a hoax ”¦ too early, in November 2004.

Had I published that exact same article today now that the facts are clear, I would not have been found guilty…

This verdict confirmed that France 2 still doesn’t have a single piece of evidence to substantiate their al-Dura report. The judges had to reverse the burden of the evidence ”” using the extremely restrictive French defamation laws ”” to prevent France 2 from having to produce any evidence to confirm the report’s authenticity, and to temporarily block the recognition of the hoax.

French taxpayer money has been used to silence legitimate and necessary criticism of France 2’s disinformation.

The significance of France 2’s report on the tape and the supposed killing of the boy by Israeli soldiers cannot be overestimated, as well as the significance of this case in showing how little free speech or even truth matters in France. The damage goes on.

[NOTE: You can read my many previous posts on earlier aspects of this case and related ones here. I especially refer you to this post, which explains the very large differences between French and US libel laws, and this one, about the facade of French justice.]

Posted in Paris and France2 trial | 10 Replies

Cruz

The New Neo Posted on July 9, 2013 by neoJuly 9, 2013

The other one:

Posted in Uncategorized | 7 Replies

Our future?

The New Neo Posted on July 9, 2013 by neoJuly 9, 2013

Detroit.

Posted in Uncategorized | 12 Replies

Obamacare: well now, it seems that…

The New Neo Posted on July 8, 2013 by neoJuly 8, 2013

…it’s the honor system for Obamacare income subsidies.

Oh, that’ll work just fine.

Unbelievable. And yet at this point, ever so believable:

The White House seems to regard laws as mere suggestions, including the laws it helped to write. On the heels of last week’s one-year suspension of the Affordable Care Act’s employer mandate to offer insurance to workers, the Administration is now waiving a new batch of its own ObamaCare prescriptions…

HHS now says it will no longer attempt to verify individual eligibility for insurance subsidies and instead will rely on self-reporting, with minimal efforts to verify if the information consumers provide is accurate.

Remember “liar loans,” the low- or no-documentation mortgages that took borrowers at their word without checking pay stubs or W-2s? ObamaCare is now on the same honor system, with taxpayers in tow…

In other words, anyone can receive subsidies tied to income without judging the income they declare against the income data the Internal Revenue Service collects. This change has nothing to do with the employer mandate, even tangentially. HHS is disowning eligibility quality control because pre-clearance is “not feasible” as a result of “operational barriers” and “a large amount of systems development on both the state and federal side, which cannot occur in time for October 1, 2013.”…

HHS promises to develop “a more robust verification process,” some day, but the result starting in October may be millions of people getting subsidies who don’t legally qualify.

Cloward-Piven, anyone?

Posted in Finance and economics, Health care reform, Obama | 21 Replies

Today in the Zimmerman trial…

The New Neo Posted on July 8, 2013 by neoJuly 8, 2013

…powerful testimony that the screamer on the tapes was Zimmerman:

A pleasant older man, Donnelly was introduced to the jurors as a physician’s assistant. It also soon emerged, however that he was a close personal friend of Zimmerman’s, and indeed admired the younger man considerably.

The kicker, though, was when it was disclosed that John Donnelly had served as a combat medic during the Vietnam war. The importance of this historical piece of information was revealed as O’Mara progressed through his direct. Here, for the first time, was someone who could genuinely be said to possess personal expertise in being able to correlate a person’s normal speaking voice and their screams in extremis. And George Donnelly, firmly and without the slightest hesitation, identified George Zimmerman as the screamer…

That was a theme throughout all of the morning’s witnesses. Each of them at a minimum identified the screamer in the Jenna Lauer 911 call as being George Zimmerman. They also accomplished something more subtle, as well. They associated their own quiet, modest, respectful and hard-working demeanor with George Zimmerman, creating a visceral impression of him that would have been impossible without him taking the stand (and which might not have survived what would certainly have been a vicious cross-examination).

Please read the whole thing.

This sounds like quite a moment, too:

BDLR’s [prosecutor De La Rionda’s] typically sarcastic and petulant tone invariably emerged soon into his questioning of each witness. In the case of Sondra Osterman [friend of Zimmerman’s, called by the defense] it was when he asked her, “Are you saying that George Zimmerman referring to “these assholes” means he wants to invite them out to dinner?” Sondra stood her ground, saying she didn’t believe Zimmerman sounded angry. That brought in this rather humiliating exchange for BDLR:

BDLR: “You don’t think he was angry? But you weren’t there that night, right? You’re just speculating.”

SO: [laughs] “I guess we both are.”

Posted in Law | 8 Replies

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