For quite some time now we’ve been waiting for Obama’s other shoe to drop regarding amnesty. He’s been warning of us a big announcement, which most people (including me) have speculated will be to end the possibility of deportation for millions of illegal immigrants who are now still at least theoretically subject to it. Nothing has disabused me of the notion that this is his plan.
So what’s keeping him, besides his other pressing engagements (i.e. golf and fund-raising)? He is probably trying to figure out the approach least likely to raise legal challenges.
Obama is nothing if not audacious, but recent SCOTUS decisions (in particular, I would think NLRB v. Noel Canning, the case in which SCOTUS curbed one of his overreaches by a vote of 9-0) have made him a little more careful not to tread too heavily on the toes of even the liberal justices. And mock Boehner’s lawsuit if you will, but it signaled to Obama that the Republicans aren’t completely incapable of mounting some sort of energy, however pallid, for a legal challenge.
Meanwhile, it’s not as though many deportations are actually occurring at present. Au contraire:
“We release all detainees under 14 years of age without taking any biometric identification, including no fingerprints,” the Border Patrol agent explained to Stockman. “We are prevented by law from taking fingerprints or other biometric information on these kids.”
The Border Patrol supervisor could not identify for Stockman the law in question.
“Then how do you know who these children under 14 years old are?” Stockman asked. “How do you know if you are releasing these kids to people who are truly family members in the United States or to pedophiles or other criminals posing as family members?”
“We only know who these children are by what they tell us,” the Border Patrol supervisor admitted. “Truthfully, we don’t really have any idea who they might be or where they came from other than what we can observe from questioning them. You’re right. If they give us false information, we have no way to know it or to follow it up without biometrics.”
Stockman asked what information the Border Patrol has on the people in the United States who claim to be relatives.
“That’s not what our department handles,” the Border Patrol supervisor again admitted.
Rep. Stockman maintains that Obama wants to be impeached prior to the 2014 election, in order to gain sympathy and rally his base. I think Obama knows that any such impeachment prior to November 2014 would fail to win conviction in the Senate, so he’d be safe. But I don’t think he really wants an impeachment—he’d be very happy with the mere threat of one, so he wouldn’t have to waste time and energy defending against it but could claim the mantle of pitiful victim of the racist Republicans nonetheless. On the issue of amnesty, he’s far more frightened (although not frightened enough) of a Court challenge at this point, which could put him in the position of being in open defiance of even the liberal justices and some in his own party.
But why is Obama so keen on officially giving amnesty to the illegal arrivals? They already have de facto amnesty as long as he’s president; why do they need it de jure? Even with de jure amnesty, they almost certainly would not be able to vote yet by 2014 or even 2016, except illegally, which they already could do now just as well (or with just as much difficulty). They will almost certainly be working in the US under the table even without de jure amnesty, much as they do now, too. So what’s the point of raising a fuss and alerting even some of the low-information-voters as to what is going on by officially giving them amnesty? After all, isn’t it logical to think that a subsequent president could take it back by executive order, too, as long as it’s not been codified into law by Congress, and as long as the illegal immigrants granted amnesty haven’t yet become citizens?
The reason might be to throw a bunch of very public and visible fish to the so-called “immigration activists” on the left whom Obama needs in to get energized for the 2014 election. In addition, it might facilitate the granting of benefits to the arrivals, if Congress refuses to appropriate special funds.
Still another reason, I suppose, would be to thumb his nose at all of us and cause Republicans and conservatives—and really, anyone who considers this a sovereign nation with borders—to stomp their feet in impotent rage.
