…continuing problems, have you noticed that she’s still doing fairly well in the polls?
First take a look at her standing against her Democratic rivals Sanders and Biden. At the moment, no contest; Clinton wins hands down.
And this despite the curious fact that Joe Biden—still unannounced—performs considerably better than Hillary does against the Republican field right now:
The closest hypothetical matchup found Biden beating former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina 47% to 41%. Biden also beat former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) (48-40), real-estate tycoon Donald Trump (56-35), and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson (49-41).
Clinton, on the other hand, lost head-to-head matchups with Fiorina and Carson, though and voters did prefer her to Trump and, more slightly, to Bush.
And the poll showed that Biden would be the most favorably viewed presidential candidate in either party if he were to enter the race. Overall, 40% of poll respondents said they viewed Biden favorably, compared with 28% who viewed him in a negative light.
This seems bizarre to me in a number of ways, but it’s a consistent finding and I assume it reflects a pretty good approximation of the reality of public opinion as it stands right now. Perhaps it’s the sympathy vote for Biden due to his recent family tragedy, but I don’t think so. In terms of qualifications, personality, and accomplishments, Joe Biden has certainly been around a long time but his record on almost everything is straight liberal stuff, as well as a series of gaffes, missteps, lies, and of course his recent six and a half years of service as Obama’s enabler-and collaborator-in-chief. If the Biden poll numbers reflect a referendum on how Obama’s doing (an old white male Obama, at that), we’re in big big trouble in terms of the electorate’s judgment.
But hey, we already knew that.
But then there’s the fact that, even though Biden does much better than Hillary does against the Republican field, he doesn’t do much better than HIllary against—Hillary. If Biden does run, maybe once he starts campaigning his numbers will rise against Hillary (I’m told he’s “likable,” and she’s not). Or maybe once he reminds people who and what he is and makes some of his trademark errors, his numbers will go down. Biden’s appeal is in general such a deep mystery to me that I’m not making any predictions on that, including whether or not he’ll throw his hat into the ring.
Against Hillary Clinton, however, the clear leader so far among the Republicans is Ben Carson. He’s the only one who seems to consistently beat her, although by a small margin. Not far behind is Carly Fiorina, who’s been gaining on Hillary as her own numbers rise and who has beaten Clinton by 1% in the two most recent polls on the subject. Bush does fairly decently against Clinton, but Hillary is still ahead of him. Trump and Rubio, although not left behind in a cloud of dust, both run somewhat more poorly against her.
Yes, it’s early and maybe none of this means a whole lot. What it means to me, however, is that there are an awful lot of yellow dog Democrats out there, an awful lot of people willing to brush off the serious problems with Clinton’s personality, mendacity, performance, history, and evasiveness in order to elect a Democratic woman to the highest office in the land and to continue the wonderful policies we’ve come to know under Barack Obama.




