Home » Open thread 5/13/2026

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Open thread 5/13/2026 — 4 Comments

  1. Stonehenge? It was actually a chariot repair facility. A sort of garage, if you will.

  2. Amit Segal :

    In the Middle East, there is an entity that believed it could wipe out its arch-enemy in one grand operation. In pursuit of this goal, it dragged its allies into a war they did not believe in, and one they would ultimately lose. I speak, of course, of Hamas.

    According to an analysis of captured Hamas documents by the Hebrew University’s Dr. Daniel Sobelman, Hamas’s thinking was the precise opposite of Israeli intelligence assumptions. By 2019, the terror group had come to believe that it was Israel that was deterred from action. In the words of Hamas’s political leader Ismail Haniyeh, “Any violation of the red lines… the resistance will be capable of deterring.”

    The turning point came in 2021. In early January, a top-secret Hamas military command document emphasized the need to bring Jerusalem into its “rules of engagement.” That May, Hamas initiated a 12-day conflict over tensions on Temple Mount. Israel responded with Operation Guardian of the Walls. Israel’s head of IDF Military Intelligence, Maj. Gen. Aharon Haliva, came out of the operation with the now-painfully overconfident assessment that “five years of complete calm with Gaza” was achieved.

    In Gaza, however, Hamas was celebrating a paradigm-shifting strategic victory. The fighting had sparked unprecedented Arab Israeli uprisings—an internal vulnerability Hamas chief Yahya Sinwar realized could be weaponized as a “nuclear bomb” to destroy Israel. The war had also seen the organization’s first active wartime coordination with Iran and Hezbollah via a joint situation room. Most of all, Hamas watched Israel scramble to contain the domestic violence and avoid a larger regional war. Paraphrasing Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, they assessed Israel was “weaker than a spider’s web.” Far from a deterrent, the 2021 conflict was a highly successful “dress rehearsal” for the full liberation of Palestine.

    The article goes on detailing at length the thinking of Hamas’ strategies. Do read the whole thing for the broader picture.

    https://newsletter.amitsegal.net/p/its-noon-in-israel-israels-secret

  3. An interesting exchange on FoxBiz just now.

    The host delivered a little monolog on how ridiculous Gavin Newsom is because he is attacking the CA “affordability crisis” by giving away free diapers to any CA family that needs them. Part of the punchline is that Gavin’s wife sits of the board of the company that is selling the diapers to the CA government. Uh huh. Got it.

    Interesting part: The host brings on Marc Thiessen for extra commentary. Marc says, “I’m going to disagree with you. This country has a severe birthrate problem. Anything that helps people to have children isn’t a bad idea.”

    Then Marc says that Gov. De Santis has a program in place that allows parents to buy all their baby supplies “tax free.” Cribs, strollers, etc. I presume that “tax free” means that those costs can be subtracted from your gross income before you calculate your taxes. I’m not sure I understand this, as Florida doesn’t have an income tax, and they can’t control anything on the federal tax level.

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