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Biden’s “Big Boy”news conference starts at 6:30 PM Eastern time

The New Neo Posted on July 11, 2024 by neoJuly 11, 2024

I’m not sure I’ll be watching it. But here’s a thread for it.

Biden has certainly made himself the focus of the news these days, hasn’t he?

Posted in Uncategorized | 58 Replies

More “now it can be told”: Chuck Todd says everybody knew about Biden

The New Neo Posted on July 11, 2024 by neoJuly 11, 2024

From NBC News’ Chuck Todd:

NBC News chief political analyst Chuck Todd on Wednesday claimed a senior cabinet secretary told him in 2022 that President Biden couldn’t run again.

The former “Meet the Press” host discussed dwindling confidence in Biden’s campaign on his podcast “The Chuck Toddcast” with Politico columnist Jonathan Martin. While floating potential exit paths for Biden to step down, both criticized Democratic Party members for refusing to publicly voice their concerns.

“The politicians of the Democratic Party in the last few days have shown that a lot of them don’t have the courage of their convictions. They simply aren’t going to stand up and say in public what they’ve been telling folks like us in private for years. This is not a new story,” Martin said.

It’s not a new story on the right. But you said the right was lying and distorting the truth, and that Biden was basically fine. Now you say you knew differently and were covering up the truth and lying yourselves – to preserve “democracy” (that is, Democrats). We’ve known you were liars for a long long time. But now that you admit that you always knew the truth and hid it, why would anyone who previously trusted you trust you now?

Why would anyone ever trust you again? They answer is that no one on earth should, and you’re admitting it.

More:

Todd recounted, “I had a cabinet secretary two years ago — two years ago — out of the blue asked me, ‘Do you really think he’s gonna? He can’t run again like this.’ And I said, ‘Well, you have more interaction with him than I do.’ And they said, ‘I don’t have a lot of interaction with him.’ This is a pretty senior cabinet secretary. This was two years ago.”

He added, “It’s the classic open secret, the nonversation. It’s the story everybody knows, and that everybody was afraid to talk about.”

Does that “everybody” include you Chuck? Well, I guess you’ve now overcome your fear. And why might that be? Might it be because the truth is now impossible to hide? I’m sure you can give it the old college try, though.

Then again, maybe the truth is out because Obama has decreed it must come out.

Posted in Biden, Press | 9 Replies

Open thread 7/11/24

The New Neo Posted on July 11, 2024 by neoJuly 11, 2024

Posted in Uncategorized | 28 Replies

And Biden still does better than his possible replacements do in polls against Trump

The New Neo Posted on July 10, 2024 by neoJuly 10, 2024

I can’t say I’d rely overmuch on polls right now – or perhaps ever. But still, I find these results very curious:

The latest Emerson College Polling survey found Trump with 49 percent and Harris with 43 percent among registered voters in a potential match-up, a 6-point lead for the former president. Another 8 percent were undecided.

Harris notched the same share of support as Biden, who also scored 43 percent against Trump — but Biden trailed the presumptive Republican nominee by 3 points, with 43 percent to Trump’s 46 percent, and 11 percent undecided.

So Biden does better than Harris, but it seems to be because he cuts slightly more into support for Trump, not because he gets more votes himself. Therefore the gap is smaller.

And it’s not just the unpopular Harris – it’s also the other Democrats who are mentioned as possible Biden replacements:

Trump was also up in hypothetical head-to-heads against eight other prominent Democratic and independent names floated as potential Biden replacements. He led by 6 points over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), 7 points over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 8 points over California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D).

Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, former Vice President Al Gore, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer all came in behind Trump in additional tests.

But a new poll from the Democratic pollster Bendixen & Amandi Inc. found more promising results for Harris — putting the vice president ahead of Trump by 1 point. Harris scored 42 percent to Trump’s 41 percent, while 5 percent of voters picked a third-party candidate and 12 percent were undecided.

I suppose you could just say the polls are worthless at this point, and call it a day. Twelve percent undecided? Does that mean they’ll stay home? Or are those the mail-in ballots waiting for opportune Democratic harvesting?

And national polls are especially worthless; it’s the state polls that matter – or at least, that matter more.

But the whole thing could help explain why the Democrats seem to be resigned to running Biden – for now.

Posted in Biden, Election 2024 | 38 Replies

Thinking about it

The New Neo Posted on July 10, 2024 by neoJuly 10, 2024

In school we are mostly taught to take in information and then give it back in an exam. And that’s important to learn to do in order to have a backlog of knowledge and the ability to negotiate the world. But we get so used to passively taking it in and then spitting it back out that we sometimes forget to question what we learn.

Or, we question everything reflexively, sometimes from a paranoid stance that sees malignant conspiracies everywhere. But to actually look at each situation objectively and try to come to the best conclusion, minus confirmation bias? That’s hard and it’s rare. And though I believe it’s more rare on the left, I actually think it’s relatively rare on both sides of the political divide, because I think it’s rare in human beings.

I like to think I fall into that category of exceptions. Changers have some evidence about that, because at least once we shook off confirmation bias in the face of what we considered overwhelming evidence and changed our minds. But that doesn’t mean we always do it or even mostly do it.

What made me think about the question was this comment by “physicsguy” a while ago:

Just broke contact with a friend of over 50 years. Generally a good person, but since last week it’s been non-stop Trump is a felon. And all his circle of friends were piling on. I couldn’t take it anymore.

A familiar story. I responded this way:

You might try this with your erstwhile friend.

Gandhi was a felon.

Mandela was a felon.

Etc.

I think it would be a good effort, but I doubt it would work. The friend would have lots of available comebacks. One would be that they were arrested by the opposition for doing noble things, not making business entries about hush money payments to porn stars. Another would be to be outraged at comparing these admired people to someone as obviously awful (to their way of thinking) as Donald Trump. Another would be to change the subject. Another would be to refuse to answer. And so forth.

If a person wants to evade actually thinking about what’s been said, there are many avenues for that. And those avenues are usually taken.

Posted in Friendship, Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe | 29 Replies

A Palestinian Adenauer?

The New Neo Posted on July 10, 2024 by neoJuly 10, 2024

I read many stupid things every day, some of them even from smart people who are saying intelligent things as well. An example of a stupid thing I often see is some sort of kneejerk statement about Trump being a dictator, something many people seem to feel the need to throw in there to prove themselves members of the intellectual class. Or, sometimes it’s something about how Israel is motivated by revenge, or it’s about the cycle of violence tit-for-tatism. Or something about WWII itself that shows ignorance – either poor analogies or outright misstatements.

Here’s a good example. It’s an interview with a journalist on the left named Susan Winfield. She is critical of the left’s response to Hamas and Israel, and as I read the back-and-forth I alternate between nodding in assent and shaking my head in disagreement, over and over. I’m not going to do an analysis of the whole thing; I’ll just take this one part of what Winfield says as an example of what I mean:

There’s an excellent essay on the concept of “decolonization” in the most recent issue of Liberties by Kian Tajbakhsh. He’s an Iranian-American academic who was formerly a political prisoner of the Ayatollah. He has a very clear view of Middle Eastern politics; I urge everyone to read the essay, which I think is brilliant. Tajbakhsh writes that what the Palestinians need is not a Mandela but “an Adenauer, who can accept an imperfect and unsatisfactory reality in the present to achieve a better future.” That is, someone who can lead them from conspiratorial thinking and revanchist fantasies into the reality principle, which can be the only basis of a true national revival.

Well, that would certainly be nice. But I don’t see a chance of it happening without something else Winfield deplores: a postwar occupation. Did Adenauer spring forth out of nowhere to lead the German people from Nazism by the sheer force of his argument and courage? Of course not. First there was a very brutal and long-lasting war which destroyed much of Germany. Then after the war, Germany was occupied for eleven years in the Western part (and much longer in the Eastern part, for different reasons). Adenauer had been an anti-Nazi during the war but had managed to survive. The occupation involved the victorious Allies reshaping the utterly defeated Germany and included denazification and re-education (Adenauer was against the former but much of it had already occurred by the time he came to power in 1949).

I cannot think of a single possible Palestinian candidate for a future Adenauer, nor do I see how such a person could ever be elected in a future Palestine without years of occupation and re-education either by Israel or preferably by a less Jew-hating Arab government such as the UAE.

And then there’s German society prior to the Nazis, which although somewhat dysfunctional was nothing like as sick as Palestinian society. There was more to build on in the first place with Germany compared to Palestine – although the building was far from easy. However, it required utter defeat and occupation to begin to take place at all.

And yet Winfield also says the following:

Israel is unusual in that it is the only country in the world that does not have settled borders: It has neither annexed the Palestinian territories nor freed them. The Occupation is a political and moral failure of phenomenal proportions. I have no problem calling it a crime. Israel is also the only country in the world that faces existential threats from an array of states and terrorist groups that are fanatically devoted to its destruction. Does this justify the Occupation? Not at all. Can the Occupation be separated from this? Not at all.

If you can make head or tail of that, or reconcile it with her approval of the idea of a Palestinian Adenauer, be my guest.

Did the author care back when these so-called “occupied territories” were occupied by Egypt and Jordan? I doubt it (was she even alive? I don’t know how old she is, but from her photo she doesn’t look like she was an adult in 1967). Also, Gaza essentially became autonomous in 2005, in case she hadn’t noticed. And these areas were only occupied by Israel after Israel won a war against them and their Arab brethren in 1967. The story:

Israel has occupied the Palestinian territories and the Golan Heights since the Six-Day War of 1967. It previously occupied the Sinai Peninsula and southern Lebanon as well. Prior to Israel’s victory in the Six-Day War, occupation of the Palestinian territories was split between Egypt and Jordan, with the former having occupied the Gaza Strip and the latter having annexed the West Bank; the Sinai Peninsula and the Golan Heights were under the sovereignty of Egypt and Syria, respectively. The first conjoined usage of the terms “occupied” and “territories” with regard to Israel was in United Nations Security Council Resolution 242, which was drafted in the aftermath of the Six-Day War and called for: “the establishment of a just and lasting peace in the Middle East” to be achieved by “the application of both the following principles: … Withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in the recent conflict … Termination of all claims or states of belligerency and respect for and acknowledgment of the sovereignty, territorial integrity and political independence of every State in the area and their right to live in peace within secure and recognized boundaries free from threats or acts of force.”

If the Palestinians would recognize the Israelis’ right to live in peace, there would be no occupation. Period.

You can read more on the subject here.

And yet Susie Linfield is a journalism professor at NYU and wrote this Quillette article that’s discussed in that interview. The article is a critique of the anti-Israel anti-Semitic left, and although I can only read portions of it (it’s behind a paywall), the part I can see is excellent. Some excerpts:

The history of the modern Left’s romance with terrorism—not the “old-fashioned” version aimed at czars or imperial officials, but the kind directed against unarmed civilians … started with the Algerian War and gained momentum throughout the 1960s, ’70s, and beyond with the emergence of the Red Brigades, the Baader Meinhof Gang, the Irish Republican Army, the Japanese Red Army, the Weathermen, and the panoply of organizations included in the Palestine Liberation Organization and, especially, its Rejectionist Front. The latter held pride of place …

Indeed.

More:

In the age of the “progressive atrocity,” PLO terrorist attacks on Israelis, Jews, and civilians throughout the world were hailed as instruments of liberation. A very partial list of such incidents would include the murder of 11 Israeli athletes at the 1972 Munich Olympics (the games continued, nonetheless) and the Lod Airport massacre the same year (death toll: 26, along with at least 80 injured); the Ma’alot massacre of 1974, in which 115 Israelis, mainly schoolchildren, were taken hostage (resulting deaths: 31); the Entebbe hijacking of 1976, in which Israeli and other Jewish passengers were separated from others and threatened with death (most were rescued by Israeli commandos); the 1978 Coastal Road massacre, in which a civilian bus was highjacked (death toll: 38, including 13 children; 71 wounded); the 1982 attack on the Chez Jo Goldenberg kosher restaurant in Paris, considered at the time to be the worst incidence of antisemitism in France since the Holocaust (death toll: six, with 22 injured); and numerous other instances of air piracy. Various international groups, especially Baader Meinhof of Germany and the Japanese Red Army, sometimes assisted their Palestinian brothers “in solidarity.” Not all leftists or leftwing organizations supported these actions, but to criticize them was a sign of “bourgeois moralism” as Ghassan Kanafani, a leader of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, put it. …

In recent years, the Left’s embrace of terror seemed to have ebbed; you won’t find many defenders of al-Qaeda, ISIS, the Taliban, or Boko Haram. The notable exception has been groups devoted to the destruction of Israel: Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and Hezbollah, all of which still garner enthusiasm and deluded admiration. One might have thought that an orgy of sadistic murder, of the kind that Hamas committed on October 7th, would have inspired serious moral and political self-interrogation. As the past four weeks have illustrated, however, the exact opposite is the case.

She’s of the left but doesn’t really understand the depth of its anti-Semitism and of its romance with and sympathy for the devil.

There the free part of her essay ends, but I found more of it here. The following excerpt from her essay is similar to points I made years ago in my series of posts about the 1979 Iranian revolution and the participation of the left:

In 1979, leftists who supported the Iranian Revolution had a rude awakening when the mullahs came to power and promptly executed them, along with secularists, union organizers, intellectuals, feminists, and everyone else who fit into the enormously capacious category of a counterrevolutionary. There was a lesson here: Activists have the responsibility to know who and what they support, and to separate themselves—openly and decisively—from programs and regimes that are predicated on violence and repression. Similarly, those who imagine that Hamas’s slaughters may have promoted “liberation,” “justice,” and “freedom” for Palestinians, as the banners demand, have a big surprise in store.

Unlike Iran in 1979, though, there’s no mystery as to what kind of state Hamas (an acronym for the Islamic Resistance Movement) aims to create; we need only look at what it already has created. This time, no one can plead ignorance. …

… History has proved, again and again, that terrorists and freedom fighters aren’t the same, which is why the former never achieve anything approaching either liberation or justice.

For many leftists and many students these days, it’s just a game they’re playing from their safe Western countries and the liberty those countries afford them. If they are successful in their goals, they may indeed be very surprised at what awaits them.

Posted in Academia, History, Iran, Israel/Palestine, Jews, Middle East, War and Peace | 42 Replies

Open thread 7/10/24

The New Neo Posted on July 10, 2024 by neoJuly 10, 2024

More wildflowers.

Posted in Uncategorized | 21 Replies

A warning: the French “moderates” sold out to the French left in order to stop the demonized “Hitleresque” “far right”

The New Neo Posted on July 9, 2024 by neoJuly 9, 2024

Roger Kimball observes – and we need to pay attention, because the same thing has happened here [my emphasis]:

According to some reports, the final tally is commies 182, Macron’s timorous, head-scratchers 163 and Le Pen’s super hard, far-right reincarnation of Hitler 143.

There are two points and one general observation to make. The first point is that all three fell short of the 289 seats required to nab a majority. The second point is that that failure won’t really matter because whenever there is a “coalition” between the left and anything “centrist” or well-groomed on the globalist right, the left always prevails.

The observation is that this election is very bad news for the country formerly known as France. Le Pen’s Rassemblement National is a complicated and perhaps not entirely savory phenomenon. But on the biggest issue — France’s transformation into a third-world Islamist redoubt because of untrammeled immigration — Rassemblement National is right on the money. In other words, the defeat of Rassemblement National is also the defeat of France.

Kimball goes on to wonder whether there is still time to change things, if in the future Le Pen’s party continues to gain supporters and is finally able to defeat the alliance against it.

Rassemblement National is Hitler. MAGA is Hitler. Anything said by anyone at all is Hitler, if it doesn’t reflect a completely welcoming attitude to open borders to the entire world. When the opposition is defined as Hitler, the left is the victor. And it’s odd to me how many people in this country who vote for Democrats are unaware of how that game is being played on them, and are similarly unaware of the very obvious dangers the left poses.

NOTE: This is an old story – equating the right in this country with Hitler, and it first was happening when the memory of Hitler was very fresh in people’s minds. Please see this.

NOTE II: See also this chilling report on the “Muslim Vote” in Britain.

Posted in Election 2024, Immigration, Liberals and conservatives; left and right | 43 Replies

Parkinson’s is not really the issue – cognitive ability is the issue

The New Neo Posted on July 9, 2024 by neoJuly 9, 2024

It’s possible the public has been lied to about whether Biden has Parkinson’s, and is still being lied to about it. That would be serious, but not new. We’re used to being lied to quite regularly in order to protect Democrats and harm Republicans.

On the other hand, Parkinson’s is often not an easy diagnosis to make even for experts, and if Biden has it (and I happen to think he does, or some related illness) he has an atypical case without the characteristic tremor. That happens sometimes.

But why would a Parkinson’s diagnosis matter, except in terms of truth-telling versus lies? The motor problems characteristic of Parkinson’s wouldn’t necessarily be a bar to being a competent president. But two problems that often go with Parkinson’s would be. The first is fatigue, one of the most common and debilitating symptoms of Parkinson’s. And the second is, of course, dementia.

Biden either has those symptoms – irrespective of a Parkinson’s diagnosis – or he doesn’t. He certainly seems to have both. That’s the issue, of course.

We have zero reason to trust the Biden camp on this, or the Democrats, or the press, or even his doctors.

One thing that has become quite clear is that the 25th Amendment is unworkable unless an administration can be trusted to have the integrity to apply it when necessary, and to have the good of the country at heart. This is obviously not the case right now, and I wonder whether it will ever be the case again. Maybe it’s been a long long time since it was ever the case. Power corrupts, and people in power ordinarily wish to cling to it.

Posted in Biden, Health | 31 Replies

Open thread 7/9/24

The New Neo Posted on July 9, 2024 by neoJuly 9, 2024

Cute or creepy?

Posted in Uncategorized | 32 Replies

Is there a lever long enough to move Joe Biden?

The New Neo Posted on July 8, 2024 by neoJuly 8, 2024

Archimedes is purported to have said: “Give me a lever long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move the world.”

I’m glad I’m not a Democrat right now. They’re engaged in looking for a lever long enough to dislodge Joe Biden’s stubborn grip on the 2024 nomination, and so far it eludes them. Will they find it in time?

Of course, they may not need it if they can commit enough fraud to win the election even with Biden at the helm. There is zero pretense that they care about the effect his continuing to occupy the office has had, and will have, on the fate of the country and the world. It’s about one thing only: winning. That’s why Joe was chosen in the first place in 2020 – not because he’d be a good president, but because he could be presented to the public in such a way that he would be the victor. And whether this occurred through rigging, fraud, or fair and square, it hardly matters to them, as long as it could be accomplished.

The same is true today. The problems with finding an alternative candidate remain. Is Kamala better – and by “better” they mean “more likely to beat Trump”? The pressure on Biden to withdraw is already relentless, but it will get irresistible if people such as Obama become convinced someone else will be a better candidate.

There are people who think that candidate will be Michelle Obama. There are some who believe it will be Obama himself as Kamala’s VP. I suppose either thing is possible, but my gut feeling is that neither will happen. I think the signals we’d be picking up right now would be different if this was the plan. I believe there is actual confusion and division at the moment concerning the way forward for the party.

And meanwhile, Joe’s a stubborn old cuss, isn’t he?

Posted in Biden, Election 2024 | 73 Replies

Matt Yglesias offers a primer on confirmation bias – his own

The New Neo Posted on July 8, 2024 by neoJuly 8, 2024

Democrat pundit Matt Yglesias admits to having been wrong about Biden’s mental acuity, and he seems to beat himself up for it so sincerely that I tend to believe he really didn’t see what was in front of his face all the time. Confirmation bias is very real, it can affect anyone and everyone, and it’s important to be on the watch for it in oneself.

However, although he admits to his own confirmation bias (not using the term, however), Yglesias fails to take the opportunity to question his judgment about more than Joe’s fading synapses. Everything else in Yglesias’ belief system seems to remain intact. For example, he makes it clear that – despite everything – if Biden stays in the race, Yglesias will vote for Biden over Trump. And Trump? According to Yglesias, he’s a criminal and an insurrectionist. It’s just so obvious to him.

Yglesias also thinks that Biden has accomplished a lot of good during his administration. Afghanistan, and the colossal error of judgment that represented? Doesn’t seem to have registered with Yglesias – and that occurred towards the beginning of the Biden administration, years ago. Confirmation bias also involves ignoring what doesn’t fit your favored perspective. Yglesias seems to not have noticed that Biden has shown poor judgment during his entire political career. And Biden’s corruption as shown on the Hunter laptop? Not mentioned. Not an issue for Yglesias.

What lulled Yglesias into such a false sense of security about Biden? Something utterly ridiculous – Biden’s ability to read a speech off a teleprompter.

And why do I care what Yglesias says on this? I think he’s typical of a certain sort of earnest liberal Democrat who works in media and sees only what he wants to see. By no means are all Democrats in media like this; many are far more cynical and ruthless.

Posted in Biden, Health, Press | 30 Replies

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