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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Let us now take just a moment to reflect again on the fact that we dodged quite a bullet when Harris/Walz were defeated

The New Neo Posted on April 30, 2025 by neoApril 30, 2025

[Hat tip: Legal Insurrection.]

2024 VP Democratic candidate Tim Walz is still giving interviews and talks. Here’s a report on his participation in a Harvard Kennedy School forum on Monday night:

Walz said Harris chose him, in part, because, “I could code talk to White guys watching football, fixing their truck” and “put them at ease.” The Minnesota governor described himself as the “permission structure” for White men from rural America to vote for Democrats.

That’s a good reminder of how the Harris/Walz ticket was one of the best demonstrations of the fact that racial and “gender” identity politics have swallowed the Democratic Party. After all, Harris was chosen because she’s a black woman – and it’s not just me saying that, it was Biden who explicitly said it. Turns out that wasn’t enough to win. And Walz is saying he was chosen because he’s some sort of rural macho white guy and therefore could talk the language of rural macho white guys, all while not talking their language at all. People who say “code talk” and “permission structure” aren’t likely to appeal much to that particular demographic.

Harris was and is a train wreck. Walz was and is a train wreck. It is shocking that they got as many votes as they did.

Posted in Election 2024, Race and racism | Tagged Kamala Harris, Tim Walz | 40 Replies

David Horowitz is dead at 86: RIP

The New Neo Posted on April 30, 2025 by neoApril 30, 2025

Very sad news.

Horowitz was the political changer extraordinaire, going not just from left to right but from leftist mover and shaker to becoming a huge force on the right. In both of those roles, but especially the latter – to which he devoted the last forty or so years of his life, churning out article and article and book after book, giving speech after speech and generating tactics and strategy – he was eloquent, insightful, and feisty. His work meant and means a great deal to me.

And boy, was he ever ahead of his time on so many issues. This article about him, which came out ten years ago, offers a summary of his political life:

[Horowitz underwent] a ten-year, slow-motion transformation from theorist of the Left to its worst enemy …

Indeed.

Horowitz knew politics from “both sides now,” and he devoted much of his time to understanding his own early role, his transformation, and the failure of many of his friends and colleagues to go the same route. Early on in that transformation he had experienced a dramatic and extremely serious disillusionment with the Black Panthers, who had committed the murder of a woman he had sent to work for them, and that was one catalyst:

His New Left outlook was unable to explain the events that had overtaken him; his lifelong friends and associates on the Left were now a threat to his safety, since they would instinctively defend the Panther vanguard; and no one among them really cared about the murder of an innocent woman, because the murderers were their political friends.

That’s the sort of thing that can lead to political change – even political reversal – in a thinking person who’s honest with himself.

Forced to look at his own commitments in a way he had never allowed himself to do before, Horowitz realized that it was the enemies of the Left who had been correct in their assessment of the Panthers, just as they had been correct in their assessment of the Soviet Union, while the Left had been disastrously wrong.

Also:

As the Indochinese tragedy unfolded, Horowitz was struck again by how the Left refused to hold itself accountable for the result it had fought so hard for — in this case, a Communist victory. It evidently could not have cared less about the new suffering of the people in whose name it had once purported to speak. He became increasingly convinced, as Peter Collier had tried to persuade him, that “the element of malice played a larger role in the motives of the left than I had been willing to accept.” If the Left really wanted a better world, why was it so indifferent to the terrible consequences of its own ideas and practices?

In November 1984, Horowitz turned another corner. He cast his first Republican ballot, for Ronald Reagan.

Horowitz’s memoir Radical Son was a book I read early on in my change experience. I was never a leftist nor were my parents (just regular Democrats of the mid-century), but a section of my family was from the same Communist milieu in which Horowitz had been raised, and so I was quite familiar with the genre. Some of them never left.

And see how ahead of his time he was when you contemplate these books he wrote and the years in which they were published:

Horowitz’s next book, Hating Whitey and Other Progressive Causes, published in 1999, quickly became the most controversial work the author had written. It addressed the new cultural dimensions of the radical cause, specifically the determination to make race function the way class had in the traditional Marxist paradigm. …

In The Art of Political War (2002) Horowitz observes that progressives have inverted Clausewitz’s famous dictum and treat politics as “war continued by other means.” By contrast, conservatives approach politics as a debate over policy. …

… [I]n 2002, he launched a “Campaign for Fairness and Inclusion in Higher Education” to foster a pluralism of ideas and viewpoints, and in the spring of 2003 he drafted an “Academic Bill of Rights” based on the classic 1915 statement on academic freedom by the American Association of University Professors. Over the next seven years Horowitz attempted to persuade universities to adopt a code to ensure that students would have access to views on more than one side of controversial issues and that faculty would conduct themselves professionally in the classroom, and refrain from using their authority to indoctrinate students in partisan agendas. To advance these principles Horowitz wrote four books analyzing the situation he encountered on the several hundred campuses he visited during the seven years of his campaign: The Professors (2006), Indoctrination U. (2008), One-Party Classroom (2009; co-authored with Jacob Laksin), and Reforming Our Universities (2010). …

Unholy Alliance was the first book to trace the evolution of American radicalism from its support for the Soviet bloc to its opposition to the War on Terror and to explain how the Left and Islamist movements share a mindset that creates a bond between them. For the Left, America is the hated seat of global capitalism and individualism. For Islamists, America is the hated seat of Western values, a bulwark against the global domination of Islam, and a wellspring of spiritual iniquity. Consequently, these two destructive movements have a shared conception of, and contempt for, the “Great Satan” — America — which they identify as the primary source of evil in the world. They find common ground in their desire to annihilate or “fundamentally transform” it. …

… [A]nother book, this time co-authored with Jacob Laksin: The New Leviathan: How the Left-Wing Money Machine Shapes American Politics and Threatens America’s Future (2012). The new book documented and analyzed what no other work of scholarship had even noticed: that the Left had successfully built the richest and most powerful political machine in American history. The authors’ findings upended the conventional wisdom that the Republican party represents the rich and powerful, while the Democrats are “the party of the people.” The New Leviathan reveals how a powerful network moves radical ideas like Obamacare from the margins of the political mainstream and makes them the priority agendas of the Democratic party.

I’ll stop there, although Horowitz certainly didn’t – until now. RIP.

NOTE: Here is a post I wrote about Horowitz very early in my blogging career. I’ll add that I had an early correspondence with him at that time, and he was kind enough to reply and send me his latest book. I may write one more post about Horowitz, although not today.

Posted in People of interest, Political changers | 22 Replies

Open thread 4/30/2025

The New Neo Posted on April 30, 2025 by neoApril 30, 2025

Posted in Uncategorized | 20 Replies

The press would rather you think them abysmally stupid than deeply mendacious

The New Neo Posted on April 29, 2025 by neoApril 29, 2025

They are seemingly united in trying to advance the notion that they didn’t notice what was obvious about Biden’s cognitive decline, rather than let you conclude that they lied about it in order to cover it up and to help Democrats and hurt the right. But if that is the case, why should we listen to reporters that stupid, that unobservant, that incurious?

Of course, they weren’t left with many good choices as an excuse for their abominable behavior. It’s “we were stupid!” or they admit “we lied.” Neither story is going to enhance their image, but I think “we’re stupid” might just be a worse message.

Now, I know it’s the case that they’re not literally saying “we’re stupid.” Instead, they’re saying, “we were deceived!” But that’s preposterous because Biden’s decline was so glaringly obvious.

However, here’s what they’re saying now:

Now that the election is over, those same reporters are trying to act as if they were deceived.

Several, notably CNN’s Jake Tapper, are publishing exposés of how the fraud was maintained, as if they didn’t know all along.

At Saturday’s dinner, Axios correspondent Alex Thompson made a show of lighting into the Biden administration for maintaining the fiction, and his fellow journalists for buying it.

“President Biden’s decline and its cover-up by the people around him is a reminder that every White House, regardless of party, is capable of deception,” Thompson said.

“Being truth tellers also means telling the truth about ourselves,” he continued. “We, myself included, missed a lot of this story . . . We bear some responsibility for faith in the media being at such lows.”

But journalists didn’t “miss” the story. They lied about it.

The message the press is trying to give is that they were deceived by Biden’s “people.” It is so lame it’s absurd – but they must think the American public is cognitively challenged.

The Ruthless podcast has an amusing take on it all:

Posted in Biden, Health, Press | 23 Replies

The history of Kristi Noem’s purse-snatcher

The New Neo Posted on April 29, 2025 by neoApril 29, 2025

Perhaps you already know that Division of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem’s Gucci purse was stolen recently at a DC restaurant and that the thief (actually, thieves, although there was one main player) has been arrested.

It’s as though he was sent by Central Casting. Take a look at this history – “illegal alien” is just the tip of a substantial iceberg:

Mario Bustamante-Leiva, 49, of Santiago, was arrested Saturday after he allegedly made off with the luxury shoulder bag while Noem, 53, was at an Easter outing with her family at the Capital Burger in Washington, DC, sources told The Post.

Bustamante-Leiva, who is in the US illegally, is believed to be part of a large East Coast robbery organization.

Cops later arrested a second suspect — another illegal migrant — in Miami and are holding him on a deportation notice while finalizing charges, according to sources.

The two suspects allegedly work together and have committed similar robbery schemes across the country, the sources said.

So not just an illegal alien, but a habitual criminal illegal alien working with another habitual criminal illegal alien. How was Bustmnte-Leiva caught? For starters, the entire thing was recorded on a security camera.

But wait, that’s just the beginning. Bustamante-Leiva has been getting around (that link is from March of 2015):

One of London’s most prolific thieves has been jailed for three years after stealing £21,000 worth of phones, wallets and computers during a five-month crime spree.

Jobless father-of-three Mario Bustamante-Leiva, 39, of no fixed address, wore a flat cap and a large overcoat even in the height of summer in order to conceal his pickings.

The Chilean national trawled exclusive bars, restaurants and coffee shops looking for laptops, mobile phones, iPods and tablets.

The Old Bailey heard in one case he even stole a bag containing an entire family’s passports and airplane boarding passes.

Police have released CCTV footage which shows the brazen thief swipe an unsuspecting woman’s handbag from under her nose as she chats with a friend.

This guy saw no meed to change tactics, despite having been caught on camera before.

So, how did he get in here without being detected as a criminal? (Yes, it’s a rhetorical question.) How long has he been here, doing this? How large is the criminal ring? And lastly – will the left take up his cause as their latest hero?

Posted in Immigration, Law | 13 Replies

So Canada votes to continue on its present leftward course

The New Neo Posted on April 29, 2025 by neoApril 29, 2025

I don’t think the victory of Liberal Mark Carney as Canada’s new prime minister should be any sort of surprise. Polls have been predicting it, for one thing. But more importantly, leftward is the direction in which Canada has been going for at least ten years. Canada and the US are very different countries with very different traditions, and although I cannot say how much Trump’s bluster and threats towards Canada influenced the outcome, I think I am safe in claiming that Trump certainly didn’t help the Conservative cause in Canada at all.

In sum, however, Canadians are responsible for their own political decisions.

The Liberal victory didn’t give the Liberal Party a majority, however:

As the votes were counted through the night, the Liberals were just shy of a majority government, which would mean the governing party would need the support of what is left of the NDP and the Quebec sovereigntist Bloc Québécois party.

On a stage surrounded by dozens of supporters early Tuesday, Carney thanked Poilievre to a decidedly muted response from his supporters before turning a laser focus on Trump.

“America wants our land, our resources, our water, our country,” Carney said.

“These are not these are not idle threats. President Trump is trying to break us so that America can own us. That will never, that will never, ever happen. But we also must recognize the reality that our world has fundamentally changed,” he said.

You can see why I say that Trump’s rhetoric and actions became a helpful issue for the Liberals. I’m not sure what that “decidedly muted response” is about, but perhaps there is already some buyers’ remorse, just as there is in Britain for Starmer.

The losing Conservative, Poilievre, had this to say:

“We got the highest share vote our party has received since 1988,” Poilievre added. “We didn’t quite get over the finish line, yet we know that change is needed. But change is hard to come by. It takes time.”

I’m not sure what it would take, but certainly not just time.

More insight into the election can be found in the Edmonton Journal, a Canadian paper based in Alberta (probably the most conservative area of Canada). The situation seems to have been somewhat like what happened in France and in Britain, in that the left was uncharacteristically united in order to stop the right:

Poilievre led his Conservative Party to its greatest height ever, at least if you go by popular vote. Stephen Harper’s CPC peaked at 39.6 per cent in the 2011 election. But more than 42 per cent of Canadians voted for Poilievre’s CPC in this 2025 general election.

But there was just one problem. For the first time since it formed in 2003, the CPC faced a largely united left-of-centre, with Mark Carney’s Liberals getting roughly 43 per cent of the vote.

That result will give the Liberals roughly 160 seats to 150 for the CPC, not enough for a Liberal majority, but enough to shake Alberta politics, bringing on calls for separation from angry Albertans …

The author of the piece seems to agree that Canada is basically a liberal/left nation – and that if that segment of the populace unites, the right will not be able to win. In this case, the more leftist party than the Liberals united with the Liberals to defeat the Conservatives. However, even the Conservatives tried to distance themselves from Trump:

It wasn’t until former [Conservative Party] leader Stephen Harper said he’d rather burn Canada to the ground than give an inch to the blowhard Trump that the CPC found its own footing. By then, it was too late. Carney had won over Canada’s gigantic anti-Trump faction with trumped-up fears that Trump was going to steal our land and our water.

Wow, talk about NeverTrumpers! “Burn Canada to the ground” – that’s quite an extraordinary statement from Harper. But it shows the depth of how much Trump’s recent threats are detested in Canada, even by the supposed right.

Posted in Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Trump | Tagged Canada | 61 Replies

Open thread 4/29/2025

The New Neo Posted on April 29, 2025 by neoApril 29, 2025

Posted in Uncategorized | 38 Replies

Here’s a thread for the Canadian election

The New Neo Posted on April 28, 2025 by neoApril 28, 2025

Today’s the day. The prediction is that the liberal will win – and that Trump bears some of the blame:

The Conservative Party had a big lead in polls…until President Donald Trump started his tariff talks and annexing Canada.

“In an Angus Reid Institute poll released on Dec. 30, the Conservatives were in super-majority territory with 45% support, compared to the Liberals at 11%. The results of a poll released on Saturday had the Liberals at 44% with a four-point lead over the Conservatives at 40%.”

Of course, are the polls correct? I certainly don’t know. But it does seem like an oddly fickle response to make Trump’s bluster the deciding factor, and it’s not as though the Conservative candidate is saying he wants Canada to become part of the US. It also seems to me like the country that elected Trudeau over and over and over isn’t suddenly becoming overwhelmingly conservative

Posted in Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Politics, Trump | Tagged Canada | 36 Replies

Luntz gets it and doesn’t get it

The New Neo Posted on April 28, 2025 by neoApril 28, 2025

[Hat tip: Althouse]

Here’s an interesting interview with Frank Luntz. Why interesting? Why Luntz? Because he’s emblematic of so many people who sort of get the Trump phenomenon but also fail to get it.

For example, he’s correct here:

Luntz says this level of hostility towards institutions, and the perceived elites that run them, has reached breaking point. “Our institutions are failing,” he says. “What exactly is Congress doing? Are the courts overreaching? Are our schools succeeding? Is healthcare delivering the choice and affordability people need? The answer to all of these is no.

But then he adds this:

“The very moment that Trump has re-ascended to power is the very moment that our institutions are at their weakest and the public is at its angriest. That is leading to a rejection of the status quo and embrace of anything that says: ‘Change’.”

No, not anything that says “change.” The desire is for change of a particular sort – although people on the left also want “change,” the type that moves even further to the left.

Luntz also says:

The institutions rejected by Trump voters are also those that traditionally held the American president to account. “Accountability is essential in a functioning democracy but the media has lost the ability to hold the administration accountable by the way it’s covered it,” Luntz says. “Congress has not been challenging the administration in any meaningful way, and I’m waiting to see what happens with our legal system.”

What does he mean by “the administration? The Trump administration? The media constantly attacks this administration, but does it so incessantly and with such mendacity that it has lost credibility with the majority of people not for lack of “accountability,” but for deceptive and unfair “accountability.” Meanwhile, it made excuses for Biden and almost never even asked him hard questions, while covering up things like the Hunter laptop. There is a gap the size of the Grand Canyon between the media’s coverage of the two presidents, and that is why people have rejected it.

Luntz says he found the strength of this feeling surprising. “In my Trump focus groups, they want to hold judges accountable. They want to hold Congress accountable — not just to defeat them but to punish them. It’s a value I’ve never seen in American politics until now, that desire to punish your opponent.”

Where was Luntz from 2016 to 2024? Where was he for Russiagate, the impeachments, the incessant and vindictive lawfare against Trump (on absurd charges) that sought to bankrupt and/or imprison him (and his family), the threats, the “he’s Hitler” accusations, the winking at or downplaying of violence against Republicans? Does Luntz have a clue why they “want to hold judges accountable”? Does he think judges shouldn’t be held accountable for disobeying the law, for example?

More from Luntz:

The Trump phenomenon could be dismissed as a cult of personality, but Luntz believes otherwise. “You say to me, when Trump leaves, does this go away? I’ll say to you, absolutely not, because of JD Vance,” he says.

Vance’s reputation among the Maga faithful has grown since his assured performance in the vice-presidential debate with Tim Walz, Luntz says. “He presented an ideology behind the Trump cult of personality. Vance found a way to take all the individual aspects of Trump’s policies and put them in a way that will outlast Trump. It was masterful. This is also part of the de-alignment — now there is an ideology and it’s not just Trump’s persona.”

It never was just Trump’s persona. Trump is a dramatic and attention-getting figure, it’s true. But his success wouldn’t have occurred without the dissatisfaction that was already present and criticisms that had already been articulated by many people. It’s not so obscure to think that illegal immigration should stop, that the federal government has grown too large and is out for itself, that the left is soft on crime, that we’ve been involved in too many foreign wars with little to show for it, that men shouldn’t be playing in women’s sports, and that we should become more energy-independent. The “ideology” is common sense and didn’t just start with Trump (and certainly not with Vance), and that’s what gives it its power.

Posted in Trump | 21 Replies

The causes of the DC air collision

The New Neo Posted on April 28, 2025 by neoApril 28, 2025

The horrific air collision between a military helicopter and passenger jet in the busy DC air corridor last January 29 caused shock and outrage because it seemed evident right from the start that this was the result of error, probably multiple errors. To me, first and foremost, military training flights should not be crossing paths with the approach to a busy airport at all, and especially with allowance for such a low vertical separation. And yet this was allowed, and left no room for error.

Well, there was plenty of error, and we’re learning more about that:

Moments before the deadly Jan. 29 crash near Reagan International Airport, Capt. Rebecca Lobach missed an order from co-pilot Andrew Eaves, who was overseeing her training mission, to change course and avoid the descending American Airlines jet, the New York Times reported.

Along with the error, officials found that the pilots “stepped on” some of the air traffic controller’s instructions, meaning they accidentally cut him off when pressing the button to talk over the radio and likely missed important information. …

During that moment, investigators believe Eaves and Lobach failed to hear that the American Airlines plane was “circling” because one of them was pressing the microphone key to speak to air traffic control when the word came through. …

Technology on the Black Hawk that would have allowed air traffic control to better track the helicopter was also found to be turned off that day, common protocol if the training mission had been for real.

But it was a practice mission …

Aviation experts have long bemoaned the practice of allowing pilots to navigate on their own [which was the case here] …

There was also an apparent discrepancy between two of the three Army pilots aboard the doomed chopper about what altitude they were flying at, according to investigators — and they were well above the 200-foot limit for that location.

I also think the helicopter pilots may have been thinking they saw the plane in question but they were focused on a different plane – something I’ve read speculated about in other articles. The comments to this one focused, however – and understandably, I think – on the revelation that the flight instructor told the pilot to turn about 15 seconds before the crash occurred. The wording here is that she “missed” his order, but what does that mean? She certainly didn’t follow it; that we know. But did she hear it? Did she disregard it on hearing it? Was her failure to respond the result of panic, confidence, or distraction? I don’t see that we’ll ever know.

Because Rebecca Lobach was female, there is a great deal of talk online about her having been a DEI hire. We don’t know that’s true, although it’s certainly possible. I’ve also read criticism saying that her previous 500 hours in a Blackhawk was a surprisingly low total, although that’s a subject on which I have no expertise whatsoever.

More from the article:

“The Black Hawk was 15 seconds away from crossing paths with the jet. Warrant Officer Eaves then turned his attention to Captain Lobach. He told her he believed that air traffic control wanted them to turn left, toward the east river bank,” the Times wrote.

“He believed”? I have yet to find an exact quote, which would be helpful (if you see one, please put it and the link in the comments). Did he order her? Was he tentative? Could he have taken charge and done it himself if he thought disaster was imminent? I have no answers to those questions, but that’s what I’d like to know. I’ve also seen speculation that she didn’t obey because she outranked him, but I’ve seen answers from people who claim to have been in the military that indicates in a situation where he’s the examiner, rank wouldn’t matter.

RIP to all who lost their lives in this terrible tragedy of errors.

NOTE: I’ve also seen speculation that she did this purposely in a murder/suicide. I think that’s preposterous, because even without knowing anything about her emotional state, it would be an extremely difficult thing to do in terms of the trajectories. It’s not like hitting a large stationary target such as the World Trade Center, nor is it like crashing into a mountain or the ground.

Posted in Disaster, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex, Military | 24 Replies

Western Europe’s decisions leave its power grid vulnerable

The New Neo Posted on April 28, 2025 by neoApril 28, 2025

[Hat tip: commenter “Bob Wilson.”]

Yesterday there was a blackout in Spain, Portugal, and parts of France. From Michael Shellenberger:

It was one of the largest peacetime blackouts Europe has ever seen. And it was not random. It was not an unforeseeable event. It was the exact failure that many of us have been, repeatedly, warning lawmakers about for years — warnings that Europe’s political leaders systematically chose to ignore.

The bulk of the essay is for paid subscribers, which I’m not, but there are quotes here:

As countries replaced heavy, spinning plants with lightweight, inverter-based generation, the grid became faster, lighter, and far more sensitive to disruptions. That basic physical reality was spelled out in public warnings as far back as 2017. …

Although political leaders promised that renewable energy would provide stable, affordable power, in practice, Spain grew more reliant on the remaining nuclear and natural gas plants to sustain inertia — even as the government pushes them to close. …

Despite all these warnings, political and regulatory energy in Europe remained focused on accelerating renewable deployment, not upgrading the grid’s basic stability. In Spain, solar generation continued to climb rapidly through 2023 and early 2024.

Coal plants closed. Nuclear units retired.

On many spring days by 2025, Spain’s midday solar generation exceeded its total afternoon demand, leading to frequent negative electricity prices.

The system was being pushed to the limit.

And [yesterday], at 12:35 pm, it broke. …

Unless Spain rapidly invests in synthetic inertia, maintains and expands its nuclear fleet, or adds some other new form of heavy rotating generation, the risk of future blackouts will only grow worse.

There’s much more information of a technical nature at the link, but apparently the problem has to do with the grid being in a “low inertia condition” and “oscillations in very high voltage lines” causing “synchronization failures.”

Modern society is heavily heavily dependent on the generation of power, and the decisions many industrialized nations have made in recent years regarding power generation seem nearly suicidal. Of course, the response of those who made those decisions would be that the goal is to prevent an even more suicidal situation as a result of AGW. But whether or not you buy into the AGW scare, it seems to me that nuclear power would be an obvious answer.

Posted in Science | Tagged energy | 34 Replies

Open thread 4/28/2025

The New Neo Posted on April 28, 2025 by neoApril 28, 2025

Posted in Uncategorized | 36 Replies

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