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A blog about political change, among other things

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SCOTUS says it’s okay for a state to block the medical transition of children. But why did we get to the point of allowing medical transition of children in the first place?

The New Neo Posted on June 20, 2025 by neoJune 20, 2025

It wasn’t all that long ago that minors didn’t have access to drug or surgical treatments when they identified as trans. Those interventions were reserved for adults. But in recent years, minors in many states became able to get puberty blockers, hormones, and even surgery in what has euphemistically become known as “gender-affirming care.” What was behind the push for extending such treatment to minors in the first place?

The following list is not meant to be exhaustive, but its length is an indication of some of the many factors that went into the change. Part of the impetus was that the activist left became far more focused on trans causes because it seemed like the next step after other causes such as gay marriage had been won. Social media has been another huge factor, because the trans movement spreads through the susceptible younger population in that way, particularly among adolescent girls dealing with the conflicts inherent in going through puberty and becoming a woman in an era in which they feel pressured to be sexually active, and are aware – many through internet porn – of some of the more violent and extreme aspects that can become part of sex. Plus, a great many of these young people identifying as trans are gay or lesbian, and are in retreat from that. There’s also an element of some unknown number of older people with various sexual fetishes encouraging and “grooming” the younger ones, particularly online. And of course, there’s money for pharmaceutical companies, therapists, and doctors, particularly when insurance began to cover such interventions.

But there’s a physiological reason, too, which has to do with the way in which puberty affects the body, especially the bodies of biological males. The majority of transitioners today are young females, but it did not used to be that way. Not too long ago, most people identifying as trans were adult biological males who described themselves as having felt from early childhood that they were females, and it was well known that adult transition was especially difficult for those adult men because they had trouble “passing.” Adult women who took testosterone had a somewhat easier time looking like men even if they had started taking male hormones and had their surgeries in adulthood after puberty, because the growth of facial hair, the prominent Adam’s apple, the deepening of the voice, and the gaining of muscle mass as a result of testosterone in a female is significantly easier to achieve than the taking away of those things in a male once they have already occurred post-puberty. Testosterone often has a more potent masculinizing effect than estrogen has as a feminizer, especially for post-pubescent adults. And both can be dangerous drugs for the opposite sex to take, although that fact tends to be glossed over by many trans activists and trans activist doctors.

That latter goal – making the adult male-to-female trans person’s voice higher, getting rid of male facial hair, and doing away with the heavier musculature of a man – wasn’t really convincingly accomplished by most biological males taking estrogen post-puberty. Once vocal cords have thickened in a post-pubescent male, they don’t thin to female proportions even with estrogen. Once the jaw has grown and male facial features are set, it ordinarily takes heavy-duty plastic surgery to change things and even then the face often retains a certain masculine quality. And a while back, the vast majority of people identifying as trans were adult men who wanted to transition to female.

There also was a growing notion – although not supported by research (see this, for example) – that suicide in young people with body dysmorphia could be prevented through early medical intervention. And so the idea of having childhood medical treatment with puberty blockers and then hormones, followed in many cases by early “top” surgeries (for girls; otherwise known as double mastectomies) and sometimes (but less often) by early bottom surgeries for both sexes, became more and more common, more demanded, and more accepted for a while in the medical establishment. In addition, many websites began to advise teens on what to say to authorities in order to be greenlit for medical transition (threatening suicide works, even if a person isn’t really suicidal), making it relatively easy for children of both sexes to take puberty blockers and sex hormones, and to undergo irreversible surgeries.

It is therefore sadly ironic that, for girls and post-pubescent women, taking testosterone is relatively good at causing irreversible physical changes that will enable them to more easily pass as males (much better than taking estrogen works for post-pubescent males wanting to pass as females), because girls who change their minds and de-transition later on find that even after stopping the testosterone they don’t go back to their previous selves and that they now sometimes have trouble “passing” as females, their actual biological sex.

It is a tragic situation, enabled by the left and the supposed health professions, and that is often true even for girls who have not had surgery. To watch de-transitioner videos and hear their deep voices and listen to them talk about permanent changes in their genitalia, their prominent Adam’s apples, their hair loss, and their wider jaws, is to see something both sad and infuriating. And the people to be infuriated with are the members of the medical and therapy professions who allowed this to happen.

The dangers are obvious and not always or even usually told to these young people, and certainly often not well-understood by them even if they hear them. Informed consent is not possible at those young ages. And many adolescents, especially the girls with late onset gender dysphoria, actually are suffering from other mental disorders such as what used to be known as Asperger’s syndrome and is now known as being “on the autism spectrum.”

The surgeries themselves – difficult and problematic at best – also can have special problems when done early, after puberty blockers have been given. Apparently, it turns out that going through normal puberty is usually vital for psychosexual development. To be blunt, with the taking of puberty blockers, many of these young people never develop normally to the point of having orgasms and later cannot do so even when taken off the blockers. Even with “just” hormones, there can be fertility problems and bone density problems, and even cardiovascular problems. To be blunt again, biological boys who have been medically blocked from going through puberty usually don’t have enough penile material to accomplish bottom surgery (the creation of a fake vagina) in the usual way it’s done for adults. I could go on, but I think you get the idea without my getting even more graphic.

Adults can be assumed to have at least the possibility of informed consent, but that simply isn’t true for teenagers. And the parents of those children are often told by health professionals that if they don’t consent to the medical treatment, their children are likely to kill themselves. Even the most reluctant parents sometimes consent when they hear that.

Then we had the backlash of states banning the surgical procedures for minors. Some also ban hormone therapy for minors, as well. These laws predictably met with fierce resistance from the left and trans activists, for obvious reasons. Leftist “progress” is not supposed to be rolled back in this way. But SCOTUS has finally spoken, and has upheld the right of states to ban these “treatments.”

Posted in Health, Law, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | Tagged transgender treatment | 29 Replies

Open thread 6/20/2025

The New Neo Posted on June 20, 2025 by neoJune 20, 2025

I don’t “truly understand” either, because I think Kate Middleton would look good in a random gunny sack:

Posted in Uncategorized | 20 Replies

And then there are the Democrat primaries for mayor of New York City

The New Neo Posted on June 19, 2025 by neoJune 19, 2025

Check out candidate Zohran Mamdani, a “progressive.” He sets a new low:

Mamdani, just 33 years old, is vying to become the city’s youngest mayor.

He’s got clever videos and a lively presence on social media.

The base of his support comes from young New Yorkers, which proves the wisdom of ­George Bernard Shaw’s observation that “Youth is wasted on the young.”

Then there are those ardent leftists behind him who refuse to grow up, such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Bernie Sanders.

Born in Uganda, Mamdani would also be Gotham’s first Muslim mayor, and his refusal to recognize Israel as the legitimate homeland for Jews is another bridge too far.

Lest you think New Yorkers aren’t crazy enough to elect Mamdani, think again. It’s at least a possibility:

The assemblyman [Mamdani] has consistently been in second place, but some recent polls indicate he has closed to within striking distance [of frontrunner Andrew Cuomo].

That change has alarmed elements of the city’s old guard, which is suddenly rallying to Cuomo’s side.

Bloomberg and the NY Times have both come out for Cuomo, despite his history during COVID. Mamdani is seen as decidedly more dangerous, which certainly seems correct. Yet another factor is that the primary features ranked choice voting, which makes it more complex if no candidate gets a majority.

The primary is scheduled for June 24, and there are eleven candidates.

And what of Mayor Adams? He’s running as an Independent. But according to polls, he doesn’t stand a chance against the eventual Democrat nominee.

Posted in People of interest, Politics | 21 Replies

Mask bans for rioters

The New Neo Posted on June 19, 2025 by neoJune 19, 2025

Nowadays cameras are ubiquitous, and with modern technology it becomes relatively easy to track down perpetrators. That’s why the mask has become a fashion item for rioters.

Here’s a discussion by Rich Lowry:

New York first banned masks in the 1840s in response to protesters harassing landlords. Later, in the 20th century, states prohibited face coverings to address the depredations of the KKK.

The bans were either not enforced or repealed during covid. Masks went from being a symbol of outlaw behavior to becoming the sine qua non of good citizenship according to Dr. Fauci and other public-health authorities.

My question is this: how can a mask ban be enforced, when a huge group of rioters wear them? Arrest everyone who’s wearing one during a demonstration? Would the mask-wearer need to be violent and already committing another crime? If so, why not just arrest the person for that crime rather than mask-wearing? Would these laws actually deter people from wearing masks? I tend to doubt it.

Some California lawmakers propose an interesting twist on the matter:

A proposed California bill could make it a misdemeanor for local, state, and federal law enforcement officers to wear masks or any other personal disguise to conceal their identity while interacting with the public while on duty in the state. …

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security responded [this way] …

“While ICE officers are being assaulted by rioters, a sanctuary politician is trying to outlaw officers wearing masks to protect themselves from being doxed and targeted by known and suspected terrorist sympathizers,” the post said. “Not only is our ICE law enforcement facing a more than 400 percent increase in assaults, but we’ve also seen thugs launch websites to reveal ICE officers’ identities.”

Posted in Law, Liberty | 13 Replies

Iran war roundup

The New Neo Posted on June 19, 2025 by neoJune 19, 2025

(1) Trump’s red line with Iran was apparently enforced. He told the Iranians they had sixty days to negotiate and reach an agreement, and he warned them that the consequences of not doing so would be dire. It was on day sixty-one that Israel attacked. This business of keeping one’s word has the added advantage of not just being effective with Iran; it also gives notice to other nations who might be paying attention that Trump means what he says. It lends strength to future negotiations with other countries and other parties.

(2) Here’s a report that some Iranians are calling for the return of the Crown Prince, son of the late Shah. I don’t doubt there are some, but my hunch (and it’s only a hunch) is that even if the current regime falls, Reza Pahlavi isn’t coming back as an actual ruler with significant power. Maybe as a figurehead, something like the British monarchy.

(3) The idea that Mossadegh, who was the prime minister of Iran from 1951 to 1953, was deposed in a coup engineered by the CIA is stated time and again by online pundits as though it’s a truism that needs no explanation or proof, so widely accepted is the idea. But yesterday commenter “Gringo” has reminded us that the truth is quite different, as explained in this article that Gringo linked. An excerpt:

First, the CIA did not mount or execute a coup. Second, Mossadegh was not democratically elected. …

Between 1953 and 1979, the shah would appoint and dismiss 10 more prime ministers, including Mossadegh twice. Not even the most overheated Iran historian, in Islamic Iran or American academia, describes these changes as coups. The difference is that when Mossadegh’s second government went down in flames in August 1953, there were some American would-be arsonists in the wings who may or may not have shared responsibility, but who insisted on claiming the lion’s share of the credit, however implausibly or unwisely.

Constitutionally, appointing prime ministers in imperial Iran was the sole prerogative of the shah. As Gholam Reza Afkhami wrote, “The Constitution … gave the Crown and only the Crown the power to appoint or dismiss the ministers …

(4) An Iranian missile has hit a hospital in Israel and done significant damage:

The hospital’s director general Prof. Shlomi Kodesh told the media, “A missile hit the old surgical ward building at Soroka. It’s a relatively old building that had been evacuated in recent days.” …

He added, “There is widespread damage to other buildings at the hospital. All patients and all staff were in shelters. The several injured we have are lightly hurt, mostly from the blast shockwave.”

It’s very fortunate that the building had been evacuated. I’m trying to imagine what it’s like to get all the patients into shelters.

Iran says it didn’t target the hospital, but their explanation doesn’t hold water:

Iran claimed that the ballistic missile that hit Beersheba’s Soroka Hospital was aimed at an adjacent military intelligence facility.

There are no Israeli military facilities in the vicinity of Soroka Hospital. The IDF’s Southern Command base is located over two kilometers away, and there is an under-construction army base just over a kilometer away.

(5) This article purports to tell us how Israel corralled Iran’s IRGC generals into a bunker on a ruse, in order to kill them. But the article promises more than it delivers; it doesn’t really describe much more than we already knew. The Mossad guards its secrets pretty well, I think.

Posted in Iran, Israel/Palestine, War and Peace | 21 Replies

Open thread 6/19/2025

The New Neo Posted on June 19, 2025 by neoJune 19, 2025

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Replies

SCOTUS rules …

The New Neo Posted on June 18, 2025 by neoJune 18, 2025

… that a ban on medical transition treatment for children is constitutional.

Sanity prevails, along the usual lines.

Posted in Uncategorized | 20 Replies

2020 election fraud, revisited

The New Neo Posted on June 18, 2025 by neoJune 18, 2025

My position on the 2020 election fraud allegations has long been that we will never know for sure what occurred and to what extent, but that the extensive mail-in balloting created the opportunity and that the motive was certainly there.

Now, four and a half years later, we have this news (which never would have come out without the election of Trump and the changing of the leadership of the FBI, as well as GOP control of the Senate):

FBI Director Kash Patel on Monday evening turned over to Congress an intelligence report raising concerns that China had mass-produced fake U.S. driver’s licenses to carry out a scheme to hijack the 2020 election with fake mail-in ballots for Democrat Joe Biden.

The newly declassified intelligence reports from August 2020 weren’t corroborated or fully investigated and instead were recalled from intelligence agencies at about the time that then-FBI Director Chris Wray testified there were no known plots of foreign interference ahead of the 2020 election in which Biden defeated Donald Trump, officials told Just the News.

The new documents were turned over to Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa …

Officials who have seen the documents told Just the News the FBI had a relatively new confidential source who provided information in summer 2020 that the Chinese government was manufacturing and exporting fake U.S. driver’s licenses as part of a plot to create voter identities for Chinese residents living in the United States so they could vote with fake mail-in ballots. …

They also said the intelligence report was recalled within a few weeks and the allegations never fully investigated, on the grounds that the source needed to be re-interviewed.

But, in fact, another agency, U.S. Customs and Border Protection, had intercepted nearly 20,000 fake licenses around the time the intelligence came in a possible corroboration of the report, officials said.

More here:

China had collected private US user data from millions of TikTok accounts, to include name, ID and address, which would allow the Chinese government to use real US persons’ information to create the fraudulent driver’s license. The fraudulent driver’s licenses were to include true ID number and true address of US citizens, making them difficult to detect. China planned to use the fraudulent driver’s licenses to account for tens of thousands of mail-in votes.

We don’t know how many such fake votes actually were recorded. What we do know is that – and I know I repeat myself – the expansion of mail-in voting gave them a golden opportunity for such a fraud scheme, as well as other schemes by other groups we might know nothing about. Mail-in voting is inherently insecure and very stringent safeguards must be in place to use it widely, and such safeguards were not in place in the US in 2020 (or now, for that matter).

NOTE: I’ve written many previous posts on the subject of vote security – for example, this and this.

Posted in Election 2020, Law | Tagged China | 25 Replies

Decision time in Iran: what now?

The New Neo Posted on June 18, 2025 by neoJune 18, 2025

There are a great many decisions to be made about Iran – by Trump, Netanyahu and his associates, Khamenei, and the Iranian people. In the case of Khamenei, it may be a Biden-esque situation in that the man is 86 years old and perhaps not quite all there:

Israeli source confirms the report from Iran International that has obtained information from a Western intelligence source, according to which Khamenei has been removed from making key decisions due to his poor mental state, and military commanders are hiding the reality of the war from him in order to manage his mental state.

Trump has to decide whether to intervene to damage the underground nuclear site Fordow, by using bunker busters or whatever method is deemed best. Netanyahu likewise, if Israel has an alternative way of destroying or disabling the facility. Both have to decide whether the goal is regime change and also if they will be assassinating Khamenei himself. They also have to consider who or what would replace the mullahtocracy and how to try to make sure something worse won’t take its place. And the Iranian people will need to decide how far they will go to make regime change happen and to install a better government.

Khamenei – or whoever is really in charge – does have the option of unconditional surrender. I can’t imagine that happening, though. It’s almost a cliche to say that theirs is a death cult, and that’s why I very much doubt that surrender will be happening unless the clerics in charge are all killed and someone more secular makes the decision.

In case you’re not aware of the belief system that motivates the mullahs to wish death to Israel and the US, please watch this (I’ve cued up a 2-minute segment that’s relevant):

See also here under the heading “The conquering of Israel.” See also this description of the mullahs’ belief system involving the return of the Mahdi:

Still alive, the 1,155 year-old Muhammad al-Mahdi is patiently biding his time to return and usher in the takeover of the Muslim — and eventually entire — world.

While such traditions may seem harmless enough, Mahdism poses a serious, though vastly overlooked, threat to international security, primarily because its current articulation in Iran requires its adherents to take “proactive” steps to help usher in the Mahdi — most notably by initiating an “apocalyptic” showdown with the “greater” and “lesser” satans, namely, America and Israel. …

In 2015, Mehdi Taeb, a leading cleric and brother of Hossein Taeb, the head of the IRGC’s Intelligence Organization, made clear how they are to “pave the way.” In a speech, he called on IRGC members to “remove the obstacles to the emergence of the Imam of the Age, the most important of which is the existence of the usurper regime of Israel.”

Meanwhile, is this a threat the Iranians can carry out, or is it mere bluster?:

Despite being absolutely routed so far in its war against Israel, what’s left of Iran’s top-level leadership is now threatening a “surprise tonight the world will remember for centuries.” Accompanying that state-run media announcement was a video …

The implication isn’t exactly subtle. Iran is now claiming it has a nuclear weapon to launch at Israel or U.S. positions in the Middle East.

Meanwhile, the Shah’s son has this to say:

… Reza Pahlavi, the exiled crown prince of Iran, says now is the “best opportunity” for the Iranian people to “finally overcome this regime and get rid of it.”

I think he’s right. But will they take the opportunity, and by what method?

On a personal note: I continue to be surprised at how many people thought that Trump would go “Obama lite” in Iran and negotiate an Iran deal that wasn’t much tougher than the previous one. I never thought that, and I think those who did think it underestimated Trump significantly.

Posted in Iran, Israel/Palestine, Trump, War and Peace | 81 Replies

Open thread 6/18/2025

The New Neo Posted on June 18, 2025 by neoJune 18, 2025

Musical prodigies are astounding. This girl is five years old:

Posted in Uncategorized | 13 Replies

Israel continues to pound Iran

The New Neo Posted on June 17, 2025 by neoJune 17, 2025

I don’t think Iran expected this, but it should have. Israel has capacities that till now it hasn’t fully used – but the Israelis are plenty motivated to not only end Iran’s nuclear program but to end its present regime. The question of what comes after will have to wait; the answer is unknown.

It’s of particular interest that much of the world seems to be content to let Israel do this – especially the Arab world, most of which considers Iran the enemy.

Here’s a good summary of what’s occurred so far in the five days of war. Here’s an article (hat tip: commenter “physicsguy”) on Iran’s built-to-be-unreachable Fordow nuclear site:

“For Fordow to be taken out by a bomb from the sky, the only country in the world that has that bomb is the United States. And that’s a decision the United States has to take, whether or not it chooses to actually pursue that course,” Leiter said. But, he added, that wasn’t the only option: “There are other ways of dealing with Fordow.”

Destroying Fordow from the air would be almost impossible for Israel, according to a March report from the UK-based Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank and would require significant firepower and assistance from the United States.

It would not even be reachable by the US’ GBU-57 massive ordnance penetrator bombs, which only reach about 60 meters deep, according to the RUSI report. And the GBU-57 can only be delivered by US Air Force B-2 stealth bombers, something Israel doesn’t have – even if the US would give it the bombs.

“Even the GBU-57/B would likely require multiple impacts at the same aiming point to have a good chance of penetrating the facility,” said the report.

Everything is on the table. Iran and its leaders – the ones who remain alive – are very very vulnerable right now. And Trump delivers a message to the people of Tehran: get out of town. We have no beef with you.

Posted in Iran, Israel/Palestine, War and Peace | 40 Replies

Tucker Carlson and company are displeased with Trump, who is not listening to them

The New Neo Posted on June 17, 2025 by neoJune 17, 2025

I’ve read for quite a while that Tucker Carlson and his anti-Israel wing have a lot of influence on Trump.

I never thought that was the case. It has always seemed to me that Trump’s approval of Israel, although not kneejerk and automatic, is nevertheless solid.

So this seems correct to me – Carlson didn’t “lose” Trump; he never had him:

The other big loser in this struggle is a “woke right” faction of the conservative movement in the United States that opposes Israel and has been fervently opposed to any action to stop Iran from gaining nuclear weapons. More to the point, this rag-tag group of talk-show hosts, right-wing influencers and social-media gurus who can’t seem to mention Israel without betraying their antisemitic tendencies has lost President Donald Trump.

Or to be more precise, they never really had him. …

The most prominent of these voices on the right is former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, whose shows and posts on the X platform reach many millions of people. As I’ve noted previously, Carlson is adamant about his distaste for Israel and his willingness to shill for the Iranian regime as well as its ally Qatar. …

As polls have consistently shown, Republicans and conservatives overwhelmingly support Israel, even as Democrats and the political left have abandoned it. Yet Carlson and his woke right acolytes, imitators and supporters are certain that Trump will lose his MAGA supporters if he continues to support Israel and doesn’t pursue a policy of appeasing Iran. However, as Trump said in an interview in The Atlantic, he’s the one who decides how to define “America First,” not Carlson and the trolls he platforms or plays to via the Internet.

What’s up with Carlson? Perhaps he’s getting money from those sources, which would be the simplest explanation. But I don’t think that’s it. I think his anti-Israel stance is both a niche position that gets him a following and a lot of clicks from a certain segment of the right and distinguishes him as the star of that group, and a natural continuation of positions he’s always held.

I’ve never been a big TV news watcher, but there was a time many years ago when I did watch it with at least some regularity. I haven’t watched it for years, but I stopped watching Carlson long before I stopped the rest of it. The reason was that he was terrible on foreign policy questions. Here’s what I wrote about Carlson in September of 2024, and it represents what I’d been thinking for many years:

… I got to the point long ago of not being able to stomach Carlson or his guests when they talk about anything foreign-policy related. I long ago decided he was basically Pat Buchanan on steroids, and although I suppose now and then Carlson gets something right (particularly if he’s talking about domestic issues), on foreign affairs he’s been spending a great deal of time giving a platform to people who are wrong. And it’s a big platform because he has a huge following.

Carlson basically represents the views one can often see at The American Conservative, which is a publication founded by Buchanan himself in 2002. Just as an example of what I mean, today the American Conservative website highlighted this article entitled “Zionism Is Not an American Principle: It is time to put some daylight between American policy and Israeli actions.” Here’s an excerpt, to give you an idea of some of the flavor:

In the short term, President Donald Trump must resist entrapment in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s war of choice, continue to make (likely futile) attempts at negotiations, and defend the safety of U.S. soldiers caught in the middle—preferably by funneling them out of the region entirely. In the bigger picture, the United States must begin the process of separating fervent Zionism from its policymaking institutions.

War of choice. The author elucidates what he means:

Israel’s behavior is anathema to any kind of morality or human decency. From its numerous wars of aggression and territorial expansion, to its racialist laws, to the forced expulsion of hundreds of thousands of people from their ancestral homes and their continued debasement under a brutal military occupation (which has lasted longer than the Soviet occupation of Eastern Europe), to its war of annihilation on Gaza, including the purposeful targeting of civilians and children—this is not a government that can be reasoned with.

There it is: the complete leftist line merged with the acceptance of Hamas propaganda. “Conservative”? Hardly. The principles involved are these: (1) anything that anyone we call “neocon” is in favor of, we oppose (2) Jews are neocons; neocons are Jews (3) therefore Israel is the worst of all.

You can see American Conservative’s coverage of Tucker Carlson here; it seems to be a love fest.

Trump is a good deal less enamored:

“Well, considering that I’m the one that developed ‘America First,’ and considering that the term wasn’t used until I came along, I think I’m the one that decides that,” Trump told Scherer. “For those people who say they want peace — you can’t have peace if Iran has a nuclear weapon. So for all of those wonderful people who don’t want to do anything about Iran having a nuclear weapon—that’s not peace.”

Trump also referred to Carlson on Truth Social as “kooky.” I’d say that’s being kind – as well as retro.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Press, Trump, War and Peace | 64 Replies

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