It’s not a copout to say “it depends on what you mean by 3-D chess.”
If you mean something so advanced and esoteric it’s the equivalent of Einstein’s Special Theory (in the political sense), I’d have to say “no.” But I don’t think that’s what it means.
If you think (as I do) that playing 3-D chess means someone with a good grasp of strategy and advanced gamesmanship, working on a number of levels at once, some of them not immediately obvious to the casual observer—well then, I think it’s got to be “yes.”
I say that for several reasons. The first is how Trump beat the odds getting elected in the first place. It confounded nearly all the pundits and prognosticators. He either did it through luck, chance, or skill; at the time it wasn’t completely clear which it was (and it could have been a combination).
But a pattern began, and then that pattern kept repeating over time. It can be described this way: Trump does something that his enemies—and even some of those who support him—criticize. There’s a big furor. It’s widely reported that now, now he’s really done it; now he’s put his foot in his mouth and now he’s sunk himself for real. And yet, when the dust settles (and sometimes it settles rather quickly), we usually find that one or some or all of the following have occurred: Trump didn’t actually say what they said he said, his opponents do something in response to what he said that makes them look like the fools, the public in general responds by agreeing with Trump and his polls go up (sometimes after a bit of a dip).
Strange, isn’t it, if he’s such a fool, that these things keep happening over and over and over? Can anyone have that much good luck? The pattern points to a different explanation, which is that he’s an excellent tactician and strategist who acts in ways that flummox people and tend to have a result ultimately favorable to him.
That doesn’t mean he’ll always win. Not even everyone who plays 3-D chess wins, right? Trump could finally make the big misstep everyone keeps predicting and many are desperately hoping for. He could lose the 2020 election even if he doesn’t make that slipup; with the entire MSM against him, often distorting his words in various ways, it’s amazing he has any approval left at all. But either way, it appears that he’s playing a clever game, given the situation and given his own particular set of gifts.
What are those gifts? One is a certain gut-level intuition that has stood him well over a lengthy life of negotiating and maneuvering. The other is his actual experience in the art of the deal. And what is the art of the deal? Is it not something akin to the sort of gamesmanship Trump has shown as president? Knowing when to press, knowing when to back off, knowing the psychology of the other side, knowing how to bob and weave in order to get to a goal? Trump’s been doing that sort of thing his whole life, and wrote (with help, but the ideas were certainly his) a book on it.
Most of his opponents don’t have that particular background. Most of them are skilled at politics as it’s usually played, but Trump doesn’t play that way. So he is more apt to confound them—and the pundits, too.
I’ll close with a passage from today’s article by Andrew C. McCarthy that sparked this post. Often I agree with McCarthy, and in this case I agree with much of his article, but not this particular passage:
I don’t believe Trump is a master strategist who did this to force Speaker Pelosi and other mainstream Democrats, at their electoral peril, to embrace the radicals. That’s just the lemonade that Trump supporters are trying to make of the president’s never-ending supply of lemons.
But what degree of mental gymnastics would it take to imagine that forcing Pelosi to defend her radical flank was indeed Trump’s goal? Is that reasoning so twisted, so esoteric, so difficult to believe, knowing the man? I think it’s actually a relatively obvious thing to do, particularly for someone like Trump who clearly thinks along strategic lines. Trump supporters don’t have to strain very much to think of that explanation, plus in the past an awful lot of Trump’s lemons really have gone to make a pretty tasty and tangy beverage for those on the right to drink.
McCarthy adds something that is in some ways a lot more telling [emphasis mine]:
In any event, while it is beneath a president to carp in Trump’s juvenile way, I have less heartburn in principle with a president’s attacking radicalism than I do with a congresswoman’s claim that any criticism of her is an implicit criticism of immigrants, women, black people, etc.
McCarthy has an interesting history regarding Trump, and it parallels that of a lot of people on the right. He didn’t like him to begin with and doesn’t really like him now, and some of that is for stylistic reasons. But he has come to appreciate what Trump actually accomplishes, while still disliking what one might summarize as Trump’s style.
I don’t think, however, that the word “juvenile” actually applies here. Trump does sound juvenile at times, like a schoolyard taunter. I don’t think the tweets under discussion here were actually one of those times, but let’s just say for the sake of argument that they were. The question is whether they (or other tweets) reflect a juvenile mind and emotional makeup, or whether they are part of a decision Trump has made that this is an effective way for him to fight in the dirty and vicious game that is politics.
Obama is a good contrast. He was strategic, too, but his style tended to be lofty, intellectual, polished. Nevertheless he fought dirty and he made no bones about it; he’s the guy who said, “If they bring a knife to the fight, we bring a gun.”
No, politics ain’t beanbag. It’s a bitter fight, and although for the most part the weapons are rhetorical (at least in this country, at least so far), they are meant to destroy. Each politician deals with the givens dictated by his or her own personality and style. Obama had that professor thing going; Trump is the loudmouthed wheeler-dealer. But I submit that, at least so far, Trump has proved to be a better chess master than his opponents.
