↓
 

The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

  • Home
  • Bio
  • Email
Home » Page 600 << 1 2 … 598 599 600 601 602 … 1,891 1,892 >>

Post navigation

← Previous Post
Next Post→

On judicial philosophy, liberal vs conservative

The New Neo Posted on December 12, 2020 by neoDecember 12, 2020

[NOTE: Something tells me that now might be a good time to revisit and add to some ideas I expressed in this post from two years ago.]

Remember the brouhaha that ensued when Trump called a judge who ruled against his asylum policy an “Obama judge”? It drew a rebuke from Justice Roberts: “We do not have Obama judges or Trump judges, Bush judges or Clinton judges.”

It strikes me that the argument between Roberts and Trump is a typical DonQuixote/SanchoPanza dispute. Roberts is stating an ideal that does not exist in the real world, and what’s more just about everybody knows that Trump is stating something that seems very very real. But although that’s the case – as the bitterness of so many confirmation fights in recent decades has made crystal clear – presidents aren’t supposed to actually say that sort of thing, and SCOTUS chief justices certainly aren’t supposed to say it. So Roberts is defending what he sees as the integrity of the judicial system, and his own integrity as a justice who no doubt prizes his own idea of his own lack of partisanship and his devotion to objectivity.

But maybe what passes for political partisanship – and acts as partisanship – on the part of judges is also a reflection of a deeper divide between left and right, a divide based on judicial philosophy. To put it in a very simplistic (perhaps too simplistic) way, judges appointed by Democratic administrations usually operate under the idea that the Constitution is a document that must adapt to modern times, and can be stretched and reshaped to find penumbras and intents to fit whatever the left happens to think is a worthy cause. Judges appointed by Republican administrations usually (although certainly not always, since there is variation as well as “changers” among them) operate under a more restrictive idea of what judges must do: interpret cases in accord with the intent of the Founders and the words of the Constitution, plus case law. “Creative” stretching and innovation by judges is largely frowned on; the idea is that change should be the province of other branches of elected government or of amendments.

These two philosophies lead to very different results, and those results are relatively consistent and predictable in that the decisions of Democratic-appointed justices and judges tend to follow the interests of the left and the decisions of Republican-appointed justices and judges tend to follow the interest of the right – only less often. If you look at the philosophical differences, the flexibility of the liberal judicial philosophy versus the relatively rule-bound rigidity of the conservative one means that liberal justices have more “freedom” to twist things to reach decisions they desire, whereas conservative justices are more inclined to apply the letter of the law even when it sometimes leads to results they might not agree with politically.

Lastly, I believe that Roberts may also have been reacting to the pernicious influence of something called “critical legal studies,” although I doubt that motive is perceived by most people. I keep meaning to write a long post on critical legal studies, but I haven’t done it yet. Critical legal studies got going in law schools during the 70s, during the time Justice Roberts would have been in law school. Here’s a brief idea of what the movement was about in those days:

The critical legal studies movement emerged in the mid-1970s as a network of leftist law professors in the United States who developed the realist indeterminacy thesis in the service of leftist ideals…

Duncan Kennedy, a Harvard law professor who along with Unger was one of the key figures in the movement, has said that, in the early days of critical legal studies, “just about everyone in the network was a white male with some interest in 60s style radical politics or radical sentiment of one kind or another. Some came from Marxist backgrounds–some came from democratic reform.” Kennedy has emphasized the twofold nature of critical legal studies, as both a network of leftist scholar/activists and a scholarly literature…

The approach is too complex to go into here, and it has many components. Its practitioners have become extremely influential in legal education. One of its main philosophies is that the idea of the judiciary as an objective impartial interpreter of law is invalid and incorrect. And not only invalid and incorrect, but not even desirable or possible as a goal. Instead:

…there is the idea that all “law is politics”. This means that legal decisions are a form of political decision, but not that it is impossible to tell judicial and legislative acts apart. Rather, CLS have argued that while the form may differ, both are based around the construction and maintenance of a form of social space. The argument takes aim at the positivist idea that law and politics can be entirely separated from one another.

Chief Justice Roberts may have thought he was upholding the idea of the judiciary as something different from “politics by another name,” and the notion that objectivity is a good thing and something to strive for even if not always achieved.

Posted in Law, Liberals and conservatives; left and right | 12 Replies

SCOTUS refuses Texas lawsuit for lack of standing

The New Neo Posted on December 11, 2020 by neoDecember 11, 2020

You can read some of the details at Legal Insurrection. Excerpt from the opinion:

The State of Texas’s motion for leave to file a bill of complaint is denied for lack of standing under Article III of the Constitution. Texas has not demonstrated a judicially cognizable interest in the manner in which another State conducts its elections.

Earlier today I wrote in a comment that there was a conservative argument SCOTUS could use for refusing to take the case, which is that “it has to do with whether there is standing for one state to challenge another over these particular issues, or whether it violates the federalism principle.”

That was a quick comment, but I want to elaborate a bit more. I have a law degree but it’s ancient, and I’m not a lawyer or any kind of expert on election law. However, I have an interest in law and I’ve thought about it a good deal, especially the philosophical and psychological questions connected with law. So ever since the morning of November 4th, that’s the perspective from which I’ve looked at the question of what the legal remedies might be for the huge number of terrible problems connected with this 2020 election and its aftermath.

How do judges make decisions? Of course they look at the law, but few questions of law are 100% cut and dried with answers that are completely obvious. Other elements come heavily into play, among them judicial philosophy and the judge’s hunches about what the larger effects of any decision might be. Judges are human, and there are probably personality quirks that enter into it as well.

The election cases of 2020 have consequences that I believe most of the SCOTUS justices and perhaps all of them find frightening. The rift in the country is serious and vast, and it is my sense that they don’t want to be the ones blamed for bad things happening as a result of their decisions. Perhaps they would deny that, but that’s just my gut feeling (I think it’s especially true for John Roberts, but I think it’s true to a certain extent for many or even all of them).

Of course, even issuing no ruling on the legal questions raised in a case, and refusing to give relief – not hearing this case, for example – has consequences. It’s a form of decision. But it’s a passive type of decision that allows people to tell themselves they’re not responsible for what happens. They may indeed be fooling themselves. But passivity can be attractive when faced with something very tough. And this is very tough, because no matter what the Court does, half the country is going to be very very angry indeed.

That’s the situation we face, and that’s the situation that in my opinion probably made the SCOTUS justices want to run the other way. So if there are legal arguments they can find that allow them to do that – and in this Texas case there were such arguments – most of them will grasp those arguments as a lifeline. That is why I have been wary from the start about any legal remedies coming in these 2020 election cases.

You might ask, but what of 2000 and Bush v. Gore? Didn’t SCOTUS make a decision? Yes, but recall that in Bush v. Gore SCOTUS issued a stay against a recount. Essentially, they froze the proceedings and said “enough already”:

On December 8, the Florida Supreme Court had ordered a statewide recount of all undervotes, over 61,000 ballots that the vote tabulation machines had missed. The Bush campaign immediately asked the U.S. Supreme Court to stay the decision and halt the recount. Justice Antonin Scalia, convinced that all the manual recounts being performed in Florida’s counties were illegitimate, urged his colleagues to grant the stay immediately. On December 9, the five conservative justices on the Court granted the stay for Bush, with Scalia citing “irreparable harm” that could befall Bush, as the recounts would cast “a needless and unjustified cloud” over Bush’s legitimacy. In dissent, Justice John Paul Stevens wrote that “counting every legally cast vote cannot constitute irreparable harm.” Oral arguments were scheduled for December 11.

In a per curiam decision, the Court first ruled 7–2 (Justices Stevens and Ruth Bader Ginsburg dissenting), strictly on equal protection grounds, that the recount be stopped. Specifically, the use of different standards of counting in different counties violated the Equal Protection Clause of the U.S. Constitution. (The case had also been argued on the basis of Article II jurisdictional grounds, which found favor with only Justices Scalia, Clarence Thomas, and William Rehnquist.) Second, the Court ruled 5–4 against the remedy, proposed by Justices Stephen Breyer and David Souter, of sending the case back to Florida to complete the recount using a uniform statewide standard before the scheduled December 18 meeting of Florida’s electors in Tallahassee. The majority held that no alternative method could be established within the discretionary December 12 “safe harbor” deadline set by Title 3 of the United States Code (3 U.S.C.), § 5, which the Florida Supreme Court had stated that the Florida Legislature intended to meet.

In Bush v. Gore it was also not an interstate dispute, unlike the present Texas case. That matters, particularly in terms of the question of applying the Equal Protection Clause. If I’m understanding Bush v. Gore correctly, in 2000 the Equal Protection question in the case involved an intrastate matter: comparing counties within a single state, Florida. In 2020, the Court was asked to deal with an interstate Equal Protection matter and compare states. And yet (to the best of my admittedly shallow knowledge, anyway) states have ordinarily been allowed to use quite different voting rules from other states as long as each state meets the requirements for federal elections set forth in the US Constitution. Otherwise, each state is allowed quite a bit of leeway in setting its own rules.

So I am not surprised by this ruling and in fact I would have been surprised had it gone otherwise. I wish I could be more optimistic about the legal prospects, but I just don’t think there will be a legal remedy issued for the utter disaster that has been Election 2020.

And by “utter disaster” I don’t simply mean a Trump loss and a Biden win, although that aspect definitely upsets me. I am talking about the disastrous process by which the safeguards and protections that reassure us that our elections are fair and valid have been systematically stripped away in many many states. That has left us with a situation that was an invitation to election fraud and/or to the strong suspicion of election fraud. Not only was there a vulnerability to fraud and an opportunity for fraud, but without those proper security measures, fraud was always going to be alleged by whatever party was the election loser. I am firmly convinced that, had Trump been the winner, Democrats would have been screaming “fraud!” and suing in the courts, and there would also have been rioting by the left.

What actually happened, though, was that the Biden win occurred under especially suspicious circumstances. It wasn’t just the enormous number of insecure mail-in ballots; it was also the late-night stoppage in four swing states when Trump was way ahead, the throwing out and/or distancing of many observers, the ballot counting that continued afterwards and went so tremendously heavily for Biden, the insecure voting machine programs (known to be insecure even before the election), and other suspicious anomalies such as the gains by the GOP in the House that seemed to contradict a Biden win and Trump’s sweep of bellweather counties despite the Biden win.

So we had a perfect storm of suspicious occurrences, and now we have a house utterly divided. Can that house stand? I don’t know, but I certainly don’t think we can look to the court system to assist us in finding our way through this.

Posted in Election 2020, Law, Me, myself, and I | 90 Replies

Barr may have known about the Hunter Biden investigations prior to the election…

The New Neo Posted on December 11, 2020 by neoDecember 11, 2020

…and kept mum about it.

That doesn’t surprise me at all, if true. My reading of Barr is that he’s an old-fashioned by-the-book guy, and that although he sometimes acts as if he understands the enormous stakes, he still feels he must follow the rules.

Those old rules used to go like this:

Barr may have kept a lid on the investigations to avoid breaking a Justice Department rule. The Washington Times noted that “Justice Department guidelines prohibit disclosing or opening politically-charged investigations within 60 days of a presidential election. It’s possible that Mr. Barr was worried of running afoul of that rule.”

Of that, and of his enemies blasting him for trying to influence the election. Of course, keeping it under wraps influenced the election as well.

Most of you will probably disagree with me, but I don’t fault Barr very much for this. It wasn’t his responsibility to reveal it, or at least it shouldn’t have been his responsibility. The responsibility and the fault lies in the MSM for spiking the Hunter Biden story that was dumped in their lap, and for social media for blocking it as well. The New York Post spread the word, but the left successfully suppressed and/or discredited the Post. I never expected Barr to break the rules and comment, even though some part of me wishes he had done so. However, if he had, I think the left would have successfully established the idea that he was biased and shilling for Trump.

It’s the old old question: how do you fight against a group that fights incredibly dirty? How dirty do you get? If you keep your hands clean, you lose to that group. If you dirty your hands enough, at what point do you become too much like that group?

I don’t have the answers, but I have the questions.

Posted in Law, Press | Tagged Bill Barr, Hunter Biden | 47 Replies

Yes, the comment edit function has gone AWOL

The New Neo Posted on December 11, 2020 by neoDecember 11, 2020

Again.

This seems to happen periodically. Sorry! At the moment, my plan is to wait a few days and see if the edit function returns, which has happened sometimes in the past. If not, I’ll go to Plan B, whatever that might be.

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Replies

The plans for Joe

The New Neo Posted on December 11, 2020 by neoDecember 11, 2020

Commenter “I Am Sparacus” writes this about the Hunter Biden investigation:

I disagree that this investigation will end up in nothing. The Obama team is not going to let “this crisis go to waste”. They will use it to push him out. Already there are leaks and stories on how the Harris team is leaking. Will they have the decency to let him take the oath of office? Probably not.

Well, maybe. But I don’t quite see it that way.

To kick Joe out for the Hunter Biden corruption problems is way too damaging an admission for the Democrats to make. Why, it would mean – to practically any sentient being – that the GOP was right all along and the MSM deceptively covered it up in order to elect Biden and screw Trump. Plus, the Democrats impeached Trump for even suggesting to the Ukrainian president that these matters should be investigated. No, that’s just too much to own up to, both for the Democrats and for the MSM.

And it’s not even necessary. There’s a very simple solution for getting rid of Joe if they think that’s best – just declare him to have mentally and/or physically declined to the point where it would be a good idea to retire him. That might sound like an admission that those Republicans who claimed Biden was senile were correct, but the news could be carefully described as referring to a very recent decline in Joe’s mental abilities.

But I don’t think they actually want to be rid of Biden – yet. Yes, his “gaffes” (errors, mental absences) probably are making them cringe. But the anti-Trump pro-Democrat public has shown that it’s pretty much okay with that and will not demand he step down. So, as long as Biden doesn’t thwart the left’s plans by nixing something they want to do, why not keep him in the presidency as a figurehead? Others can pull the strings (Kamala or, as I suspect, Obama and/or his people) from behind the scenes and it will work just fine for the left.

There is an added benefit to waiting two years to remove Biden. Not only does it make the “recent decline” claim more plausible because of the passage of time, but it means – if the waiting period is long enough – that Kamala could finish up the remaining two years of Biden’s term and still be eligible to run for two more terms.

So that’s the scenario I see right now as most plausible, although things could change.

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Joe Biden, Kamala Harris | 29 Replies

Happy Chanukah!

The New Neo Posted on December 10, 2020 by neoDecember 10, 2020

[NOTE: This is a slightly edited version of a previous post.]

This is the first night of Chanukah, and I wish everyone a happy one. Chanukah is about a successful revolt and a miracle of light:

The miracle of the one-day supply of oil miraculously lasting eight days is first described in the Talmud, committed to writing about 600 years after the events described in the books of Maccabees. The Talmud says that after the forces of Antiochus IV had been driven from the Temple, the Maccabees discovered that almost all of the ritual olive oil had been profaned. They found only a single container that was still sealed by the High Priest, with enough oil to keep the menorah in the Temple lit for a single day. They used this, yet it burned for eight days (the time it took to have new oil pressed and made ready).

The words of this Chanukah song in Yiddish—written in 1924 before the Holocaust and before the establishment of Israel—are not happy. But I didn’t know that when I first heard it, and I post it anyway because I think it’s very beautiful:

Here are the lyrics, as translated by Theodore Bikel (you can hear an excerpt of him singing it here):

O little lights of mystery
You recall our history
And all that went before
The battles and the bravery
And our release from slavery
Miracles galore.

As my eyes behold your flames
I recall our heroes’ names
And our ancient dream:
“Jews were learning how to fight
To defeat an awesome might
They could reign supreme”

“They would rule their own domain
When the enemy was slain,
The Temple cleansed and whole.
Once there was a Jewish land
And a mighty Jewish hand.”
Oh, how it moves my soul!

O little lights of mystery
You retell our history
Your tales are tales of pain.
My heart is filled with fears
My eyes are filled with tears
“What now?” says the haunting refrain.

Remember: written in 1924.

Bikel translated the song that way in order to make the rhymes come out. But a more literal translation of that last verse might be:

Oh little candles,
your old stories
awaken my anguish;
deep in my heart there
stirs
a tearful question:
What will be next?

Indeed.

Posted in History, Jews, Music | 30 Replies

Oh, that Hunter Biden, says CNN and the FBI

The New Neo Posted on December 10, 2020 by neoDecember 11, 2020

The right has known about this sort of thing since the Hunter Biden laptop story broke, not long before the election. I said “broke,” but perhaps I should have said “tried to break but only caused the slightest of ripples because the MSM and social media actively and forcibly suppressed and/or pooh-poohed and ‘debunked’ (their new favorite word) the story, in order to elect Joe Biden.”

But apparently now even CNN can report on it – and the alphabet agencies can resume their investigation of Hunter. My sense from reading the linked article is that the reason this is now being reported – aside from the fact that they think Trump is soon to be out of the way – is that the news was coming out in the not-too-distant future anyway, and CNN wanted to be careful to distance Joe Biden from it and exonerate him in advance.

For example, here’s the lede:

After pausing in the months before the election, federal authorities are now actively investigating the business dealings of Hunter Biden, a person with knowledge of the probe said. His father, President-elect Joe Biden, is not implicated.

No, of course not.

Compare and contrast to Crossfire Hurricane:

The investigation was officially opened on July 31, 2016, initially due to information on Trump campaign member George Papadopoulos’s early assertions of Russians having damaging material on Donald Trump’s rival candidate Hillary Clinton. From late July to November 2016, the joint effort between the FBI, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), and the National Security Agency (NSA) examined evidence of Russian meddling in the 2016 United States presidential election. The FBI’s team enjoyed a large degree of autonomy within the broader interagency probe.

The FBI was busy investigating Trump’s campaign associates, based on things they knew to be lies, falsifying evidence in order to obtain surveillance warrants from FISA, and leaking like a sieve to the media, all in the fall of 2016 in order to destroy Trump. No pre-election pause for Trump; au contraire.

But back to Hunter:

Investigators have been examining multiple financial issues, including whether Hunter Biden and his associates violated tax and money laundering laws in business dealings in foreign countries, principally China, according to two people briefed on the probe.

Some of those transactions involved people who the FBI believe sparked counterintelligence concerns, a common issue when dealing with Chinese business, according to another source.

The investigation began as early as 2018, predating the arrival of William Barr as US attorney general, two people briefed on the investigation said. The existence of the probe will present an immediate test of Biden’s promise to maintain the independence of the Justice Department.

Sinclair Broadcast Group reported in October that the FBI had opened a criminal investigation into Hunter Biden. CNN has learned new details about the scope of the probe, including that it is focused on China.

More here, here, here, and here.

Will anyone apologize to Rudy Giuliani, mocked and reviled for the laptop story? No. The Big Brother MSM and social media giants did what they needed to do in order to help their guy. And this investigation, like so many others, may end in nothing much as well.

Posted in Law, Press | Tagged Hunter Biden | 19 Replies

A good summary of the legal issues in the Texas et al. SCOTUS case…

The New Neo Posted on December 10, 2020 by neoDecember 10, 2020

…can be found here. Recommended reading.

In particular:

Texas’s lawsuit is a procedural creature differing greatly from the Bush v. Gore case about the 2000 election. Unlike Bush v. Gore, which traveled to the Supreme Court on appeal, Texas’s lawsuit relies on the Supreme Court’s “original jurisdiction,” or power to hear a case initially…

…[T]the Supreme Court does not have to hear a dispute between the states. Rather, controlling precedent holds that whether to hear such a dispute is within the Supreme Court’s discretion…

…Texas argues that the case “presents constitutional questions of immense national consequences,” namely that the 2020 election suffered from serious constitutional irregularities, including violations by the defendant states of the Electors Clause and the Due Process Clause of the Constitution…

In its Bill of Complaint, filed along with its Motion for Leave, Texas presents three constitutional challenges. Count 1 alleges the defendant states violated the Electors Clause of the Constitution…

In Count 2, Texas relied on the same facts, then asserted an Equal Protection claim, premised on the reasoning of the majority opinion in Bush v. Gore. In Bush v. Gore, the Supreme Court held that the Equal Protection Clause of the Constitution is violated when states apply differing standards for judging the legality of votes cast for president…

Finally, in Count 3, Texas asserts a violation of the Due Process Clause of the Constitution. This claim is premised on Texas’s allegation that the election practices of the defendant states in 2020 reached “the point of patent and fundamental unfairness,” thus violating substantive due process.

Much more at the link.

Posted in Election 2020, Law | 54 Replies

Senator Grassley, 87, tested positive for COVID…

The New Neo Posted on December 10, 2020 by neoDecember 10, 2020

…but never had a symptom, and the quarantine period has passed.

Interesting. Just another reminder that, even for the very elderly who definitely are at much greater risk of dying from COVID than people of other age groups, a positive COVID test is not a death sentence for the majority nor is it necessarily even experienced as a serious illness.

Posted in Health | Tagged COVID-19 | 42 Replies

And now Morocco says it will be establishing full diplomatic ties with Israel – plus, the Hydroxy Effect

The New Neo Posted on December 10, 2020 by neoDecember 10, 2020

Today’s announcement:

In a statement, Moroccan sovereign King Mohammad VI says Morocco intends to “resume official bilateral contacts and diplomatic relations [with Israel] as soon as possible.”

King Mohammad says that Morocco will take three moves in the near future. First, facilitating direct flights to transport Jews of Moroccan origin and Israeli tourists too and from Morocco. The North African nation will also seek to “resume official bilateral ties and diplomatic relations [with Israel] as soon as possible.”

Morocco will also seek “to develop innovative relationships in the economic and technological fields. As part of this goal, there will be work on renewing liaison offices in the two countries, as was the case in the past for many years, until 2002,” King Mohammad says.

He thanks US President Donald Trump for recognizing Moroccan sovereignty over the disputed region of Western Sahara, which observers believe was done as a quid pro quo in exchange for normalization.

I keep wondering whether a Biden administration would try to undo this, and if so whether they would succeed in that endeavor. Or, alternatively, they might do something unintentionally that would mess it up. Either course of action is possible. Biden has already signaled his desire (or someone’s desire) to court Obama’s favored nation Iran once again, but emboldening and empowering Iran might just make the Arab nations now allied with Israel cling to that alliance ever tighter – you know, the “enemy of my enemy.”

In line with that thought – I notice that Victor Davis Hanson has an excellent article in National Review about what he calls “the hydroxy effect” and whether if Biden becomes president he will go with it as policy. An excerpt:

Trump’s presidential endorsement [of hydroxychloroquine] was apparent proof of rank quackery [to the MSM and the Democrats]. Yet a few recent second-look studies, especially abroad, suggest that hydroxychloroquine, a dirt-cheap, time-tested anti-malarial drug, can in fact offer help in treating some cases of COVID-19.

This Hydroxy Effect — hysterical disavowal of anything Trump has endorsed — is dangerous to the country at large.

Hanson goes on to list several other ways in which it played out that a Trump statement or opinion or policy was widely derided and yet was correct and/or advantageous. For some of those things there’s a post-election-day “now it finally can be told” element going on in the press. Of foreign policy, Hanson writes:

Logic dictates that Biden would not scrap the framework of an effective containment policy of expansionist China. Pacific nations such as Australia, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan appreciated Trump’s efforts to corral China…

Logic suggests that Biden would appreciate inheriting a more stable Middle East, with Arab states and Israel increasingly united against the theocracy in Iran. The emerging alliances seem tailor-made to allow Biden to take credit for still more Arab nations recognizing Israel…

But the logic we see as logical is not the logic Democrats see as logical. Biden has his own reasons for wanting to cozy up to China, in addition of course to the need to do the opposite of what Trump has done. It may be the same for Israel, although the Arab nations may not really care if Biden doesn’t approve – their motive to ally with Israel at this point may be just that powerful.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Middle East | 8 Replies

Election fraud articles of the day

The New Neo Posted on December 9, 2020 by neoDecember 9, 2020

I was planning to write a big rumination on the election fraud question and publish it today. But other things intervened, and so it probably won’t happen until tomorrow or perhaps in the next few days.

In the meantime, I’m drawing your attention to this article and especially this one.

Posted in Election 2020 | 33 Replies

Hispanics for Trump

The New Neo Posted on December 9, 2020 by neoDecember 9, 2020

In this mess of an election, the topic of fraud has dominated. And with good reason.

But other things happened in the election that are worthy of mention. Whether the trends will continue and will become significant in future elections is anyone’s guess – it depends in part, of course, on the extent of fraud in the future. But these things are worth looking at, especially those that represent changes that shatter common beliefs on the left (and right) about voter behavior.

For example, in Texas and Florida, states that for the most part seem to have been free of election fraud, Hispanics voted Republican in numbers far higher than previously seen [emphasis and remarks in brackets mine]:

The candidate we had been told was the embodiment of white identity politics [that is, Trump] lost support among white voters while gaining ground among members of America’s largest minority. The president of immigration restriction and parent-child border separation won more votes from Hispanic Americans in 2020 than he did in 2016.

And it wasn’t just Miami’s Cuban-Americans and Venezuelan-Americans, perhaps the most vocal cheerleaders for Hispanic Republicanism. Heavily Hispanic counties across the country moved away from the Democratic Party. According to a Financial Times average of exit poll data, Trump gained by eight percentage points among Hispanic voters. Other estimates put the shift in the double digits…

Nowhere was the Republicans’ Latino surge more pronounced than in the poor, heavily Hispanic, traditionally Democratic corner of South Texas where Perez had predicted that Biden would carry the state. In a string of economically, socially and politically neglected towns along the Mexican border, Republican support surged. These counties saw bigger swings towards the GOP than swings in either direction anywhere else in the United States.

How big? Very big:

The most dramatic shift of all was in Starr County, in the Rio Grande Valley, the most Hispanic county in the country, and one of the poorest. More than 95 per cent of the county is Latino. In 2012, Barack Obama won 86 per cent of the vote there. Four years later, Hillary Clinton won with a comfortable 79.1 per cent share of the vote. This year, Joe Biden managed just 52 per cent. Shifts of that scale are almost unheard of…

The article goes on to explain the reasons: many residents of this border area work for border patrol, customs, and the police. That may be true, but it was also true in 2016 and it did not translate into major voting shifts towards Trump back then. But more recently other things have changed, as this voter explains:

…[T]he issues that dominated [in 2020] were Democratic calls to defund the police, threats to the energy industry and, more surprisingly, the unlikely rapport between Trump and Mexican president Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Until 2016, Pat Saenz, a 57-year-old handyman and former high-school athletics coach, had always voted Democrat. When he voted for Trump four years ago, he split his ticket, opting for the Democratic candidates down the ballot. This time he voted Republican across the board and helped Barrera with the campaign, distributing Trump yard signs to other freshly emboldened Rio Grande Republicans.

I suggest you read the whole thing.

Can the traditionally shoot-itself-in-the-foot GOP capitalize on these changes? Again, I realize your answer might be “who cares, if fraud continues.” But I urge you to consider that if enormous numbers of Hispanic – and black – voters come to see that the Democrats do not have their good interests in mind, the right will make gains so large that it might become more and more difficult for fraud to make a difference or even to be committed.

Posted in Election 2020, Politics, Race and racism | 17 Replies

Post navigation

← Previous Post
Next Post→

Your support is appreciated through a one-time or monthly Paypal donation

Please click the link recommended books and search bar for Amazon purchases through neo. I receive a commission from all such purchases.

Archives

Recent Comments

  • om on Open thread 6/10/2026
  • Snow on Pine on Open thread 6/10/2026
  • Barry Meislin on Open thread 6/10/2026
  • Richard Aubrey on The Belfast stabber and his victim
  • Barry Meislin on Open thread 6/10/2026

Recent Posts

  • The Belfast stabber and his victim
  • Karmelo Anthony has been sentenced to 35 years
  • So, Graham Platner will be the Democrats’ Senate nominee from Maine
  • Open thread 6/10/2026
  • News roundup

Categories

  • A mind is a difficult thing to change: my change story (17)
  • Academia (320)
  • Afghanistan (97)
  • Amazon orders (6)
  • Arts (8)
  • Baseball and sports (162)
  • Best of neo-neocon (91)
  • Biden (536)
  • Blogging and bloggers (584)
  • Dance (288)
  • Disaster (240)
  • Education (321)
  • Election 2012 (360)
  • Election 2016 (565)
  • Election 2018 (32)
  • Election 2020 (511)
  • Election 2022 (114)
  • Election 2024 (403)
  • Election 2026 (49)
  • Election 2028 (9)
  • Evil (129)
  • Fashion and beauty (323)
  • Finance and economics (1,024)
  • Food (316)
  • Friendship (47)
  • Gardening (18)
  • General information about neo (4)
  • Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe (730)
  • Health (1,141)
  • Health care reform (545)
  • Hillary Clinton (184)
  • Historical figures (333)
  • History (707)
  • Immigration (434)
  • Iran (446)
  • Iraq (225)
  • IRS scandal (71)
  • Israel/Palestine (807)
  • Jews (429)
  • Language and grammar (361)
  • Latin America (204)
  • Law (2,934)
  • Leaving the circle: political apostasy (124)
  • Liberals and conservatives; left and right (1,288)
  • Liberty (1,106)
  • Literary leftists (14)
  • Literature and writing (390)
  • Me, myself, and I (1,480)
  • Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex (916)
  • Middle East (382)
  • Military (322)
  • Movies (348)
  • Music (528)
  • Nature (257)
  • Neocons (32)
  • New England (178)
  • Obama (1,737)
  • Pacifism (16)
  • Painting, sculpture, photography (129)
  • Palin (93)
  • Paris and France2 trial (25)
  • People of interest (1,026)
  • Poetry (256)
  • Political changers (176)
  • Politics (2,780)
  • Pop culture (395)
  • Press (1,627)
  • Race and racism (868)
  • Religion (423)
  • Romney (164)
  • Ryan (16)
  • Science (629)
  • Terrorism and terrorists (967)
  • Theater and TV (265)
  • Therapy (69)
  • Trump (1,613)
  • Uncategorized (4,444)
  • Vietnam (109)
  • Violence (1,425)
  • War and Peace (1,003)

Blogroll

Ace (bold)
AmericanDigest (writer’s digest)
AmericanThinker (thought full)
Anchoress (first things first)
AnnAlthouse (more than law)
AugeanStables (historian’s task)
BelmontClub (deep thoughts)
Betsy’sPage (teach)
Bookworm (writingReader)
ChicagoBoyz (boyz will be)
DanielInVenezuela (liberty)
Dr.Helen (rights of man)
Dr.Sanity (shrink archives)
DreamsToLightening (Asher)
EdDriscoll (market liberal)
Fausta’sBlog (opinionated)
GayPatriot (self-explanatory)
HadEnoughTherapy? (yep)
HotAir (a roomful)
InstaPundit (the hub)
JawaReport (the doctor’s Rusty)
LegalInsurrection (law prof)
Maggie’sFarm (togetherness)
MelaniePhillips (formidable)
MerylYourish (centrist)
MichaelTotten (globetrotter)
MichaelYon (War Zones)
Michelle Malkin (clarion pen)
MichelleObama’sMirror (reflect)
NoPasaran! (bluntFrench)
NormanGeras (archives)
OneCosmos (Gagdad Bob)
Pamela Geller (Atlas Shrugs)
PJMedia (comprehensive)
PointOfNoReturn (exodus)
Powerline (foursight)
QandO (neolibertarian)
RedState (conservative)
RogerL.Simon (PJ guy)
SisterToldjah (she said)
Sisu (commentary plus cats)
Spengler (Goldman)
VictorDavisHanson (prof)
Vodkapundit (drinker-thinker)
Volokh (lawblog)
Zombie (alive)

Meta

  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org
©2026 - The New Neo - Weaver Xtreme Theme Email
Web Analytics
↑