Success has many fathers but defeat is an orphan. Thus it is with our withdrawal of forces from Afghanistan after twenty years. Even Joe Biden, who said in a speech that he stands by his decision, spent most of the speech blaming a host of others for it.
This WSJ article – not behind the paywall – describes who supposedly tried to talk Biden out of it and who did not. Some of this may be mere CYA, but it also may be true:
The president’s top generals, including Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Army Gen. Mark Milley, urged Mr. Biden to keep a force of about 2,500 troops, the size he inherited, while seeking a peace agreement between warring Afghan factions, to help maintain stability. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, who previously served as a military commander in the region, said a full withdrawal wouldn’t provide any insurance against instability.
In a series of meetings leading up to his decision, military and intelligence officials told Mr. Biden that security was deteriorating in Afghanistan, and they expressed concerns both about the capabilities of the Afghan military and the Taliban’s likely ability to take over major Afghan cities.
Other advisers, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken and national security adviser Jake Sullivan, raised the possibility of Taliban attacks on U.S. forces and diplomats as well as the Afghans who for two decades worked alongside them. Ultimately, neither disagreed with the president, knowing where he stood.
So those last two disagreed but offered no significant pushback (if you believe this report). If so, it’s fitting that they now are spokesmen for the administration in facing the press, and have done an abominable job.
I’ve said from the start that I think this actually was Biden’s own decision, despite the fact that he is cognitively challenged and that it’s very likely that a lot of other people generally “assist” him in making his decisions. But this one – this one has his fingerprints all over it. In it I see his arrogance, his impulsiveness, and in particular his bad judgment. In addition, he has a long history of wanting to end this engagement with Afghanistan coupled with a history of not caring what happens to those left behind when the pullout occurs.
You can see some of that history described here:
“By the time Biden became vice president in 2009, the disastrous war in Iraq, the endemic corruption of the Afghan government, and the return of the Taliban had made him a deep skeptic of the American commitment. He became the Obama administration’s strongest voice for getting out of Afghanistan. In 2010, he told RICHARD HOLBROOKE, Obama’s special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, that the U.S. had to leave Afghanistan regardless of the consequences for women or anyone else. According to Holbrooke’s diary, when he asked about American obligations to Afghans like the girl in the Kabul school, Biden replied with a history lesson from the final U.S. withdrawal from Southeast Asia in 1973: ‘Fuck that, we don’t have to worry about that. We did it in Vietnam, Nixon and Kissinger got away with it.’”
Did Biden actually say that? If he did, it certainly would be consistent with what’s happening now. It’s also typically Biden that he gets his facts wrong, because of course it wasn’t Nixon or Kissinger who finally pulled the plug on South Vietnam, it was the Democratic-led Congress (granted, there was some bipartisan approval).
Those famous Saigon helicopters on the roof occurred in late April of 1975; Nixon had resigned in August of 1974. He had earlier presided over the drawdown of forces, but it was Congress about two years later that drastically reduced support and greatly embolded the North and demoralized the South:
In the fall of 1974, Nixon resigned under the pressure of the Watergate scandal and was succeeded by Gerald Ford. Congress cut funding to South Vietnam for the upcoming fiscal year from a proposed 1.26 billion to 700 million dollars. These two events prompted Hanoi to make an all-out effort to conquer the South. As the North Vietnamese Communist Party Secretary Le Duan observed in December 1974: “The Americans have withdrawn…this is what marks the opportune moment.”
The NVA drew up a two-year plan for the “liberation” of South Vietnam. Owing to South Vietnam’s weakened state, this would only take fifty-five days. The drastic reduction of American aid to South Vietnam caused a sharp decline in morale, as well as an increase in governmental corruption and a crackdown on domestic political dissent. The South Vietnamese army was severely under-funded, greatly outnumbered, and lacked the support of the American allies with whom they were accustomed to fighting.
The NVA began its final assault in March of 1975 in the Central Highlands. Ban Me Thout, a strategically important hamlet, quickly fell to North Vietnam. On March 13, a panicked Thieu called for the retreat of his troops, surrendering Pleiku and Kontum to the NVA. Thieu angrily blamed the US for his decision, saying, “If [the U.S.] grant full aid we will hold the whole country, but if they only give half of it, we will only hold half of the country.” His decision to retreat increased internal opposition toward him and spurred a chaotic mass exodus of civilians and soldiers that clogged the dilapidated roads to the coast. So many refugees died along the way that the migration along Highway 7B was alternatively described by journalists as the “convoy of tears” and the “convoy of death.” 6 On April 21, President Thieu resigned in a bitter televised speech in which he strongly denounced the United States. Sensing that South Vietnam was on the verge of collapse, the NVA accelerated its attack and reached Saigon on April 23. On the same day, President Ford announced to cheerful students at Tulane University that as far as America was concerned, “the war was over.” The war officially concluded on April 30, as Saigon fell to North Vietnam and the last American personnel were evacuated.
But of course, we can’t expect Joe Biden to know all that. After all, he wasn’t around – oops, my bad, he actually was [emphasis mine]:
From The Atlantic:
“In the spring of 1975, as North Vietnamese divisions approached Saigon, hundreds of thousands of South Vietnamese with connections to the U.S.—soldiers, officials, spies, interpreters, drivers, bar girls, cooks—begged their American friends and colleagues to help them find a way out. But the embassy in Saigon and the Ford administration in Washington were slow to face the gravity of the situation and reluctant to prepare an evacuation for fear of panicking the population into chaos. In mid-April, President Gerald Ford finally realized that the government of South Vietnam might fall, and he asked Congress for $300 million in emergency aid, including money to evacuate the remaining 2,500 Americans and their dependents along with up to 175,000 South Vietnamese.
“Some of the most strenuous objections came from the 32-year-old first-term senator from Delaware, Joseph R. Biden.
“I feel put upon in being presented an all-or-nothing number,” Biden said at a rare White House meeting between the president and the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on April 14. “I will vote for any amount for getting the Americans out. I don’t want it mixed with getting the Vietnamese out.”
…”In a Senate speech on April 23, Biden argued that the president lacked the authority to rescue any Vietnamese. ‘I do not believe the United States has an obligation, moral or otherwise, to evacuate foreign nationals’ other than diplomats of third countries, Biden said. ‘The United States has no obligation to evacuate one, or 100,001, South Vietnamese.’”
So in 1975, Biden was willing to rescue Americans but not a single South Vietnamese who had helped us. How many of them died as a result? Reliable statistics are hard to come by in a quick search, but you can see some answers here, and there’s no doubt that many died. And here’s a description of the suffering in the re-education camps that housed millions.
These days Biden is more of an equal-opportunity rejector of rescue. Nowadays he doesn’t seem all that concerned about even the Americans in Afghanistan. At least, the speed of his withdrawal indicates callous disregard of their fate, and they are in deep trouble at the moment:
There are thousands of Americans still trapped in Afghanistan. According to the Biden team, 5,000-10,000 are still trapped near Kabul, but John Kirby said they didn’t have a real count, showing more ignorance.
According to a former Bush official, it’s far more than that, spread across the country — with up to 40,000 Americans still in Afghanistan.
Meanwhile, the Taliban has ringed the airport, the last area that the Americans are holding.
So how is the Biden team going to get them out?
First, they caused some of the problem by telling Americans near Kabul to shelter in place on Sunday which was probably the last safe day to get to the airport. Now, if Americans or allies are going to get to the airport, they have to go through the Taliban who are blocking all the entries. While the Biden team is claiming there is an uneasy agreement to let people through for the next two weeks, there are also reports of the Taliban beating people trying to reach the airport.
In the face of all this, here’s what the American government has sent out to citizens. Imagine getting this after they told you to stay in place on Sunday.
That is followed by this tweet:
The below note went out this afternoon to American citizens requesting to be evacuated from Afghanistan, @alanacbs reports. It instructs people to come to Hamid Karzai Intl Airport in Kabul, but says the US govt cannot guarantee their safety as they make the trip. @CBSNews pic.twitter.com/rgEyjGup4K
— Sara Cook (@saraecook) August 17, 2021
If you saw this in a movie you would think the incompetence exaggerated. But no, this is actually happening.
As I said, in my opinion this debacle has Biden’s fingerprints all over it. But he’s hardly alone in this. He’s not composing a note like that, for example. As many have suggested, one thing we are seeing here is the overwhelming incompetence of the so-called “elites” – that is, the people in charge of these things, be it the military or the State Department. It may not be all the people in those agencies, of course. Some people may be objecting, but if so they are apparently being overruled by others.
We kept saying during the Trump administration, witnessing the mendacity and collusion involved in the efforts to remove him, that at least the awful proceedings were revealing the depth of the rot in the government. The same is true here. Unfortunately, the cost is very very high.
[NOTE: More here on the situation Americans in Afghanistan face.
I will add here that, if Generals Milley and Austin actually objected to this “plan” strenuously and were overruled, why didn’t they resign in protest? I can think of several possible answers. The first is that they didn’t actually object, at least not strongly. The second is personal ambition.]

