Which comes as no surprise.
The MSM and so many politicians have made it their business to misinform and confuse. It can be very politically expedient. Also, it’s pretty easy to get confused about court rulings; it’s not as though most people wade through them by actually reading them, and it’s not as though they’re a cinch to understand even when they are read. Yes, the main points are usually easy to get – although often distorted in the media. But the details of the reasoning behind those main points aren’t all that simple to understand and often require careful reading and extra background knowledge.
I got my own education in that problem about ten years ago, when Romney was running against Obama. Some discussion connected with politics was going on in my book group, and during the course of it I made a reference to federalism being the principle behind something or other. I got various blank stares and “What’s that?” in response. Most or perhaps all of these people were college graduates, but quite a few of them seemed to never have heard of what I was referencing.
And if you think about it, some background knowledge about the powers retained by the federal government versus those allowed to the states, the history of that principle and the arguments for why our government was set up that way, would also be necessary to understand Roe and Dobbs and have a truly informed opinion about it.
When I thought about that day of the 2012 book group conversation (which was not about Roe, by the way), I realized that, had I not gone to law school and/or had I not become very interested in politics so many years later, I might have not known or cared all that much about federalism, either. Looking back on my school days, I know that we certainly must have studied government. But how much did we study it and, more importantly, how much had I remembered about federalism from that long-ago high school course? Probably not all that much. Maybe mostly the phrase “states’ rights,” which was strongly associated with bad stuff like the Civil War and Governor Wallace of Alabama. So that might have been all I would have remembered of the subject.
So now we get this sort of thing:
These results are just mind-numbing because they are nothing but a ball of contradictions. 55 percent do not approve of the overturning of Roe…
But the biggest “huh” moment comes when you see that 72 percent (!) of Americans believe that abortion should be banned after 15 weeks. Guess that that requires? The overturning of Roe (and Casey).
To summarize, you’ve got far more than a super-majority in favor of a provision that requires the ending of something they claim they don’t support ending. Again, it’s just mind-numbing.
So are Americans just really dumb? Or are they being fed so much misinformation that they don’t even know that they hold contradictory positions? I think the answer is mostly the latter. The media have been relentless in conflating the ending of Roe with a supposed federal ban on abortion that simply doesn’t exist.
Polls seem to be indicating that Dobbs isn’t going to make much of a difference in people’s voting decisions in 2022. Who knows? It’s certainly the case, though, that the Democrats are really hoping it will make a difference and that the difference will favor them.
But they’re also talking a lot about “codifying” Roe. That’s an interesting word: codifying. It’s being used right now to mean “Congress passing a bill to make abortion the federal law of the land, superceding state laws that various states are trying to pass.” In other words, it’s one of those euphemisms meant to disguise what’s really happening, which is that SCOTUS said this is an issue for the states and the Democrats are saying that no, it’s a federal issue and they have the power to pass legislation to make it the law of the land and take away the right of states to make their own laws on this. If they actually accomplished this, wouldn’t the Court probably say it’s unconstitutional? Perhaps, or perhaps more threats from the left would manage to intimidate the conservative justices.
At the moment, it’s likely that such a “codification” of Roe would be blocked by either Manchin or Sinema and their opposition to ending the filibuster. But I don’t think that the Democrats really give a rat’s patootie about passing it right now, and in fact I think they don’t want to do so. I think what they really want is to use it as a campaign issue and rallying cry in 2022 to whip up people to vote for them in order to supposedly pass it in the new Congressional session.
If they ever really had to hammer out the details of such a law, though, it would be interesting to see what they would come up with. If it’s too moderate, they would not just be “codifying” an abortion right and stopping red states from banning it, but wouldn’t they also be keeping states such as New York and California from passing the extremely lenient bills those states would like to pass? Doesn’t this cut both ways? It seems to me that such a “codification” is a potential minefield for the Democrats, so they might want to keep it in the realm of discussion only.
Oh, and executive action.

