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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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The Wiki Minitrue

The New Neo Posted on July 29, 2022 by neoJuly 29, 2022

Well, language changes and evolves, doesn’t it? Sometimes overnight, depending on political exigencies:

Wikipedia has suspended the edit feature on its ‘Recession’ page after users flocked to amend it to concur with President Biden’s claim that the US isn’t suffering a downturn.

The page was altered at least 47 times over a roughly 24-hour period, with an administrator locking unregistered users out until August in an effort to curb what the encyclopedia website characterizes as ‘vandalism,’ and ‘malicious’ edits.

The edit-freeze comes as numerous members of the Biden administration have tried to argue the country is not in a recession by casting doubt on the word’s definition, which commonly agreed upon to be two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth.

One member made repeated edits to the Wikipedia page to insist there was ‘no global consensus’ on the definition of recession, in what appears to be a bizarre attempt to push White House messaging.

It’s not the least bit “bizarre” for people on the left to push what the left is saying. It’s the White House whose message is bizarre, but we’ve grown very used to that in recent years.

As I write this post, the Wiki entry is holding firm with the traditional definition of “recession.” Good. In this case, Wiki seems to be making a valiant effort to preserve the truth. But the episode shows how determined the left is to change the language in order to change minds.

In the case of the economy, however, it’s something people know in their gut. Language and definitions become less important:

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said in floor remarks Thursday…”You [the Democrats] would rather redefine a recession than restore a healthy economy”…

‘This is Joe Biden’s recession. Biden can lie and deflect blame all he wants, but that will not alleviate the pain Americans feel every time they fill up their gas tanks, go grocery shopping, check their retirement savings, or balance their budgets,’ said Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel in a statement.

Call it anything you want – inflation, recession, inflation plus recession, or just some little blip – people are aware of it and for most people it is bad.

It seems fitting to use Wiki to explain the “Minitrue” reference for those who never knew or who may have forgotten their Nineteen Eighty-Four. It was a Newspeak nickname for this:

The Ministry of Truth (Newspeak: Minitrue) is the ministry of propaganda. As with the other ministries in the novel, the name Ministry of Truth is a misnomer because in reality it serves the opposite: it is responsible for any necessary falsification of historical events. However, like the other ministries, the name is also apt because it decides what “truth” is in Oceania.

As well as administering “truth”, the ministry spreads a new language amongst the populace called Newspeak, in which, for example, “truth” is understood to mean statements like 2 + 2 = 5 when the situation warrants. In keeping with the concept of doublethink, the ministry is thus aptly named in that it creates/manufactures “truth” in the Newspeak sense of the word. The book describes the doctoring of historical records to show a government-approved version of events.

The left in this country has been engaged in this endeavor for quite some time, and the re-definition of “recession” is only the latest iteration.

Posted in Finance and economics, Language and grammar, Literature and writing | 32 Replies

The would-be Kavanaugh assassin wanted to kill 3

The New Neo Posted on July 29, 2022 by neoJuly 29, 2022

I”m referring to this:

The California man accused of plotting to kill Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh had an expansive goal to change the makeup of the Supreme Court “for decades to come,” according to a recent court filing that cites discussions the man had online.

Nicholas John Roske, 26, told unidentified internet users that his goal was to reverse the then-leaked draft decision of the since-overturned Roe v. Wade decision, according to an affidavit for a search warrant in the case, filed in Maryland federal court this week.

Killing one jurist could change the decisions of the court “for decades to come,” authorities said that Roske wrote, adding, “I am shooting for three.”

There’s an interesting grammatical ambiguity there, because I suppose Roske might have meant he is shooting for three decades rather than three justices. However, it’s pretty clear he meant three justices, as it was followed by “all of the major decisions for the past 10 years have been along party lines so if there are more liberal than conservative judges, they will have the power.” He needed to kill more than Kavanaugh to reliably achieve that.

The rhetoric of hatred and illegitimacy towards the conservative justices has escalated in recent years, and now that the conservatives often have a majority of votes on important issues such as Dobbs, the anger towards them is even more intense. Kavanaugh was purposely and falsely painted as a rapist, and plenty of people believe that he was. But for someone like Roske – and I doubt he is alone in this – the important thing isn’t any supposed background of Kavanaugh, although that helps fuel the hate. The important thing is Kavanaugh’s future presumed case opinions, and the most important thing is stopping him and replacing him with someone from the left.

Because SCOTUS justices are appointed for life, and Kavanaugh isn’t all that old, Koske’s reasoning (not his morality, but his reasoning) makes perfect sense: assassination of a conservative justice during the administration of a Democrat president and with a Democrat-controlled Senate would do the trick. If Koske is willing to risk martyrdom for that cause, he would accomplish a history-changing goal, helping to deliver the only branch of the government not presently controlled by the left into leftist hands. If he killed two or three conservative justices, then the goal would almost certainly be thoroughly and completely accomplished.

What apparently stopped him from going further with the Kavanaugh assassination was being spotted by “two U.S. Marshals who were part of 24-hour security provided to the justices following the leak of the draft opinion.” He left the scene as a result and ended up calling 911 and saying he wanted to kill himself. How far would he have gone had the marshals not been there is anybody’s guess, because he certainly sounds unbalanced. But being unbalanced hasn’t stopped killers before, and Roske certainly performed activities that meant his plans weren’t just in the mental realm but had become behavioral:

Prosecutors say Roske traveled from California to Kavanaugh’s home in Chevy Chase, Maryland, with the intent of killing him. Roske pulled up near the home in a taxi shortly after 1 a.m. on June 8 carrying a suitcase with a suitcase with a gun and ammunition, a tactical chest rig with pepper spray and a knife, a flashlight, a laser, a thermal monocular and other burglary tools…

As a general rule, receipt of the proceeds of a life insurance policy by the beneficiary is prohibited if that person has been the insured person’s murderer (see this). Most states even have explicit statutes prohibiting such collection of benefits, called “slayer statutes.” This makes sense because it’s understood that, for some cold-blooded people, the thought of receiving all that money acts as a potent motivator to murder.

But there are no slayer statutes for the assassination of SCOTUS justices, and someone who would like a certain party to benefit from such a slaying can be assured that, if the correct party is in power, there would be tremendous and far-reaching political rewards.

Maybe Congress should enact some version of the “slayer statute” for the murder of SCOTUS justices. Yes, I’m aware that will never happen. But until it does, the motive for assassination remains great, and therefore the danger remains great.

Posted in Law, Violence | 14 Replies

Open thread 7/29/22

The New Neo Posted on July 29, 2022 by neoJuly 29, 2022

This guy is good at what he does (I don’t mean the thumbnail guy; I mean the artist):

Posted in Uncategorized | 18 Replies

“They Can’t Let Him Back In”

The New Neo Posted on July 28, 2022 by neoJuly 28, 2022

Quite a few people have recommended this Michael Anton article. Anton was the author of the “Flight 93” piece prior to the 2016 election, which he wrote under a pseudonym at the time.

His more recent essay is about the left’s efforts to stop Trump at any cost. It happens to dovetail with the post I just published, which I had written late last night before I read Anton’s. But it’s not surprising that a lot of people are seeing similar things right now, because they are rather obvious – although Anton fleshes it out with greater scope and detail.

I think that people on the right sometimes underestimate how successful the framing of January 6th by the left has been. If a person reads sources on the right, it is easy to know a lot that undermines that “narrative” by the left. But most people don’t do all that much reading and at least half of America is unfamiliar with anything that would challenge what the January 6th show trial has been saying. From the start, shortly after January 6th, most of the people I know thought it was akin to a revolution from the right, a hyper-dangerous movement involving Trump supporters in general and needing to be crushed.

Anton’s piece has many things to recommend it, but one phrase that struck me in particular was this:

The regime can’t allow Trump to be president not because of who he is (although that grates), but because of who his followers are. That class—Angelo Codevilla’s “country class”—must not be allowed representation by candidates who might implement their preferences, which also, and above all, must not be allowed. The rubes have no legitimate standing to affect the outcome of any political process, because of who they are, but mostly because of what they want.

It’s not just that they think the deplorables are – well, deplorable, or that what the deplorables want is bad or wrong. It’s also because of who the members of the “regime” are: those whom Thomas Sowell has so aptly labeled the anointed. So many of his books, including ones written long ago, described the combination of self-righteous arrogance, ignorance, and condescension that they exhibit, and they’ve gotten a great deal more planful and ruthless in recent years.

Another part of Anton’s essay that struck me was this:

People I have known for 30 years, many of whom still claim the label “conservative,” will no longer speak to me—because I supported Trump, yes, but also because I disagree on trade, war, and the border. They call not just my positions, but me personally, unadulterated evil. I am not an isolated case. There are, as they say, “many such cases.”

Indeed.

Posted in Election 2022, Election 2024, Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Me, myself, and I, Politics | 86 Replies

Charging Trump

The New Neo Posted on July 28, 2022 by neoJuly 28, 2022

They’ve been trying to convict Trump of something for a long long time. So far, no dice. But the thrust of the January 6th hearings was to lay the ground for conviction of a crime later on through the court system. Failing that, the secondary goal was to discredit him so that he either will not run in 2024 or if he does he will do poorly.

It the same technique that was successful with Netanyahu in Israel in 2021, although he appears to be making a comeback because the charges were so obviously bogus when the trial played out.

This is what they’re brewing for Trump:

The move by the Justice Department to bring two top aides to former Vice President Mike Pence in front of a federal grand jury is the most aggressive public step taken yet by prosecutors investigating the plots to subvert the 2020 election.

It signals that the Department’s probe has reached inside former President Donald Trump’s White House and that investigators are looking at conduct directly related to Trump’s and his closest allies’ efforts to overturn his election defeat…

The questions to Jacob and Short included a focus on the fake elector scheme and the role of Trump lawyers John Eastman and Rudy Giuliani, the source said…

The House committee has described the fake electoral plot, in which Trump supporters would be fraudulently put forward as substitutes for the legitimate Biden electors, as part of the broader push to have Pence interrupt the certification of Biden’s win.

Interesting that this all is being labeled as criminal. But the left is no stranger to related devices – such as calls for Trump electors to defect to Hillary – which I wrote about in 2016, after Trump won.

And then there was the election of 1876, which you can read about here.

One of the approaches to convicting Trump has to do with what the left has labeled the “fake electors” plot by Trump and company. I had written about the event back in December of 2020, when it occurred, and there was nothing fake or secret about it. In that post, I quoted this:

While the Democratic electors in the states of Pennsylvania and Georgia are casting their votes for Joe Biden, slates of Republican electors in those states cast votes for President Trump just in case legal challenges succeed.

There’s also word that Michigan may be doing it as well. Michigan GOP Electors were prevented from getting into the state house to vote. But they can vote anywhere.

So what that means is that they are trying to ensure that ultimately they have enough votes on record.

It also offers Congress and the state legislatures an alternate slate of electors in the contested states.

Here’s how “politifact” later described (January of 2022) what happened back then:

But on the same day — Dec. 14, 2020 — something unusual happened: In several battleground states where Joe Biden had defeated President Donald Trump, representatives of the losing side decided that they, too, would gather as purported electors to sign certificates falsely attesting to a Trump win and submit them for approval by Congress.

Months later, American Oversight, a watchdog group that seeks to hold Trump accountable through public records requests, published the phony certificates calling them “part of the failed attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 election.”

This was no small caper by a few disappointed Trump loyalists.

The fake electoral certificates were signed by Republican state lawmakers and party officials in Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada and New Mexico, states accounting for a combined 84 electoral votes. And like the violent insurrectionists who came to the Capitol on Jan. 6 with knives, bats and other weapons, the fake electors sought to overturn a democratic election through extralegal means. They did so in a coordinated effort, mostly out in the open, and through official channels.

Note how the contingency of court approval is described:

The certificates in Pennsylvania and New Mexico hedged by tweaking the language suggesting that they would be the electors if it was later determined they were the electors — for instance, through a final court order…

“It was not freelancing. It was a coordinated effort,” said Norman Eisen, who was special counsel to the House Judiciary Committee during the first Donald Trump impeachment and co-authored a report for Brookings about Trump’s effort to overturn the results in Georgia. “These appear to be false documents that were submitted to the federal government. They were handed in to the National Archives as the genuine articles are supposed to be.”

And everyone knew what they were and what they were intended to be.

See this for what’s happening now:

According to the Washington Examiner, questions are being asked about what Trump said in meetings around the time, including what he may have told others to do in regards to stopping the certification of the election results. One specific line of inquiry entails the so-called “false electors” scheme members of the press have been going nuts over.

This Washington Examiner story adds:

The investigation aims to uncover what the former president told his attorneys and senior officials to do as part of their bid to change the 2020 election outcome, and there are two other paths that could lead to additional scrutiny of Trump, the sources said.

One centers on seditious conspiracy and conspiracy to obstruct a government proceeding, similar to charges levied against individuals who were arrested for storming the Capitol. Another involves charging Trump with fraud in connection to the false electors plot or his efforts to pressure the DOJ to overturn the results of the election.

At RedState, “bonchie” adds:

None of the “false electors” ever cast a vote for anything, they didn’t interfere with the election, and the original electors cast their votes for Joe Biden. If that’s what the DOJ is probing, good luck proving a “seditious conspiracy” without any actual attempt at sedition on the record. Besides, how can something be a conspiracy when the plans were public knowledge at the time?

My response is that (a) they will take the actual facts and use them to allege something more nefarious, and this effort will include threats to the former Trump associates they want testifying a certain way; and (b) if they want to charge Trump, they will do so in DC and they will get the verdict they want no matter if the charges are incredibly flimsy.

After the Flynn case (and even before that), anything is possible. The only real question is whether they will actually try to do it, or whether they will be afraid of backlash and/or think a trial is not necessary because they think they have better means to accomplish their ends.

Posted in Election 2020, Election 2024, Law, Politics, Trump | 19 Replies

Open thread 7/28/22

The New Neo Posted on July 28, 2022 by neoJuly 28, 2022

There are tiny houses, and then there are teeny teeny tiny houses. People who can pare down to this extent and keep it liveable must be extremely organized. In this van, it also helps to have strong squatting muscles:

Posted in Uncategorized | 32 Replies

Manchin and Schumer, together at last

The New Neo Posted on July 27, 2022 by neoJuly 27, 2022

A compromise has been reached – surprise, surprise (not) – but the details aren’t quite ironed out yet:

Sen. Joe Manchin announced Wednesday that he came to an agreement with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer on a reconciliation bill, after more than a year of negotiations among Democrats…

But with Democrats grasping for a legislative win ahead of the midterms, Schumer, D-N.Y., kept up talks directly with Manchin through the spring and summer. In a lengthy statement, the moderate senator said Wednesday those talks resulted in a deal for a slimmed-down bill that includes tax, climate and prescription drug provisions…

Manchin said in his statement that the bill will have a minimum 15% tax on companies worth more than $1 billion and invests in several forms of energy, including fossil fuel, nuclear and renewables. This is on top of agreements Democrats previously came to on prescription drugs and extending subsidies included in the Affordable Care Act (ACA).

“I now propose and will vote for the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022. Rather than risking more inflation with trillions in new spending, this bill will cut the inflation taxes Americans are paying, lower the cost of health insurance and prescription drugs, and ensure our country invests in the energy security and climate change solutions,” Manchin said…

According to Schumer’s and Manchin’s offices, the bill will raise $739 billion in revenue through IRS tax enforcement, the corporate minimum tax, IRS tax enforcement and closing the carried interest loophole. It will spend $433 billion total, they said, on energy and climate change provisions and on the ACA extension…
“Senate Democrats can change the name of Build Back Broke as many times as they want, it won’t be any less devastating to American families and small businesses,,” Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, said. “Raising taxes on job creators, crushing energy producers with new regulations, and stifling innovators looking for new cures will only make this recession worse, not better.”

“With inflation at a 41-year high and a looming recession, Democrats want higher taxes, more government spending, and to attack American energy,” Senate GOP Conference Chair John Barrasso, R-Wyo., added. “So much for helping American families.”

Sometimes these agreements run into a glitch along the way. This one may or may not, but my guess is that it will ultimately pass, perhaps after a short hitch or two. My other guess is that if it does, it won’t gain Democrats the approval of voters that aren’t already on their side.

Posted in Finance and economics, Politics | 23 Replies

The Biden administration is the bully threatening to take kids’ lunch money

The New Neo Posted on July 27, 2022 by neoJuly 27, 2022

Accepting federal funds is accepting federal control through federal threats to withhold those funds.

Here’s an example:

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) in May announced that K-12 schools must comply with its interpretation of the ban on discrimination based on sex in Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972, which includes sexual orientation and gender identity — and allowing boys to use girls’ restrooms and locker rooms — in order to receive federal funding for school breakfasts, lunches, and other food items.

And yet it’s the Republicans who are supposed to be the meanies.

Twenty-two states have decided to sue, led by Indiana AG Todd Rokita. The lawsuit was filed in the Eastern District of Tennessee, and alleges the following:

…[T]he USDA’s Guidance is unlawful because it:

–was issued without providing the State and other stakeholders the opportunity for input as required by the Administrative Procedure Act (APA),
–was premised on a misreading and misapplication of the Supreme Court’s holding in Bostock v. Clayton County, and
–imposes new and unlawful regulatory measures on state agencies and operators receiving federal financial assistance from the USDA, which will inevitably result in regulatory chaos that threatens essential nutritional services to some of the most vulnerable citizens.

This is another example of the executive branch of the administration trying to use agencies in order to to exceed its power and control states through that power. I’m glad to see so many states challenging it.

Posted in Biden, Education, Finance and economics, Law | 8 Replies

I think I can explain this bizarre-seeming phenomenon

The New Neo Posted on July 27, 2022 by neoJuly 27, 2022

John Hinderaker observes:

Kamala Harris hosted some kind of event earlier today. Several mask-wearing (why?) women participated. As is now common in gatherings of liberals, they began the meeting by introducing themselves and stating their pronouns. And, weirdly, by describing themselves–their hair color, the dresses they were wearing, whatever. This might possibly make sense if it were a meeting of blind people, otherwise not. Utterly bizarre.

This tweet has a two short clips of the meeting:

Literally all of the guests at Kamala's event are introducing themselves by saying their pronouns and what they are wearing.

Wtf lol. pic.twitter.com/8WCCPaHetu

— Greg Price (@greg_price11) July 26, 2022

It doesn’t appear to make sense – unless you realize that the left now defines everything connected with personal identity (with the possible exception of race, and even that depends on the circumstances) as being determined by subjective perception and wishes. In other words, your self-described identity can trump reality because truth and reality are not determined objectively.

So if you are a man such as Lia Thomas and would like to be called “she,” so be it. If you are one person and would like to be called by a plural pronoun, so be it. If you are a member of a protected group and think someone has dissed you, that person has done so. If you have voluntary sex with someone and thereafter change your mind and decide you were somehow coerced, and then accuse that person of sexually assaulting you (and the accused person identifies as a man), then that person is guilty and can even be kicked out of college on the basis of your accusation, without any objective proof and even if the objective evidence (texts, for example) would otherwise tend to exonerate him. If someone – anyone – on the left takes offense at something you say, you better apologize to that person.

So if Kamala Harris is obviously a woman and everyone who isn’t colorblind or literally blind can see that she is wearing a blue suit, one cannot assume that it is obviously true. There is no truth except the subjective wishes of Kamala Harris concerning how she would like to be perceived by others. So if she decided to say that she’s wearing a yellow suit, so be it.

And if she was sitting there naked and claimed she had on a beautiful article of clothing…oh, well, I guess that story already has been written.

Posted in Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Music | Tagged Kamala Harris | 28 Replies

More on the left’s language game

The New Neo Posted on July 27, 2022 by neoJuly 27, 2022

Commenter “Bauxite” observes:

The language game is the MO of the left. It works most of the time because most of our political and policy debates occur in the realm of abstract theory. The left can bluff its way through with fancy words and a few studies from academic ideologues. A lot of the left’s recent problems have come from trying to play the language game with issues that are tangible and imminent.

Agreed. And the more tangible and personal, the more difficult the language game becomes.

Difficult, but not impossible.

Bauxite continues:

So compare climate change versus COVID. On climate change, every person alive today will be dead before climate change theories are proven or disproven. Everything is in the realm of theory. No person can perceive an average annual temperature increase of a few degrees.

Here’s where I differ. It’s not that these statements are wrong; I agree that climate change (AGW) rhetoric works better because of this indeterminate nature. But it’s not necessary for people to perceive the actual average annual differences. It’s enough that weather is redefined as climate. So every heatwave is attributed to climate change, and every cold snap too – because climate change is said to encourage greater fluctuations of all kinds.

What’s more, I don’t see how climate change theories can ever be proven or disproven, if many of the recommendations of the AGW people are actually implemented. If they fail to work and the climate warms, the proponents will say they weren’t done fast enough or comprehensively enough. If the climate fails to warm, they will say “See? They worked!” and it will be difficult to impossible to prove that it wasn’t the policies; it was just that the predictions were wrong.

If their policies aren’t implemented and things still go smoothly, then they can always move their dire predictions to a time in the future. That already has happened to a certain extent, and although it may have caused some people to doubt them, the theories still have plenty of adherants, including most climate scientists. That last fact gives the theories more believability for a great many people, too.

Bauxite compares to COVID:

On COVID, though, it didn’t work. The dire predictions of 2M dead in the US by June of 2020 were actually tested on a perceivable time frame, and they were off by two orders of magnitude. When people could see with their own eyes that the COVID restrictions were not justified, they ended, eventually.

To certain extent I agree. But again, I know that for many people it didn’t work that way. For those people, the explanation for the fact that the number of deaths was not as predicted is that worldwide lockdowns occurred. So they attribute the lower numbers to the lockdowns as well as other public health measures.

More from Bauxite:

On the economy, I think that the left will run into the same problem. Economic performance is tangible and imminent. You can’t bamboozle people with a dog and pony show and a few sympathetic studies.

Agreed. That’s one of the main reasons the administration is polling poorly. The economy is something that affects people very personally and very obviously, and not only has the administration made bad decisions around it, but they project a “let them eat cake” attitude that does not sit well.

The administration persists in its tone-deaf messaging on the economy despite its lack of success because they really are out of other ideas – other than changing their policy goals, which they will not do.

Posted in Biden, Finance and economics, Language and grammar | Tagged climate change, COVID-19 | 22 Replies

Open thread 7/27/22

The New Neo Posted on July 27, 2022 by neoJuly 27, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 13 Replies

On puberty blockers for children with gender dysphoria

The New Neo Posted on July 26, 2022 by neoJuly 27, 2022

The pharmaceutical treatment of children who present with gender dysphoria is getting more widespread. Children cannot validly consent, but they – and transgender activists on social media, plus therapists and doctors who believe in “affirming” the chosen new gender – can persuade parents it is in the child’s best interests. One way this is done is by stating that the child is at risk of suicide if it isn’t done, and social media sites actually instruct children and teenagers to tell parents and therapists that they are suicidal even if they’re not, in order to obtain such treatment.

Puberty is often difficult, even for those who don’t suffer from gender dysphoria. For example, I had a very early puberty – shortly after my tenth birthday (that’s probably the most intimate information you’re ever going to get out of me). Fortunately, I was also nearly fully grown, so I looked about sixteen. That didn’t make me happy, because I was really just a child, and looking like a woman took some adjusting to, as you might imagine. But at no point did it ever occur to me to stop the process – which wouldn’t have been possible anyway. Nor did it ever occur to me that I might “really” be a man.

Fortunately, social media didn’t exist. If it had, I still don’t think I would have thought myself a man, but who knows? I grew up in a world that’s very different from today’s. I’m just glad it was less confusing back then, or I believe I would have had an even harder time. My point, though, is that today’s youths are subject to a lot more confusion and a lot more pressure (including sexual pressure from puberty on), and it doesn’t surprise me that many believe that changing sexes might solve their problems.

The are a great many untold dangers to puberty blockers. For example, there is apparently a rare side effect of something called pseudotumor cerebri, and the FDA has issued a warning about that.

But there are much more common problems:

The [British] NHS has changed their guidance on puberty blockers. From previously claiming that blockers “are considered to be fully reversible” the NHS webpage now states:

“Little is known about the long-term side effects of hormone or puberty blockers in children with gender dysphoria.”

Although blocking the progression of puberty can in some cases relieve the immediate distressing symptoms suffered by children with gender dysphoria, the evidence is mixed. The long term effects are unknown. There have been no long term studies on the effectiveness of puberty blockers and it is unknown whether interrupting natural puberty alters the natural trajectory and perhaps resolution of gender dysphoria in children.

Gender identity is shaped during puberty and adolescence as young people’s bodies become more sexually differentiated and mature. Given how little we understand about gender identity and how it is formed and consolidated, we should be cautious about interfering with the normal process of sexual maturation.

What we do know however is that virtually all the children who start on puberty blockers eventually go onto cross-sex hormones suggesting that changing their minds is rare once natural puberty is interrupted.

The Tavistock’s own published study on their Early Intervention trial shows that of 44 children given puberty blockers, 43 (98%) progressed to cross-sex hormones…

Cross-sex hormones have serious lifelong effects which cannot be reversed if treatment is discontinued. If a child takes puberty blockers at Tanner stage 2 of puberty followed by cross-sex hormones at age 16 they will be sterilised as gametes have not developed…

Proponents of the use of puberty blockers say that not only do these drugs relieve the distressing symptoms of ‘the wrong puberty’ in childhood but also prevent the body from undergoing irreversible changes which then have to be modified surgically during adulthood. For example, permanent growth of breasts in females which may necessitate a double mastectomy in the future. Alternatively, permanent facial hair growth in males which may necessitate its removal in the future. However, what is rarely discussed is the effect on the reproductive and sexual development of the child.

Puberty blockers followed by opposite sex hormones cannot create ‘opposite sex puberty’, only secondary sex characteristics of the opposite sex. However, normal sexual or reproductive development will not occur. Girls will not begin menstruation and so will be infertile. Boys testes will not grow and develop and will impact on fertility. The change therefore is only cosmetic. A boy’s penis will remain immature and remain the size of a child’s into adulthood. This will cause problems sexually if the penis is retained, both functionally and in terms of sexual arousal. It is also problematic if gender reassignment surgery is later chosen since there is too little material to use from the penis and testicles.

Much more at the link.

The Mayo Clinic site has similar information, although it whitewashes it a bit:

If children with male genitalia begin using GnRH analogues early in puberty, they might not develop enough penile and scrotal skin for certain gender affirming genital surgical procedures, such as penile inversion vaginoplasty. Alternative techniques, however, are available.

The site doesn’t mention what they are, but they are described here. You may note at that site that the surgery involves a very lengthy recovery period (12 to 18 months) and it also requires lifelong periodic vaginal dilation.

To take a completely healthy child – and one who often would otherwise grow up to be a fully functioning gay or lesbian person – and set that person on this road through puberty blockers is child abuse, IMHO. At what age can so-called “bottom surgery” be done? It varies somewhat, but for example Boston Children’s Hospital sets the age at 17. And a person qualifies at 17 without parental consent, as far as I can tell (the age for “top” surgery, or mastectomy, is 15).

Posted in Health, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | Tagged transgender | 62 Replies

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