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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Cellphone wrangling

The New Neo Posted on August 26, 2022 by neoAugust 26, 2022

I spent hours today – literally hours – on the phone, attempting to cancel a certain cellphone service I have been paying for and wasn’t using. I’m not going to spend hours writing about it, only to bore myself and you silly with the details. I merely have a question: why do they purposely make it so hard to reach a human being?

It’s a rhetorical question, though, because I believe I know the answer. It’s both cost-saving to have everything automated, and an effort to discourage you and make you give up trying to drop something. The prompts made it relatively easy to add something, but dropping something was simply not an option.

I finally accomplished the task, however.

I think. We’ll see when the next bill either comes or doesn’t come.

Posted in Me, myself, and I | 28 Replies

The MAL search affidavit adds essentially nothing

The New Neo Posted on August 26, 2022 by neoAugust 26, 2022

As expected.

Prior to its release, I couldn’t imagine why anyone would think that it would actually change anything, given that it was the DOJ doing the redactions and the very same magistrate approving them. However, it will be used in the ongoing political propaganda war.

You can find links to the documents here.

From Jonathan “not a Trump fan” Turley:

Having read the redacted affidavit, it leaves most questions unanswered. It also raises further doubt over the Court's acceptance that the DOJ found the Goldilocks point of getting this "just right." The DOJ released what was largely already leaked or known.

— Jonathan Turley (@JonathanTurley) August 26, 2022

…Yet, the affidavit confirms a couple points that appeared in leaks. The affidavit does not establish that the Trump people were wholly uncooperative or non-communicative while noting that they were asked to turn over material and did not do so.

— Jonathan Turley (@JonathanTurley) August 26, 2022

And from Joel Pollak of Breitbart News:

If I were a Democrat who hoped the affidavit would have enough to condemn Trump I would be deeply disappointed. Their only hope would have to be that there is something in the redacted bits to justify raiding a former POTUS. Don't be fooled by whatever BS they post; they're upset

— Joel Pollak (@joelpollak) August 26, 2022

I doubt they’re upset about the content of the warrant, deeply or otherwise. They have a plan and they will stick to it, and they think it will help them politically. Even the redactions serve a purpose, and that purpose is to indicate Trump-doings so nefarious that even to mention them would risk US security.

ADDENDUM: Interesting takes can be found here, as well as here and here.

Posted in Law, Trump | 45 Replies

Biden the uniter president speaks

The New Neo Posted on August 26, 2022 by neoAugust 26, 2022

Sounds like he’s been reading the comments in the WaPo.

Or perhaps commenting there himself.

Speaking in Maryland to supporters, Biden said [emphasis mine in all the quotes from his speech]:

“It’s not hyperbole – now you need to vote to literally save democracy again,” Biden told an above-capacity crowd of several thousand at a Democratic National Committee event at Richard Montgomery High School in a Maryland suburb of Washington…

“Trump and the extreme MAGA Republicans have made their choice – to go backwards full of anger, violence, hate and division,” he said, warning they “refuse to accept the will of the people.”…

“We’re seeing now either the beginning or the death knell of an extreme MAGA agenda,” Biden said, referring to former President Donald Trump’s “Make America Great Again” slogan. “It’s not just Trump. … It’s almost semi-fascism,” he said.

Why, those divisive, hateful, almost semi-facist extremist Trump voters – not just Trump himself, but his voters and supporters – hatefully burning down our cities , causing all those January 6th deaths! Why prove it when you have rhetoric supported by the mendacious MSM to fall back on?

Save our democracy, “fortify” our elections – like, just to take one small example, the FBI did when they suppressed all investigation of the Hunter Biden laptop in 2020 in order to help Joe Biden…

You get the drill.

Then there’s also this:

“I respect conservative Republicans,” Biden said later. “I don’t respect these MAGA Republicans.”

MAGA Repulicans are just not conservative Republicans, it seems. And who are those conservative Republicans? I assume Biden means Liz Cheney and Mitt Romney, as well as Adam Kinzinger.

It’s not only a hateful speech by Biden, it’s by nature an Orwellian speech in which he accuses the right of doing what the left actually does.

In 2020, you and 81 million Americans voted to save our democracy…

…[W]e’ve chosen a different path forward. The future. Unity, hope, and optimism…

…while giving the most hateful, angry, divisive speech I can recall from a president in my lifetime.

More (and more “our democracy” – who is this “our,” kimosabe?):

The MAGA Republicans don’t just threaten our personal rights and economic security. They’re a threat to our very democracy.They refused to accept the will of the people, they embrace political violence. They don’t believe in democracy. This is why in this moment, those of you who love this country, Democrats, Independents, mainstream Republicans, we must be stronger, more committed, and more determined to saving America than the MAGA Republicans are to destroying America.

As I said, Orwellian. And this is the kind of speech I predict we will be hearing over and over – with the demonization of not just Trump but of all Trump-supporting voters, complete with Orwellian mischaracterizations while Democrats and Biden don the mantle of a false “unity.” The sad thing is that half of America will buy it, having been primed by the press and the Democrats ever since Trump entered the political fray – and even before that, although the trend has picked up considerably since Trump became a political force.

I find it mindboggling that Biden was ever considered a nice guy.

I find it interesting also that so many things Trump predicted have come true, for example something he claimed after his 2019 impeachment [emphasis mine]:

With a likeness to the Uncle Sam “I want you” poster, the disrupter-in-chief reaffirms in 14 words the belief of Trump Nation that the political establishment, the media, the permanent bureaucracy and yes, the deep state are trying to crush him and them.

Of course, because Twitter not only suspended his account but seems to have erased all his old tweets a la Nineteen Eighty-Four, you can no longer find it there. But here’s the image:

Posted in Biden, Election 2022, Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Politics | 53 Replies

Open thread 8/26/22

The New Neo Posted on August 26, 2022 by neoAugust 26, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 37 Replies

Protect the Biden diary, suppress the Biden laptop

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2022 by neoAugust 25, 2022

The DOJ strikes again:

…[T]wo people allegedly found Ashley Biden’s diary at a rehab facility. They took it and then attempted to sell it to various entities. The Trump campaign did the smart thing, given the corruption at the DOJ, and said no to their offer. Ultimately Project Veritas got involved, and for many months, the FBI has been pursuing them, including executing search raids of the organization’s journalists. According to these latest reports, the two people who originally came in possession of the diary have now pleaded guilty to federal crimes…

Ultimately, they got these two people by charging them with trafficking in “stolen goods” across state lines. That sounds like quite the stretch given what we know. And since when does the FBI get involved with “stolen” diaries?…

So what’s in the diary? Allegedly, there are entries in it accusing Biden of taking inappropriate showers with his daughter. Whether those allegations are true, only Joe and Ashley Biden know, and I’m not making a judgment here. But the mere existence of a documented claim like that would be a non-stop story for the press if it involved any Republican, much less someone like Donald Trump. Instead, the press has ignored this story, first claiming it was Russian disinformation before now just flatly pretending it doesn’t exist.

It’s nice to know the DOJ has its priorities straight.

I keep being reminded of the old expression, “Hey, don’t make a federal case out of it.” The following was written in 2004:

A federal criminal code that covers everything essentially delegates to prosecutors and police the power to pick targets they think they should get rather than offenses that need to be prosecuted — leaving everyone at risk. That is unacceptable in a country that still considers itself a government of laws and not of men.

And in other news, we have more whistleblowers coming forward to describe how the FBI protected Hunter Biden’s laptop and therefore Joe Biden. They’re still doing it, actually.

Posted in Biden, Law | Tagged FBI | 23 Replies

When is a student loan not a student loan?

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2022 by neoAugust 26, 2022

When the federal government turns it into a moral hazard.

Biden and company say, Hey, we’ve got an idea! Let’s make people who scrimped and saved and sacrificed and paid off their student loans pay off the loans of others! Or better yet, people who never went to college at all should pay off the loans of those who did! And let’s just do it by executive order.

My, what a novel and nifty idea. What could possibly go wrong?

Also, the COVID emergency is invoked as a reason Biden can do this under a 2003 law involving emergency powers. That’s a classic move when a leader wants to expand powers. Not long ago people like Nancy Pelosi and DOJ lawyers were saying that such a thing couldn’t be done through executive action. Well, guess what? Now it can:

For the past year and a half, the Office of General Counsel (“OGC”), in consultation with our colleagues at the Department of Justice Office of Legal Counsel, has conducted a review of the Secretary’s legal authority to cancel student debt on a categorical basis. This review has included assessing the analysis outlined in a publicly disseminated January 2021 memorandum signed by a former Principal Deputy General Counsel. As detailed below, we have determined that the Higher Education Relief Opportunities for Students (“HEROES”) Act of 2003 grants the Secretary authority that could be used to effectuate a program of targeted loan cancellation directed at addressing the financial harms of the COVID-19 pandemic. We have thus determined that the January 2021 memorandum was substantively incorrect in its conclusions.

Fancy that. How convenient.

And since Biden’s specialty seems to be the odd and condescendingly racist comment, we have this from Joe, too:

The burden is especially heavy on Black and Hispanic borrowers, who on average have less family wealth to pay for it. They don’t own their homes to borrow against to be able to pay for college.

But that’s okay. It’s only Biden and one of his endearing gaffes again.

The Babylon Bee has this to say.

NOTE: I think “moral hazard” is the right term, but those of you who are more conversant with economics that I might be able to say whether it’s actually apropos or not.

ADDENDUM: I see that the WSJ agrees that it’s a moral hazard: “Worse than the cost is the moral hazard and awful precedent this sets.”

Posted in Biden, Finance and economics | Tagged COVID-19 | 53 Replies

Republican “election denial” versus Democrat and NeverTrumper “election denial“

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2022 by neoAugust 25, 2022

Democrat and NeverTrumper election denial is unacknowledged as such. You might say it’s Democrat and NeverTrumper election-denial denial.

Ace has a good summary:

The NeverTrumpers never accept that Hillary Clinton’s refusal to admit that she lost, fair and square — and her subsequent enlistment of the entirety of the leadership of the government intelligence services and law enforcement in what is in fact an attempt at an illegal coup — is itself “election denial” and something far worse, with far greater constitutional consequences, than anything Trump did.

Did Trump enlist the CIA and FBI into his “insurrection”?

NeverTrump never admits any of this.

And why?

Well, for a simple reason: Because NeverTrump is and remains Russiagate Truthers. They remain committed to the idea that somehow, in some foggy way they can’t quite explain, Russiagate is still TRUE.

Yes. For supposedly smart people they are dumb, but sometimes we see only what we want to see.

I will add that another difference between Trumpian “election denial” and Russiagate is that even prior to the 2020 election it was clear that expanded mail-in voting was instituted, with COVID as an excuse, with so few checks on possible fraud that fraud would always be suspected and would never be able to be proven or disproven to have occurred on a scale that swayed the election. So Trump and other “election deniers” had logical reasons for doubting the validity of the outcome although they had no way to prove it. What’s more, the courts didn’t hear the cases on the merits (and probably never could have determined the answer anyway). They just invoked first mootness and then laches to wash their hands of the whole affair.

In contrast, Russiagate was a lie and a conspiracy to lie right from the start, and all investigations have supported that assertion.

Posted in Election 2020, Trump | 39 Replies

Open thread 8/25/22

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2022 by neoAugust 25, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 50 Replies

The left explains the Trump voter

The New Neo Posted on August 24, 2022 by neoAugust 24, 2022

I was going to fisk this article on liberal “understanding” of that strange beast, the Trump voter, and the effort to change such voters’ minds. But then after I had read it, and while I was contemplating what to write, I read some of the comments.

At the time I looked at them there were over 4,000 and I only read the first 100 or so. But it was such a truly and deeply depressing experience that I decided to skip writing about the article for the most part and just reproduce some of the comments.

The following ones are not unusual but are instead are instead very typical of what I saw, a never-ending barrage of unyielding contempt, arrogance, rage, and disgust leveled at both Trump voters and for the liberal author who was trying to talk to them. Every now and then there was a slightly less truculent comment to the effect of “well, maybe a few Trump supporters are simply misguided and we in our infinite wisdom might be able to penetrate their abysmal ignorance and help them come over from the dark side,” but those were very few and far between compared to the others.

I suppose the only encouraging thing might be that commenters at the WaPo are a selected bunch of fairly intense partisans. But the hatred expressed was exceptionally chilling.

First, though, here are some excerpts from the article itself, to give you a flavor of that:

“Whatever crimes [Trump] commits, his supporters will be loyal to him,” one buddy wrote on Facebook. “Unwelcome but important fact to face,” the otherwise great writer David Frum tweeted. “Trump absconding with the country’s highest secrets – storing them unsafely – and then lying about returning them – SHOULD have upset his … supporters. It didn’t. If anything, the latest Trump scandal has strengthened Trump’s hold, not only on his core support, but on the broader GOP.”

But is this true? The rapidly forming consensus that Trump’s voters wouldn’t be moved reminded me of many moments over the last six years. Nearly as soon as Trump took over the presidency in 2017, those who dislike him characterized each revelation about his misbehavior — his lies about immigrants, the border wall and the size of his inauguration crowd; his take on white supremacists (“very fine people”); his refusal to accept the 2020 election results; that bonkers time he presented a National Weather Service map that had been adjusted with a Sharpie — as the thing that, finally, ought to turn his fans against him, but also the thing that, bafflingly and heartbreakingly, would not.

The idea, such commentators hold, is that support for him constitutes a religious fervor akin to that of cultists who, when their guru is disrobed, only become more devoted…

I have relatives who voted twice for Trump. I talk with them often. And in conversations, I’ve found them deeply confused and disturbed by the recent events at Mar-a-Lago. They’re troubled by the alleged pilfering of classified documents, by the possibility that Trump’s lawyer lied for him and by the fact that any defense of Trump now has to rest on the claim that he’s stupid.

These are people who blew off early Trump lies as either minuscule or necessary. But they’ve been worn down over time…

It would be too bad if the narrative that Trump’s voters are unreachable hardened completely. Looking back at the polls that supported arguments about Trump’s invulnerability is an odd experience, because many of them just aren’t that dispiriting. If 6 out of 10 Trump voters said they’d never lose confidence in him, 4 out of 10 thought they might. There’s a lot of uncertainty and ambiguity in what Trump’s supporters think, even room for persuasion; they’re less uniform than we like to believe. But we might have to change our minds about them if they start changing theirs. Whether we’re prepared to do that is an open question.

And now let’s turn to a sample of the comments:

the fact that any defense of Trump now has to rest on the claim that he’s stupid”

. . . is a true statement, underlying his most disqualifying attribute – among others, too numerous to squeeze into one sentence – for the job of POTUS.

No matter, he belongs to jail.

That he is seriously supported by the GOP is only a testament to the thoroughly corrupt nature of most members, which is no news.

That he is not dismissed by the general population as a lunatic psychopath is a symptom of the wave of madness of American voters gone insane.

The headline caught my attention… I never knew Trump voters had a mind. I’m still not convinced.

The evidence is plain. Trump brought out the most and the second most voters _ever_ for a Republican presidential candidate. His voter base _increased_ after watching his train wreck of a presidency. His candidates are winning in primaries across the nation, and the majority of Republicans now believe in his facially stupid election lies. The author of this story is Charlie Brown trying to kick the remorseful family Republican football as if she can’t remember Lucy pulling it away some hours/days after Jan 6th. The evidence is clear here. We are dealing with a modern mass hysteria formed on the basis of powerful new technology that completely democratizes communication and “truth” in a political system uniquely flawed in ways that make it possible for the minority to wield so much power via geography. Republicans are in a fear spiral, and the momentum is just too strong for most people to escape. They are going “over the cliff” with Trump, and the only reasonable strategy left for reasonable Americans is to try and outvote those lunatics until they find somewhere else to project their hatred and fear.

In the case of Trump, we’re talking generations that have been “groomed” by the GOP to mistrust government, see liberals as “takers,” socialist degenerates, etc. They’ve been taught to believe lies to the point of voting against their own self-interest on a host of issues. The Big Lie and Trump as victim are just the culmination (for now) of that habituation. Somebody quits the bottle or the crack pipe down every day, but most don’t.

I wouldn’t dismiss the neuroscience so glibly. The studies I’ve seen look pretty persuasive to the effect that there are differences. How closely they map to a subjective thing like ideology, I think is still TBD, but it would help to explain what we see. Pro-science liberals should be OK with the idea, but it also conflicts with the broad notion that we’re not defined by our biology, e.g. race, gender etc. It’s troubling because it conjures up excuses for the worst historical abuses of various groups. Under a fascist regime, the idea that some future no contact brain scan could determine loyalty to the leader is scary indeed. It’s probably not something you want a liberal regime to have either. Of course, Google probably already knows anyway – another reason to be worried about big data and who controls it.

It’s almost certainly not one factor, but more nature+nurture. I think it may be more the GOP nurturing fascist enabling insanity than the nature of their voters, even if they’re predisposed to it. Maybe the fever’s about to break, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

The absence of generosity Trump embodies resonates with many. Be really cheap, mean and greedy – take the chumps. Money: I want my share – all of it.

Democrats were not in the least “humiliated” when Trump won in 2016, we were ENRAGED that Putin and Comey and Roger Stone were able to throw the election to such a tremendously unfit con man. Without losing a single Russian soldier (not that that would keep him up at night) Putin crippled our democracy and installed a useful idiot as president who always gave Putin whatever foreign policy would help Putin the most.

the Trumplets are stupid, scared, resentful. They are spoiled children.

During the last large scale fascist movement, it took utter military defeat in a World War to convince the “true believers” to seriously consider that they might have been wrong. I’m not optimistic that it will be any easier this time.

I think everyone is tired of the “we need to help conservatives while they plot on how to unalive us” rhetoric. The constant parade of media swearing that conservatives and Trump supporters weren’t militant racists, but were “economically anxious” has left nothing in the tank 6+ years on.

Many of us are deeply saddened at how so many on the right have been brainwashed to support leaders who will lead them over the cliff, and are desperately hoping this is just a temporary madness for their sake and for ours. But whether it’s temporary or not, it’s a huge danger to our democracy and we need to take some kind of action.

I suspect the author wants to believe Trump’s followers can still be persuaded because the other options are so hard to accept: 1) we lose to them and our country becomes a autocratic theocracy; 2) we crush them like Sherman on his march to through Georgia; 3) we split up the country and go our separate ways. Frankly, I think the third option is the best one. Not good, but better than the others.

We are in the early stages of an outright civil war, and we need to pull our collective heads out of the sand, face that fact and decide what to do about it. Hoping and waiting for a few more people to leave the cult isn’t really a viable option at this point. We’ve been doing a version of this since this country was first formed, and while some great progress has been made, those opposed to the Enlightenment values this country was founded on have only become more entrenched in their opposition.

Because #3 is geographically impossible, I vote for #2.

Even if they were, finally, to admit that Donald Trump is flawed, too flawed for their continued support, his followers would not change their basic ideology. They would not, could not become “more like us.” Their loyalty would simply shift to another right-wing politician who shares (or pretends to share) their fears, biases, and hatreds and their desire to remake the US in their image: white, Christian, and conservative. Pols such as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Texas Governor Greg Abbott know this, which is why they are going over the top trying to out-Trump one another in their statements and policies. Removing Trump himself from the equation, while it might prevent a reprise of his craziest and most criminal behaviors while in office and afterward, would not secure our democracy or the rights of women and racial and sexual minorities, nor would it end the constant barrage of false claims about immigrants, the Black Lives Matter movement, discrimination against white people, or rampant election fraud. The men vying for the Republican presidential nomination have added to those grievances the teaching in public schools of a race-inclusive rendition of US history (which they falsely label “Critical Race Theory”); school and public libraries’ inclusion of books about racism and LGBTQ-related subjects; and the idea of the “great replacement” — that liberals encourage immigration for the purpose of replacing the white, Christian majority in the US with people of other races and faiths who will change the character of our nation and vote for Democratic candidates. If Trump’s supporters should abandon their idol and instead back one of his imitators, the Trumpified Republican Party will present no less danger to the gains that have taken decades to achieve for women, members of BIPOC communities, and sexual minorities or to the survival of our democracy.

Our democracy.

Posted in Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Trump | 122 Replies

Yesterday’s voting results

The New Neo Posted on August 24, 2022 by neoAugust 24, 2022

School boards in Florida went conservative in yesterday’s vote, after Governor DeSantis focused on them. School board elections are exceedingly important but till recently most people didn’t understand the danger posed by the left dominating there. The left had quietly and steadily been paying a great deal of attention to getting their school board candidates elected, and had been quite successful in many parts of the country.

I think that one of the things DeSantis has been purposely doing in Florida is to use the state as a demonstration and a general model of how it is that conservatives can improve a state when they come to power. I hope a lot of people in other states are watching. Of course, the Democrats and the MSM have already labeled him as the Demon-In-Waiting.

In a very different state, New York, a court redistricting had pitted two old-time allies and US House Democrats, Jerry Nadler and Carol Maloney, against each other. Things got vicious, and Nadler is the last person standing. Thing is, the election was predicted to be close, and it wasn’t even close to being close; Nadler won by a ratio of 2:1. What does that mean, besides the fact that predictions and polls seem less and less reliable these days? Maybe voters just went with the more well-known person, since both Nadler and Maloney have basically the same politics. It was a difference without that much of a difference – and turnout was low as well.

There’s also been a lot of punditry about a Democrat winning in a special election in a so-called “bellweather” district in New York state: NY-19. Bonchie of RedState writes about its possible significance here:

The recriminations are going to center on why that happened. Was Molinaro just not exciting enough for the voters in the district? Or was there something else at play? I think it’s probably a little bit of both, and I’m going to point out something that I’m not seeing others mention. Namely, that this is a special election that is going to be redone in a little over two months. Would you be excited to go to the polls knowing that it means essentially nothing? Especially when you live in a deep blue state where the topline primary battles (i.e. other possible motivations to vote) are meaningless? Lee Zeldin isn’t going to come within a dozen points of beating Kathy Houchel in November…

So what should we take from all these conflicting results? I think it means the states are just that polarized. You simply aren’t going to get Republican victories in deep blue states in close elections anymore. Almost all these “bellwether” special elections have happened in California, New York, and Minnesota. What do those states have in common? Mass emigration to red states. Republican voters are leaving, and those that remain know the status quo will remain.

You can find more about that NY-19 race and its possible meaning here and here.

My analysis – and “analysis” is probably too sophisticated a word for it, so let’s call it a feeling – is that 2022 will not be the enormous Republican sweep once predicted, but that it might be pretty decent for Republicans. I certainly hope the right does well, because this really is one of the most important elections of my lifetime. Actually, I think they all are, going forward.

Posted in Election 2022 | 28 Replies

Open thread 8/24/22

The New Neo Posted on August 24, 2022 by neoAugust 24, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 34 Replies

Roundup

The New Neo Posted on August 23, 2022 by neoAugust 23, 2022

(1) No clean hands for the Biden White House in the genesis of the MAL raid. See also this.

(2) This is entertaining.

(3) One year after the ignominious Afghanistan withdrawal. Perhaps the only good thing about what happened is that it may have awakened the American people to what a disaster Joe Biden is. See also this.

(4) “Our democracy” needs a great reset. See also David Solway on the great reset itself.

(5) And it seems it’s time to have a great reset on the sexual revolution. But actually, it seems to me that it was always obvious that having women adopt a male sexual ethos was not going to end well.

Posted in Uncategorized | 48 Replies

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