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A blog about political change, among other things

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RIP Pope Benedict

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2022 by neoDecember 31, 2022

He was the oldest pope in 275 years, the first pope to resign in about 700 years, and the first German pope in about 1000 years.

More about his long and eventful life can be found here. He was known as a scholar, and the present pope will be presiding over his funeral.

I’m not a Catholic, but I remember him with admiration.

Posted in People of interest, Religion | 10 Replies

Open thread 12/31/22

The New Neo Posted on December 31, 2022 by neoDecember 31, 2022

You may never look at mushrooms the same way again:

Posted in Uncategorized | 30 Replies

Suspect arrested in Idaho student murders

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2022 by neoDecember 30, 2022

There will be a news conference soon, but here’s what we know so far:

Bryan Christopher Kohberger, 28, was taken into custody by local police and the FBI at 1:30 a.m. in eastern Pennsylvania on a warrant charging him with four counts of murder and burglary for the deaths of Ethan Chapin, 20; Xana Kernodle, 20; Kaylee Goncalves, 21; and Madison Mogen, 21.

The PhD student, who is studying criminal justice, appeared before a judge Friday in Monroe County Court.

A PhD student studying criminal justice – that’s quite something. A sort of Raskolnikov situation?

More information can be found here as well as here.

All murders are heinous, but these seem particularly heinous, in terms of viciousness and the youth of the victims.

Posted in Law, Violence | 71 Replies

A new Church Committee?

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2022 by neoDecember 30, 2022

I’ve been hearing that we need a new Church Committee. Let’s take a look at the old one.

The Church Committee in Congress was bipartisan. In fact, the committee was set up in the Senate in January of 1975 by a vote of 82 to 4. Back then, Congress was not only majority Democrat but very heavily majority Democrat, to the tune of 61-37 (and actually 62-38 with the caucus breakdown). But still, the vote was nearly unanimous to form the Church Committee.

A lot of what it investigated was foreign CIA interference in international assassinations. But some involved spying on US citizens through mail by the intelligence community, in particular the CIA and FBI, focusing on letters to China and Russia. One program called Operation Shamrock appears to have begun during WWII but continued afterwards, and involved intercepting telegrams to and from foreign countries (see this).

One of the remedies that resulted from the Church Committee was the FISA court system, intended to provide oversight. But we know how that turned out.

Looking back, the scope of the intelligence operations by the CIA and FBI involving spying on US citizens back then was small compared to what we’ve been dealing with in recent years. Power begets power, and technological improvements make it much easier to be compehensive.

The following was quite prescient. It’s from Senator Frank Church himself on August 17, 1975, when he appeared on NBC’s Meet the Press:

In the need to develop a capacity to know what potential enemies are doing, the United States government has perfected a technological capability that enables us to monitor the messages that go through the air. (…) Now, that is necessary and important to the United States as we look abroad at enemies or potential enemies. We must know, at the same time, that capability at any time could be turned around on the American people, and no American would have any privacy left: such is the capability to monitor everything—telephone conversations, telegrams, it doesn’t matter. There would be no place to hide.

If this government ever became a tyranny, if a dictator ever took charge in this country, the technological capacity that the intelligence community has given the government could enable it to impose total tyranny, and there would be no way to fight back because the most careful effort to combine together in resistance to the government, no matter how privately it was done, is within the reach of the government to know. Such is the capability of this technology. (…)

I don’t want to see this country ever go across the bridge. I know the capacity that is there to make tyranny total in America, and we must see to it that this agency and all agencies that possess this technology operate within the law and under proper supervision so that we never cross over that abyss. That is the abyss from which there is no return.

We are either teetering on the edge of that abyss or we have already fallen into it.

Posted in History, Liberty | Tagged FBI | 45 Replies

Triplets separated at birth

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2022 by neoDecember 30, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Replies

Open thread 12/30/22

The New Neo Posted on December 30, 2022 by neoDecember 30, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 18 Replies

The Kari Lake election fraud verdict: Part II

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2022 by neoDecember 29, 2022

[NOTE: I said that Part II would be about efforts in Arizona to make elections more secure even before the 2022 election. But I find I have a few more things to say first, and I’m saying them here in Part II. So the Arizona efforts are planned for Part III.]

In the first post in this series I said that election fraud is only redressed in very minor cases. The same is true for the correction of election irregularities. This sort of thing is the only scale on which new elections will sometimes be ordered:

On November 18, 2022, Screven County [Georgia] Commissioners Allison Willis and Mike Dixon, candidate for county commissioner in District 1 Tyler Thompson, Vicki T. Reddick, and Michael Lloyd Waters, filed a lawsuit against Elections Superintendent Debbie Brown, Elections Supervisor Hannah Derriso, and Commissioner Edwin Lovett. The five contended that the wrong ballots had been issued to at least two dozen voters in District 1, and that the incorrect ballots may have had an impact on the county commission race in that district that had a margin of just seven votes.

Note the differences between this case and Lake’s: in Georgia the stakes were low, in that the election was for county commissioner rather than governor of a state. The margin of victory was tiny (even the total number of ordinary ballots was tiny, around 700) and therefore it wasn’t too difficult to prove that the errors could have made a difference. But the basic error was a similar one: incorrect ballots. In the county commissioner race, however, the candidates weren’t even on some of the ballots (for around two dozen voters) because of a confusion about where the county lines were. There was no contention that this was done intentionally and apparently the court saw no need for proving intent. The plaintiffs were able to put a number of people on the stand who didn’t get the right ballot.

This is from the defense during the trial:

“Not voting in this election is not an illegal vote,” Rountree told the court. “What we have here is over 700 people who voted correctly. And those 700 people deserve to have their votes counted and if this election is deemed to be a ‘do over,’ all those people have to go do it again. When the people complaining had the chance to do it right the first time…they had lots of chances to get it right, they still got it wrong. Not intentionally, but they did.”

Karpf asked Rountree if it was his position that the burden is on the individual voter, not the registrar or the election officials, to make sure the ballots are correct and the information in the system is correct. Rountree replied ‘yes.

So the argument was that a do-over would somehow disenfranchise those who had originally voted, and that it is incumbent on the voter to know what should be on his or her ballot and complain if it’s lacking something. That’s an absurd argument and the court apparently rejected it, because a new election was ordered. But with such a small election, that was relatively easy to do. The judge used the following standard:

–If the number of illegal votes exceeds the margin of the election results, that is sufficient grounds to set aside the election; and
–If there are systemic irregularities in the elections process that are ‘sufficiently egregious’ to cast doubt on the result.

The definition of “illegal votes” was at issue, but the judge decided these were “illegal” enough to qualify. That second standard – systemic irregularities in the elections process sufficiently egregious to cast doubt on the result – would have been useful in the Kari Lake case. But these are two different states, and it most definitely was not used in the Arizona case.

Back to Arizona and Lake’s case, here are some quotes from Judge Thompson:

The burden of proof in an election contest is on the challenger…

As for the actions of elections officials themselves, this Court must presume the good faith of their official conduct as a matter of law…

Plaintiff has no free-standing right to challenge election results based upon what Plaintiff believes – rightly or wrongly – went awry on Election Day. She must, as a matter of law, prove a ground that the legislature has provided as a basis for challenging an election. See Henderson v. Carter, 34 Ariz. 528, 534-35 (1928) (“[O]ne who would contest an election assumes the burden of showing that his case falls within the terms of the statute providing for election contests. The remedy may not be extended to include cases not within the language or intent of the legislative act.”)

So if fraudsters are creative enough and go outside the bases for challenge established by the statute, it appears that no lawsuit could succeed. And election officials are presumed as a matter of law to be fair, which seems to me to be a case of “the law is an ass” if it presumes that.

Later on in his opinion, Judge Thompson mentions that any ballot misprinting problems had to be proven to be (a) intentional (b) committed by an “officer making or participating in a canvass” (c) intended to change the outcome of the election, and (d) that such problems actually changed that outcome. Note once again the difference between this standard and the one in the Georgia case. That’s how very high the bar was raised for Lake – to the stratosphere. As I wrote in part I, fulfilling these requirements would require the equivalent of a recording of the plotting or a confession from the perpetrators. Nothing short of that would do, despite the fact that there were indeed “systemic irregularities in the elections process sufficiently egregious to cast doubt on the result.”

Judge Thompson also stated that:

A court setting such a margin [17,000 votes] aside, as far as the Court is able to determine, has never been done in the history of the United States.

Probably true, since although a redo of an election has been ordered by courts at times, such as in the Georgia case, it has not been done in a statewide contest of such magnitude with a margin of that type. That has nothing to do with the merits of the case, of course, and seems to reward fraud that is more egregious rather than less. If you can commit a big enough fraud, the court will not redress it – or if you commit a big enough act of negligence (which is the kindest interpretation of what happened in Maricopa County) the court will not redress it.

So I’m not going to do a close review of the evidence presented in court, because whatever it was it was not going to be able to meet the requirements unless it was a confession or a record of the plotting itself. But just to take one example, from Judge Thompson on Maricopa County’s chain of custody issues:

In his closing, counsel for Plaintiff argues that it “does not make sense” that Maricopa County did not know how many ballots Maricopa County had received on election night. But, at Trial, it was not Maricopa County’s burden to establish that its process or procedure was reasonable, or that it had an accurate unofficial count on Election Night. Even if the County did bear that burden, failing to carry it would not be enough to set aside election returns.

So what then do the chain of custody rules, established to assure the security of the ballots and to prevent fraud, mean? If election officials fail to follow them even though they are required to do so, and there is no penalty and no remedy, that offers a great deal of motivation to disregard such rules. The requirements have no teeth if the rules can be flouted. The officials, who are presumed by the court to be fair, can do whatever they want short of simply refusing to count votes or throwing the ballots into the river and watching them carried away by the current.

Maybe they can even do that as long as there’s no proof of their intent.

[NOTE: Please also read this. An excerpt:

The standard [in the Lake case] should have been whether voters were disenfranchised, not all the additional hoops Thompson added. If inner city blacks had been disenfranchised, Thompson would not have added all those extra requirements, he would have made the law fit. Robert Gouveia, a rare attorney who isn’t afraid to speak up and who describes himself as watching prosecutors, judges and politicians, said the standard should have been whether there was voter suppression.

Instead, Thompson said Lake had to show an extremely vague, high bar in order to prevail…

The article is well worth reading, but this part particularly interested me because I had not previously realized it:

Compounding the problem, hardly any attorneys dare speak up about this, since they risk being targeted and disbarred. So they’re not writing about it or going on talk shows, and the best of the bunch have already been targeted so they’ve either already been disbarred or have to lie low. Nor are they taking on representation, leaving candidates like Lake to rely upon non-election attorneys. When the Cochise County Supervisors gutsily called for a hand count, they could find no attorney who dared represent them.

That makes sense. We already know that in many law schools, law professors and other lawyers are targeted for destruction if they defend the “wrong” people – in other words, if they stick up for people on the right. Because bar associations generally have become highly leftist as well, the risk is there. It is extremely sobering.

The same author wrote this:

The problem is no attorneys or judges licensed by state bars dare to get involved since they’re likely to get disbarred; the left has so much control over state bars. One of the only election attorneys in Arizona who has the guts to get involved in these issues has been under investigation by the state bar for almost two years. The Arizona State Bar is one of the most vicious bars in the country targeting conservative attorneys. This is why the left repeatedly claims there has been no “evidence” of voter fraud in court cases.

I also suggest reading this piece by the same author, describing how attorneys who take election fraud cases are targeted. This is very important stuff, and I think many people on the right are unaware of it and certainly unaware of its scope.]

Posted in Election 2022, Law | 26 Replies

Republicans pounce on the poor beleaguered FBI

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2022 by neoDecember 29, 2022

The GOP is on the warpath, and the victim is the FBI.

Why are the Republicans doing this to those agency innocents, fighting for truth, justice, and the American Way? It’s because of Trump, of course:

The attacks on [FBI agent] Piro [mounted by former FBI agents who had been placed on leave], and his angry rebuttal of them, are emblematic of a toxic dynamic that is increasingly central to Republican Party politics. Trump’s supporters — among them, Republicans poised to take over the House next month — have seized on the letter’s accusations and stepped up their assaults on the FBI, seeking to undermine the bureau just as it has assumed the lead in an array of investigations of Trump.

Just as it has assumed the lead. As though it hasn’t had the lead in the persecution of Trump – beginning with the attempted coup involved in the Russiagate lies – for about six years.

You cannot make this stuff up – but The New York Times can.

More:

Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, who will be the Judiciary Committee’s chair next month, has pledged to investigate what he describes as the politicization of the FBI as well as that of the Justice Department. In a taste of what is to come, the committee’s Republican staff released a 1,000-page report last month that asserted that the FBI hierarchy “spied on President Trump’s campaign and ridiculed conservative Americans” and that the “rot within the FBI festers in and proceeds from Washington.’’

What he describes as and what they “asserted.” The implication is that there isn’t necessarily any reality to such charges. Of course, the Times has assiduously avoided covering the truth of assertions like that, which means that a great many of its readers will swallow the idea that what the House is about to do is pure venom and vengeance, motivated by politics and unwarranted by the outrageous facts of what the FBI actually has done.

Also:

The report further accused the agency of “helping Big Tech to censor Americans’ political speech” — a claim that misrepresented the way the FBI has sought for years to curb online disinformation, especially when it comes from foreign actors. Long before the House report or the letter to Wray were released, Trump and his allies in Congress and the news media were already targeting federal law enforcement officers and demonizing those who scrutinized the former president.

Again, if you lie to your readers for so many years, purposely fail to cover things like the Twitter files, and if you’ve been aided and abetted by the rest of the leftist MSM in those endeavors, then your readers will have built an edifice of lies based on your reportage and everything you’re saying now makes perfect sense to them.

Trump and his supporters have gone after the bureau for its role in investigating his campaign’s ties to Russia; for purportedly failing to investigate issues surrounding Hunter Biden’s laptop; and for using informants to infiltrate a group of militiamen charged in a plot to kidnap Gov. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan.

Somehow the FBI is a victim of “Trump and his supporters.” The coup-like abomination of Russiagate becomes the FBI’s “role in investigating Trump’s campaign ties to Russia.” The FBI’s Hunter laptop coverup and the lies told that it was somehow Russian disinformation when the FBI knew it was real – all of which was designed to hide the truth and to elect Joe Biden – becomes the vague and generalized “purportedly failing to investigate issues surrounding Hunter Biden’s laptop.” And the FBI’s entrapment and leadership in the FBI-devised and FBI-encouraged plot against Whitmer – so very useful because the revelation of this “right-wing extremist plot” in October of 2020 one month prior to the election could also help influence Trump’s defeat – becomes a meaningless and self-serving criticism by the GOP of the FBI’s mere use of informants to catch a bunch of vicious criminals intent on harming the duly elected state governor.

[NOTE: The link is to an article at the Seattle Times, but it’s a reprint of a piece that first appeared in the NY Times.]

Posted in Law, Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Liberty, Press | Tagged FBI | 21 Replies

Roundup

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2022 by neoDecember 29, 2022

(1) Do we hear cries of “Biden is a xenophobic racist” from the left? No? Isn’t that odd.

(2) Chaya Raichik, aka Libs of Tik Tok, is a brave woman.

(3) It sounds as though Pope Benedict isn’t long for this world.

(4) Another suspicious death of a Putin critic. See this for some background.

(5) Is our solar system unique? Maybe.

(6) California legalized the cannabis industry, and then proceeded to make the regulations so onerous that it’s squeezing out farmers trying to comply and allowing the illegal growers to flourish.

Posted in Uncategorized | 15 Replies

Open thread 12/29/22

The New Neo Posted on December 29, 2022 by neoDecember 29, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | 25 Replies

Onward

The New Neo Posted on December 28, 2022 by neoDecember 28, 2022

Although today I had hoped to publish Part II of my series on the Kari Lake election fraud trial, I’m planning it for tomorrow instead. I got a later-than-usual start today because I was dealing with some health issues involving a friend. There’s been a lot more of that sort of thing going on lately, because I have quite a few good fiends who’ve been ill. I know it’s to be expected as we get older, but it’s still hard.

Because I seem to have an older readership, many of you might be facing the same sort of thing. There’s also something about the holidays and the coming of the new year that brings on these sorts of reflections about the gallop of time.

Here’s a poem to ponder, by Edna St. Vincent Millay:

DIRGE WITHOUT MUSIC

I am not resigned to the shutting away of loving hearts in the hard ground.
So it is, and so it will be, for so it has been, time out of mind:
Into the darkness they go, the wise and the lovely. Crowned
With lilies and with laurel they go; but I am not resigned.

Lovers and thinkers, into the earth with you.
Be one with the dull, the indiscriminate dust.
A fragment of what you felt, of what you knew,
A formula, a phrase remains, — but the best is lost.

The answers quick and keen, the honest look, the laughter, the love, —
They are gone. They are gone to feed the roses. Elegant and curled
Is the blossom. Fragrant is the blossom. I know. But I do not approve.
More precious was the light in your eyes than all the roses in the world.

Down, down, down into the darkness of the grave
Gently they go, the beautiful, the tender, the kind;
Quietly they go, the intelligent, the witty, the brave.
I know. But I do not approve. And I am not resigned.

And another one, this time from one of my favorite poets ever, Gerard Manley Hopkins. He was a Jesuit priest whose poetry was basically unknown during his lifetime. This poem is apparently about a real person Hopkins served while a curate (and a farrier is a horseshoe-maker and fitter):

FELIX RANDAL
by Gerard Manley Hopkins

Felix Randal the farrier, O is he dead then? my duty all ended,
Who have watched his mould of man, big-boned and hardy-handsome
Pining, pining, till time when reason rambled in it, and some
Fatal four disorders, fleshed there, all contended?

Sickness broke him. Impatient, he cursed at first, but mended
Being anointed and all; though a heavenlier heart began some
Months earlier, since I had our sweet reprieve and ransom
Tendered to him. Ah well, God rest him all road ever he offended!

This seeing the sick endears them to us, us too it endears.
My tongue had taught thee comfort, touch had quenched thy tears,
Thy tears that touched my heart, child, Felix, poor Felix Randal;

How far from then forethought of, all thy more boisterous years,
When thou at the random grim forge, powerful amidst peers,
Didst fettle for the great grey drayhorse his bright and battering sandal!

Posted in Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Health, Me, myself, and I, Poetry | 34 Replies

Drug overdose death rate rises since pandemic

The New Neo Posted on December 28, 2022 by neoDecember 28, 2022

This is no surprise whatsoever:

America has seen a spike in overdose deaths since the pandemic, when drug overdose deaths rose more than 14% from 2020 to 2021.

The biggest increase, perhaps surprisingly, came from adults aged 65 and over, but rates for adults 35-44 remain highest. As synthetic opioids like fentanyl continue to displace heroin, overdose deaths have increased.

Seems to me that the over-65 crowd has been especially hard-hit by the pandemic, because they’re even more vulnerable to isolation and loneliness, which has been exacerbated by lockdowns and social distancing. But if you look at Figure 2 from the CDC report, actual rates for the over-65 group remain quite low – in fact, lowest of all the groups listed (which start at age 15-24).

More:

The data, released by the CDC, also show the rate of overdose deaths increased slightly faster for women than for men, though the rate for men remains more than twice as high as for women.

And it’s not just opioids, it’s also cocaine and “psychostimulants with abuse potential.” Amphetamines?

And that 14% rise is an age-adjusted rate rise. The increase are pretty staggering, and remember these are rates and not just connected with a rise in population:

Among the total population, the age-adjusted rate of drug overdose deaths increased from 6.8 in 2001 to 11.5 in 2006, was stable from 2006 through 2013, then increased from 13.8 in 2013 to 32.4 in 2021; from 2020 through 2021, the rate increased 14%, from 28.3 to 32.4.

Here’s a chart from the CDC. You can see that the slope of the line sharply increases since 2019:

Going to the CDC link, here’s a chart by race:

I find it interesting that the charts there do not include racial breakdowns by age and sex, although they could because the CDC has the data. My guess is that the rate for young-to-middle-aged white men has shot up more than for any other group, but I don’t know.

Posted in Health | 12 Replies

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