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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Terrible earthquake in Turkey and Syria

The New Neo Posted on February 6, 2023 by neoFebruary 6, 2023

The deaths number in the thousands:

A 7.8-magnitude earthquake struck southern Turkey and northern Syria early Monday, killing more than 2,300 people and taking down countless buildings.

The earthquake prompted a search for survivors in the rubble in cities and towns across the region. The death toll is expected to rise. The World Health Organization (WHO) said the numbers could increase as much as eight time as rescuers work to find more victims.

The quake occurred in the middle of the night when people were asleep, and many building collapsed.

Posted in Disaster, Middle East | 15 Replies

Open thread 2/6/23

The New Neo Posted on February 6, 2023 by neoFebruary 6, 2023

They’re probably not saying very much anyway:

Posted in Uncategorized | 45 Replies

Calmly we walk

The New Neo Posted on February 4, 2023 by neoFebruary 4, 2023

[NOTE: This is a repeat of a post originally published five years ago. Gerard had made the first comment on the original post, as you can see if you follow that link. “Many great dears are taken away…”]

—John Updike: we may skate upon an intense radiance we do not see because we see nothing else.

Delmore Schwartz was a mid-20th-century poet with a tragic life but a wonderful gift. In fact, Saul Bellow wrote the novel Humboldt’s Gift based on Schwartz, who was a literary sensation at a young age but who faded with time and alcoholism and mental illness, dying alone in a New York hotel at the age of 52.

Schwartz looked the quintessential poet, too:

And he wrote some beautiful poetry that contains an air of mystery and awe.

One of my favorites is “Calmly We Walk Through This April’s Day“. I suggest you follow the link now and read the poem in its entirety to get the feel and flow of the whole before I discuss bits and pieces of it.

The poem begins somewhat slowly:

Calmly we walk through this April’s day,
Metropolitan poetry here and there,
In the park sit pauper and rentier,
The screaming children, the motor-car
Fugitive about us, running away,
Between the worker and the millionaire
Number provides all distances,
It is Nineteen Thirty-Seven now…

Although it’s poetry, this beginning is rather pedestrian, in both senses of the word. The poet is talking to someone (“we”) as he walks—maybe a girlfriend or wife? Or maybe he’s using the universal “we” as in “this is how we all stroll around in the park on a nice spring day.”

The poem is also very specific. Its specificity is in the designation of a certain time: April, 1937. Poets don’t often pin their creations to such an exactness of date unless they are speaking of some great historic event. But this is not a great historic event. It’s an ordinary spring day in an ordinary New York park. And this “we” is walking very calmly (in fact, that’s the first word of the poem).

So nothing special is happening.

But then there’s a turning that takes the reader by surprise, maybe even by shock. The setup of the ordinary day is peeled back and is revealed as transcendent, as all days are, and the poet speculates on the deepest questions of existence. Here’s the next line, right after “Number provides all distances/It is Nineteen Thirty-Seven now”¦”:

Many great dears are taken away,…

Whoa! Yes, they are, for all of us. And then he follows with this:

What will become of you and me
(This is the school in which we learn …)
Besides the photo and the memory?
(… that time is the fire in which we burn.)

So within this most ordinary day in the park—a sort of cliche, really—we have the presence of death and its seeming (possible, questionable) obliteration of the self. And the mechanism for that is the passage of time—which is the school in which we learn and the fire in which we burn, because each moment dies as it is born.

I don’t know about you, but that transition passage hits me like a ton of bricks every time I read it. I never quite expect it even though I’ve read the poem many times. And the transition would not be as forceful without the specifics that precede it (those numbers do indeed “provide distances”). Perhaps we, the modern readers, feel it even more strongly, because it’s been over eighty years since that April day to which the poet is referring, and just about everyone who was around him on that day in the park (except some of the babies and children) is dead.

I’m not going to discuss every line of the poem, but here’s another excerpt in which the poet returns to the very specific, naming some of the people who are gone:

Avid its rush, that reeling blaze!
Where is my father and Eleanor?
Not where are they now, dead seven years,
But what they were then?
No more? No more?…

Five lines and four question marks. Good questions, too.

This is the last stanza, which never fails to give me goosebumps:

Each minute bursts in the burning room,
The great globe reels in the solar fire,
Spinning the trivial and unique away.
(How all things flash! How all things flare!)
What am I now that I was then?
May memory restore again and again
The smallest color of the smallest day:
Time is the school in which we learn,
Time is the fire in which we burn.

Schwartz is caught up in a great rush of feeling that I think can rightly be called cosmic—as he calmly walks through that April day in 1937. And now, perhaps, the strangeness of the word “through” in that sentence has more meaning.

The poet was a mere 23 years old when he wrote that poem. I think of him as a human tuning fork, vibrating too sensitively (and almost unbearably) to the harmony of the spheres.

Posted in Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Poetry | 43 Replies

Journalism 101: on Russiagate

The New Neo Posted on February 4, 2023 by neoFebruary 4, 2023

You’re probably all heartily sick of Russiagate. I know I am. But it’s incredibly important, and most people are unaware of the details. What’s more, plenty of Democrats still think that Trump was colluding with Russia and probably always will think that. A lie – especially one promulgated by a major party and the press, as well as the intelligence community – not only gets halfway around the world before the truth has time to put its boots on, but it burrows into people’s minds and is recalcitrant to change.

Those who spread the Russiagate lie were and are well aware of that phenomenon. They count on it.

But if you want to delve deeper into the details, there’s a very in-depth piece on the subject in the Columbia Journalism Review (of all places). It’s a four-parter and it’s long. I’ve only read a small fraction of it, but so far it seems pretty good. I think that perhaps it’s the sort of thing one could recommend to a die-hard “Trump is Russia’s puppet” type of person. After all, the CJR isn’t exactly Fox News.

I do plan to read it in its entirety, but I’ve been so very busy lately I haven’t had a chance.

Posted in Biden, Press, Trump | 32 Replies

The Biden papers: here, there, and everywhere

The New Neo Posted on February 4, 2023 by neoFebruary 4, 2023

More of the same, with a slight twist:

Eric Schwerin, Hunter’s Rosemont Seneca partner who handled Joe’s taxes and personal affairs, was in charge of moving an archive of 1,850 boxes of files from the vice president’s DC office that were being donated to the University of Delaware in 2010.

And here I thought that I have a lot of papers to go through. But 1850 boxes makes even my ex-husband look like a piker in that regard.

More:

Those documents, mainly from Biden’s time as a Delaware senator, also included Obama-Biden presidential transition team papers and raised the hackles of White House lawyers…

A Newark Post report from the time said the records arrived on 33 pallets carried by two trucks, and also included 415 gigabytes of electronic records.

It is still unclear whether the thousands of papers given to UDel ended up including any classified documents.

Republican senator Ted Cruz called this week for the FBI to examine the boxes.

‘I am right now calling for the Department of Justice, for the FBI, to examine all 1,850 boxes of those Senate records to see how many additional classified documents are in those records,’ Cruz said on his podcast, Verdict with Ted Cruz.

The good news is that it will keep a lot of agents busy doing things other than persecuting the right.

Posted in Biden, Law | 11 Replies

Open thread 2/4/23

The New Neo Posted on February 4, 2023 by neoFebruary 4, 2023

A good time was not had by all:

Posted in Uncategorized | 26 Replies

Still on the west coast…

The New Neo Posted on February 3, 2023 by neoFebruary 3, 2023

…and I’m happy to say that I’m missing one of those deep-freezes back home.

Posted in Uncategorized | 18 Replies

On the Chinese balloon

The New Neo Posted on February 3, 2023 by neoFebruary 3, 2023

Biden and company are tiptoeing around China, not wanting to challenge or offend.

It gives me an earworm for this song, which for some reason I can’t stand. Listen at your own peril:

Posted in Uncategorized | 110 Replies

Heather Mac Donald on the Tyre Nichols beating and racism

The New Neo Posted on February 3, 2023 by neoFebruary 3, 2023

Heather Mac Donald has written a great deal about the racial aspect of alleged police brutality cases, and here she weighs in on the Tyre Nichols beating:

Five Memphis officers responded to what was initially reported as a car driving the wrong way down a street. The officers’ tactics during the stop of driver Tyre Nichols, captured on video, were an abomination: while shouting contradictory commands, the officers immediately escalated their use of force without apparent cause.

It was Nichols who tried to deescalate the chaos — a responsibility usually put on officers, not on suspects. The cops struggled without coordination to cuff him, while delivering gratuitous kicks, punches to the face and baton strikes. None of the officers’ actions conform to police training; virtually everything on view in the videos violates sound stop and arrest techniques. Nichols repeatedly collapsed and received only belated and listless medical attention at the scene. Three days later he died in hospital…

Had the officers been white, their race would have led every report on the incident. But since all were black, such reticence bought time until a new racism reporting protocol could be developed…

“It’s time to move to a more nuanced discussion of the way police violence endangers black lives,” Jones wrote on the CNN website last Friday. “It is the race of the victim who is brutalized, not the race of the violent cop — that is most relevant in determining whether racial bias is a factor in police violence.”

In other words: anything bad that happens to blacks is a function of racism, determined solely by the race of the victim, not by the intentions or identity of the perpetrator.

The rest of the race industry quickly coalesced around Jones’s?lopsided definition of racism, from which whiteness has been provisionally suspended (to be restored the next time a white cop is caught on videotape using force against a black suspect).

One almost has to admire the extraordinary flexibility of the charge of racism these days. Is there any obstacle it cannot overcome, any river too broad, any mountain too high? Apparently not; it is capable of meeting all challenges, including this one. The key is, as Mac Donald indicates, the definition of the phenomenon. Once that is made broad enough, all else follows.

What percentage of Americans think that way? Nearly 100% of the MSM, or at least they pretend to. Likewise the left. But what of the rest, which still constitutes the majority? I doubt many people buy this – if they are over 45. The younger generation has had it drummed into them repeatedly, and it is the mark of a virtuous person to believe it.

[NOTE: By the way, so far the rumors that Kyre Nichols had a relationship with the ex of one of the offices who beat him are unsubstantiated.]

Posted in Law, Race and racism, Violence | 24 Replies

It turns out that masks are mostly a symbolic talisman

The New Neo Posted on February 3, 2023 by neoFebruary 3, 2023

Something like wearing garlic around your neck:

In the community, mask-wearing “probably makes little to no difference” in either influenza-like or COVID-like illness (0.95) or “laboratory-confirmed” infections of either virus (1.01). While the confirmed-infections finding had a much wider confidence interval, the team called both these results “moderate-certainty evidence.”

Researchers had more trouble determining the effect of respirators such as N95s — which the CDC only recommended two years into the pandemic — versus surgical masks. Five studies (four healthcare and one household), with a total of 16,000 participants, found a risk ratio of 0.70 for “clinical respiratory illness” but deemed it “very low-certainty evidence,” with a wide confidence interval. The RR was 0.82 for influenza-like illness, deemed “low-certainty” with a smaller confidence interval.

They were more confident in results for respirators versus surgical masks on lab-confirmed influenza: RR of 1.10 among the 8,400 participants in those trials, and no difference when the household trial was excluded.

It’s all quite technical, and you can find the actual study at this link. I haven’t read it yet.

A few caveats: meta-analyses have some possible negatives:

Two main criticisms of meta-analysis are that it combines different types of studies (“mixing apples and oranges”), and that the summary effect may ignore important differences between studies. Meta-analysis should be avoided if studies are too heterogeneous to be comparable, as the metaanalytical results may be meaningless and true effects may be obscured. However, meta-analyses, by their very nature, address broader questions than individual studies. Therefore, it can be said that a meta-analysis is similar to asking a question about fruits, for which both apples and oranges can contribute valuable information.

The phrase “garbage in, garbage out” means that if a meta-analysis includes low-quality studies, its results will be biased and incorrect. Meta-analysis includes a set of criteria for determining which studies to analyze. Hence, meta-analysis should be based on stricter criteria regarding the quality of studies to be included. When the available studies are flawed, a meta-analysis may employ sensitivity analyses to identify the influence of study biases.

Much more at the link.

That said, my personal opinion at this point – and I believe it’s been my opinion for most of the pandemic – is that masks might give a tiny tiny edge but that’s all. I have always been against mask mandates, but I’ve also never mocked those who wear them. I can’t remember when I jettisoned mine, but it was a long long time ago except for places like the select doctors’ offices where they are mandatory (they were not required last April in Los Angeles, however, at the office of my eye surgeon). I know people who are immune-compromised, cannot be vaccinated, and who probably would be at unusually grave risk from contracting COVID, and when they go to the market or any indoor space of that nature they continue to wear masks. I understand why they might want that tiny edge and why they might believe – or at least hope – that masks still offer it.

Posted in Health | Tagged COVID-19 | 36 Replies

Open thread 2/3/23

The New Neo Posted on February 3, 2023 by neoFebruary 3, 2023

Posted in Uncategorized | 46 Replies

Neo’s true confessions

The New Neo Posted on February 2, 2023 by neoFebruary 2, 2023

Regular readers here know I don’t usually go in for personal revelations. It’s not that my life is absent from my own blog, but I ordinarily cite something only as a jumping-off place for some of my thoughts and reflections. And there’s an awful lot I leave out.

One of the big things I left out – as readers here have also learned recently – has been a long-term and deep relationship with Gerard Vanderleun. Some people here have surprised me by saying that they suspected something of the sort; others are a bit gobsmacked. I would have thought the latter group would be enormous and the former nonexistent, probably because on the surface we seemed so very different, almost opposites? And in real rather than virtual life, we were very different, but for each of us our online presentation was not the whole story of who we would be if you were to meet us in actuality, and in real life the differences were not as acute although they certainly existed.

Gerard had a very strong presence, as you might imagine. When he walked into a room you couldn’t really ignore that fact that he was there. And he could be wildly, wildly amusing and playful – the extrovert and life of the party when “on.” Not me, as you might imagine, although I can offer a few laughs myself in a pinch.

But life isn’t lived at parties, and there’s a lot of downtime. We always had something to talk about, and we respected each others’ minds. I can’t possibly describe our relationship except for bits and pieces, and probably will go on to tell a few anecdotes. But that’s just the iceberg’s tip.

But in the interests of the personal confessional, I’ll link to Gerard’s post called “Attack of the Food Eroder — or — “The Ninja Nibbler of the Night”, and add that the Food Eroder, c’est moi.

Posted in Food, Me, myself, and I, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | Tagged Gerard Vanderleun | 33 Replies

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