In a discussion about an article concerning the hostages held by Hamas, I saw a comment by someone who wondered how Israel or the US knows what it knows about the hostages.
I’ve certainly wondered that myself. There are different kinds of “knowing,” as well – knowing who has been kidnapped, knowing who is still alive, knowing where hostages are being kept, knowing how they are being guarded, and knowing what would be needed to get them out.
Here are some possible sources of information that I’ve come up with; those of you with more military background than I (which is just about anyone with military background) probably have more ideas:
(1) There are almost certainly moles in Gaza among Hamas. Whether their motive is that they are being paid, or whether it is ideological, they exist.
(2) Four hostages were released and one was rescued; they may know something and have been debriefed about it.
(3) It takes a while to go through all the Hamas terrorist videos, including those from dead terrorists, as well as Israeli security cameras and videos taken by other Israelis. There may be information there that is still being processed – certainly information about who was abducted.
(4) There may have been witnesses to the abductions who just came forward or were questioned fairly recently.
(5) There are many captured living Hamas terrorists, and they are being interrogated.
(6) Ditto captured terrorist papers and plans, as the Israelis explore tunnels and building within Gaza itself.
(7) I have no idea what the details may be, but I have a hunch there is technology, both known and unknown, that will help in hostage location efforts. Here’s some vague information:
“In support of hostage recovery efforts, the U.S. is conducting unarmed UAV flights over Gaza, as well as providing advice and assistance to support our Israeli partner as they work on their hostage recovery efforts,” [Brig. Gen. Patrick Ryder] said. “These UAV flights began after the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas on Israel.”
It’s not clear how helpful the imagery gathered by the overhead flights in Gaza will be in locating hostages, since they are widely believed to be held in the vast network of underground tunnels, some former intelligence officials said. Of the 240 hostages still held by Hamas, 10 of them are believed to be Americans.
US officials insisted that the intelligence gathered by the drones and shared with Israel is limited to hostage recovery efforts and is not so-called “targeting intelligence” — information used to conduct lethal strikes against Hamas leaders and positions.
US special operations personnel inside Israel have also been advising the Israel Defense Forces on hostage recovery efforts, as the US separately has been providing bombs and other lethal aid.
I thought there were more than ten US hostages.
I will add that Israel must walk a fine line to help keep the hostages alive. For example, it wouldn’t do to categorically say that they will never agree to a prisoner exchange. If Hamas believed that, the value of the hostages would fall to zero and they would probably all be killed or worse. What’s more, I have no doubt that Hamas would say that Israel had killed them in raids on tunnels.
