…we will have Nancy Pelosi to kick around some more.
Falling out of love with Obama: a midfall night’s dream
Even the left appears to have fallen out of love with Obama, and wonders how and why it all went wrong. Read as Tom Junod tries to puzzle it out in Esquire:
Though many Americans didn’t know very much about him, there was one thing that was never in doubt when we saw and heard Obama on the stump: his ownership of his gift. By the way he carried himself, we could tell that he had always had it, and because he always had it, we could be sure that he always would have it. How could we resist a man who simply by opening his mouth could move mountains ”” and who had ascended all the way to the presidency by staking his political life on his own eloquence? How could we resist a man who seemed so sure that we could not resist him?
Now his gift has all but deserted him, and all that prevents the story from becoming tragic is his own apparent refusal to be affected by it…In less than two years he had gone from sounding like a man who could always count on his ability to strum the mystic chords of memory to a man who, no matter what he said, sounded like a politician, and one in over his head at that. Now he sounded like a man who had already realized that he had lost more than he imagined he could but was just starting to understand that he was never going to get it back.
Junod is right, and he’s also wrong. He’s describing what he perceives to have changed about Obama, and it’s true. Rather like Dumbo when he lost his magic feather, Obama has lost some of the belief in his own invincibility that carried him along, and it shows.
But Junod thinks he is describing something that mainly has its locus in Obama himself, and that it is Obama who has changed. Not really, except for a slightly lower confidence level. Junod is actually describing the process of falling in and then out of love on the part of the viewer.
Obama never was a great communicator. It’s been said before, but it bears repeating now: he rode on a stump speech and a vague promise, and the fervent hope in people’s minds that he would be whatever they happened to want him to be. He was never articulate off the cuff. He was always condescending and cold once he left the confines of that set speech. He had a terrible and/or nonexistent political record. He had never run anything except the Annenberg Challenge (and that was done poorly) or the Harvard Law Review. He had no sense of humor.
They fell in love nevertheless. Love is great. It feels good, but it tends to be blind. And when you fall out of it, you wonder what happened. You can explain it by saying that it’s the love object who has changed. Or you can wonder whatever you were thinking of in the first place.
Junod and many Obamaphiles (is it premature to call them ex-Obamaphiles?) are doing the former. In one of my favorite Shakespearean plays, “A Midsummer Night’s Dream,” Titiana does the latter:
Shakespeare’s play is an exploration of love and its mysterious qualities. When Shakespeare has the character Puck observe to the Fairy King Oberon, “Lord, what fools these mortals be!” he’s talking at least in part of their propensity to be fooled—in the case of the play, by his own magic machinations, among other things. The play has the lovers manipulated in a curious way: Puck puts some drops in their eyes that alter their perceptions and make them fall in love with the first being who comes their way.
Thus, the locus of the change is placed in the beholder, where it often belongs. The object of love remains the same person, whether adored or despised. When Puck places the drops in her eyes, Fairy Queen Titania falls in love with an ass (that is, a rude laborer, Bottom, who has been transformed by magic into a man with a donkey’s head, but let’s not get too technical). When Puck later applies the antidote and she falls out of love, she can’t believe she ever liked Bottom in the first place.
Junod, on the other hand, doesn’t doubt that Obama originally possessed the sterling characteristics his admirers perceived in him. Junod sees the main locus of change as being in Obama, not in himself as Obama-watcher. When Junod writes, “How could we resist a man who simply by opening his mouth could move mountains?” he’s being hyperbolic (at least I hope he is). But Obamalove came close to being just that irrational and just that emotional.
In the play, everything comes out all right in the end (although, as the character Lysander says, “The course of true love never did run smooth”). In politics, not so much. Of course, 2012 is a long way away…and there’s a lot of room for reconciliation. But can one ever recapture that initial glow?
How Barney Frank…
…lost Margery Eagan, who’s voted for him for the last 30 years.
No more.
Oh, and even though Frank won re-election handily, he still lost—his chairmanship of the Financial Services committee. Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.
And John Kerry feels his pain.
[NOTE: If you’re not familiar with the rather curious shape of Frank’s heavily gerrymandered district, here it is for your perusal:
And here’s another similar district in Massachusetts, the 3rd. Local humorists state that it was designed that way because Worcester felt it needed a warm-water port:
You can see how gerrymandering works if you look at the election results town by town in Frank’s district. Note Brookline and Newton. And then note the rest.]
Isn’t it funny…
…how Republicans keep losing the squeakers?
Glenn Reynolds wonders, as do I.
Not that it’s necessarily a case of a Minnesota/Franken type of fix being in, although that’s certainly possible. It’s probably just a case of blue states being really hard to flip, plus the strength of the Democrats being especially strong in cities, which also tend to have an entrenched party machine that knows how to get out the vote.
[ADDENDUM: This one smells very fishy.]
The Blue Dogs…
The ones that are still left, that is. Half of them were were defeated on Tuesday.
“Sister Wives:” just your average, everyday, polygamous family
Busy day today! I’ve got a new piece up at RightNetwork, a little change of pace from the election. It’s about the TLC program “Sister Wives,” a reality show that features a Utah man and his four wives. To whet your appetite:
Guys, imagine: not just one woman, but two or three or four, all clamoring for that much-needed “talk.” Very few men would be up to that particular task, but Kody is; he has to be.
Why so gloomy, Republican victors?
This is why.
Obama is still president, and can veto anything they try to pass. Despite the huge scope of their House victory, the Democrats still control the Senate, albeit by a small margin. And Republicans are not popular with the American people; they were elected as an alternative to something even worse.
So, what can they do? They can’t pass legislation over a presidential veto unless they can get enough Democrats on board to help them override it. This is highly unlikely—unless a great many Democrats feel the hot breath of their own imminent departure from office in 2012 if they don’t get with the program. That’s also highly unlikely; many of the remaining Democrats in the Senate don’t even come up for re-election until 2014 or even 2016, and are immune to such a consideration, or are from true-blue states that would consider voting with Republicans to be a betrayal.
So this just may be the most sober tsunami election in history. Republicans may be able to hold off Obamacare through defunding; it’s unclear how that would work. What’s more, since they were elected to stop things rather than accomplish things, they can keep reminding people of what might have been passed (cap and trade, for example) if they hadn’t been elected. They can pass bills in the House and force Democrats to choose to vote yea or nay, while also getting Obama to go on record as vetoing some popular legislation. It’s possible Republicans can even drag enough Democrats on board to pass a few bipartisan (remember that?) initiatives such as tort reform, which Obama may hold off from vetoing, and thus Republicans could actually point to some accomplishments.
If people are savvy enough to understand the limitations of the current situation, they might forgive Republicans for not accomplishing much, as long as they keep their word and try to stop the most offensive moves of the previous Congress. They would also earn points by being sober and serious and focused on the task at hand.
It doesn’t seem as though expectations of those who voted for them are very high; my guess is that most people may understand how hard stopping or reversing the Obama-Pelosi-Reid legislative train will be.
[NOTE: I suggest that the Republicans not spend time attempting to investigate and subpoena Obama or his deputies. i don’t think the American people would appreciate more attacks and blaming; it will perceived as more divisive politics as usual, and they’ve had enough of that. The Republicans need to be the people’s servants, and stick to the reason they were elected, which is to stop the programs they don’t like, and attempt to get our fiscal house more in order.]
[ADDENDUM: Oh, and here’s a reminder that in 2012, there are 21 Democratic seats up for re-election vs. 10 Republican seats. That’s a big big difference. And quite a few of those Democratic seats are in states that are not so strongly liberal as this year’s crop.]
California’s sacrifice
Here’s a funny comment at Althouse’s from “bagho20:”
Out here in California, we have chosen to sacrifice ourselves. To continue with the experimental treatment even after it has made us seriously ill. We need to establish if the treatment is fatal when continued long term. We do this for the rest of you. Don’t let our sacrifice be in vain. Watch us and learn. Don’t turn your head, no matter how bad it gets. We regret that we have but one life to give for our country. Please visit us and put something in the tip jar. We live on that.
Here’s another treatment of what ails California, from Monty at Ace’s.
My own opinion about California and its effort to commit suicide is that it doesn’t see it that way. The state’s majority is composed of people living off the public till, and those who are proud of their magnanimous liberalism (sometimes the two rolled into one, sometimes not). Neither group cares to look where this is all headed, although it’s staring them in the face.
[ADDENDUM: Robin of Berkeley has some thoughts from the belly of the California beast.]
Don’t look now…
…but there may be more trouble ahead.
I don’t pretend to have a truly informed opinion on what will actually happen. But I’ve heard a great many ominous rumblings about it.
India on 200 million dollars a day
Remember those Arthur Frommer travel guides that promised the reader a way to tour Europe and spend only $5 a day?
I know inflation has made that a thing of my youth. But still, I find this figure hard to believe, even for a restless president and his entire entourage.
Could it really be? And if so, why isn’t everyone outraged by it? And is this trip really necessary?
I’m all for cementing business ties with India, a country Obama spent the early part of his presidency alternately ignoring and offending (as discussed by this author, who seems to be an admirer of Obama’s foreign policy in general). But the side trip to Mumbai seems gratuitous and excessively expensive, even for Obama.
[ADDENDUM: I found it hard to believe, and apparently that was the proper attitude: it’s not true.
Whew.]
The Times on the Republican victory
Shorter NY Times: it’s the tactics, stupid.
Yes, the Republicans just had a better organization and attack machine, “careful plotting,” and a “torrent of corporate money from outside interests.” Ha! Somehow they managed to overcome mere “miscalculations” of Obama and the Democrats, as well as their too “ambitious” agenda.
The article goes on for three full pages without mentioning the real causes for what it terms—in a general, amorphous, phrase—“an electorate with deep discontent.” I could find nothing about the economy and the failure to address its biggest problems, and to instead add to those problems. Nothing about the passage of HCR, cap and trade, any of the hugely unpopular Democrat-driven legislation this Congress muscled through against the public will in ways “transparently” nefarious. Nothing about how those things drove the people to try to tell the government how they felt in the summer of 2009, and how the government closed its eyes and ears, or demonized those trying to talk to it.
Looking at the 2010 map
More random reflections on looking at this map of House results:
Quite a few states are either all red or all blue. But among those that are mixed, not too many are spotted. In other words, the red-blue divide within states often follows distinct geographic lines running either east-west or north-south, or (as in the case of liberal strongholds California, Oregon, and Washington) coastal vs. interior. Of course, the other divide in most states tends to be rural/urban.
Regions tend to be blocks, as well. New England now emerges as probably the most generally liberal area of the country, I regret to say. If you look at the map and mouse over it, you’ll see how strongly Democratic it remains, with Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Vermont, and Maine posting big Democratic victories and representing completely solid oceans of blue. In fact, those are the only states in the union that are solid blue, and they are all in New England.
And then there’s anomalous New Hampshire. Remember that motto, the one the other New England states laugh at, and which periodically comes up for repudiation by the state itself but thus far has survived: “live free or die“? That libertarian streak is a good part of the reason New Hampshire has turned back to the Republican side.
The map of the US is now predominantly red, but looks can be deceiving. The reddest states tend to be low in population. And because of the Democrat/urban link, my guess is that Democrats will try to take advantage of that and become ever more intent on abolishing the Electoral College if they ever should come back to power.



