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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Sarah Palin, Obama’s needler-in-chief…

The New Neo Posted on April 10, 2010 by neoApril 10, 2010

…expounds on the Obama Doctrine, and a few other things as well:

Such a relief that we dodged that Palin-VP bullet in 2008.

[NOTE: In the clip, Palin describes the Obama Doctrine this way (at 0:50-0:59: “coddling enemies and alienating allies.”

I’m not entirely sure, and I could be wrong about this, but I believe I just may have been the first person in the blogosphere or media (or at least one of the first) to use the phrase “Obama Doctrine” in that manner, back on September 17, 2009, when I wrote:

[Obama’s scrapping the missile shield for Eastern Europe] sends a larger signal to all the parties involved, one that is completely consistent with the one I previously stated here: offend our allies and friends, and cozy up to our enemies.

The Obama Doctrine.

I’m not accusing Palin of plagiarizing; not at all. I think it’s more a case of great minds thinking alike.]

[ADDENDUM: On further perusal, I managed to find this, from June of 2009. Perhaps the originator of the joke?]

Posted in Obama, Palin | 79 Replies

Obama and defense expert Gates: on being “comfortable” with the nuclear posture

The New Neo Posted on April 9, 2010 by neoApril 9, 2010

In a recent interview with George Stephanopoulos, President Obama had this to say in response to Sarah Palin’s criticism of his nuclear posture:

The last I checked, Sarah Palin is not much of an expert on nuclear issues…What I would say to [critics] is, is that if the secretary of defense and the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff are comfortable with it, I’m probably going to take my advice from them and not from Sarah Palin.

Except for one thing—note Obama’s use of the odd phrase “comfortable with it.” If this NY Times article is to be believed, Gates initially opposed Obama’s decision but was overruled by Obama, who did not take his advice [emphasis mine]:

Discussing his approach to nuclear security the day before formally releasing his new strategy, Mr. Obama described his policy as part of a broader effort to edge the world toward making nuclear weapons obsolete, and to create incentives for countries to give up any nuclear ambitions. To set an example, the new strategy renounces the development of any new nuclear weapons, overruling the initial position of his own defense secretary.

Guess the Times let that cat out of the bag. But don’t sit on a hot stove waiting for its writers and editors—or many others in the MSM—to call Obama on this one. After all, Gates is “comfortable” with it all now, isn’t he? But perhaps it’s only because Obama is his Commander-in-Chief.

Posted in Obama, War and Peace | 65 Replies

More on Obama’s nuclear posture

The New Neo Posted on April 9, 2010 by neoMarch 8, 2015

Charles Krauthammer lambasts Obama’s recent declaration of a new nuclear posture, repeating some of the main points from this already-discussed video. But in print Krauthammer adds the following illustration of how the policy of no-nukes for signers of the Non-Proliferation Treaty even if they attack us biologically or chemically is an absurdity:

This is quite insane. It’s like saying that if a terrorist deliberately uses his car to mow down a hundred people waiting at a bus stop, the decision as to whether he gets (a) hanged or (b) 100 hours of community service hinges entirely on whether his car had passed emissions inspections.

My first thought on reading this was: don’t give the administration any ideas. They’ll do that next.

But my second, and more serious thought was that it’s an odd way to try to discourage nuclear proliferation—by reducing the penalty for other types of insidious and illegal warfare, therefore probably making them more likely to occur. What a bizarre tradeoff!

The actual wording of the Obama document gives us a better idea of what is being attempted here [emphasis mine]:

Since the end of the Cold War, the strategic situation has changed in fundamental ways. With the advent of U.S. conventional military preeminence and continued improvements in U.S. missile defenses and capabilities to counter and mitigate the effects of CBW [chemical and biological warfare], the role of U.S. nuclear weapons in deterring non-nuclear attacks ”“”“ conventional, biological, or chemical ”“”“ has declined significantly. The United States will continue to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in deterring non-nuclear attacks.

To that end, the United States is now prepared to strengthen its long-standing “negative security assurance” by declaring that the United States will not use or threaten to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear weapons states that are party to the NPT and in compliance with their nuclear non-proliferation obligations.

This revised assurance is intended to underscore the security benefits of adhering to and fully complying with the NPT and persuade non-nuclear weapon states party to the Treaty to work with the United States and other interested parties to adopt effective measures to strengthen the non-proliferation regime.

It’s hard to envision what sort of reasoning is behind this. The peacetime value that nearly everyone can agree that nuclear weapons have had throughout the sixty-five years of their existence has been as deterrence, both to nuclear and other types of attacks (as Obama knows, since his document clearly states this by saying that until now the United States has “reserved the right to employ nuclear weapons to deter CBW attack on the United States and its allies and partners”).

So, what would be the point of giving up that deterrent power? The implicit quid pro quo seems to be to get more countries in comply with the NPT. But even were that to happen, would the policy not at the same time encourage these other sorts of attacks, either on the US or its allies (if it has any left after Obama is through)?

Conventional weapons are fine and dandy, I suppose. But they hardly represent the sort of deterrence afforded by at least the threat of using a nuclear weapon. Of course, as is his tendency, Obama hedges even this new policy of non-nuclear-deterrence by saying (read the small print):

Given the catastrophic potential of biological weapons and the rapid pace of bio-technology development, the United States reserves the right to make any adjustment in the assurance that may be warranted by the evolution and proliferation of the biological weapons threat and U.S. capacities to counter that threat.

So basically Obama is saying “I didn’t really mean it. I’ll use those nuclear weapons if I feel like it, whenever I feel like it.” And although that’s somewhat reassuring (if you believe it) in placing back a certain uncertainty about the use of nuclear weapons, and therefore a small amount of the deterrent power previously provided by such a threat, it leaves one scratching one’s head. If there’s an escape clause like that, what’s the whole thing about, anyway? “Posturing” is really the best word for it; Obama puts forth a promise and reneges on it, within the very same document.

It’s really not known how believable the US’s nuclear threat has been in recent years. Were other nations really convinced that this country would retaliate so powerfully and aggressively? As the only country that has ever actually used nuclear weapons in combat, we did have some credibility on that score. But the point was that, although no one knew for sure, we presented a credible enough threat to at least give other nations pause.

However, this recent document of Obama’s is so confusing that I’m not sure what other nations will make of it. But it seems to me that it removes some of that previous deterrent threat while at the same time providing little that would convince a nation that joining the NPT would be in its best interests—which, after all, appears to be the main goal of the paper in the first place.

And it doesn’t even begin to address the fact that rogue states such as North Korea and Iran, which laugh at the NPT and its signatories, will go their merry way and are very likely to continue on their present nuclear paths. Obama’s new posture is less likely to reassure other, non-nuclear nations that he will keep his word to protect them, not more.

The document also contains a mind-boggling passage addressed to North Korea and Iran, although not by name [emphasis mine]:

In the case of countries not covered by this assurance ”“”“ states that possess nuclear weapons and states not in compliance with their nuclear non-proliferation obligations ”“”“ there remains a narrow range of contingencies in which U.S. nuclear weapons may still play a role in deterring a conventional or CBW attack against the United States or its allies and partners…

Yet that does not mean that our willingness to use nuclear weapons against countries not covered by the new assurance has in any way increased. Indeed, the United States wishes to stress that it would only consider the use of nuclear weapons in extreme circumstances to defend the vital interests of the United States or its allies and partners.

What could be the purpose of adding this restrained language? Remember, it is addressed to rogue enemy states such as North Korea and Iran that are out of compliance with non-proliferation and clearly pursuing nuclear weaponry ends, and who might even use such weapons in first strikes against either the US or its allies. It projects conciliatory weakness at the same time it claims to offer a threat of strength.

Why not instead use language that goes something like this: “Our commitment to use every means available to defend ourselves and our allies against attack by countries not covered by the new assurance has remained as firm as ever”? As written, the document seems to be saying instead: “Don’t worry; you can get away with quite a bit before we’ll even consider striking.”

Posted in Obama, War and Peace | 15 Replies

A country destroyed: Zimbabwe

The New Neo Posted on April 9, 2010 by neoJuly 22, 2010

Read it and weep for Zimbabwe, a country that’s gotten so bad that its mainly black population pines for the days of white rule. At least they had jobs back then.

Liberal journalist Kristof is more PC than the people he interviews, who mince no words in describing their lot:

“When the country changed from Rhodesia to Zimbabwe, we were very excited,” one man, Kizita, told me in a village of mud-walled huts near this town in western Zimbabwe. “But we didn’t realize the ones we chased away were better and the ones we put in power would oppress us.”

“It would have been better if whites had continued to rule because the money would have continued to come,” added a neighbor, a 58-year-old farmer named Isaac. “It was better under Rhodesia. Then we could get jobs. Things were cheaper in stores. Now we have no money, no food.”

Over and over, I cringed as I heard Africans wax nostalgic about a nasty, oppressive regime run by a tiny white elite. Black Zimbabweans responded that at least that regime was more competent than today’s nasty, oppressive regime run by the tiny black elite that surrounds Mr. Mugabe.

Kristof laughably thinks a thug like Mugabe would respond to pressure from the world. After all, his white predecessors did:

The tragedy that has unfolded here can be reversed if Mr. Mugabe is obliged by international pressure, particularly from South Africa, to hold free elections. Worldwide pressure forced the oppressive Rhodesian regime to give up power three decades ago. Now we need similar pressure, from African countries as well as Western powers, to pry Mr. Mugabe’s fingers from his chokehold on a lovely country.

Good luck with that, Mr. Kristof. Actually, I hope you’re correct. But that’s not my reading of Mugabe.

One person who did see what lay ahead—and I know it’s not PC to say this—was Rhodesia’s former Prime Minister Ian Smith, white racist and all. In a previous post about Mugabe and Rhodesia, where I wrote about how reluctant other African leaders are to condemn Mugabe, I added [emphasis mine]:

[Mugabe’s] history as a political prisoner of ten years’ duration in the 1970s under Ian Smith’s colonial government also gave him a linkage to Mandela, but their subsequent histories have been far different. Mugabe has been corrupted by power””or perhaps he was corrupt in the first place””and the course of the two countries have diverged significantly as a result.

But possibly the greatest irony of Mugabe’s vile rule is that it’s the Western post-colonial powers such as Britain who are speaking out against him, while his fellow African liberators are mostly silent or “gentle” in their chiding.

And Ian Smith, the widely-reviled final colonial head of Rhodesia and strong opponent of black rule, who insisted that Mugabe’s leadership would lead to the destruction of the country, turns out to have been, for all his flaws (and there were many), better for the country and even for its black population than the liberation hero Mugabe.

In an article in the Telegraph written on Smith’s death in November of 2007, Graham Boynton””who had once been a staunch opponent of Smith””came to the following realizations:

“Although the first 20 years of Mugabe’s rule saw a slow, somewhat even-paced decline, the calamitous collapse has been achieved in little more than half a decade, an extraordinary feat of self-destruction when one considers that it took more than a century for Ian Smith’s white antecedents to carve a modern, functioning, European-style society out of raw African bushveld.

But that has been the story of post-colonial Africa and, although this week’s obituaries will largely dismiss Smith as a colonial caricature, a novelty politician from another age, if you were to go to Harare today and ask ordinary black Zimbabweans who they would rather have as their leader””Smith or Mugabe””the answer would be almost unanimous. And it would not be Mugabe.”

Well, now Kristof has done the asking, and we’ve got the answer.

Posted in People of interest, Race and racism | 32 Replies

Two retirements

The New Neo Posted on April 9, 2010 by neoApril 9, 2010

The first is no surprise at all: Supreme Court Justice Stevens, who is nearly ninety, and as a liberal wanted to wait to retire until he knew another liberal would be appointed to fill his place. Now he can do just that. And if anyone thinks such political considerations don’t play a huge part in the timing of such things, he/she is profoundly and hopelessly naive.

The second is none other than Bart Stupak, Congressman from Michigan who kept a fairly low national profile in his eighteen years in the House—until recently, that is. His swan song contained the following whopper:

Stupak told The Associated Press that attacks on him for his role in the abortion debate did not influence his decision and he could win re-election if he tried.

Of course. And then:

Stupak told the AP he wants to spend more time with his family and start a new career after nine terms in Congress.

I wonder what that “new career” will be. What was he promise—first for his cooperation, and then for this valiant falling on his sword to allow another more viable Democratic candidate to enter the arena?

Posted in Law, Politics | 14 Replies

Cows off the hook–for now

The New Neo Posted on April 8, 2010 by neoApril 8, 2010

This is not—I repeat, not—an April Fools joke.

For quite a while scientists who study global warming have claimed that (and there is just no way to be delicate about this) cow flatulence and excrement—or what this article refers to as their “wind and manure”—have been significant contributors to the phenomenon, because of the methane produced. This has acted as a sort of twofer for the AGW crowd: they get to blame people for raising so many cows, and they also get to promote vegetarianism for humankind.

Now comes the startling news that under certain circumstances, cow grazing reduces global warming rather than increases it (scientists often have such difficult making up their minds!). The mechanism in this case is—I kid you not—laughing gas.

Yes, apparently the grass on which cattle would graze shelters microbes that produce nitrous oxide in the spring if it is kept long. But when cattle have grazed there and the grass is short, the microbes have trouble wintering over and less of this particular greenhouse gas is released come spring.

This has thrown some environmental scientists into a tizzy. To wit:

Dr Butterbach-Bahl said the study overturned assumptions about grazing goats and cattle.

“It’s been generally assumed that if you increase livestock numbers you get a rise in emissions of nitrous oxide. This is not the case,” he said.

Estimated nitrous oxide emissions from temperate grasslands in places like Inner Mongolia as well as vast swatches of the United States, Canada, Russia and China account for up a third of the total amount of the greenhouse gas produced every year. Nitrous oxide is the third most important greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide and methane.

But Dr Butterbach-Bahl pointed out that the study did not take into account the methane produced by the livestock or the carbon dioxide produced if soil erodes. He also pointed out that much of the red meat eaten in the western world if from intensively farmed animals in southern countries.

He said the study does not overturn the case for cutting down on red meat but shows grazing livestock is not always bad for global warming.

If one thing is clear from the above excerpt, it’s that the state of knowledge on even such a small part of the larger global warming picture is meager, to say the least. The interactions are mind-bogglingly complex and poorly understand, even among the known factors, and there are probably countless unknown factors as well that have not even been considered.

[NOTE: And has anyone else realized that the name of the good doctor is somewhat reminiscent of a type of turkey that used to be very popular in supermarkets around Thanksgiving time?]

Posted in Science | 30 Replies

Is Larry Summers leaving?

The New Neo Posted on April 8, 2010 by neoApril 8, 2010

The answer is “yes,” if this report by Joshua Green at the Atlantic can be credited.

I wondered about something similar last fall, in which I quoted this article by Charles Gasparino, who reported:

I’m told that Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and chief economic adviser Lawrence Summers have both complained to senior Wall Street execs that they have almost no say in major policy decisions. Obama economic counselor Paul Volcker, the former Fed chairman, is barely consulted at all on just about anything ”” not even issues involving the banking system, of which he is among the world’s leading authorities…

As one CEO of a major financial firm told me: “The economic guys say that when they explain the costs of programs, the policy guys simply thank them for their time and then ignore what they say.”

In other words, the economic people feel that they have almost no say in this administration’s policy decisions.

According to Joshua Green, Geithner’s star has risen as Summer’s has remained fallen. Green ascribes Summer’s dissatisfaction to his hurt massive ego and lack of power. And while I don’t doubt that Summers has a very hefty sense of his own self-importance, I think (actually, I hope) it may be more than that that’s eating him.

Perhaps—just perhaps—he thinks the Obama administration is doing the wrong thing economically? I realize that by saying this I am probably giving Summers far more credit than he deserves. But I retain a naive hope that someone in the Obama administration actually retains some sort of intellectual and moral integrity about what’s been happening, and will ultimately act on it by refusing to be part of it any more and spilling the beans.

I know, I know. That’s why I referred to myself as “naive.” Most of these people long ago sold out whatever integrity they may have ever possessed. But, like Diogenes, I keep searching—in the most unlikely places.

One place I will never search again, however, is anywhere near Hillary Clinton. There has been much speculation on if and when Hillary will leave the administration. I don’t think it matters, and I don’t much care—unless she goes out soon, and with a mammoth tell-all speech or book that will expose and shame the Obama administration for all time.

Otherwise, my opinion of her is fixed: she’s been completely co-opted and corrupted, and has no credibility left with the more centrist Democrats and moderates who had previously supported her. Her hypocrisy is profound—and although that probably always was true, it never before has been so crystal clear.

Posted in Finance and economics, Obama | 53 Replies

Most intriguing and yet curiously disappointing headline of the day

The New Neo Posted on April 8, 2010 by neoApril 8, 2010

“China Offers High-Speed Rail to California.”

Just picture it: across the bridge to end all bridges or the tunnel to end all tunnels, the high-speed rail shoots off, flashing us straight from Shanghai to San Francisco in record time.

But alas. It’s only China “supplying the technology, equipment and engineers to build high-speed rail lines” within the state of California.

Posted in Uncategorized | 27 Replies

Obama the Great will settle the Middle East conflict

The New Neo Posted on April 8, 2010 by neoApril 8, 2010

Obama’s grandiosity continues.

All of the stubborn world problems that previous presidents—Democrat and Republican alike, none of them possessed of his transformative and inspirational qualities—grappled with and yet were unable to solve, Obama will settle.

Like, for instance, Palestine and Israel:

Apparently Obama and his team are frustrated by their inability to get Israelis and Palestinians to negotiate a deal, and have therefore decided we’ll just impose one.

The inability of Israelis and Palestinians to get to the negotiating table is, in this administration, an iatrogenic disease: Our diplomatic doctors have caused it. The astonishing incompetence of Obama and special envoy George Mitchell has now twice blown up talks””direct talks last year, and proximity talks more recently””by making Israeli construction plans a major world crisis, thereby forcing Palestinian leaders to back away from engagement with the Israelis. So the administration will, in the fall, just do it the simpler way. Why bother with Israelis and Palestinians, in whom the president apparently does not have “growing confidence,” when you can just have your own brilliant team draw up the terms?

[NOTE: See also this.]

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Obama | 14 Replies

HCR: Pelosi tells the simple-minded American people not to worry our pretty little heads about it

The New Neo Posted on April 7, 2010 by neoApril 7, 2010

What an oily, condescending, manipulative, lying piece of work she is. Referring to the HCR bill, Pelosi says:

It’s like the back of the refrigerator. You see all these wires and the rest. All you need to know is, you open the door. The light goes on.

I don’t mean to be anti-female, but Pelosi’s suggestion strikes me as something only a woman could have come up with. I have that attitude myself to most mechanical and/or electrical gadgetry and appliances, including computers: don’t tell me how it works, just make it work.

But for a supposed servant of the people to use such a metaphor to refer to a bill that affects us all in such important ways is outrageously and offensively paternalistic (or should I say “maternalistic?”) and flies in the face of what the relationship between the citizens and Congress in this country is meant to be.

Posted in Health care reform | 155 Replies

Obama and Karzai: a foreign policy of schoolyard taunts

The New Neo Posted on April 7, 2010 by neoApril 7, 2010

This WSJ editorial (hat tip: expat) points out once again that Obama seems to have a knack for making enemies of former friends, the latest being Hamid Karzai.

No one says Karzai’s an angel. But if Obama can figure out a better partner with whom to work in Afghanistan (and who has any chance of being elected and reforming the country), he has yet to indicate it. The WSJ piece observes that Obama has been critical of Karzai from nearly the day Obama took office, leaking criticism of him in a way that was intended to shame him.

At the time, I was put in mind of JFK and the disastrous end of South Vietnam’s Diem, although that seemed an extreme comparison. And yet some are making it now, reminding the history-challenged Obama that this may not be the best course to take.

The WSJ uses the same comparison:

This treatment of an ally eerily echoes the way the Kennedy Administration treated Ngo Dinh Diem, the President of South Vietnam in the early 1960s. On JFK’s orders, U.S. Ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge refused to meet with Diem, and when U.S. officials got word of a coup against Diem they let it be known they would not interfere. Diem was executed, and South Vietnam never again had a stable government.

Karzai has reportedly retaliated by saying in a private meeting that, “if the Americans kept it up, he might join the Taliban.” Then yesterday the execrable Robert Gibbs subjected Karzai to what the WSJ aptly referred to as “schoolyard taunts” (somewhat a specialty of both Mr Gibbs and Obama, I’ve observed):

“We certainly would evaluate whatever continued or further remarks President Karzai makes, as to whether it is constructive to have that meeting,” said Mr. Gibbs, in a show of disdain he typically reserves for House Republicans.

Meanwhile, American military men and women fight, serve, and die in Afghanistan. And Obama continues his contemptible course of being kind to enemies and dismissive and even insulting to allies. We can speculate on whatever possible policy objectives he may be chasing by this type of behavior—I happen to think it is part of his destructive leftist agenda for America—but there is now every indication that, on a purely personal level, the man simply gets off on being a bully.

[NOTE: The article also made me think of the assassination of Ahmad Shah Massoud, killed by suicide bombers two days before 9/11 in preparation for the terrorist attack on the US. They realized that America might retaliate against the Afghan government for harboring Osama bin Laden, and knew that the strong and popular anti-Taliban fighter Massoud would be the obvious choice to head a new government there in the aftermath. So they killed him. Current developments indicate how prescient the terrorists were, since Karzai hasn’t the same sort of broad support and respect—although I have little doubt that, had Massoud lived and been the present leader of Afghanistan, Obama would probably have found a way to pick a fight with him as well.]

[ADDENDUM: More.]

Posted in Afghanistan, Obama | 27 Replies

CNN article tries to be fair to Tea Partiers—and nearly succeeds

The New Neo Posted on April 7, 2010 by neoJuly 22, 2010

See that pig flying overhead? It’s CNN’s relatively fair article about the Tea Partiers.

The only flaw (and it’s a biggie; but hey, CNN’s just a news outlet, so we can’t really blame them for spreading undocumented “facts”) is that it repeats the unverified claim that the Washington DC Tea Party crowd voiced racial slurs at Reps Lewis and Cleaver and spit at the latter. But other than that, African-American political producer Shannon Travis is—dare I say it?—fair and balanced in his coverage of the many other Tea Party Express gatherings that he actually did attend in his thousand-mile trip with the movement (and yes, Shannon’s a man; I thought from the name that he was a woman, until I saw a photo):

But here’s what you don’t often see in the coverage of Tea Party rallies: Patriotic signs professing a love for country; mothers and fathers with their children; African-Americans proudly participating; and senior citizens bopping to a hip-hop rapper…

[B]y and large, no one I spoke with or I heard from on stage said anything that was approaching racist.

Almost everyone I met was welcoming to this African-American television news producer.

The only “racist” things Travis saw with his own eyes at countless rallies on the Tea Party Express? “[A] few signs that could be seen as offensive to African-Americans.”

Note the careful wording: “could be seen.” This is often the new and more inclusive definition of racism: anything that might be perceived by the beholder as offensive. Of course it’s possible that some of these signs actually were offensive and racist in the objective sense (the only one that should matter). But my guess is, if that were so, they would have been described quite differently.

Since overt expressions of racism have become so relatively rare these days, would-be victims are forced to either (a) try to provoke it, as with Lewis and Cleaver; (b) make it up if it cannot be provoked, as with the DC Tea Party reports; or (c) impute it from other non-racial words which are felt to be “code words” for racism (such as, for example, socialist). Or even, if all else fails, to see it in the fact that a crowd is white, which by definition must be racist.

I would not be at all surprised if CNN had sent Travis—a rather large and imposing African-American man—on this assignment in hopes of encountering and reporting on the racism he found at Tea Parties. Travis is to be commended for not falling into any of those particular traps. He honestly reported what he saw, and what he saw was uniformly good.

Not that it will matter; the public has already been well-saturated with the competing meme, and quite a few will unquestioningly believe it.

Posted in Politics, Press, Race and racism | 10 Replies

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