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Obama to McDonald’s: never mind

The New Neo Posted on October 7, 2010 by neoOctober 7, 2010

McDonald’s got its waiver for mini-med plans.

It’s a good idea, and no doubt was expedited because of the huge swarm of negative publicity attendant on the original story. But, as Ed Morrisey of Hot Air points out:

Dictating percentages for administration costs in insurance plans isn’t the job of the federal government anyway, but more to the point, that issue is obviously not determinative in value to the consumer ”” as these waivers proved. This shows what happens when people with no experience in an industry decide that they can construct it better than the market has structured itself.

The proper action would have been to repeal at least this portion of the law in order to give a level playing field to everyone. By granting a few dozen waivers at the outset, though, the White House has amplified the uncertainty and arbitrariness in ObamaCare even further. At least insurers and employers had a figure that they could use for planning. Now there is no standard at all, except for whatever Kathleen Sebelius decides she likes ”” and whom she wants to favor.

Posted in Health care reform | 9 Replies

Obama’s Justice Department…

The New Neo Posted on October 6, 2010 by neoOctober 6, 2010

…strikes again.

Posted in Law, Obama, Terrorism and terrorists | 14 Replies

Left and right, Britain and here

The New Neo Posted on October 6, 2010 by neoOctober 6, 2010

Commenter Simon Weaver, transplanted Brit, writes:

Not everyone believes Obama is a Marxist. Coming from England he seems pretty right wing to me. The most radical left wing thing he has done since coming into office was merely suggesting a public option during the healthcare debate, and he quickly caved when he saw he was never going to get it through. My dad is a life-long conservative, but if the conservative party said they would abolish the national health service he would not vote for them. I’d like to think that not all conservatives are such trenchant ideologs.

Simon’s comment reflects a basic truth, which is this: the American revolution didn’t end when the peace treaties were signed. Despite their continuing ties of history, language, tradition, culture, and law, Britain and the USA have been diverging even in recent years, particularly since World War II, when war-weary Britain took a sharp turn left and America did not.

Despite a short-lived revival of conservatism—of the Thatcher variety—during the Reagan era, Britain’s right remains way to the left of this country’s. So in that sense Simon is absolutely correct in his second sentence (although not grammatically: dangling participle, man!), “Coming from England [Obama] seems pretty right-wing to me.” But the left-right continuum is scaled quite differently here.

As for Obama’s “merely suggesting” a public option and then caving, that is technically the case, as well. But that’s Obama’s very clever modus operandi: to make sure his fingerprints are not on the HCR bill by offering “suggestions” and leaving it up to Congress to do whatever it can manage to get away with, the lefter the better. Anyone who really studies the bill can see that its long-term goal (and, by extension, Obama’s) is to force down other forms of health insurance and to ultimately drive everyone into the exchanges.

But let’s leave the public option aside for a moment and deal with another question: is his stance on the public option really the most left-wing thing Obama has done as president? No. There is almost nothing the man has done since coming to office that hasn’t been remarkably left wing, despite the fact that the left isn’t happy with him and wants more.

Some of Obama’s most consistently left-wing positions have not been policies per se but rather attitudes expressed repeatedly in speeches. He has adopted a consistently anti-business, anti-capitalist position, fomenting class warfare (common in Britain, I would imagine, but less widespread here in the past) and hatred of the rich. He has come perilously close to nationalizing industries. He is a union man extraordinaire. One of the most astoundingly leftist acts he has performed was his running roughshod over the first creditors’ rights in the Chrysler bailout and putting his favored unions before them, in abrogation of contract law.

His foreign policy has been an interesting amalgam of leftist positions (come down hard on Israel; Bush administration practiced torture; will talk with anyone, even Ahmadinejad) and seemingly more conservative stances such as fighting in Afghanistan. But even when taking the latter position he gives it a twist from the left that betrays his true feelings: he announces a troop building and at the same time announces the withdrawal, and in so doing practically negates the former. His attitude towards leftist Hugo Chavez of Venezuela and his henchman in Honduras was one of Obama’s most shameful and transparently leftist acts, although few remember it at this point because so much has happened to spin our heads since (see this for background).

But let us return to Simon—in this case Simon’s dad. Simon writes:

My dad is a life-long conservative, but if the conservative party said they would abolish the national health service he would not vote for them.

This points out, once again, the difference between what passes for “conservative” in Britain and what the term means here. It also illustrates how entitlements, once ingrained in a population, are very difficult if not impossible to eradicate, because people become dependent on them—and don’t think for a moment that Obama and Pelosi and Reid are not well aware of that. In fact, they bank on it, and it was part of their calculation for extreme haste in passing HCR.

But there’s another point that Simon doesn’t mention but that is vital, and this concerns the different histories of health insurance in this country and in Britain. The latter’s national health service was established after World War II (and designed even before that) as part of a planned cradle-to-grave postwar welfare state. That’s well over sixty years ago, long enough for many generations to have grown very accustomed to it. What’s more, the system was preceded by one that was very piecemeal and highly inadequate, in contrast to ours, which is somewhat flawed but mostly liked by the majority of Americans:

[T]here were no real losers in the Britain of 1948 [when their system was first set up]. Only a tiny handful of very rich people had any experience of great medical care””and they were rich enough to pay higher taxes AND private insurance premiums. Everyone else got roughly the same medical care; but now the middle class got it for nothing as most of the poor had done before. Nobody lost””not for another fifteen years when the quality of medical care began to decline noticeably. And by then they were hooked. By contrast almost every insured American is a potential loser under Obamacare. And some of those considered to be winners””i.e., the currently non-insured””will feel like losers if they are forced to insure and then remain inconveniently healthy.

So comparing the British public’s response to national health care to our own attitude to Obamacare is comparing apples to oranges.

Simon closes with the idea that he hopes not all conservatives are ideologues. But what is conservativism if not an ideology? If a person—conservative or libertarian, socialist or communist—compromises his/her positions because a particular bill happens to be of personal benefit in a particular instance, I can’t say I’d applaud or admire that person. If, on the other hand, that person is voting against his/her own belief system because he/she believes the vote will benefit society as a whole, then it may be time to revisit the underpinnings of that belief system and even to change it.

I don’t praise rigid, unthinking ideologues. But I have no respect for those who compromise their principles in order to get a personal benefit. Political ideology is not—or at least, it should not be—a belief system founded on faith. It should be based on reasoning and logic, and ought to be able to stand up to the facts and empirical evidence of life and history.

Posted in Health care reform, Liberals and conservatives; left and right, Political changers | 52 Replies

Blumenthal flunks his orals; Obama’s seal slip quip

The New Neo Posted on October 6, 2010 by neoOctober 6, 2010

And in other video—perhaps it’s A Sign:

Obama’s attempt to ad lib a joke is revealing. Instead of a self-deprecating remark—which the occasion seems to cry out for—he makes a self-aggrandizing one.

Posted in Uncategorized | 19 Replies

And the job with the highest divorce rate is…

The New Neo Posted on October 5, 2010 by neoOctober 5, 2010

…[drum roll please]: dancers and choreographers.

At first this puzzled me. But then I realized that (duh!), although the photo is of ballet dancers, exotic/erotic dancers fall into this category, too.

Which would explain a lot.

Posted in Dance, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | 33 Replies

Predicting election turnout

The New Neo Posted on October 5, 2010 by neoOctober 5, 2010

The predictions of the polls for this election are all over the place. Although in general a Republican win is expected, the scope and breadth of that win is highly disputed.

Liberal rags and bloggers say that the Republicans have peaked and that Democrats will stage a surprising resurgence by election day. They are trying to rally the troops, of course, and it might represent whistling past the graveyard.

Then again, they might be correct. Who knows?

Who knows? Why, the pollsters, of course. Except when they don’t.

Polls are always somewhat unreliable. It’s only ex post facto that we learn which ones were right and which ones wrong. But this year they are probably more unreliable than ever, because of that all-important variable: voter turnout.

Turnout always matters, and especially in off-years where it is usually low and therefore small variations matter even more. But in 2010, turnout is an especially wild wild-card.

We know that voter enthusiasm is higher on the Republican side, and we know that it will almost certainly make a difference. But how much higher, and how much difference? The gap is highlighted by this recent Gallup poll, the first this year to take into account likely voters rather than registered voters, and the results are shocking for Democrats and heartening for Republicans:

Under its “high turnout model” Republicans lead 53%-40%. Under its “low turnout model” Republicans lead 56%-38%.

That’s not only astounding, it’s an outlier. The volatility of the polls is further reflected in the flux of the Rasmussen polling of likely voters: the Republicans have only a 3-point lead this week although they had a 10-point lead a mere two weeks ago.

What does this mean? It means that each side will fasten on the polls that are more encouraging to its own agenda. It means that polls are likely to keep changing right up till election day. It means that in general Republicans are ahead. And that’s all I can figure it means.

Polls are good at prediction, to a certain extent. But they are acknowledged to be flawed, and there is always a fairly significant margin of error that in close races can be determinative. This year I believe the margin of error is even greater than usual, because this year the mood of the electorate is profoundly different than in previous years—even previous “throw the bums out” years such as 1994.

There is a disgust towards both parties the depth of which I’ve never seen before. There are more entrenched incumbents at risk. The energy level of the electorate is stronger and more seriously angry. So pollsters, beware. The usual rules may not apply.

Posted in Politics | 28 Replies

Who gets to govern?

The New Neo Posted on October 4, 2010 by neoOctober 4, 2010

I’ve sometimes wondered whether, as John Dickerson wrote here, the Obama administration’s struggles will make at least a few Bush-haters acknowledge that maybe, just maybe, his predecessor wasn’t such an abysmal ignoramus after all.

That maybe, just maybe, it’s actually hard to govern. That it’s easier to sit on the sidelines and criticize. After all, if Obama is such a genius, and his brilliance (coupled with a Congress controlled by his side) can’t solve the problems of this country and the world, or make much of a dent in them (or even has managed to make them worse), then isn’t it possible that Bush had at least a modicum of intelligence and an ounce of judgment?

Until 2006, the Democrats were on the outside looking in, back-seat drivers and/or kibitzers at the card game known as politics, eager to criticize and carp. But talk is cheap; action is far more difficult, and solutions are even more elusive—as the Republicans may discover, to their sorrow, come 2011. But I’d certainly like to see them get the chance to try to pick up the pieces of this debacle.

The election is four weeks away, which sometimes seems like a short time and sometimes a long one. But if Nancy Pelosi has anything to say about it (and let’s hope she doesn’t), the Democrats still have plenty of time to convince the American public of Republican perfidy:

You have to understand what fighters our members are…Now our challenge is to tattoo the practices of big insurance, big oil, big banks and the rest [onto Republican opponents]. And our members feel very good about doing that.

I suppose if Democrats can’t feel good about their own accomplishments, feeling good about tatooing Republicans will have to do.

This election still looks to be a Republican victory. How much of one I cannot say, and I’m tired of all the predictions and polls. The only poll that counts, of course, is the one on November 2.

And then the real work will begin.

Posted in Politics | 73 Replies

I’m curious to know…

The New Neo Posted on October 4, 2010 by neoOctober 4, 2010

…who are these 12% of Republicans who still support Obama?

Posted in Obama | 40 Replies

Spambot of the day

The New Neo Posted on October 4, 2010 by neoOctober 4, 2010

Sexually- and otherwise-confused spambot:

It’s sad that todays production movies unregenerate the beauty movies had in earlier life. Although it’s fun to bonk ultra postgraduate school effects, I avoid the categorise that movies were prefabricated sanction then

Posted in Blogging and bloggers | 8 Replies

Jonathan Cohn’s bright idea: hey, let’s talk up HCR reform

The New Neo Posted on October 2, 2010 by neoOctober 2, 2010

TNR’s Jonathan Cohn thinks Democrats should try telling the American public the advantages of the new HCR bill.

Ever hear that before? Thought so.

The people are just confused about HCR, says Cohn, and new ads could straighten them out. Here’s an example of his reasoning [emphasis mine]:

But the public’s frustration with health care reform reflects, among other things, a lot of confusion. In a recent Kaiser Family Foundation tracking poll, for example, 30 percent of seniors thought the new law will give a Medicare panel authority to make life-or-death treatment decisions and 39 percent thought it would diminish the benefits that Medicare guarantees to all seniors. (Large numbers were also uncertain whether these false claims were true.)

This says far more about Cohn’s own confusion than it does about anyone else’s. Cohn, like many partisans on the left, thinks it is self-evident to any thinking person—or regular reader of TNR, which is tantamount to the same thing in his eyes—that “death panels” are a scurrilous and transparently absurd falsehood, or that Medicare will obviously remain untouched, and that the American people’s doubt about either proposition is an example of ignorance about the truth and a result of misleading conservative propaganda.

The persistence of this idea among the left is puzzling, as is the persistence of the notion that the Democrats haven’t explained the benefits enough, and that more explaining will somehow help. It won’t, for the following reasons:

(1) people need to see results, not be promised them, especially when trust in Congress and politicians (and their promises) is at an all-time low.

(2) the arguments about the drawbacks of the HCR bill are not mere Republican hyperbole, easily countered by hyperbole on the other side: they have legs, they are real, and they have not been countered in an effective, convincing, and substantive manner.

The comments to Cohn’s article are revealing. The first one states:

Jonathan, you are right that arguing the benefits would seem a good strategy. The problem is the common sense understanding that with every benefit comes a cost.

Common sense? What’s that?

The second comment is more typical of the mindset on the left, the one otherwise known as elitist and cynical:

HCR must be sold to the public like soap, with simple themes repeated over and over.

But the American people, unfortunately for the Democrats, seem to have developed a certain amount of sales resistance.

Posted in Health care reform | 32 Replies

More on those political mixed marriages

The New Neo Posted on October 2, 2010 by neoOctober 2, 2010

Here’s a postcard a thoughtful friend sent me. This friend is one of the few Republicans I know:

imarriedarepub.jpg

Posted in Uncategorized | 42 Replies

Greta Van Susteren vs. Gloria Allred

The New Neo Posted on October 2, 2010 by neoOctober 2, 2010

I’ve thought for quite some time that Greta Van Susteren is one of the very best interviewers on TV.

There’s something about her that’s intensely likable—and this despite the fact that she’s (gasp!) a lawyer (some of my best friends…). She’s down-to-earth and has a remarkable lack of ego for a TV personality. Her interviews and commentary seem sensible and without much political slant; her devotion is, if anything, to making an attempt at getting the truth. She’s not afraid to ask more pointed questions than her fellow press-members usually do, and more follow-ups.

And she’s smart. Very very smart.

The following exchange makes me like Greta even more. It’s more aggressive by quite a bit than her usual style. But her combativeness here seems driven by a sense of outrage, both as a lawyer and as a decent human being, at what fellow lawyer Gloria Allred has been up to lately.

Allred doesn’t see it coming at first. But she gets the drift pretty quickly as to what’s happening to her, and by the end she looks as though she’d rather be almost anywhere than on this program, answering to Greta Van Susteren:

Posted in Law, Politics, Press | 31 Replies

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