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Open thread 8/1/2026 — 33 Comments

  1. ‘Complete Disarmament’ of Hamas Announced by Trump’s Board of Peace, Followed by Israeli Withdrawal

    Hold on…

    Board of Peace official says Hamas disarmament to start in coming days, walking back claim it already began

    Walking back claim Hamas disarmament deal had already started, Board of Peace official says it aims to commence plan in the coming days … Moreover, the IDF just announced that it had conducted a series of strikes against Hamas infrastructure in Gaza, a further signal that it doesn’t intend to cooperate with the disarmament plan, which would require it to halt all military operations in the Strip.

  2. The Weekend Interview in the WSJ is worthwhile. It’s long, and downright exasperating, but I think important.

    https://www.wsj.com/opinion/we-live-in-a-new-world-of-counterhistory-0156ab8d?st=wfM9jG

    Mr. Montefiore quotes a Hamas official, Sami Abu Zuhri: “The price of the suffering is worth paying. The benefits are extensive.” Mr. Abu Zuhri added that “the wombs of our women will give birth to twice the number of martyrs.” Israel won “in the pitiful ruins of Gaza,” Mr. Montefiore says. “Hamas won in the West,” in part by controlling the media within Gaza and presenting all losses as civilian, a narrative that proved “irreversible even when Hamas’s allegations were later proven to be untrue.”

    “Who would have thought,” Mr. Montefiore asks, that Oct. 7 would result in “students at Harvard and Columbia calling for a one-state solution—‘from the river to the sea’—not a two-state solution?”

    I am desperate and impatient for a statesman on the world stage that begin to reverse this shit. But I digress.

    The interviewee, historian Simon Sebag Montefiore, offers very little other than to say this will take decades to undue, which is about the only thing he says that I agree with.

    Later,

    It is an “extraordinary moment”: “Gaza and Palestine have become domestic issues in small towns in postindustrial northern Britain and in the poshest universities and the bourgeois activist class.”

    How did we get here? Mr Montefiore thinks he knows. He doesn’t, but reading poor arguments can help bring clarity of thought as well.

  3. Deemed ‘credible’ by an organization of crypto-zoology enthusiasts.
    ==
    There was an anthropologist at Washington State named Grover Krantz who took an interest in ‘Big Foot’. I gather he died in 2002.

  4. This is a must watch video about the “disarmament” of Hamas. Pesach Wolicki shows news reports/documents that show the bait and switch going on between the document (20 point peace plan) and what is being discussed in Cairo.

    President Trump has to reinsert control over the process and bring it back to what was agreed to. The final document must be the starting document– the original Peace Plan.

    What Hamas Just Did in Gaza CANNOT Be Ignored!
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LuwXylQPiWQ&t=417s

  5. One of the lowest points of the Left and their willing dupes, out of very many low points on very many subjects, is the mockery they have made out of the Holocaust, trying to impute to Israel (and Republicans) the evils of the Nazis (and Hitler-Hitler-Hitler!).
    And carefully omitting any mention of the Russian Communist massacres and pogroms.
    The added insult of excusing the barbaric actions of Hamas (and Muslims worldwide) and only criticizing Israel (and Jews) is calculated and venal.

    Name one case where an individual Jew in NYC (or anywhere) attacked anyone, with screwdrivers, machetes, or guns. It hasn’t happened, and won’t, but the time may come when self-defense against the mobs (including the suborned police) is a vital necessity.

    Never forget what actually happened, and who did it to whom.

  6. Ah, the four horsemen of civilization: a lawyer, a politician, a policeman, and a collector.’ – Thomas ‘Doc’ Durant

  7. Win the World Cup, lose yer country…

    (Though to be fair, they essentially lost it when they kept electing and re-electing Socialist/Communist governments…)

    “…We should call the Ceuta border breach an invasion.”—
    https://instapundit.com/814014/

    + Bonus:
    “Spanish Minister Fuels Blame Toward Israel for Ceuta Crisis…”—
    https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2026/07/31/spanish-minister-fuels-blame-toward-israel-ceuta-crisis-israeli-u-n-ambassador-criticizes-madrid/

  8. I hate to say it, TACO. Lucy puts down the football and Trump is running up to it…..yet again. How many times do we have to go through this ridiculous scenario???

    For om, I’ll give it the 96 hours, but my initial reaction is , “Good god, not again!!”

  9. Additional time doesn’t seem to be necessary to understand the recurring pattern in my view, physicsguy, though perhaps I’ll be shown wrong. Our government’s difficulty hasn’t changed since Project Freedom was canceled, and the sort of changes we and our Gulf allies have to make are quite evidently politically and materially impossible for now. The standing array of forces on both sides of the stalemate are mutually incapable of achieving victory without suffering unacceptable losses each to each, so naught but nominally marginal strikes by either side will result (have resulted for going on weeks now).

    What can be done to make that change (for each adversary)?

    The IRI is strategically frozen, I think, though for the time being in a position it can maintain in stalemate. It cannot control its economic deterioration however, so that weakness undergirds the US’s current long play.

    The US, on the other hand, while it can continue economc warfare, can’t remediate the defense of allies’ existential infrastructural vulnerabilities on any near term (say 6 to 9 month) timeframe, with some of these vulnerabilities perhaps never, or at the least until such time as the IRI is overthrown and its offensive capacities ended (missiles and drones). How then to achieve said overthrow without first risking the large attacks just canceled (again, apart from waiting months for some potential economic collapse inside the IRI)?

    The only nominally practical path I can imagine at present is also likely to toll some time to achieve. Namely, a large-scale organization and supply of Iranian internal uprising, aided, possibly, by external forces ingressing on Iranian borderlands, though which borders and by whom exactly I can’t say; beyond, of course, US (and maybe IAF hammering IRGC leadership?) air cover once the fight gets underway.

    But this is stupid sketchy, is it not? I believe Trump would think so.

    So, yeah. The shorter term options suck. And we’re stuck with them. I don’t think we need be surprised.

  10. The DSA went to court and proved itself to be the direct successor organization to the New American Movement
    ==
    Michael Harrington’s Democratic Socialist Organizing Committee merged with the New American Movement at the beginning of 1982 to form DSA. IIRC, DSOC had about 5,300 members at the time and NAM 1,800 members. Don’t recall who was the president of the NAM, but Barbara Ehrenreich was a prominent figure within it. Harrington was never a promoter of identity politics nor was he an antagonist of the freedom to speak and publish.

  11. Montefiore wrote two great books about Stalin, In the Court of the Red Czar and Young Stalin. They are the history of a psychopath.

  12. Anybody here in the vicinity of Spokane? I think commenter J.J. is out there. Stay safe from the fires!

  13. O dear O dear will someone get physicsguy some smelling salts.

    Because you see events are not unfolding according to the imaginary schedule shaped by decades of defeatist, wildly simplistic punditry by people who never fought a war or saw any large undertaking through to its end.

    For the Chattering Classes – those self-regarding, spineless flip-floppers, Marxist stinkers, or Romantic Racists – I tell you the Chattering Classes are growing Im-pay-she-ent with this gauche Trump fellow – who has actually done things, completed projects… and knows a bit more than they about deal making, and is leagues more realistic than they about the Muslim world…

    Let’s review the realities and political limitations again:

    There will be no “lasting peace” with dar-el-Islam until Muzzies reform their own religion and culture.

    For all the talk of his ego, Trump is clear-eyed enough to realize the Abraham Accords are temporary accommodation based on American power and markets

    Trump is basically achieving a policy of conquest and deNazification while keeping his no-boots-on-the-ground promise to his MAGA base. He has done it with deals, deterrence, deception (finally a US administration that answers taqiyya with taqiyya) and targeted attacks. Periodically he brings Pahlevi back into the spotlight to gauge if its time for the next stage in nation building – there will be no Korean/European long-term occupation.

    None of this is the work a loose cannon or an amateur…

    A break with Bibi? Vance is a patsy for negotiating?
    Welcome to Hollywood on the Potomac. Answering taqiyya with taqiyya to identify the remaining cells.

    Because this White House plays 3D chess, all this supports and promotes other initiatives – isolating China and Russia, making it clear to Europe that the US is no longer the global policeman – or at least, not in the way they’ve come to expect.

    Domestically this approach has silenced the cries that he is a warmonger. It plays really well with the general America first agenda, with young white men, with reachable women freaked out by how crazy the Dems have become, and other target constituencies.

    And of course it is timed to influence the elections.

    I’ll take the Trump Administration over the Braying assess of the punditry any day.

  14. Kate, the Spokane fire is along Indian Trail Road. If you search on Facebook Indian Trail fire you’ll see lots of posts of people near there. It’s pretty bad. That’s assuming Facebook will search nationwide.

    This has been a bad year for fires in Eastern Washington. There have been over 1,000 fires so far this year in the state, most in EW. Apparently 2015 was worse.

    Edit: I had seen reports of the Indian trail fire. Apparently it includes other areas as well–Spokane Complex Fire Update (Old Trails, Fairview & Autumn Lane Fires)

  15. Kate:

    J.J. lives in Snohomish county, north of Seattle, IIRC, about 250 miles west of Spokane.

    Prayers for those in Spokane area and for J.J. with his health challenges.

  16. This could mess up my early prediction that the GOP will do OK in mids 2026…

    MAGA exiles including Marjorie Taylor Greene and Tucker Carlson plot to launch NEW political party after waging war on Trump: ‘He betrayed us all’

    Donald Trump’s biggest right-wing critics are plotting their political futures. Pictured are (1) Carolyn Grace Moffa, (2) Brian Glenn, (3) Marjorie Taylor Greene, (4) Tucker Carlson, (5) Joe Kent, (6) Heather Kaiser Kent, (7) Thomas Massie…
    … In her post, Greene wrote: ‘We said no more foreign wars, and we meant it and supported Donald Trump because he made that promise. But he’s betrayed us all.

    Would you support a new MAGA-led political party?
    Yes, I’d consider supporting it .. 25%190 votes
    No, I’d stick with the Republican Party 32% .. 243 votes
    It would depend on the party’s policies and leadership 19% .. 142 votes
    I wouldn’t support either 23% .. 173 votes

    Daily Mail poll and not many votes in…their polls often seem to lean strong right, IMHO, and this leans a tad left @ just 32% strong support. Guess it depends on who’ll turnout for mids vote…??? GOP will do OK unless Trump blows it—sticking with my OK tho.

  17. BenDavid,

    I just wish he would finish them off. I’m not paying attention to the punditry. I do watch events. How many times now have we stopped the kinetic action for an “imminent deal” only to have the Iranians use the time to resupply and then resume their attacks?

    Enough is enough…wipe them out.

  18. OK, new information from Tousi TV, the pause is partly to help arm an internal insurgency through Mossad and the CIA and give time for the insurgency to take hold.

    Interesting.

  19. I just wish he would finish them off. I’m not paying attention to the punditry. I do watch events. How many times now have we stopped the kinetic action for an “imminent deal” only to have the Iranians use the time to resupply and then resume their attacks?

    Enough is enough…wipe them out.

    — physicguy

    Realistically, that’s just not an option for the foreseeable future. Trump is limited by domestic politics and global politics in ways that he simply has no choice but to work within. I was afraid from the start that things would end up going down this way, given the realities of the region.

  20. ”Trump is limited by domestic politics and global politics in ways that he simply has no choice but to work within.”

    Trump is in a box of his own making. We have the power to force open the Strait of Hormuz, but Trump refuses to use it, probably because we would lose a few pilots in the inevitable scrums that would ensue. That’s on him. The entire world would breathe a huge sigh of relief if he opened the Strait, but he can’t because of his insistence on zero American casualties.

    That’s no way to run a war.

  21. David Foster,

    I admit some of my exasperation I brought with me. I’m somewhat familiar with Montefiore, and much of what I don’t like about him bleeds through in the interview even if only indirectly. He is an intellectual of the type whose default position is that Netanyahu can’t be right. He, and his ilk, never say exactly why but they imply that things with the Palestinians would be far different if not for the bumbling Netanyahu. Utter nonsense.

    This leads him to say things like:

    Yet he says there is “a moment of massive opportunity for Israel politically, even now, in the region. But they’ve got to work out how to convert their ability to win tactical military victories into lasting settlements.”

    Gobbledygook. Once again it implies that things would be different if only Israel were “smarter” or something. He doesn’t say. He never says.

    He takes a kernel of interesting thought – western secularism has a moralizing (where does that come from) element – and tries to expand it into something more encompassing, and I think it’s nonsense. The idea that any of this has anything to do with Constantine and the crusades is silly.

    I could go on, but I hate long posts. Sorry for the delayed response, but I spent most of a rare perfect day in Northern Illinois out on my motorcycle.

  22. The Society for the Perpetual Isolation Against Islamic Imperialism, Invasion, and Conquest was just founded.

    I wish.

  23. The Democrats’ Biggest Donors Have Gone on Strike

    George Soros and his son Alex donated more than $400,000 to the Democratic National Committee during the 2018 midterms. They gave more than $1 million during the 2022 midterm election cycle, campaign finance records show.
    This year, they have yet to give the DNC a dollar.
    The Soroses aren’t alone—other high-profile donors have given little or no money to the Democrats’ central committee this year. Reid Hoffman, the co-founder of LinkedIn, wrote steady checks to the DNC for years but during the midterms has yet to give money.
    In a sign of the party’s challenges, a running joke among some donors is that the DNC stands for “Do Not Contribute,” said one Democratic strategist who advises major party donors.
    Months ahead of pivotal midterm elections, the Democratic fundraising apparatus has a big donor problem.
    Some of the problem is the lingering frustration among major donors over how their money was spent in the 2024 presidential election, when nominee Kamala Harris quickly raised more than $1 billion but still lost after a rushed process to nominate her. Others point to the painful divisions in the Democratic Party’s donor base over the war in Gaza, antisemitism in the U.S. and an insurgent group of Democratic socialists.

    Lack of bench in presidential elections is a big negative for Dems…Harris couldn’t win with “more than $1 billion”

  24. Mike Plaiss to David Foster, on Montefiore.

    YES. What you write about him and his lazy blaming type against Netanyahu is too unthinking to be taken seriously, yet it seems to be the pervasive dodge for conventional opinion on the ME.

    It’s both lazy and anti-intellectual.

  25. I think that most Democrats are infected with moral pathologies.
    This morning I said a prayer for God to heal the minds and hearts of TDS sufferers.

  26. Michael Harrington was about as close one gets to a good guy socialist.

    He was Catholic, Jesuit trained, and his first foray into the activist left was Dorothy Day’s Catholic Worker Movement. He was editor of the “Catholic Worker” newspaper for two years.

    Dorothy Day, after a bohemian youth, became an activist working in favor of nonviolence and a Christian concern for the poor. She was well-known in her time.

    RIP. Day is now in the pipeline for becoming a Catholic saint.

    I knew a few Catholic Workers. They were bright, sincere and strong people.

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