Home » We are so sorry, says “leader” (for the moment) of Iran to Gulf States

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<i>We are so sorry</i>, says “leader” (for the moment) of Iran to Gulf States — 34 Comments

  1. So no leadership, just those acting on their own. Will be hard to destroy them, but with drones overhead 24/7, there will be fewer places to hide.

  2. RE: Is British PM Starmer (not to mention the long touted “special relationship” between the UK and the US) finally “finished”?

    Various commentators have given their opinions–over and over again—after each new misstep, disastrous policy decision, or scandal, that British PM Kier Starmer is “finished.”

    But this comment on Starmer and his policies by President Trump, out just a few minutes ago on Truth Social, is the most savage rebuke I think I have ever seen in the diplomatic communications between nations.

    How Starmer survives President Trump’s comment below, I don’t know. *

    “The United Kingdom, our once Great Ally, maybe the Greatest of them all, is finally giving serious thought to sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “That’s OK, Prime Minister Starmer, we don’t need them any longer — But we will remember. We don’t need people that join Wars after we’ve already won!”

    * See https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-tells-starmer-aircraft-carriers-no-longer-needed-mideast-accuses-him-joining-war-us-already-won

  3. The situation with Iran reminds me of the fable, “Who Will Bell the Cat?”
    ________________________________

    The mice met in council to figure out how to defeat the Cat. One suggested a bell for the Cat to warn them.

    Problem: Nobody would volunteer to bell the Cat. It is easy to propose impossible remedies.

    https://fablesofaesop.com/belling-the-cat.html
    ________________________________

    Somehow I remembered the story ending with a brave mouse doing the deed. Happy ending! Maybe that was the Disney version. But the fable ends on the question.

    Today Israel and the US are succeeding in “belling” Iran. But we sure are hearing a lot of mouse excuses.

  4. huxley:

    Yes – other Western nations, and previous US presidents, have been afraid to bell the Iranian cat.

    But one thing I hadn’t thought about previously but read something about the other day is that the Israeli campaigns post 10/7, particularly the defanging of Hezbollah, and the change of regime in Syria (which had long been an Iran ally), were necessary before that cat could be belled. Iran set up Hezbollah in Lebanon and other proxies in order to protect Iran from attack. The idea was that the proxies would go on the warpath if anything happened to Iran at the hands of Israel or the US or the West. “If you attack me, the kid gets it” – “the kid” being Israel. Plus, the unleashing of wider terrorist attacks in the West, which could still happen.

    Post 10/7, Israel took the gloves off somewhat when Biden was president, and did the amazing beeper operation to Hezbollah. Then, only a month after Trump’s election, Iran lost its allies in Syria when the Assad regime was deposed. But then after Trump took office, Israel and the US had the 12-day joint operation against Iran – which was only possible because Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Syrian allies were much weakened. The 12-day air war was a success as far as it went. But it was not enough to force Iran to give up its weapons development (long-range ballistic, nuclear enrichment, etc). So the present attacks were needed. But I don’t think it would have been possible to be so bold without all the other things leading up to it.

  5. Neo: Some of your comments, such as the one at 9:06 above, have a box around them. Some of them, such as the one at 10:46 above, do not.

    Why is that, if you don’t mind my asking? Just curious.

  6. The People of Iran are in for some really interesting times. I pray that they find a path worthy of the moment. Unfortunately, America’s press will be more a hindrance than an ally. And we can count on the Democrat Party to be just like a pebble in a shoe.

  7. James, ditto!
    And well said … But too nice, IMO, regarding the lying MSM and the other Dems.

  8. mkent:

    I believe that when I comment while signed in to the site, a box is automatically placed around my comments. When I comment when I’m not signed in to the site, no box.

  9. Trump’s comment that Iran has not lost for thousands of years to their Middle East neighbors is suspect at best. And that’s putting it mildly…

  10. President Trump has discovered that the American military might has given him seven league boots, and he can tramp the world at will: Greenland, Ukraine, Maduro of Venezuela, drug cartels in Mexico, the Mullahs in Iran, and now Shield of the Americas. And all this after quickly imposing tariffs, then reversing or modifying them. And now we’re going to insure oil shipments through the Straits of Hormuz, and escort them too.

    I worry that we are becoming spread too thin and the dispersed nature of our enemies (think Mexican cartels or IRGC groups) are not stopped by decapitation. And with lone wolf attacks in TX and NY — these are the kinds of things that individuals can mount without anyone actually directing them, just because they believe they are supporting the cause.

    All of it gives the appearance of stirring up a hornets’ nest without careful consideration of what the results could be or what we eventually want to accomplish. I hope I am wrong, because if results are not firmly in place in three years’ time we can rest assured the Democrat’s candidate will emphasize the fact that Trump’s policies were not successful, and if s/he wins, will pull those policies up root and branch.

  11. There are lots of statistics demonstrating that a small percentage of the population causes the majority of crimes and that, furthermore, each one of these perps has usually committed multiple crimes (many of which they are never connected to, caught, or prosecuted for), yet, the obvious and simple solution of focusing the majority of policing on them, arresting, prosecuting, convicting them, and locking them away from society for long sentences, is not taken. Why?

    An interesting comment here that if you observed each one of these perps at 10, you could already see the signs of where they were headed, and that given their proclivities, as each one of them grew older, they would gravitate to any cause which would allow them to act them out.

    If this is true, how many of these kids at ten could you divert into a better, less violent path, and how many were just lost causes, set on a course and not able to be diverted?

    See Musk and other’s comments about this on Instapundit today. *

    * See “Why people profit by not having the switch pressed” at https://instapundit.com/

  12. Peggy Noonan wrote a five column editorial in the weekend WSJ that says wars have uncertain outcomes.

  13. The sort of bombast Trump loves to display is oddly symmetrical to what the mullahs emit. His success, however, requires that his counterparts in Iran not apply a “bombast discount” to his statements, like we learned to do with Baghdad Bob, and now do when we take in the mullah’s more defiant statements.

    My guess is Trump would do *very well* negotiating in a casbah, because the merchants want to arrive eventually at a price. In trying to evince a surrender from the mullahs, and the IRGC, however, he is up against the apocalyptic mentality of the Twelvers, who probably welcome their own destruction. Iran could be facing shattered mosaic holdouts for decades, like the Japanese jungle holdouts from WWII who only surrendered in 1974, only more lethal.

  14. And a few days ago I asked about a story coming out of Lebanon. Here’s an interesting short editorial from the Editorial Board of the WSJ:

    Hezbollah Pays for Doing Iran’s Bidding
    https://archive.fo/GqS6Z

    Outraged at Hezbollah for starting another war on Iran’s behalf, and under pressure to keep it from growing, Lebanon’s government has made several splashy moves. On Monday Prime Minister Nawaf Salam’s cabinet outlawed Hezbollah military activity. On Thursday it took some measures to “prevent any activity by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard in Lebanon.”

    All well and good, but I’m still looking for an answer to the following question. Is the government of Lebanon in any position to actually help Israel solve the Hezbollah problem even if they wanted to?

  15. May I suspect with any justice — while from a position of thorough ignorance of German politics as it exists on the ground in Germany among Germans myself — that some cat writing from BILD (Ha! PICTURE! get the picture?) has his own political motives to insinuate into American political discourse heeps of folderal contra his opponents in Chermany? Eh, mebbe.

    This too, to say nothing of the political motivations of the ever fragrant Wall Street Journal in choosing such an one to publish.

  16. Imagine in March 1945, with the Western Allies across the Rhine and the Russians at the outskirts of Berlin, that Germany declared war on Switzerland and Sweden.

  17. yeah I thought bild would not have the soundest take,

    there is also the story of the Gordian knot, who would cut it,

    Pesekhian was a pawn put up to assuage the more gullible westerners, but certainly Israel isn’t fooled,

    how solid is the chain of command in the irgc, thousands of words, have not touched on it,

    Starmer would have to lose considerable members of parliament, to trigger a party challenge, and from whom, Reeves Mahsoud, Lammy, none have any real following for now,

    the gulf states from oman to bahrain have certainly declared themselves as not neutral, that includes the Kingdom, of Saudi Arabia, Jordan beeing farther west,

    the missile against Cyprus, seems to suggest they have not limited their targets,

    some states like bahrain with their shia majority seem more vulnerable, azerbaijan to the North is in a similar position,

  18. Thanks much, miguel.
    Phenomenal link.

    Phew….
    – – – – – – – – – – –
    “…because the merchants want to arrive eventually at a price….”

    Jim, that’s an interesting statement…simply because that’s the way it usually is…and the way it ought to be.

    But what if—in certain cases—it’s simply NOT true?
    – – – – – – – – – – –
    Mike, the answer to that question is, “NO”.
    However, Israel might make Hezbullah’s position untenable, which might enable the Lebanese Army actually do something.
    Did I say “might”?
    Actually, I said it twice.
    The first time, it should have been WILL. Israel’s not going to stop this time, not like they did last year. In case I’m not clear, this time they’ll finish the job.
    As for the second “might”, that was just rhetorical: the Lebanese Army will do nothing since they are owned by Hezbullah. If anything, they’ll help Hezbullah withstand Israel. Best case scenario? They’ll sit this one out.

    Unfortunately, with Hezbullah essentially gone, the Lebanese might exploit the opportunity to decimate the Lebanese Shia.
    And/or the new “Syrian” “Government” might just convince itself that it can take over Lebanon or parts of it, thereof….

    Interesting times!

  19. there is something to the effect, that one of the Taliban chieftain Jalal Haqquani, said about they have all the time, because Western media and govt is fickle and impatient, and prone to neurosis, where those rivals, are focused in their objectives,

    one trope that mark steyn noted, at the outset of the first expedition of the war on terror, was
    ‘the brutal afghan winter’ as if the weather was the problem instead of the resoluteness of the adversaries, not to mention, the poor administration that the successor govt would carry out,

    I think I’ve mentioned not only Karzai in this sense, but the likes of Akhunzada and his
    Kandahar strike force, a necessary evil that happened in lieu of more durable institutions,

  20. he was ultimately right, a set of circumstances led us to abandon the successor govt to Karzai and the remnant of forces rather quickly evaporated,

    when moral panic sets in with certain figures, so they abandon Mubarak and Bin Ali and Gaddafi to cite three examples in the Arab spring, as it had been in Central America in the 70s,

    regardless of the particular faults of anyo one of these leaders

  21. Here’s my prediction for Neo and the Neo community.

    The war against the current Iranian regime will be over before April 1, 2026.

    Cornhead has spoken!

  22. Re: Missile Cities

    I was curious about Iran’s ballistic missiles. I discovered they have “missile cities” in which large tunnel systems are dug as much as 500 meters into the ground to house vast arrays of weapons and launchers.

    We know about these “cities” not just from intelligence, but because the Iranians have posted videos touring the tunnels:
    _________________________________

    Iran shows off ‘missile city’
    —But has it just exposed a critical weakness to the US and Israel?

    Yet, while the video was intended as a show of power, it also exposed a glaring weakness. Analysts quickly pointed out that the munitions were stored in vast, open tunnels without blast doors or fortified barriers. This layout, they warned, could prove catastrophic in the event of an attack, triggering devastating chain explosions inside the base.

    https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/iran-shows-off-missile-citybut-has-it-just-exposed-a-critical-weakness-to-the-us-and-israel/articleshow/119595579.cms
    _________________________________

    Unlike the Gaza tunnels these are big, beautiful tunnels, and clean. From what I’ve heard we know the entrances and the B1 bombers have hit them hard — with any luck igniting all the weapons stored within.

  23. huxley:

    The video looked like AI tunnels to me. No blast doors looks sketchy, if not criminally stupid; things leak and accidents happen (sleepy forklift driver for example), and then kaboom? Not a single human except the two muckey mucks; no workers, guards, maintainers. No sign of a single grease stain or tire mark on the concrete. Surprisingly well lit but no light fixtures that I noticed. Didn’t look industrial/military to me.

    Sketchy. Fake footage IMO.

  24. om:

    That particular tunnel system was supposed to be brand-new:
    _____________________________________

    On 26 March 2025, Iranian media released a video showing Iranian Armed Forces Chief of Staff General Mohammad Bagheri and Amir Ali Hajizadeh, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Aerospace Force commander, inspecting an allegedly new massive underground missile base, dubbed a “Missile City” by Iran. In the video, the two IRGC commanders are seen riding through extensive tunnel systems lined with vehicles loaded with advanced weaponry and missiles, including the liquid fuel propelled Ghadr-H and Emad missiles as well as the solid fuel propelled Khaibar Shekan, Sejil, and Haj Qassem ballistic missiles in addition to Paveh Land Attack Cruise Missiles. The video was released after the US issued a two month ultimatum demanding that Iran abandon its nuclear aspirations and missile program.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_underground_missile_bases
    _____________________________________

    FWIW it didn’t look AI to me. None of the sources I’ve encountered question the authenticity.

  25. huxley:

    I looked at it again, and did see the light fixtures on the walls, and one or two grease stains.

    Funny I didn’t see a single fire extinguisher, fire hose reels, or spinkler fire suppression hardware, nor obvious alarm boxes, spill kits, PPE stations (self rescue mask/respirator stations). The ventilation ducts (round) seem to be dropped from the ceiling with the standard threaded rod/steel Unistrut configuration.

    Liquid fueled rockets in an underground facility, good thing those never develop leaks nor get punctured inadvertently (see USAF Titan missile silo explosion from a dropped wrench, armed ICBM with a warhead attached).

    AI generated IMO.

  26. Tunnels?
    Missile storage?
    Missile numbers?

    This fellow sheds some very bright light:

    “Everyone is counting Iran’s missiles. They are counting the wrong thing.
    “The number that determines the outcome of this war is not 2,000 or 2,500 or 3,000. Those are pre-war missile inventory estimates and they are now largely irrelevant. The number that determines the outcome is the one that moved from 504 to 29 in five days….”—
    https://mobile.twitter.com/shanaka86/status/2029746767722606946

    “The B-2 is not a bomber. It is a key. And there is only one thing on earth it was built to unlock….”—
    https://t.co/cgJ7yHJLwf

    H/T Blazingcatfur blog.

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