And is the House in play?
The answer is “maybe, but probably not.”
Very worrisome, though—except to the Burn It Down crowd, and of course the Democrats.
The New Neo
A blog about political change, among other things
The answer is “maybe, but probably not.”
Very worrisome, though—except to the Burn It Down crowd, and of course the Democrats.
Thankfully, the voters seem to realize their mistake and are splitting the vote. If Hillary is president (as seems inevitable now), control of the Senate is vital.
It will be the difference between an ultra-leftist SCOTUS nominee and someone more moderate.
If the House should go Democrat, to quote Madame Hillary, “what difference does it make?” It turned Republican six years ago, thanks to the Tea Party, and what did it do to oppose Obama?
Cap’n Rusty:
Plenty.
I’ve written several posts on it. I’m in a big hurry now and don’t have time to find them. Please do your homework, and stop repeating false memes.
House looks to be safer than the Senate. However, per RCP, they both seem to indicate likely voters might be splitting their vote – a very good thing, indeed.
They just need to show up to the polls.
The GOP didn’t pass Obamacare, nor did they pass Gang of Eight (because it was stopped by principled CONSERVATIVES).
If you think there’s no difference between a GOP-controlled Congress and a Dem-controlled one, you haven’t been paying attention.
If Trump supporters liked it when the Gang of Eight was killed, maybe they should be supporting those who killed it, and sending them reinforcements.
Neo:
“the Burn It Down crowd, and of course the Democrats.”
Both are so alike in method and dys-civic themes, the difference is blurred.
A factor not noted by the article is that the Democrats have been successful getting compliant federal judges to re-map congressional districts, eliminate voter ID laws, and change voter registration rules. Here is a recent Democrat in black robe ruling extending voter registration time in Florida:
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article107693662.html
The judge is an Obama appointee.
There is also the felon vote and the illegal migrant vote and the multiple vote efforts. Obama has been changing the electorate with great effect. We may be headed for one party rule which is the case already in most big cities. That’s the objective. I believe Churchill said the advantage of socialism is it spreads misery evenly.
Now that we don’t teach history, people won’t see it coming. Once you enter that system there is no easy exit.
4-way RCP average shows clinton with 5.5% lead – not only is trump declining, but Johnson and stein are declining as well (from trump’s Sep 26 peak).
Looks like the third party voters are slowly swinging to clinton, as she is now +6.3% in the RCP 4-way, or the record undecideds are overwhelmingly deciding clinton.
Where’s physicsguy and his Rsquared “trend”?
Not so fun to roll out those numbers anymore.
As mentioned before, those trends were an invalid use of statistical modeling.
Spoke too soon, latest update is +7.1 on the 4-way.
Big Maq:
If Trump is destined to lose, I would rather he lose by a huge margin than a small one. Much rather.
And I would rather the GOP retain Congress, which would not only give them some tools to stop Hillary (if they can bring themselves to use them), but would also make it clear that Trump didn’t lose because people are against the right.