[Scroll down to see UPDATE below.]
Slowly, with exquisitely perfect timing, the news reveals itself, in order to give strength to the cries to delay the vote on Kavanaugh. The entire idea is to delay it long enough to get the thing to build—perhaps with more suddenly-surfaced accusers who were in the general right place at the general right time and have the right political leanings, with fuzzy stories that skip certain important details so they cannot be fact-checked or disproved.
There is nothing surprising about any of this; it’s the scorched earth policy I wrote about yesterday, and it will not end because it has worked in the past. I don’t know if it will work this time, but it is part of a dangerous and pernicious trend that’s been going on for a long time but is getting worse.
The more the Senate GOP caves to this, the more it will happen.
I may write about this tomorrow, as well; it’s Sunday, and I like to take Sunday off. But the breaking of the accuser’s identity and story moved me to write a brief post just to say a couple of things.
The first is to reiterate that there are reasons—very very good reasons—for the rules of evidence in our legal system, and for statutes of limitations. The longer the time between a supposed offense and the accusation, the more impossible it is for the accuser (or the accused) to remember correctly, and the more other memories and motivations can intervene. And that’s assuming good faith on the part of the accuser, because memory is very mutable even when someone is making a bona fide effort to remember correctly. There’s no reason to assume good faith here, of course, but even with it, a memory this old has no probative value. And a memory that surfaces in a therapist’s office is especially suspect.
The vagueness of the details—the accuser doesn’t know when or where this supposedly happened, except it was in high school at some get-together—makes it even more suspect. It also makes it impossible—literally impossible—for the accused to refute.
And that’s the beauty and the value of it, to the left.
Long-time readers here know I’ve been skeptical of all such accusations. I don’t care who makes them and I don’t care whether they are made towards people I agree with politically or people I disagree with politically.
If this sort of thing can hurt Kavanaugh, or anyone else, then no man is safe. There is always someone who can come out of the woodwork and say that something like this happened. Always. And it cannot be refuted.
And to my fellow women who disagree, or don’t care, think again. Some day it may be your son, your husband, your friend who is accused. And you know what else? Some day it may be women who are accused. Don’t think you’re safe, either.
[ADDENDUM: See also this as well as this.]
UPDATE 10:34 PM:
Jeff Flake is saying the following:
Flake (R-Ariz.) said he needs to hear more about the allegations raised publicly by Christine Blasey Ford on Sunday in a Washington Post article, and said other Republicans share his view. Flake is one of 11 Republicans on the narrowly divided panel and without his support, the committee cannot advance his nomination. However, GOP leaders could try to bring Kavanaugh‘s nomination directly to the Senate floor.
“If they push forward without any attempt with hearing what she’s had to say, I’m not comfortable voting yes,” Flake said. “We need to hear from her. And I don’t think I’m alone in this.”
Asked if the committee vote should be delayed to hear out Ford, Corker replied: “I think that would be best for all involved, including the nominee. If she does want to be heard, she should do so promptly”…
Flake declined to address whether Kavanaugh should withdraw his nomination: “I’m not responding to that question at all.” The retiring Arizona Republican has long been a thorn in the side of President Donald Trump, refusing to support his campaign in 2016 and often critiquing his policies and rhetoric. In return, Trump has repeatedly mocked Flake.
It’s not clear if this is will end up being a tempest in a teapot and the vote will ultimately go forward, or even whether Kavanaugh’s accuser wants to testify and would do so if given the opportunity, or how quickly that could be arranged.
But it’s pretty clear to me that she had hoped to derail Kavanaugh and at the same time remain anonymous. So the first step was taken, Feinstein dropped the news, and it didn’t have the desired effect. It wasn’t taken seriously enough by the Republicans, and it was the Republicans whose cooperation was necessary if the goal of delay and maybe even jettisoning the whole process was going to be reached.
Therefore it was decided that the accuser had to go public. That’s where we’re at now.
If Flake et al decide to stop Kavanaugh’s confirmation, mission accomplished by the left. If not, the ante will have to be upped. New accusers will come forward—or rather, they will be brought forward.