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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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The ups and downs of the fight against blog spam

The New Neo Posted on April 19, 2018 by neoApril 19, 2018

I’m always interested in the spam cycles on the blog—which I assume merely reflect the spam cycles on WordPress and its anti-spam plugins. By “spam-cycles” I don’t mean anything to do with email, I’m taking about the bots (or whatever they’re called) that plague the comments sections of blogs. They’re programmed into being by people, I assume, but then they’re automatically generated in enormous numbers and come with enormous frequency. They will completely take over comments if there are no defenses in place against them.

Their purpose is to increase the rankings of the sites that send them, in line with the Google algorithms that determine these things. They probably have other purposes too, but I forget what they are and I don’t feel like investing the time to look it up right now. There was a period when this blog got many thousands per day that were captured in the spam filter—and I mean something like ten thousand or so per day, which I would need to delete two or three times a day or they would start to gum up the works.

Then quite suddenly the volume went down to hundreds per day. Apparently, WordPress and the plugins (sounds like a 50s rock group) was making headway against them. That lasted for quite some time, maybe a year.

Then it got even better. Maybe twenty a day, and I could go for ages without even needing to clear the spam file.

And then, just as suddenly, about two days ago the number zoomed up to close to a thousand a day. This is still very manageable—after all, the vast majority never see the light of day, and it’s easy and only takes a moment to get rid of the whole folder each day. But I noticed that the spam is almost all coming from one particular site that specializes in proxy IP numbers.

It seems that this one site—like a rogue virus—has managed to find a way to elude whatever defenses WordPress and the WordPress plugins have set up so far, defenses that are adequate to almost all the other viruses. I look forward to seeing how long it takes WordPress to marshal its defenses again and defeat (temporarily) the spambot.

Posted in Blogging and bloggers | 2 Replies

Southwest Flight 1380

The New Neo Posted on April 18, 2018 by neoApril 18, 2018

Heroic passengers, heroic pilot. Unfortunately, one woman died.

“There’s a ring around the engine that’s meant to contain the engine pieces when this happens,” said John Goglia, a former NTSB member. “In this case it didn’t. That’s going to be a big focal point for the NTSB ”” why didn’t (the ring) do its job?”

UPDATE: For more on the pilot, and for interviews with passengers, go here.

Posted in Disaster | 21 Replies

More on the Cohen investigation from Andrew C. McCarthy

The New Neo Posted on April 18, 2018 by neoApril 18, 2018

I previously linked to Andrew McCarthy’s take on the Cohen searches, and I added this:

For 20 years McCarthy worked as a prosecutor for the Southern District of New York, which is the office involved here, and so he’s inclined to give them the benefit of the doubt and assume there probably was a serious crime they were investigating that would justify the search. I’m not at all convinced, but I respect McCarthy enough to point out his article.

Now McCarthy has written another article on what might be going on with the Cohen case, and as usual he has a very interesting and somewhat unique perspective. The gist of what he says is that the seizure of Cohen’s attorney-client communications was in connection with an already-ongoing investigation into his business dealings that apparently had little to do with his connection to Trump. Therefore, McCarthy continues to believe there’s a “there” there, but that the “there” may not involve Trump at all:

…[P]rosecutors say Cohen has been under investigation for months. The probe involves a range of crimes, “many of which have nothing to do with his work as an attorney, but rather relate to Cohen’s own business dealings,” the government explained.

Consequently, even before the raids, the court authorized the FBI and prosecutors to search various email accounts maintained by Cohen. While the government reports that “zero emails were exchanged [by Cohen] with President Trump,” the existence of this monitoring means prosecutors long ago had to implement procedures to safeguard the A-C privilege.

However, (and this is me talking, not McCarthy) does anyone actually think that the investigation of Cohen is some sort of coincidence unrelated to Trump? Of course not. One of the main messages of his prosecution appears to be that it’s dangerous to work for Trump, and I believe this message is very intentional in nature. An investigation of Cohen is meant to have what in the law biz is called “a chilling effect” on the desire to associate with or assist Trump, and whether or not Cohen is ever found guilty of a crime is secondary to that goal, in my opinion.

McCarthy has also said he believes that the SDNY (the office involved in the prosecution, for which McCarthy previously worked for many years) is on the up and up and would not prosecute Cohen for political reasons. As I wrote earlier, I’m not at all convinced of that. But now McCarthy himself has pointed out a problem with his earlier theory:

The worst aspect of yesterday’s hearing was the revelation that Cohen claims Sean Hannity as one of his clients. I say this as a proud SDNY alum who has assured people that the Cohen investigation is surely not political, and as a longtime admirer of Kimba Wood, who is a very solid federal judge…

When, for whatever reason, these matters become relevant to a criminal investigation, the common practice is for prosecutors to issue a grand-jury subpoena, directing the lawyer to identify clients or fee arrangements. Grand-jury proceedings are secret. In this manner, the government can proceed with its investigation but the lawyer’s clients are not publicly embarrassed or slimed with innuendo. Moreover, the client can be given notice and an opportunity to be heard by the court, in order to make any argument he may have against being identified, particularly to the public…

Moreover, the A-C privilege belongs to the client, not the attorney. The law is supposed to protect the client, not indulge the lawyer. While the press has made this seem nefarious, lawyers ”” and especially lawyers who’ve gotten crosswise with the law ”” never want to reveal the identities of their clients…

…[I]t is difficult to see what happened in court as anything other than a gratuitous shot at Hannity, which Trump partisans will naturally take as a sign that the investigation is political. The unnecessary disclosure put Hannity in the position of having to explain himself publicly, to assure people that he is not involved in embarrassing or criminal episodes for which he needed to retain a “fixer.” (In fact, he explains that he and Cohen may have had informal legal discussions but never a formal A-C relationship.)

I don’t think the idea that this is “a sign that the investigation is political” is limited to “Trump partisans.” I think it’s obvious that it is political.

As for Kimba Wood, I can’t say I’ve followed her judicial career since the 90s when she was nominated for AG by Bill Clinton and had to withdraw because of repercussions from what was known as Nannygate, even though Wood herself had done nothing illegal. It could be argued that her nomination by Clinton constitutes a conflict of interest, but I think it’s a very weak argument. If that were the case, all federal judges would be unable to rule on any case that affected the person who nominated them, or that person’s rivals. That would bring the system to a grinding halt, and although that’s what some people would like, it ain’t gonna happen.

Posted in Law, Politics, Trump | 15 Replies

Sweden has a problem

The New Neo Posted on April 18, 2018 by neoApril 18, 2018

Actually, two problems.

One is a violence problem, and one is denial about that problem:

In response, the Swedish government has launched an international campaign for “the image of Sweden” playing down the rise in crime, both in its media strategy and through tax-funded PR campaigns. During a visit to the White House in March, Sweden’s Prime Minister Stefan Lé¶fven admitted that his country has problems with crime and specifically shootings, but denied the existence of no-go zones. Sweden’s education minister, Gustav Fridolin, traveled to Hungary last week with the same message.

But the reality is different for those on the ground: The head of the paramedics’ union Ambulansfé¶rbundet, Gordon Grattidge, and his predecessor Henrik Johansson recently told me in an interview that some neighborhoods are definitely no-go for ambulance drivers ”” at least without police protection.

Since crime is intimately linked to the country’s failure to integrate its immigrants, the rise in violence is a sensitive subject. When the Swedish government and opposition refer to the country as a “humanitarian superpower” because it opened its doors to more immigrants per capita during the migrant crisis than any other EU country, they mean it. This has resulted in some impressive contortions.

The Swedes have become somewhat desensitized to stories of shootings in that country, although such incidents used to be very rare. There’s a general election coming up in September, and it will be interesting to see if there is a voter backlash against the status quo, as there has been in other portions of Europe.

Posted in Immigration, Violence | 47 Replies

The computer gremlins have a sense of humor

The New Neo Posted on April 17, 2018 by neoApril 17, 2018

In the post telling you about my TurboTax woes, I mentioned that I ended up doing my taxes as I always have so far—by hand.

And today I mailed them off, with hours to spare. Way ahead of time, by my definition.

Now I see this story:

And they say procrastination isn’t good. A tax reprieve till 9999 sounds pretty darn good, though, doesn’t it? And that’s just in the heading, the part in red. In the body of the message, we see that we also get to time travel to the past.

The online filers stymied by the problem got an extra day’s grace. Everything is in the best of hands.

A top I.R.S. official warned Congress in October that a “catastrophic” system failure was just a matter of time.

More people are filing online than ever before, even though I’m not one of them.

Posted in Uncategorized | 6 Replies

Barbara Bush dies at 92

The New Neo Posted on April 17, 2018 by neoApril 17, 2018

I remember her as a forthright, no-nonsense woman who felt like a breath of fresh air as First Lady—and I was a Democrat back then.

And what a life!

Married at 19 to George Bush, she’d met him at 16 and he was the first man she ever kissed. “When I tell my children that, they just about throw up.”

That’s what I mean by “forthright.”

A stable marriage for 73 years, five surviving children (a sixth died as a child), 17 grandchildren, seven great-grandchildren, wife to one president and mother to another.

Not a bad run.

RIP, Barbara Bush.

Posted in People of interest | 10 Replies

Did the Neil Gorsuch vote on an immigration case constitute a betrayal of the right?

The New Neo Posted on April 17, 2018 by neoApril 17, 2018

The short answer is no:

It’s a pretty defensible vote.

The law says you can be deported for any “aggravated felony.” One category of “aggravated felony” is “a crime of violence.”

The man the government sought to deport was convicted for burglary, twice.

Is burglary a “crime of violence”?

There is some argument one could make, if one wanted, that burglary is a “crime of violence.” Historically, it was defined as breaking into a home at night, and treated more severely than other breaking and entry crimes, such as robbing a business or warehouse. That’s because when you’re breaking into a home at night, the odds that there will be law-abiding people present is high, and therefore the chance of violent conflict similarly high.

But I don’t think most burglary statutes now require the dwelling in question to be a “home,” and I don’t think the “night” part is required often, either…

Gorsuch voted in favor of the notion that the law should be reasonably clear and specific enough to alert the reasonably-intelligent average citizen what the law is and what the consequences of breaking it are…

Though that applies to citizens, generally such principles apply to non-citizens too.

AllahPundit points out that the decision relies heavily on a previous ruling striking down a similarly-vague criminal statute (this one, regarding deportation, is civil in nature), a decision written by Antonin Scalia.

I guess people can argue about this either way, but I don’t think anyone should take this as a sign that Gorsuch is secretly one of them. Antonin Scalia would often write surprisingly (surprisingly, for the unschooled) decisions favoring criminals, because he was a stickler about laws saying what they mean and meaning what they say, without lots of room for imagineering by ambitious prosecutors. (He was also pretty adamant on the Constitution similarly meaning what it said, you may have heard.)

I believe that this vote by Gorsuch is in that vein, and I can see how a conservative could vote the way he voted.

But certain NeverTrumpers have taken this as a way to point out what folly it was to elect Trump. It goes like this:

But Gorsuch!

heheheheheh

— John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) April 17, 2018

That tweet is still another example of my contention that Twitter tends to bring out the worst in people. There are many things wrong with that tweet, even if you ignore its puerile nature.

The first is the aforementioned point: the vote by Gorsuch is not necessarily a going-over to the liberal side, although he ended up voting with them. People from different camps can agree on a particular point without being joined at the hip ideologically, or even in agreement ideologically.

The second is that one vote does not tell you whether a person was a good pick or a bad pick for SCOTUS justice. I doubt there’s a justice—even the most reliably conservative ones over time—who has not on some occasion, for idiosyncratic reasons, voted differently than the conservative block. Justices on each side (even the liberal one) are not a joined-at-the-hip phalanx in all instances, although it sometimes seems that way (and although some people would like it to be that way).

The third is that even if Gorsuch ends up somewhat more liberal than originally thought (and I don’t think he will, actually), it would not mean that Hillary Clinton’s pick would have been the same or better rather than worse. Her pick would almost certainly have been far far worse.

The fourth is similar to the third—but it posits that, instead of a Hillary Clinton win, another one of the Republican candidates had won the nomination instead of Trump and had then gone on to beat Hillary. If we had a President Rubio, for example, and he got to appoint a SCOTUS justice, would that person have been a better justice than Gorsuch? I see no reason whatsoever to think so.

Posted in Immigration, Law, Politics | 15 Replies

Will North and South Korea sign a peace treaty?

The New Neo Posted on April 17, 2018 by neoApril 17, 2018

Maybe.

And will this actually mean anything in the long run?

I doubt it.

But it’s certainly interesting.

Posted in War and Peace | 5 Replies

For fun

The New Neo Posted on April 17, 2018 by neoApril 17, 2018

How to walk downstairs with some zip in your step, by James Cagney (aka George M. Cohan):

As a child, I loved that scene. In particular, I liked the fact that it builds to a peak and then calms down again.

Posted in Dance, Movies | 11 Replies

Is this the end of the FBI?

The New Neo Posted on April 17, 2018 by neoApril 17, 2018

I certainly don’t think this is the end of the FBI.

One of the problems with the last ten or so (or more) years is that Americans are somewhat like the frog that’s boiled so slowly it doesn’t notice [see NOTE below], in terms of federal government heavy-handedness, power, and lack of integrity. Things that I believe would have shocked the adults of my youth, or even the adults of my mid-adulthood, invoke shrugs, yawns, and/or excuses today among way too many people.

It doesn’t seem—at last, according to this report—that agency insiders are happy with Comey’s performance so far. Aside from Comey’s off-putting air of self-righteous superiority, he has the distinction of being disliked by a fair number Hillary supporters as well as Trump supporters (probably the only way in which he is non-partisan). The Hillary supporters think he caused her to lose the election, and the Trump supporters’ reasons are quite obvious.

Here’s a sampler:

“Good lord, what a self-serving self-centered jackass,” the official said. “True to form he thinks he’s the smartest guy around.”

A current FBI official said it was bizarre that Comey seemed so pleased with the whole episode. “It’s how happy he looked on TV while cashing in on the biggest mistake in history. His mistake,” they said. “Jim Comey made that mistake. We all just wonder what could have been and what we could’ve done to change it.”

I’m assuming that last remark about “the biggest mistake in history” is from a Hillary supporter, although it’s hard to know for sure. My guess, though, is that Comey is smiling for several reasons. The first is that the spotlight is on him, where he wants it. The second is that his book will probably make a considerable amount of money. The third is that he is smug about being responsible—through his post-firing leak that started it all—for the ongoing Mueller investigation, which he dearly hopes will ultimately trap and destroy his nemesis, Donald Trump.

What’s not to smile about?

An additional source, who works frequently with the FBI, said they had refused to watch the extended cut of the interview altogether. “Didn’t watch it””I don’t care, he’s basically a scumbag. I don’t know how they’re letting him write a book in the middle of an investigation that he’s part of. I wonder if he had his book cleared by the intelligence community? He’s supposed to but I bet he didn’t.”

The former FBI director was fired by President Trump on May 9, 2017. Comey responded by leaking his memos about conversations with Trump to The New York Times, which kick-started the special counsel investigation led by Comey’s predecessor, Robert Mueller…

FBI sources who did not support Comey’s decision to announce the reopening of the Clinton email investigation still stood by him at the time and were outraged at the way in which Trump fired the director. He learned of his dismissal after reading it on a television screen inside the Los Angeles FBI building where he was speaking to agents.

Those same current and former FBI agents and officials””and others””did not respond well to Comey’s interview Sunday night.

Support for Comey has dwindled as those who worked closely with him and initially supported him began to see his book and his public interactions””including Twitter selfies in Iowa””as self-serving and gauche, four sources said.

Their anger has grown in recent months as agents have come to see Comey as the reason for the “current shitshow”¦ that is the Trump presidency,” one former official, who voted for Trump, explained.

Then again, what are all these FBI agents doing talking to the reporters at the Daily Beast? Luckily, it’s not about classified information, but still.

[NOTE: Modern scientific sources report that the alleged phenomenon is not real. In 1995, Professor Douglas Melton, of the Harvard University Biology department, said, “If you put a frog in boiling water, it won’t jump out. It will die. If you put it in cold water, it will jump before it gets hot””they don’t sit still for you.” Dr. George R. Zug, curator of reptiles and amphibians at the National Museum of Natural History, also rejected the suggestion, saying that “If a frog had a means of getting out, it certainly would get out.”

In 2002 Dr. Victor H. Hutchison, Professor Emeritus of Zoology at the University of Oklahoma, with a research interest in thermal relations of amphibians, said that “The legend is entirely incorrect!” He described how a critical thermal maximum for many frog species has been determined by contemporary research experiments: as the water is heated by about 2 °F, or 1.1 °C, per minute, the frog becomes increasingly active as it tries to escape, and eventually jumps out if the container allows it.]

Posted in Law, Politics | 21 Replies

Aha! It had to happen—the real Onion weighs in on Comey

The New Neo Posted on April 16, 2018 by neoApril 16, 2018

Just a few hours ago I wrote about some of the news du jour as being too much like the Onion for comfort. One of those news items was Comey’s interviews and book, about which I said:

Oh, how the mighty have fallen””and this latest fall from grace was accomplished by Comey’s very own hand, in the writing of his very own book (assuming it wasn’t ghostwritten; one never knows)…

The style reminds me of nothing more or less than a women’s romance novel; I half expect for someone’s bodice to be ripped off by the end of the chapter.

But when I wrote that, I didn’t realize that the Onion had already spoken earlier today. It’s just a photo and a headline, but it goes like this:

Comey: ”˜What Can I Say, I’m Just A Catty Bitch From New Jersey And I Live For Drama’

And I see that Althouse wrote:

I feel like I’m reading about a 20-year-old female fictional character. Is this what the inside of Comey’s head looks like or is this some psychological narrative concocted, with ghostwriting help, for the American reading public?

Althouse’s entire post is worth reading, by the way, if you really want to get inside the mind of James Comey.

Posted in People of interest | 17 Replies

The Not-The-Onion news of the day

The New Neo Posted on April 16, 2018 by neoApril 16, 2018

Look, I take my humor wherever I can find it these days.

Even if it’s in the real, live, very unfake news. And even if that unfake news sounds like the sort of fake news that used to air only in the satirical Onion.

But this Chick-fil-A-as-creepy-alien-invader-of-NY story doesn’t seem to contain all that much that’s tongue-in-cheek. What is Chick-fil-A’s horrible failing, according to the New Yorker article? Seems to be that the owners are Christians and don’t hide that fact, and that although they treat gay people just fine, they sometimes donate to causes that are against gay marriage for religious reasons.

Oh, and then there is their ad campaign, which seems to feature the joke (it’s a joke folks, so lighten up!) of cows saying to eat more chicken:

… [Chick-fil-A] franchises still hold an annual Cow Appreciation Day, offering free food to anyone dressed as a Cow. Employees dance around in Cow suits…They’ve been inducted into the Madison Avenue Walk of Fame, and their Facebook following is approaching seven figures. Stan Richards, who heads the ad agency that created the Cows, the Richards Group, likened them to “a guerrilla insurgency” in his book, “The Peaceable Kingdom”: “One consumer wrote to tell us the campaign was so effective that every time he sees a field of cows he thinks of chicken. We co-opted an entire species.”

It’s worth asking why Americans fell in love with an ad in which one farm animal begs us to kill another in its place. Most restaurants take pains to distance themselves from the brutalities of the slaughterhouse; Chick-fil-A invites us to go along with the Cows’ Schadenfreude.

The essay begins with this:

New York has taken to Chick-fil-A. One of the Manhattan locations estimates that it sells a sandwich every six seconds, and the company has announced plans to open as many as a dozen more storefronts in the city. And yet the brand’s arrival here feels like an infiltration, in no small part because of its pervasive Christian traditionalism. Its headquarters, in Atlanta, are adorned with Bible verses and a statue of Jesus washing a disciple’s feet. Its stores close on Sundays. Its C.E.O., Dan Cathy, has been accused of bigotry for using the company’s charitable wing to fund anti-gay causes, including groups that oppose same-sex marriage. “We’re inviting God’s judgment on our nation,” he once said, “when we shake our fist at him and say, ”˜We know better than you as to what constitutes a marriage.’ ” The company has since reaffirmed its intention to “treat every person with honor, dignity and respect,” but it has quietly continued to donate to anti-L.G.B.T. groups. When the first stand-alone New York location opened, in 2015, a throng of protesters appeared. When a location opened in a Queens mall, in 2016, Mayor Bill de Blasio proposed a boycott. No such controversy greeted the opening of this newest outpost. Chick-fil-A’s success here is a marketing coup. Its expansion raises questions about what we expect from our fast food, and to what extent a corporation can join a community.

One response:

https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/984888495230644225

The other story about which I had some trouble initially telling satire from reality involves James Comey. Oh, how the mighty have fallen—and this latest fall from grace was accomplished by Comey’s very own hand, in the writing of his very own book (assuming it wasn’t ghostwritten; one never knows).

But I had to look twice to understand that this excerpt from Comey’s book was not a spoof (please also scroll down here and read the responses):

Truly can't tell the parodies from the real reports on Comey. I think this is real, even though it appeared in Rolling Stone. https://t.co/AGPkP3rtZr pic.twitter.com/jp0n56pV0S

— Mollie (@MZHemingway) April 16, 2018

I really hardly know what to say about this, except that it’s another example of giving people enough rope. When Trump supposedly called Comey a nutjob, it sounded like enormous hyperbole. But as time goes on and we see more of Comey unplugged, it appears that if not a nutjob then he’s certainly eccentrically and exaggeratedly full of himself (in that department he makes even Trump look comparatively modest).

In addition to the revelation about the all-important blue shirt, there’s this, which is an all-too-real excerpt from Comey’s book (which I haven’t read and probably never will read):

[Trump’s] face appeared slightly orange ”¦ with bright white half-moons under his eyes where I assumed he placed small tanning goggles, and impressively coifed, bright blond hair, which upon close inspection looked to be all his. ”¦ As he extended his hand,” Comey adds, “I made a mental note to check its size. It was smaller than mine, but did not seem unusually so.”

The style reminds me of nothing more or less than a women’s romance novel; I half expect for someone’s bodice to be ripped off by the end of the chapter. It’s hard to spoof something that already sounds satirical, but Alexandra Petri gave it a go in the WaPo:

I have been called a human humblebrag. I certainly couldn’t speak to the truth of that statement, except to say that where I come from, we don’t like bullies and their mean words. Bullies are mean and small, not like myself (I stand 6-foot-8, with a head of lush dark hair and eyes that pierce into the souls of everyone I encounter, like the eyes of a hawk who has read Reinhold Niebuhr (I wrote my thesis on Reinhold Niebuhr.)).

I would venture to say that I am the protagonist of my own life and perhaps the lives of many others. Certainly, no one else has as yet stood up to take on this grave responsibility, and it was my honor to rise to this challenge. It is a little embarrassing to describe myself: I stand, as mentioned, about 6-foot-8, like an oak with a firm sense of right and wrong and large, capacious hands. When I first seized Donald Trump’s, I took a mental note (and later, a physical note; I maintain scrupulous contemporaneous notes) that they had vanished into mine, like a dormouse curled up inside an oven mitt. But most hands do that when confronted with mine, except President Barack Obama’s, and ”” I hope ”” Reinhold Niebuhr’s, if we ever meet, in this life or the next.

[NOTE: Again with the Reinhold Niebuhr.]

Posted in Food, People of interest, Politics | 31 Replies

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