In this mess of an election, the topic of fraud has dominated. And with good reason.
But other things happened in the election that are worthy of mention. Whether the trends will continue and will become significant in future elections is anyone’s guess – it depends in part, of course, on the extent of fraud in the future. But these things are worth looking at, especially those that represent changes that shatter common beliefs on the left (and right) about voter behavior.
For example, in Texas and Florida, states that for the most part seem to have been free of election fraud, Hispanics voted Republican in numbers far higher than previously seen [emphasis and remarks in brackets mine]:
The candidate we had been told was the embodiment of white identity politics [that is, Trump] lost support among white voters while gaining ground among members of America’s largest minority. The president of immigration restriction and parent-child border separation won more votes from Hispanic Americans in 2020 than he did in 2016.
And it wasn’t just Miami’s Cuban-Americans and Venezuelan-Americans, perhaps the most vocal cheerleaders for Hispanic Republicanism. Heavily Hispanic counties across the country moved away from the Democratic Party. According to a Financial Times average of exit poll data, Trump gained by eight percentage points among Hispanic voters. Other estimates put the shift in the double digits…
Nowhere was the Republicans’ Latino surge more pronounced than in the poor, heavily Hispanic, traditionally Democratic corner of South Texas where Perez had predicted that Biden would carry the state. In a string of economically, socially and politically neglected towns along the Mexican border, Republican support surged. These counties saw bigger swings towards the GOP than swings in either direction anywhere else in the United States.
How big? Very big:
The most dramatic shift of all was in Starr County, in the Rio Grande Valley, the most Hispanic county in the country, and one of the poorest. More than 95 per cent of the county is Latino. In 2012, Barack Obama won 86 per cent of the vote there. Four years later, Hillary Clinton won with a comfortable 79.1 per cent share of the vote. This year, Joe Biden managed just 52 per cent. Shifts of that scale are almost unheard of…
The article goes on to explain the reasons: many residents of this border area work for border patrol, customs, and the police. That may be true, but it was also true in 2016 and it did not translate into major voting shifts towards Trump back then. But more recently other things have changed, as this voter explains:
…[T]he issues that dominated [in 2020] were Democratic calls to defund the police, threats to the energy industry and, more surprisingly, the unlikely rapport between Trump and Mexican president Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Until 2016, Pat Saenz, a 57-year-old handyman and former high-school athletics coach, had always voted Democrat. When he voted for Trump four years ago, he split his ticket, opting for the Democratic candidates down the ballot. This time he voted Republican across the board and helped Barrera with the campaign, distributing Trump yard signs to other freshly emboldened Rio Grande Republicans.
I suggest you read the whole thing.
Can the traditionally shoot-itself-in-the-foot GOP capitalize on these changes? Again, I realize your answer might be “who cares, if fraud continues.” But I urge you to consider that if enormous numbers of Hispanic – and black – voters come to see that the Democrats do not have their good interests in mind, the right will make gains so large that it might become more and more difficult for fraud to make a difference or even to be committed.