That’s a question many people have been asking. This post is my answer – or Part I of my answer, because the story is long and there’s a Part II.
However, at the outset I want to say that, although a lot of people give the answer “It’s the money, stupid,” I don’t think that’s correct. Or, rather, although that may be part of the reason Carlson says and does what he presently says and does, it is not the main reason, IMHO. Tucker not only has quite a bit of other money, but I think he did not sell himself (to Qatar, for example) and do some sort of reversal for pecuniary reasons because it isn’t all that hard to trace the evolution of his thoughts in a rather straight and consistent line over the last twenty years or more and arrive at where he is today.
Commenter “chazzand” wonders:
The fall of Tucker Carlson has been so disheartening and surprising. And in such a short time. … It’s like someone who was a great friend who then went off the deep end. You can’t bring yourself to rip into him but you let it be known that a wide chasm has formed and puzzling things have to be answered before (if ever) it goes back to normal. I wonder what caused it?
Actually, I don’t think Carlson’s descent was especially sudden, although it may appear that way. I was never a big Tucker fan nor was I a big TV news watcher, network or cable, but I used to watch TV news more than I do now – which is just about never. So, over the years, I’ve watched Tucker Carlson many times in all. For years I considered him okay on many domestic issues, although he always had a smirky snarky quality that seemed juvenile to me, accentuated by the fact that he has consistently looked young for his age (he’s 56 at present).
However, I never thought Carlson was particularly good on foreign affairs; he started reminding me of Pat Buchanan a long time ago on those issues. But I didn’t think too much of it. I considered him a paleocon and an isolationist, but really didn’t think about him all that often for a long long time.
Carlson was still on Fox News in early 2022 when Ukraine was invaded by Russia, and from the start his stance was isolationist. That would not have surprised me; it was in keeping with the general approach he’d had to these things for many years. But that’s not all he was. He was a noticeable Putin apologist and perhaps even admirer, and seemed to hate Zelensky with an intense venom right from the start, which seemed strange considering that Russia had done the invading. At the time, I was only tuning in to Carlson every now and then, but I saw several examples of Carlson’s hatred of Zelensky; I no longer remember the exact quotes, and I didn’t witness this particular episode, but it’s a good example of the genre:
“Now you see [Zelensky] on television, and it’s true you might form a different impression. Sweaty and rat-like, a comedian turned oligarch, a persecutor of Christians, a friend of BlackRock.”
There’s a big clue there. But to explain it, I’ll need to go back in time.
I think I first saw Carlson on CNN’s Crossfire, which he co-hosted from 2001 to 2005. Those were the bowtie years for Tucker, if I’m not mistaken. He seemed a fairly typical conservative at first, and one of the things I recall fairly vividly was that he supported the invasion of Iraq during the Bush administration, but then changed his mind. He felt he’d been duped into supporting it, and he was both angry and embarrassed about that. Not a good combination.
Please take a look at this from 2004, when he said the following [emphasis mine]:
I think it’s [that is, the Iraq War is] a total nightmare and disaster, and I’m ashamed that I went against my own instincts in supporting it,” he said. “It’s something I’ll never do again. Never. I got convinced by a friend of mine who’s smarter than I am, and I shouldn’t have done that. No. I want things to work out, but I’m enraged by it, actually.”
Obviously that was a huge regret of his, and a source of anger towards those he believes talked him into it. It’s become customary to use the word “neocon” to refer to the people who urged Bush to undertake that war, and although many of them were not the least bit Jewish (nor were they “newly conservative,” one of the original meanings of the term), the phrase “neocon” rather quickly became a kind of code word for “Jew” and even “warmongering Jew.” I believe that in Carlson’s mind, the term “neocon” came to stand for all the people he was angry at because he believed (and continues to believe) that they had led him astray into what he considers his major error of judgment on Iraq, and he thought many of them were Jews and were working on behalf of Israel’s interests.
I’m not going to re-argue the reasons for the Iraq War here; I’ve got plenty of posts on the subject already and the subject is well-aired. But the reason I am bringing it up now is that it seems clear to me that for Tucker, it was an intensely painful turning point. I date his reaction to that war as the start of his more extreme stance of isolationism, and his distrust of anyone with even a hint of advocacy of American entry into wars or even financial or political support of wars. These people were automatically suspect, and he also identified a great many of them with Jews, or with non-Jews sympathetic to Jewish and especially Israeli interests.
Recently Carlson had Jeffrey Sachs on his program and showcased Sachs’ point of view, which is that Israel – and Netanyahu – has pushed the US into many wars, including the Iraq War. Sachs – an economics professor at, yes, Columbia – is a Jew himself but primarily a leftist, and as such he falls into the category of those who detest Netanyahu with a passion, thinks Israel is committing genocide, is a China admirer, and is one of Soros’ allies. However, while it is true that Netanyahu did indeed initially support the Iraq War, so did much of the Western world (including Carlson), and Netanyahu was speaking as a private citizen at the time he spoke in the US Congress on the topic. However, people in the Bush administration who were involved in talks with Israeli government officials in the buildup to the war (Sharon was prime minister at the time) claim that the Israelis warned against attacking Iraq. You certainly won’t hear that from Carlson, who focuses on Netanyahu’s statements prior to the war.
I don’t think it’s possible to overemphasize how important the Iraq war was in forming Carlson’s point of view toward “neocons,” Israel, Netanyahu, and even American Jews whom he believes have “dual loyalties.” But when he was still hosting his show at Fox News, for a while he kept those things somewhat under wraps for the most part. To the best of my recollection, he focused more on domestic issues, and Israel didn’t come up all that often. That may have been mostly because his bosses at Fox kept him in line in that regard – or he himself felt he had to keep in line – and not get too rabidly anti-Israel. Plus, things were relatively quiet in that region compared to now, post 10/7.
In a quick search, the only relevant article I found about Carlson’s isolationist views in those Fox News days but prior to the Ukraine War in 2022 was this one from 2018, when Tucker interviewed Colonel Macgregor (a man who later became a pro-Russian “expert” on the invasion of Ukraine; see this). In 2018, during Trump’s first term, Carlson’s interview with Macgregor was about the idea (incorrect) that the US was about to go to war against Iran. Much later that became a big theme of Tucker’s, who said (incorrectly) prior to the more recent US strike on Iran’s nuclear facility that it would cause a huge and costly war that would kill many Americans. But he was already singing that tune in 2018, interestingly enough:
On 1 May, Tucker Carlson of Fox News Channel interviewed retired Colonel Douglas Macgregor on Fox News about Iran’s relations with the U.S.
Macgregor endorsed the horribly flawed Iran nuclear deal and essentially implied that the U.S. is but a puppet for Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Disappointingly, Carlson made no effort to challenge Macgregor’s statements and contributed with some straw man arguments of his own that appeared to back up what Macgregor was saying.
The straw men start to appear at the :45 mark of the 5 minute video below when Carlson asks the question of Macgregor, “Is it in our strategic interests to have a conflict with Iran?” …
Carlson then essentially accuses U.S. U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley of calling for war with Iran, something that she never said. Carlson goes on with this line of reasoning by claiming that “many Republicans in Congress and a lot of Democrats believe that it is essential that the United States goes to war with Iran.”
Carlson is either profoundly confused or he is dishonest. No one in Congress has said or written anything close to approaching that it is essential that we go to war with Iran.
The template was certainly set already for Carlson’s present point of view.
The next turning point for Carlson was Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, when some of these same themes came together and intensified in Carlson’s coverage. Unlike previously, he focused on Ukraine and made many of his shows revolve around the topic of that war, and that’s when most viewers probably first noticed his extreme isolationism. But it had already been well-established.
That’s it for Part I, but there’s much more. To be continued in Part II …
[ADDENDUM: Part II can be found here.
Part III can be found here.]