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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Long COVID is no different than long flu …

The New Neo Posted on March 16, 2024 by neoMarch 16, 2024

… we just don’t usually use the term “long flu,” or talk about it much.

So many things about COVID resemble other contagious illnesses, including common ones such as the flu. Some of these resemblances involve the possibility of serious consequences such as heart problems from the disease – or from the vaccine; see this for one of many posts where I discuss the issue. In that post I wrote:

From the start of the COVID phenomenon I’ve been reporting on things and crunching the numbers, and one thing I’ve noticed (both in the official releases and in the people who don’t trust them) is a great deal of failure to acknowledge the fact that all diseases and all vaccines can cause rare and troublesome reactions. That’s part of the risks of life, disease, and vaccination. …

… [I]t’s illustrative of something I noticed early on, which is that all phenomena relating to COVID have been treated as somehow uniquely awful. And yet the evidence is that they are not uniquely awful. The distrust engendered by the lies and exaggerations told by the CDC and government around COVID has resulted in a backlash that in my opinion is also an exaggeration, although an understandable one.

Which brings us to long COVID. From the start it has struck me that this phenomenon seems no different from what happens in certain cases with many other viruses. Once or twice in my life I’ve experienced a flu with symptoms that seem to drag on for many months, for example. In addition, I had a friend who was felled by H1N1 years ago, and it took well over a year before she felt completely better.

Therefore this news comes as no surprise:

Long COVID appears to manifest as a post-viral syndrome indistinguishable from seasonal influenza and other respiratory illnesses, with no evidence of increased moderate-to-severe functional limitations a year after infection, according to new research being presented at this year’s European Congress of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases (ECCMID 2024) in Barcelona, Spain (27-30 April). …

The findings add to previous research by the same authors and published in BMJ Public Health, which found no difference in ongoing symptoms and functional impairment when COVID-19 was compared with influenza 12 weeks post-infection.

As I said, unsurprising.

Posted in Health, Science | Tagged COVID-19 | 16 Replies

Open thread 3/16/24

The New Neo Posted on March 16, 2024 by neoMarch 14, 2024

I find this amusing; this woman names her clothing! I also liked it because it reminded me of something I haven’t thought of since I was about seven years old: crinolines. They were great.

Posted in Uncategorized | 35 Replies

RIP Major Uri Moyal, Israeli killed in terrorist knife attack

The New Neo Posted on March 15, 2024 by neoMarch 15, 2024

A career Israeli military man of 51, Major Uri Moyal, has died of wounds sustained in a terrorist stabbing in Israel.

I don’t usually watch videos of killings, but I watched this one, which occurred in a coffee shop. I call your attention to it because it shows the speed of such attacks, as well as the speed of Moyal’s response. Mortally wounded, he managed to stand up and shoot the perpetrator, killing him, making further attacks by this particular person impossible. In the video you can find at the link, Moyal is the guy initially in the upper right side of the picture near the counter, somewhat blurred but dressed in dark green.

This show another angle as well.

The terrorist is dressed all in black, and initially enters the shop with a casual posture. His move towards Moyal is lightning fast. The perp was raised in Gaza but he married an Israeli citizen and so he had Israeli citizenship, but being raised in Gaza almost certainly exposed him to poisonous anti-Jewish and anti-Israeli pedagogy there while growing up.

You can also see that another man tried to intervene and take the knife from the terrorist, but runs clear when he sees that Moyal has a gun and is preparing to kill the assailant. You can see Moyal positioning his gun to shoot and the terrorist also sees it and starts to lunge again at Moyal, who gets off the shot before the terrorist can reach him, even though the distance is very short.

Moyal then left the building and collapsed off-camera. He was taken to the hospital but died there. RIP.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Military, Terrorism and terrorists, Violence | 23 Replies

More news on the Georgia Trump case and Fani Willis

The New Neo Posted on March 15, 2024 by neoMarch 16, 2024

As expected, Nathan Wade has resigned from the case. That should satisfy the decision laid down by Judge McAfee I reported on earlier today.

According to Alan Dershowitz (hat tip: commenter “Karmi”):

Harvard Law School professor Alan Dershowitz blasted as “utterly dishonest” a judge’s “weaselly” ruling Friday to let Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis proceed with her election interference prosecution of Donald Trump and his allies.

In a brutal takedown of the 23-page ruling by Fulton County Superior Court Judge Scott McAfee, a Dershowitz asked, “Who are you going to believe, this judge or your lying eyes?” …

“We all know there was an actual conflict of interest here,” he added. “[McAfee] just doesn’t have the guts to say it. And I predicted he wouldn’t have the guts to say it. He has to live in Fulton County.”

Dershowitz conceded the judge “may have said some things that are very critical of her, but still, he should have removed [her] … from the case.”

He also lamented how the ruling “undercuts our legal system tremendously.”

“He should have ruled, honestly, yes, there’s a conflict. Yes, she committed perjury. Yes there was a conspiracy. Yes, she received financial benefit for this. That’s the truth and the truth matters,” Dershowitz said. …

“If anybody believes that she actually paid back every penny in cash, I got a bridge to sell you in Brooklyn,” he said. “There are people in prison, there are people in death row, based on evidence less strong than this.”

Yes, but those people aren’t trying to prosecute Donald Trump.

The truth should matter. It doesn’t appear that it does, however. Dershowitz believes “the ruling could be appealed on two issues: that the evidence is overwhelming that there was an actual conflict of interest, and that there shouldn’t have to be an actual conflict of interest.”

One thing that Dershowitz doesn’t mention is something I discovered just a little while ago by looking up McAfee’s Wiki page, which says this [emphasis mine]:

McAfee was an assistant district attorney in the Barrow County, Georgia, Piedmont Judicial Circuit. He joined the office of the district attorney in Fulton County, Georgia, in April 2015, initially working on the early stages of criminal cases. He later was promoted to working as a prosecutor in the complex trial division, which was then headed by prosecutor Fani Willis, who was later elected as Fulton County district attorney. McAfee was eventually promoted to senior assistant district attorney in the major case division, where he prosecuted felony cases including armed robbery and murder.

So McAfee worked under Willis for quite some time; it’s not clear exactly how long or how close they were.

McAfee was appointed to his present position by Governor Kemp, who recently signed the following law (hat tip: commenter “Banned Lizard”):

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp signed a law Wednesday that lets a state commission begin operating with powers to discipline and remove prosecutors, potentially disrupting Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis’ prosecution of former President Donald Trump.

“This legislation will help us ensure rogue and incompetent prosecutors are held accountable if they refuse to uphold the law,” Kemp said before signing the bill, flanked by Republican legislative leaders. “As we know all too well, crime has been on the rise across the country, and is especially prevalent in cities where prosecutors are giving criminals a free pass or failing to put them behind bars due to lack of professional conduct.” …

The measure is likely to face renewed legal challenges.

The Georgia Senate is also investigating Willis. It’s not at all clear whether any of these efforts can or will stop her, nor is the time frame obvious.

I believe I am correct in stating that, if Trump were to be convicted in the Georgia trial, Kemp could pardon him because it is a state prosecution rather than a federal one [CORRECTION: Georgia’s governor doesn’t have that power. It would be up to the Parole Board, and the way it works is that a person has to serve the sentence first]. I also believe I am correct in thinking it unlikely that Kemp – a Republican but not a Trump fan – would do so.

[ADDENDUM: More here.]

Posted in Law, Trump | 17 Replies

Brits are limiting puberty blockers in trans treatment

The New Neo Posted on March 15, 2024 by neoMarch 15, 2024

It’s a step in the right direction, at least:

Children will no longer routinely be prescribed puberty blockers at gender identity clinics, NHS England has confirmed.

The decision comes after a review found there was “not enough evidence” they are safe or effective.

Puberty blockers, which pause the physical changes of puberty, will now only be available as part of research.

They will still be available, just not “routinely” from the NHS. I don’t know what percentage of treatment comes at the hands of the NHS – I assume it’s a pretty hefty percentage – but “individual clinicians can still apply to have the drugs funded for patients on a case-by-case basis.” And the 100 minors who are now taking puberty blockers can continue to take them.

Such directives are somewhat simpler in Britain because their health care is more centralized. That centralization isn’t usually a good thing, but it helps in this case.

And not only is there “not enough evidence” that puberty blockers are “safe or effective,” there’s plenty of evidence that they are harmful, including harm to psychosexual development.

Posted in Health, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex | Tagged Britain, transgender treatment | 11 Replies

Fani Willis stays on the case

The New Neo Posted on March 15, 2024 by neoMarch 15, 2024

The judge has ruled that if her paramour Nathan Wade steps down, everything will be A-ok and she can keep up the legal pursuit of the Great Orange Whale:

[Judge] McAfee did not find a conflict of interest or anything fishy about money, except Willis and Wade could not prove they definitely split the costs. Therefore, no proof about the money gives off the appearance of impropriety.

“The appearance standard recognizes that even when no actual conflict exists, a perceived conflict in the reasonable eyes of the public threatens confidence in the legal system itself,” McAfee wrote. “When this danger goes uncorrected, it undermines the legitimacy and moral force of our already weakest branch of government.”

That’s sort of amusing, actually, in a deeply cynical and despairing sort of way. There is very little “confidence in the legal system” left, and this ruling doesn’t shore it up. Multiple dangers are “going uncorrected,” including the appliation of novel and twisted theories of law to try to ruin a political opponent such as Trump and/or his supporters and aides. There is little “legitimacy and moral force” left, and the idea of “moral force” in connection with Willis and Wade is ludicrous.

And are courts the “weakest branch of government?” If they ever were, they certainly aren’t anymore. The requirements to remove a rogue judge are very high, in most states and in the federal system. Judges (often unelected and appointed for life) regularly invalidate the acts of legislatures composed of elected representatives of the people, or executives who are also elected. In fact, with the blessing and support of the Democrats, little old prosecutor Fani Willis is trying to keep their opponent Trump from winning the presidency, and is doing it through the mechanism of that “weak” branch: the courts.

Judge McAfee ruled that either Willis and her entire office can step aside, or Wade can leave the case. I have little doubt the latter will be what occurs, and the case will go on as before.

Posted in Law, Men and women; marriage and divorce and sex, Trump | 10 Replies

Open thread 3/15/24

The New Neo Posted on March 15, 2024 by neoMarch 14, 2024

The Ides of March.

Posted in Uncategorized | 23 Replies

Jonathan Haidt on how smartphones have harmed children growing up with them

The New Neo Posted on March 14, 2024 by neoMarch 14, 2024

Haidt makes an excellent case that smartphones have harmed a generation and are working to harm the next one:

What happened in the early 2010s that altered adolescent development and worsened mental health? Theories abound, but the fact that similar trends are found in many countries worldwide means that events and trends that are specific to the United States cannot be the main story.

I think the answer can be stated simply, although the underlying psychology is complex: Those were the years when adolescents in rich countries traded in their flip phones for smartphones and moved much more of their social lives online—particularly onto social-media platforms designed for virality and addiction. Once young people began carrying the entire internet in their pockets, available to them day and night, it altered their daily experiences and developmental pathways across the board. Friendship, dating, sexuality, exercise, sleep, academics, politics, family dynamics, identity—all were affected. Life changed rapidly for younger children, too, as they began to get access to their parents’ smartphones and, later, got their own iPads, laptops, and even smartphones during elementary school.

I believe another element in the acceleration of these problems were the lockdowns, and I would wager that the leftist indoctrination in many schools has had a role as role. But I have little doubt that phones are a very significant driver of the angst.

What is the remedy? The first step would be for parents to step up and delay the introduction of smart cell phones for their children, and should only allow them to have old-fashioned stupid cell phones that are limited to making phone calls. However, how many parents will actually do that? And there is also the reality that unless most parents refuse to get smart cell phones for their kids, some children will borrow the smartphones of others. In addition, people of any age can buy cell phones if they have the money; should the sale of smart cell phones, like cigarettes or liquor, be banned for those under eighteen?

Haidt’s article is long, but I highly recommend reading it. The discussion isn’t limited to smartphones and their affects, either; Haidt goes into many other aspects of modern child-rearing. Towards the end, he suggests some possible remedies, including this one that I think would be a good thing to try to implement:

Even without the help of organizations, parents could break their families out of collective-action traps if they coordinated with the parents of their children’s friends. Together they could create common smartphone rules and organize unsupervised play sessions or encourage hangouts at a home, park, or shopping mall.

I’m glad I raised my own child in a pre-smartphone and more traditional age, but as a grandparent, I’m especially concerned about all of this.

Posted in Health, Pop culture | 34 Replies

Will Judge Cannon dismiss the Trump documents case?

The New Neo Posted on March 14, 2024 by neoMarch 14, 2024

I very much doubt it. But I hope I’m wrong and Julie Kelly is right:

NEW: From FLA courthouse in Trump's classified documents case with a prediction.

Robert Hur report and testimony is the biggest elephant in the room. The term "arbitrary enforcement" used frequently by both the defense and Judge Aileen Cannon.

Cannon hammered the fact no former…

— Julie Kelly ?? (@julie_kelly2) March 14, 2024

Posted in Law, Trump | 6 Replies

Schumer’s call for new elections in Israel to get rid of Netnyahu …

The New Neo Posted on March 14, 2024 by neoMarch 14, 2024

… is a continuation of the Obama administration’s demonization of Netanyahu. In that sense, it should come as no surprise. Not only is it a political move to placate the Democrats’ anti-Israel anti-Jew pro-Hamas wing, but dislike of Netanyahu has been a staple of Democrat thought even among those Democrats who basically support Israel. Think of it this way: Netanyahu equals Trump in their eyes – if not exactly, then approximately.

Schumer certainly wasn’t acting on his own. He is merely the mouthpiece for a long-held Democrat policy. But let’s examine what he actually said:

“The Netanyahu coalition no longer fits the needs of Israel after October 7. The world has changed – radically – since then, and the Israeli people are being stifled right now by a governing vision that is stuck in the past,” says Schumer.

It is, of course, the Democrats who have lost their way and who are clinging to “a governing vision that is stuck in the past” – that is, the fiction of a 2-state solution with a Palestinian leadership that merely wants its own small state rather than to utterly destroy the Jewish one as well as kill all Jews and (with other radical jihadis) take over Western Europe as well.

Next:

Netanyahu has “lost his way, putting himself in coalition with far-right extremists like [Finance Minister] Bezalel Smotrich and [National Security Minister] Itamar Ben-Gvir.”

“Extremist Palestinians and extremist Israelis seek the same goal: from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea, they aim to push the other from the land,” Schumer adds.

Here Schumer is equating “extremist Palestinians” with “extremist Israelis” when the two are very very different. First of all, there are the numbers. Gaza’s government is run by murderous terrorists who are in charge, and the West Bank is only nominally better. These jihadis have the support of the vast majority of the Palestinian population. They speak openly and proudly of murdering Jews as one of their goals, and for decades have perpetrated widespread and repeated murder and mayhem in Israel, limited only by Israeli defenses. On October 7, those Israeli defenses failed, and the result was a horrific barbarous murder and torture spree that killed 1200 in cold blood (violating a ceasefire, by the way), up close and personal. These acts were defended and applauded by the Palestinian people in figures that are above 70% of the population. And the goal is to do it again and again, and obliterate the single Jewish state in the entire world. Arab countries have no Jews in them, so most of the Middle East is already free of Jews and controlled by Arabs, but the Palestinians – who are essentially indistinguishable from their Egyptian and Jordanian neighbors – refuse to be absorbed into that greater Arab/Muslim world. No Arab or Muslim nation wants the Palestinians because of their destructive and jihadi ways, and their history of destabilizing (or attempting to destabilize) countries that took them in.

In Israel, there are indeed some people on the right who would like to drive the Palestinians from Gaza and the West Bank and have them settle elsewhere. Such people do not control the government. However, it is an understandable position, considering the fact that the vast majority of Arabs in Gaza and the West Bank support the destruction of Israel and the murder of the Jews. Who would want such neighbors, neighbors whom Jordan and Egypt despise as well? In addition, there are two million Arab citizens of Israel who aren’t going anywhere.

So what is it that Smotrich – one of those who were criticized by Schumer – has been saying [quotes from back in January, for example]?:

… Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich on Wednesday reiterated his support for encouraging “voluntary emigration” of the Strip’s population to other countries as part of his postwar vision.

The leader of the far-right Religious Zionism party claimed in a statement that “more than 70 percent of the Israeli public today supports” encouraging emigration as “a humanitarian solution,” but did not provide a source for this statistic.

A resettlement policy is necessary, he said, because “a small country like ours cannot afford a reality where four minutes away from our communities there is a hotbed of hatred and terrorism, where two million people wake up every morning with aspiration for the destruction of the State of Israel and with a desire to slaughter and rape and murder Jews wherever they are.”

The other man criticized by Schumer in his speech, Ben-Gvir, agrees. Note that they don’t seem to be advocating any sort of change for the Arab Israelis; just those in Gaza and the West Bank. He is also saying it would be voluntary and “encouraged” rather than forced or accomplished by violence. I think it’s an understandable wish, considering the murderous impulses of the vast majority of the Palestinians residing in those places. And it certainly would be nice if they all picked up and left voluntarily and were accepted elsewhere. I believe the reality, however, is that this would never happen. They will never leave voluntarily, and no one else wants them. Plus, Netanyahu isn’t in accord with either of the two.

Schumer also said this:

If Prime Minister Netanyahu’s current coalition remains in power after the war begins to wind down, and continues to pursue dangerous and inflammatory policies that test existing US standards for assistance, then the United States will have no choice but to play a more active role in shaping Israeli policy by using our leverage to change the present course.

What chutzpah. Talk about election interference! But that’s the legacy of Obama, as well. But what also is strange about that statement is its time-travel aspects: Schumer first talks about something that might happen after the war “begins to wind down” – which probably will take quite a few months, by my estimation – and then says that if that happens, the administration will use its leverage “to change the present course.” It doesn’t make sense on the face of it, except for its threat aspect – which is what it is.

Even the more “moderate” Israeli politicians weren’t keen on Schumer’s statements, nor of course were Netanyahu and his party:

[National Unity party chairman Minister Benny Gantz said that] “… Israel is a strong democracy, and only its citizens will determine its leadership and future. Any external intervention in the matter is incorrect and unacceptable.”

Prime Minister Netanyahu’s Likud strongly condemned Schumer’s speech, saying, “Israel is not a banana republic but an independent and proud democracy that elected Prime Minister Netanyahu. Prime Minister Netanyahu leads a determined policy that is supported by a huge majority of the people.”

“Contrary to Schumer’s remarks, the Israeli public supports a complete victory over Hamas, rejects any international dictate to establish a Palestinian terrorist state, and opposes the return of the Palestinian Authority to Gaza. We expect Senator Schumer to respect the elected government of Israel and not undermine it. This is always true, ll the more so in times of war,” the Likud stated.

Earlier, former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said that “Regardless of our political positions, we strongly oppose external political interference in Israel’s internal affairs. We are an independent nation, not a banana republic. The danger of terrorism is on the way to the West and it would be good if they would help Israel in its justified war. In the long run, they are defending themselves as well.”

Meanwhile, Biden prepares to give Iran ten billion dollars:

The Biden administration on Wednesday reapproved a sanctions waiver that unlocks upwards of $10 billion in frozen funds for the Iranian government, according to a copy of the notice submitted to Congress late Wednesday and reviewed by the Washington Free Beacon.

The sanctions waiver—which has drawn fierce GOP opposition on Capitol Hill—allows Iraq to transfer electricity payments to Iran via third-party countries. The sanctions waiver was last approved by the Biden administration in November and set to expire this month, putting the White House in a tight position as a mounting chorus of GOP lawmakers express concern about sanctions being bypassed. The authority granted in the latest waivers allows Iraq to convert dinars into Euros and transfer payments into Iranian banks accounts in Oman.

What a wonderful idea.

More:

While the State Department maintains the funds can only be accessed by Iran to pay for humanitarian supplies, like food and medicine, critics of the sanctions waiver argue that money is fungible, and that the waiver frees up cash for Iran to spend on its global terrorism operations. …

“Under these waivers, no money has been permitted to enter Iran,” the [State Department] official maintained. “Any notion to the contrary is false and misleading. These funds, which are held abroad in third countries, can only be used for transactions for the purchase of food, agricultural commodities, medicine, medical devices, and other non-sanctionable transactions. The money goes straight to the trusted vendor or financial institution in another country. The money never touches Iran.” …

Iran, the [Republican] lawmakers argued, “has a history of lying about humanitarian transactions. There is no reason to think that they will not try to skirt these restrictions again. Additionally, money is fungible, and the waiver and subsequent transfer will free up billions in funds that Iran can now spend on its terrorist proxies, nuclear activities, and military.”

I don’t think even the State Department is so stupid as to think this doesn’t free up money for Iran to use on its favorite pastime: jihadi operations in Israel and elsewhere.

Posted in Biden, Iran, Israel/Palestine, Politics | Tagged Benjamin Netanyahu, Chuck Schumer | 25 Replies

Open thread 3/14/24

The New Neo Posted on March 14, 2024 by neoMarch 13, 2024

The time has come,’ the Walrus said,
To talk of many things:
Of shoes — and ships — and sealing-wax —
Of cabbages — and kings —
And why the sea is boiling hot —
And whether pigs have wings.’

Posted in Uncategorized | 54 Replies

TikTok ticking away

The New Neo Posted on March 13, 2024 by neoMarch 13, 2024

The TikTok divestiture bill has passed the House. It’s bipartisan, and Ace explains why:

The bill does not outlaw TikTok or shut it down. What it does is required the ChiCom owner of TikTok, a state-controlled entity called ByteDance, to sell the US part of the operation (I believe) to some non-China-controlled entity within (I think) six months or so.

If the ChiComs do not sell, then TikTok gets shut down.

But they have plenty of time to sell. …

Well, there’s no doubt that Red China is using TikTok both for purposes of espionage as well as a really vicious demoralization campaign against America’s children. China has its own version of TikTok, but that platform encourages pro-social activities, studying, being dutiful to one’s parents, etc.

The American version of TikTok is 24/7 transgender conversion therapy.

Oh, and the Chinese version of TikTok imposes a time limit on usage, so that children do not spend their entire f***ing young lives endlessly scrolling through crap content. …

On the other hand, of course, the left has agreed to the divestiture bill for TikTok because they have the Real Prize in mind: Twitter. They would like to pass the same bill to force Elon Musk to sell Twitter to representatives of the Democrat Party.

Republicans can object and say that the TikTok bill was only justified because it was owned by a hostile foreign nation, doing the bidding of that hostile foreign nation’s intelligence services.

Democrats will say, no, the action was justified because TikTok “causes harm” and nothing causes more harm than Pepe the Frog memes on Twitter. They will say that Elon Musk is much, much more dangerous than Red China. …

On the other other hand … the right constantly argues that “we can’t do x because that will free the left to do something horrible,” but this argument has been proven hollow: The left is doing horrible things whether we grant a precedent they can claim to justify it or not.

And the libertarians are in la-la-land about all of this:

1/ Can't be overstated how badly isolated libertarians are in this TikTok fight, and how much their kicking and screaming is hurting their credibility in the conservative coalition. ?

— Oren Cass (@oren_cass) March 12, 2024

6/ Inviting a Communist Party into our market, even as it bars foreign competition in its own, is no one’s idea of advancing capitalism. At some point it's fair to ask, what exactly do these groups think they're defending? Is this really their conception of the free market?

— Oren Cass (@oren_cass) March 12, 2024

Americans don't owe China the right to spy on and manipulate our citizens.

The First Amendment doesn't extend to the CCP, nor does it permit free rein for foreign adversaries to control the social media apps Americans use.

Moreover, China doesn't reciprocate regarding our…

— Kevin Roberts (@KevinRobertsTX) March 12, 2024

This is a huge deal. TikTok is heavily influencing the youth of our country in particular, and it is under Chinese control. This fight about TikTok is emblematic of the entire question of the pernicious influence of social media, whether to go about controlling it, and if so how to control it and who should be controlling it.

Posted in Finance and economics, Liberty, Pop culture | 35 Replies

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