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The New Neo

A blog about political change, among other things

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Svensmark and those “objective” scientists: when research and politics interface, watch out

The New Neo Posted on August 21, 2007 by neoAugust 25, 2007

The hallmark of scientific research is objectivity. Its goal is the attainment of truth about the universe in which we live, knowing of course that we can only learn by bits and pieces, and that total truth is probably not attainable. But truth is what scientists strive for, and the entire scientific method is designed to ensure that personal biases are eliminated as much as humanly possible.

As much as humanly possible—ay, there’s the rub. Because, humans being what they are, there are many roadblocks in the way of getting to objective truth. Even in science, politics and special interest groups often intervene.

Some topics are more charged than others, and the explanation for the cause of global warming has attained a rarified status near the pinnacle of the politically vital pantheon (women in science is another such issue, as the ever-unpopular Larry Summers discovered a while back, much to his sorrow). Continue reading →

Posted in Science | 31 Replies

Another 9/11 change story

The New Neo Posted on August 21, 2007 by neoAugust 21, 2007

I’ve only read the short excerpts, but here’s someone who’s written an entire book on the subject of his post-9/11 change. Sounds interesting. You can find Part I of Andrew Anthony’s journey here.

Posted in Uncategorized | 6 Replies

I ain’t gonna study war no more: Victor Davis Hanson and the teaching of military history

The New Neo Posted on August 20, 2007 by neoAugust 25, 2007

“You may not be interested in war, but war is interested in you,” is a quote attributed (apparently incorrectly?) to Leon Trotsky.

Whether or not he actually said it, it seems true.

And getting truer all the time—at least the first half of it, rephrased as “You may not be interested in the study of war…” The insightful and articulate Victor Davis Hanson has written an insightful and articulate article on the subject that I recommend reading in its entirety.

Hanson’s thesis is that modern post-Vietnam-war education has virtually ignored the study of military history, once considered a necessary part of a liberal education that emphasized ancient military history and classical history in general. This has had enormous and dire consequences (a point I’ve made, as well; see this). Continue reading →

Posted in History, War and Peace | 35 Replies

Spammer styles: feel the love

The New Neo Posted on August 18, 2007 by neoMay 13, 2009

I’ve got various kinds of spam blockers on this blog. They don’t work perfectly. but if they didn’t work at all, I’d have hundreds of spam comments here a day. As it is, there are probably fifteen or so, which I remove almost as soon as they come in.

It’s been interesting to watch the evolution of the spammers. Like the replicates of science fiction, over time they’ve become more and more like real commenters—at least, they become better at mimicking what they think real commenters sound like. Continue reading →

Posted in Blogging and bloggers, Language and grammar | 18 Replies

Viva partnering, ballet, and la différence

The New Neo Posted on August 17, 2007 by neoNovember 23, 2024

When people think of ballet—if they think of it at all—they often think of dancing on pointe, something only women do in ballet. George Balanchine, one of the greatest choreographers of all time, famously said, “Ballet is woman.”

Then again, he was a man. And, although it’s not PC to say so, he was somewhat of a rarity in ballet in being a heterosexual man.

Not that they don’t exist in ballet, of course. They do, indeed they do. And when they do they generally have a sexual field day because of the interesting ratio of heterosexual woman (high) to heterosexual men (lowish) in the ballet world.

I disagree with Balanchine; but then again, I’m a woman. As far as I’m concerned, you could instead say, “Ballet is partnering.” Continue reading →

Posted in Best of neo-neocon, Dance | 21 Replies

Carnage for Congressional consumption

The New Neo Posted on August 16, 2007 by neoAugust 25, 2007

The truck bombs that exploded two days ago in Iraq took a horrific toll. Whether the final tally of human life will be 250 or 500 (the exact figure may never be known), virtually all of the victims were Yazidis, a non-Muslim Kurdish sect who are an extreme minority in Iraq.

Al Qaeda, almost undoubtedly the perpetrator, knew full well what it was doing. As this Ralph Peters column entitled “Killing for Congress” points out (I had titled my post before I saw his; the similarity in titles is a coincidence), the terrorist group was well aware that its former targeting of fellow-Muslims in Iraq has caused it to become hated there.

So al Qaeda was faced with a dilemma: how to generate enough gore to deflate recent reports (see this) that the surge is going rather well, without causing the Iraqi population to turn even further against it. An inventive answer was found: attack a group too marginal and powerless to matter much in terms of backlash, and kill enough of them to cause maximum consternation in Congress and American public opinion. Thus, the Yazidis, the perfect victims. Continue reading →

Posted in Iraq | 25 Replies

No surprise in Venezuela: all Chavez, all the time?

The New Neo Posted on August 16, 2007 by neoAugust 28, 2009

Venezuelan not-quite-President-for-life-but-getting-there Hugo Chavez announced that he’s asking for a few changes: an extension of the length of the Presidential term of office, and an end to limits on reelection.

To those critics who suggest this is another step in his road to fidelity to a Fidel-like dictatorship, Chavez has an answer. Not a very good one; but an answer nonetheless: it’s only a possibility, a possibility that depends on many variables.

But of course. Only a possibility, depending on many variables, such as how firmly he can entrench himself in power in the meantime, and how many of the former constitutional safeguards against tyranny he can manage to jettison. If the “possibility” doesn’t become an actuality, it’s certainly not for lack of trying on the part of Chavez.

Not surprisingly, Chavez is also proposing changes in some of those “variables,” such as a program to end “the autonomy of Venezuela’s Central Bank, which would give him access to billions of dollars of foreign reserves. He also called for increasing the government’s power to expropriate private property before getting a court’s approval.”

And so Chavez marches on. To those who suggest he’s undermined the democratic process in Venezuela, he cites the wide margins by which he’s won elections.

Wide margins, of course, do not a democracy make. In fact—with the rare exception of the occasional bona fide landslide, of course—they tend to be the hallmark of dictatorships featuring fixed, manipulated, and/or coerced elections. The quoted AP article fails to detail the very strong evidence that Chavez did exactly that, but it’s here if you wish to peruse it (follow the links in there, as well).

Posted in Latin America | 10 Replies

Bill: been missin’ ya, miss kissin’ ya

The New Neo Posted on August 15, 2007 by neoSeptember 4, 2007

Yesterday I saw my first one of these:

miss-bill.JPG

Can’t say as I do. But that’s just me. I was never a big fan, even though I voted for him—twice, with vigor. But in the NH primary of 92, I was a registered Democrat and voted for this guy instead (RIP):

tsongas.jpg

And if you’re wondering about the source for the title of this post, see this. And despite what that lyric sheet says, I stand with eliminating the “g” in “missing” and “kissing.” It was dropped in the song—listen up!

Posted in Music, Politics | 44 Replies

Iraq: Spiegel bravely reports the good news

The New Neo Posted on August 14, 2007 by neoAugust 14, 2007

This is highly recommended reading—Spiegel reports on the possibly turning tide in Iraq, and the fact that many just don’t want to hear it.

I plan to write at greater length on the subject some time soon.

[ADDENDUM: Oh, no! Could it be there’s political progress in Iraq, too?]

Posted in Uncategorized | 22 Replies

Religion and the Presidency

The New Neo Posted on August 14, 2007 by neoAugust 25, 2007

Presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani is a Catholic, although—as this column by Richard Cohen points out—his marital history isn’t precisely what the Catholic church would consider ideal.

Cohen compares Giuliani’s recent answer to a question about his Catholicism with that of a man widely known as “the first Catholic President,” JFK. Giuliani told reporters his religion was his own private affair; JFK said it would not influence his policy decisions as President.

I remember hearing a lot about JFK’s Catholicism during the 1960 campaign. It’s hard to believe now, but his religion really was an issue for many people, who entertained the notion that his election might mean the Pope would be running the country by proxy.

Those sorts of ideas are way behind us. Or are they? Continue reading →

Posted in Politics, Religion | 7 Replies

Let’s not sully that narrative with anything as picayune as facts

The New Neo Posted on August 13, 2007 by neoAugust 13, 2007

I just love the following statement by Evan Thomas, Newsweek editor, concerning his periodical’s reporting of the Duke rape case: The narrative was right, but the facts were wrong.

Thomas actually was one of the writers who wrote early on that there was some doubt about the lacrosse students’ guilt. But, unfortunately, that didn’t stop him or his magazine from pushing a different “narrative,” one that made an assumption of a heady and titillating mix of rape and racism.

Thomas’s words about narrative vs. facts would be laughable—a sort of Onion-like parody—if they weren’t meant so seriously, and if they didn’t represent a perversion of what journalism is meant to be about. Thomas is actually describing the sensibility of fiction writers rather than of reporters. The former make up facts in order to get at a “greater truth.”

But everyone knows that fiction is an act of creative writing, whereas journalism is supposed to be its exact opposite, a discipline in which the facts should be paramount. “Narratives” help people make sense of and order facts and put them in perspective and context. They give those facts meaning, but they must never supercede them,

Of course, reporters are often merely reporting facts that others are feeding them. But investigative reporters are different; they are supposed to question those facts and do independent research to see whether they are corroborated. If not, the story—the “narrative”—shouldn’t hold together.

In addition, in criminal cases, the media is supposed to preserve the presumption of innocence as much as possible in all its reportage. But that isn’t very “sexy.” It’s the more sensational “narratives” that sell magazines and newspapers, and get people watching the cable networks.

We all maintain “narratives,” arrived at from our observations over time. This is as true of conservatives as it is of liberals. Most people have a tendency to filter out or discount facts that don’t agree with their already-formed worldview, which is why change of opinon is so difficult to accomplish.

I’ve written many words on the subject of how people end up changing their minds (see all the posts on the right sidebar in the category “A mind is a difficult thing to change”), and probably will write many more. But one thing necessary for such change to occur is a mind open to the assimilation of new facts, and flexible enough to change in response to an accretion of supporting facts.

How many supporting facts are enough to cause that “leap” into a new point of view? The tipping point is different for different people. Some hold so stubbornly to their belief systems that no amount of “steenking facts” can dislodge them. If a person can’t change even in the face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary (see the last part of this post for a good example) then his/her set of beliefs is impermeable to the challenge of facts, and resembles an act of faith rather than a matter of cognition.

I’m not meaning to knock faith, which inherently transcends the rational (Pascal’s very logical “wager”—which is based, paradoxically, on the idea that the existence of the deity cannot be decided by reason— notwithstanding). But politics should not be religion, and court cases cannot be decided on faith—or “narratives.”

[ADDENDUM: If you want to read a wonderful book that explains how the Left came to rely less and less on facts and more and more on narratives, please read this wonderfully lucid explanation.]

Posted in Press | 15 Replies

What, no lobster or steamers?

The New Neo Posted on August 12, 2007 by neoAugust 12, 2007

President Bush and my man Sarkozy are together at last—and in my neck of the woods, more or less. Sarkozy has been staying at Lake Winnipesaukee in New Hampshire, and Bush is at the family manse in Kennebunkport; two places I know well, at least from numerous drive-bys.

Well enough to say that this AP report is wrong when it refers to Walker’s Point, the site of the Bush estate, as “craggy.” It’s certainly not craggy by Maine standards—or perhaps by any standards. I’ll let you decide:

bushcompound.jpg

That’s a minor quibble, of course. And I’ve got a couple more, only this time for Bush: why no lobster on the menu? And why no steamers? And please, George, giving him the choice of a hamburger or a hot dog? C’mon don’t be stingy, this is your new buddy, not Jacques Chirac. How about both?

Come to think of it, don’t stint; offer the guy a shore dinner:

shoredinner.jpg

And invite neo-neocon. There’s still time.

Posted in Uncategorized | 20 Replies

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