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A blog about political change, among other things

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Those “experts” rate the presidents

The New Neo Posted on August 20, 2024 by neoAugust 20, 2024

Here’s an interesting piece by Robert Graboyes, who calls attention to this NY Times article from last February which discussed a poll taken at the end of 2023, in which 154 political scientists ranked the U.S. presidents in terms of greatness. The Times article had the following title and subtitle:

Poll Ranks Biden as 14th-Best President, With Trump Last: President Biden may owe his place in the top third to his predecessor: Mr. Biden’s signature accomplishment, according to the historians, was evicting Donald J. Trump from the Oval Office.

Let that sink in: Biden was ranked as the fourteenth greatest president in our nation’s history, mostly for the supreme feat of keeping Trump from getting a second term. Meanwhile, Trump was dead last on the same list – the least great president ever, in their opinion.

And these are professors engaged in molding the minds of our young people. Is it any wonder we’re in big trouble?

Here are some of the details of the poll:

Respondents included current and recent members of the Presidents & Executive Politics Section of the American Political Science Association, which is the foremost organization of social science experts in presidential politics, as well as scholars who had recently published peer-reviewed academic research in key related scholarly journals or academic presses. 525 respondents were invited to participate, and 154 usable responses were received, yielding a 29.3% response rate.

Hmmm; not the greatest response rate. Perhaps those with a bone to pick were most motivated to fill in the form:

… Abraham Lincoln again tops the list (95.03 average), followed by Franklin Delano Roosevelt (90.83), George Washington (90.32), Teddy Roosevelt (78.58), Thomas Jefferson (77.53), Harry Truman (75.34), Barack Obama (73.8), and Dwight Eisenhower (73.73).
The most notable changes in this ordering are Franklin Delano Roosevelt moving up to #2 from the third spot last year, and Dwight Eisenhower falling back to #8 from #6 last year. The bottom of the rankings is also relatively stable. Donald Trump rates lowest (10.92), behind James Buchanan (16.71), Andrew Johnson (21.56), Franklin Pierce (24.6), William Henry Harrison (26.01), and
Warren Harding (27.76).

That tells you more about academia than it does about presidents. In no universe – even one composed of Democrats – should Obama be number seven, and in no universe should Trump be last.

One of the strangest and most depressing things about the survey is that, when the results were broken down by the politics of the respondents, there wasn’t all that much difference between most of the rankings from self-reported conservatives versus self-reported liberals. For example, Obama was rated almost as highly by Republicans as by Democrats, and by conservatives as by liberals. Go figure. And Trump was rated almost as low by all those groups, although the difference between left and right was a little greater for Trump. But he was rated universally very low by all political persuasions.

Does this mean that most college professors who call themselves “conservatives” or “Republicans” are of the NeverTrumper variety? Probably. Academia is a club of sorts, and it tends to be a snobbish one at that. Or perhaps those who might disagree with the low assessments of Trump were among the ones who didn’t return the survey.

The number of respondents on the right was especially small. Here are the figures:

Democrats – 95
Republicans – 15
Independents/Others – 44
Liberals – 98
Conservatives – 20
Moderates – 36

From Graboyes:

Trump is certainly and intentionally a polarizing character—a provocateur. But how does one justify 170 votes for Trump as “Most Polarizing,” versus only 33 votes for Abraham Lincoln? Inexplicably, Lincoln also received 60 votes for “Least Polarizing” president.

I think I might be able to explain the contradiction in the “polarizing” numbers for Lincoln. They make some sense if the group rating him most polarizing was speaking about opinions of Lincoln in Lincoln’s own time, and the group rating him least polarizing was speaking about opinions of Lincoln in recent times.

Biden got only 36 votes for “most polarizing” – and he is in fact extremely polarizing.

This is academia today.

Posted in Academia, Biden, Historical figures, Trump | 69 Replies

At the DNC: buh-bye, Joe, don’t let the door hit you on the way out

The New Neo Posted on August 20, 2024 by neoAugust 20, 2024

I didn’t watch the DNC last night, but apparently the Democrats gave Biden the honor of addressing the crowd. That was rather magnanimous of them, considering he’s still the president and that he had won the primaries and was their designated nominee for 2024 until just a short while ago.

Someone also scheduled Biden’s speech for 11:30 PM, which seems exquisitely cruel considering that he tends to fade far earlier than that.

I forget what article I read it in, but a pundit on the right described the speech as Joe delivering his own eulogy. He had to pretend that all of this was just fine with him – that it was his own choice, really, to suddenly give up the office he’d pursued for so many decades, finally achieved, and had clung to tenaciously right up to the point when he was forced to let it go.

Here’s a description of the speech:

If the Harris campaign had any hopes that Joe would let them get distance from his record, they were dashed. “When I say we I mean Kamala and me,” he emphasized, reminding voters that there’s no turning the page by voting for Harris.

Biden tried to play the old hits, but they ring hollow now. He talked about Charlottesville and how he claims Trump as president “emboldened” and praised anti-Semites. “Hate has no safe harbor” in America, he says. But we saw how anti-Semites have safe harbors – literal encampments on college campuses, immune from the law – in Joe Biden’s America. Biden even said of the pro-Hamas protestors, “Those protesters out in the street. They’ve got a point.”

It’s sadly appropriate that Biden invoked ye olde Charlottesville hoax at this point, since that’s the way he kicked off his 2020 campaign as well. So the Charlotteville hoax is a bookend to his campaigns. And at the same time that we see Biden’s mendacity about what Trump meant by the phrase, we see his deep hypocrisy when he sympathized with the “point” of the anti-Israel “demonstrators,” which he mischaracterized as wanting the killings of innocents on both sides to end.

And the following just drips with stagy falseness:

Of course, the pretense of one big happy family had to be maintained. Biden denied that he was angry at the Democrats who forced him off the ticket. Nancy Pelosi stood in the front row holding a “We Love Joe” sign, just weeks after wielding the knife. She came to bury Joe, not to praise him.

What a travesty.

Meanwhile, House Republicans have issued their report on Biden’s corruption, which comes a mite too late for anyone to care. Not that more than half the nation would have cared anyway, even if Joe were running again. Andrew C. McCarthy writes:

It is an important summary of the Biden Family Business, as much accountability as the public can expect given the limitations of congressional investigations that are stonewalled by an incumbent administration.

It is, moreover, a useful record of that stonewalling — very much including the corruption of the Justice Department — which connects the current Biden administration with the tireless self-dealing of Biden’s career, culminating in his term as vice president. …

Comer’s committee traces the money trail from Hunter, to Joe’s brother Jim, to Joe Biden himself.

All of this monetization of Joe Biden’s political power should be part of the criminal tax trial Hunter faces in about two weeks.

Why isn’t it? Because the Biden-Harris Justice Department buried it.

Of course they did. Integrity is in short supply these days.

And meanwhile, from a speech by Tim Walz at the DNC delegates’ breakfast yesterday:

We get an opportunity tonight to say a thank you to the best president of my lifetime that I’ve been able to witness, to someone who’s delivered time and time again, someone who made the selfless act of handing that torch to an incredible leader.

You need a strong stomach to listen to that sort of thing, especially while eating.

Posted in Biden, Election 2024 | 31 Replies

A must-see Caroline Glick video

The New Neo Posted on August 20, 2024 by neoAugust 20, 2024

Caroline Glick makes it crystal clear why no supporter of Israel should ever vote for Kamala Harris

By the way – when the Allies fought WWII, did they start out having a plan for “the day after”? I don’t think so. The Marshall Plan was proposed in 1947 and implemented in 1948.

Here’s another great Glick interview:

Posted in Biden, Israel/Palestine, Terrorism and terrorists, War and Peace | 5 Replies

Open thread 8/20/24

The New Neo Posted on August 20, 2024 by neoAugust 20, 2024

Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Replies

The Democratic National Convention began today

The New Neo Posted on August 19, 2024 by neoAugust 19, 2024

I won’t be watching. Speeches – particularly from the left, but speeches in general – are not my cup of tea. I’m not a glutton for punishment, although I usually watch some excerpts.

But there’s plenty of coverage all over the place – for example, this, this, this, this, this, and this. You can talk about any of it – or anything about the convention – in this thread.

A lot of people have been reminiscing about the 1968 Democratic Convention in Chicago, marked by violence in the streets, the crackdown by police, and the demonstrators’ chant of “the whole world is watching.” I recall being one of those people watching, too. I also remember what a strange year it was, because Lyndon Johnson had said he wasn’t running, and that left the field open for Hubert Humphrey to be nominated.

And I was distracted by stress in my personal life, although that stress was caused by the political. I had just been on the west coast saying goodbye to my boyfriend, who was being shipped out to Vietnam (I’ve written about that at length in this post). I had stayed out west for a big wedding, and by the time of the Democratic Convention I’d only been back home for a few days. So the whole time was sad and frightening for me for a host of reasons.

Posted in Election 2024, Me, myself, and I, Vietnam | 26 Replies

The unpromising hostage negotiations

The New Neo Posted on August 19, 2024 by neoAugust 19, 2024

The hostage negotiations are great PR for the murderers of Hamas, as is the constant understandable pressure from many of the Israeli hostage families on the Israeli government. But Sinwar and the others have no intention of capitulating to any deal unless it involves their empowerment and continuation, basically an Israeli surrender. After all, they learned long ago up close and personal – Sinwar himself was freed from an Israeli prison in 2011 as part of the Shalit exchange – what extraordinarily lopsided deals Israel was willing to make with them in the past.

After releasing some prisoners in order to get many of the more vulnerable hostages back, Israel has not made any more deals and refuses to accede to Hamas’ unreasonable demands. It seems to me that’s a given; they really can’t afford to do so, or the whole war will have been in vain.

But Biden and Blinken and the rest of the crew in the current administration keep pretending that there is some sort of good faith cooperation on the part of Hamas, and that the deals negotiated on their behalf by parties such as Egypt and Qatar will be accepted by Sinwar, and that Israel could afford to give up what Hamas demands. It’s a charade that we’ve seen them go through many times. My guess is that the administration would dearly love for a deal to be made at any price, so it can claim negotiating victory and “peace for our time.” The MSM cooperates and writes optimistic pieces about how the deal is practically done, really in the bag – and then there’s the announcement that alas, it fell through again.

These cycles repeat and repeat like Lucy and the football. But Hamas has no intention of giving up whatever hostages might still be alive – if they even know who really is alive at this point – for anything short of an end to the war. That’s why Hamas took the hostages in the first place – that, and sadism. Blaming Israel for any of this is preposterous, and yet so many do.

Here’s the latest:

The Hamas terror group published an official statement on Sunday evening in which it rejected the terms for a hostage release-ceasefire deal that were discussed in Doha on Thursday and Friday, and blamed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for putting up new obstacles in the talks.

Netanyahu, for his part, reportedly told cabinet ministers earlier on Sunday that he was pessimistic about the chances for a deal, especially given that Israel had been effectively negotiating with mediating countries rather than with Hamas, which refused to send a delegation to the latest round of talks.

“The chances are not high,” the Kan public broadcaster quoted Netanyahu as telling ministers.

You can say that again.

Here’s Blinken on the subject:

Speaking ahead of meetings with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Isaac Herzog in Tel Aviv, Blinken said, “This is a decisive moment, probably the best, maybe the last opportunity to get the hostages home, to get a ceasefire, and to put everyone on a better path to enduring peace and security.”

“I’m here as part of an intensive diplomatic effort on President Biden’s instructions to try to get this agreement to the line, and ultimately over the line. It’s time for it to get done,” he continued.

It’s a fiction that any deal with Hamas would get “everyone on a better path to enduring peace and security.” That’s not what Hamas wants – except the “peace” of ending the Israeli state and taking over the whole region, as well as Islam ultimately triumphing in the rest of the world.

Posted in Israel/Palestine, Liberty, Terrorism and terrorists, War and Peace | Tagged Benjamin Netanyahu | 26 Replies

Cornhead goes to a Walz rally so you don’t have to

The New Neo Posted on August 19, 2024 by neoAugust 19, 2024

Here’s his report. An excerpt:

The crowd was at least 75% female. That’s the largest percentage I have ever seen over the years in attending Democrat events. On top of that, at least half the people were unionized teachers who cheered when asked if they were teachers. For Tim Walz and his wife, both of their parents were teachers and all but two siblings are. It’s a union family. At one point Walz threw out the canard about how the GOP is banning books. The Dems are okay with pornography in grade school libraries, doncha know. …

This same former student said, “I can’t wait for the rest of the country to get to know this guy.” Me too. And that’s why I shouted out a question, “Why did you let the Twin Cities burn?” I know Walz heard me, but he didn’t answer. A woman in my row told me to shut up. After the rally, I told her that two people died in the riots and there was at least $500 million in property damage. But she didn’t want to hear of it. And her husband started screaming at me about acting like an adult instead of a child. The thing of it is, adults should make decisions based upon facts and reality and that means hearing inconvenient truths about public safety under Governor Walz.

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Tim Walz | 33 Replies

Open thread 8/19/24

The New Neo Posted on August 19, 2024 by neoAugust 19, 2024

The Mark Twain segment apparently isn’t authentic, but the rest are:

Posted in Uncategorized | 33 Replies

Meet violinist Adrian Anantawan, who was born without a right hand

The New Neo Posted on August 17, 2024 by neoAugust 17, 2024

There are some stories that are simply inspiring, and testaments to the human will. The life of Canadian violinist Adrian Anantawan is one such story. He was born with no right hand; you can find a lot of information and many videos of his playing at the website I just linked.

Here’s a good introduction, though:

And another slightly longer talk and demo:

When he was born, I doubt his parents thought of Anantawan as a future violinist. And yet I would imagine that, once he made the choice to start the violin and then kept going, it was at least in part due to their encouragement. Then again, he may have been born not only with no right hand but also with a temperament that gave him the determination to persevere and ultimately succeed at something he loved very much.

A personal note: I have a friend with a similar disability, acquired in utero for a similar reason. She had surgery as a child to take off a couple of her toes and fashion them into a few rudimentary fingers. The amazing thing about her is that most people don’t even notice. She has developed various techniques for hiding her hands, and she is very animated in a way that means that people focus mostly on her face. She’s also is able to do most ordinary things with her hands – although she doesn’t play the violin.

Posted in Getting philosophical: life, love, the universe, Health, Music, People of interest | 12 Replies

Is Biden still president?

The New Neo Posted on August 17, 2024 by neoAugust 17, 2024

Then again, was he ever?

Some would say he’s always been a complete figurehead, right from the start. But I’ve never felt that he was entirely out of the decision-making loop, especially early in his presidency. That’s not to say he wasn’t strongly influenced and even at times overruled by his handlers, whom I always felt were in turn under the influence of some sort of coalition headed by former president Obama. But certainly, in the past few months and especially since the coronation of Kamala Harris as nominee, Biden has been shoved aside far more and perhaps even entirely.

Which brings us to the next question: will Biden try to sabotage Kamala’s election chances out of spite? After all, he was done dirty by those who decided it was time for Joe to go. Or is his hatred of Trump and the GOP great enough to overcome his anger at those in his party who deposed him? I think the latter, but I’m not sure.

Then again, Kamala Harris doesn’t seem to be in charge now, either.

And isn’t it funny how the Democrat voters don’t appear to care about any of this? I believe that the top priority of most of them is to stop Trump, and they trust that the Deep State and the Democrat Party will take care of things after that. The priority of stopping Trump has been fueled by the propaganda branding him as Hitlerian, but it is a reflection of more generalized fears and hatred of his supporters as violent, racist, homophobic, misogynist, gun-toting, anti-science fundamentalists who will ban not just abortion but contraception as well.

So, who cares about the details of Kamala’s plan for the future? Who cares how Joe was treated? The only thing that matters is that Joe stopped Trump when it was needed (either through a fair election or a fraudulent one; the latter doesn’t matter to them either, except the need to deflect all talk of the possibility of Democrat fraud), and that Kamala do the same now that it’s needed again.

And if Kamala wins in November – heaven forbid – I don’t think she’ll be in charge, either. Not fully, anyway. Kamala is identity-politics window-dressing, and the left as well as Trump-hating liberals are hoping that will be enough for victory in 2024.

Posted in Biden, Election 2024, Trump | Tagged Kamala Harris | 38 Replies

Reading Lolita in Tehran is even more relevant than before

The New Neo Posted on August 17, 2024 by neoAugust 17, 2024

[NOTE: I originally wrote this post in 2005, nearly twenty years ago. I was reminded of the subject matter last night when commenter “Jeff Z” wrote, on the Holocaust inversion thread, “I don’t know if you’ve ever read ‘Reading Lolita in Tehran,’ but aside from being a terrific book, it covers this very phenomenon. The left-wing intellectuals thought the Islamists were lower-class blockheads, but then…well, you know.” Indeed, I do know, having written about that very thing in 2005. Last night I reread the post, and – unfortunately – it is even more relevant today, when we have our own marriage of leftists and Islamists uniting to destroy. So here’s the post again.]

Azar Nafisi’s Reading Lolita in Tehran has scored a surprising amount of popular success. I think part of its popularity (aside from its great title) is that it’s the type of book that especially appeals to women’s book groups—in fact, that’s how I came to read it. Most of the members of my book group talked about the book’s main theme: the shocking and depressing ways in which Iranian women’s lives have been stunted and twisted by the authoritarian and misogynistic theocracy in charge in Iran, and how Nafisi and her students somehow managed to feed their spirits by the clandestine study of some of the classics of Western literature.

Apparently, literature can help keep people who live under a totalitarian system sane—the Soviet dissidents also provided evidence of that. But, although of interest, that was not the theme I kept noticing and marveling at when I read the book; no, a very different aspect of Reading Lolita in Tehran kept grabbing my attention: the tendency of literary and intellectual youths in free societies to gravitate towards leftist causes that would end up curtailing that very freedom.

Author Nafisi is currently a literature professor at Johns Hopkins. The biographical blurb on the flyleaf of her book states that she had formerly been an English professor at the University of Tehran but was expelled for refusing to wear the veil, and that she later emigrated to the United States in 1997.

But Nafisi’s story, and her relationship to the revolution that devastated her country, is far more complex and ironic than that. The year 1997 was not her first emigration from Iran; she had left at the age of thirteen and been educated in England, Switzerland, and the US, only returning during the pivotal and fateful year 1979 to her beloved and much-longed-for homeland.

And what a homecoming it was! She writes:

The dream had finally come true. I was home, but the mood in the airport was not welcoming. It was somber and slightly menacing, like the unsmiling portraits of Ayatollah Khomeini and his anointed successor, Ayatollah Montazeri, that covered the walls. It seemed as if a bad witch with her broomstick had flown over the building and in one sweep had taken away the restaurants, the children and the women in colorful clothes that I remembered. This feeling was confirmed when I noticed the cagey anxiety in the eyes of my mother and friends, who had come to the airport to welcome us home.

Nafisi learned through bitter experience that you can’t go home again, although you can try.

The terrible irony of her story arises because Nafisi herself was part of the revolution that ended up destroying her country. Her tale resembles that of so many youthful visionaries, dabbling in politics like a bunch of naive Mickey Mouses (Mice?) in Disney’s “The Sorcerer’s Apprentice,” not realizing until too late the horrors their machinations will conjure into existence.

Nafisi married early, at eighteen, and attended college at the University of Oklahoma during the 1970s. Her plunge into political activism was as casual (and as literary) as it was leftist:

I joined the Iranian student movement reluctantly. My father’s imprisonment and my family’s vague nationalist sympathies had sensitized me towards politics, but I was more of a rebel than a political activist–though in those days there was not much difference between them. One attraction was the fact that the men in the movement didn’t try to assault or seduce me. Instead, they held study groups in which we read and discussed Engels’s Origin of the Family, Private Property, and the State and Marx’s The 18th Brumaire of Louis Bonaparte. In the seventies, the mood—not just among Iranians, but among American and European students—was revolutionary. There was the Cuban example, and China of course. The revolutionary cant and romantic atmosphere were infectious, and the Iranian students were at the forefront of the struggle.

So, revolution was a mood, an essence, something infectious in the air—rather like bacilli, as it turns out. Nafisi describes the group as markedly Marxist in philosophy and in style, sporting “Che Guevara sports jackets and boots…and Mao jackets and khakis.”

For Nafisi herself, romanticism and literature seem to have been the primary motives, passed somehow through the alchemy of her homesickness and transmuted into political activism:

[I] insisted on wearing long dresses outside the meetings…I never gave up the habit of reading and loving “counterrevolutionary” writers—T. S. Eliot, Austen, Plath, Nabokov, Fitzgrerald—but I spoke passionately at the rallies; inspired by phrases I had read in novels and poems, I would weave words together into sounds of revolution. My oppressive yearning for home was shaped into excited speeches against the tyrants back home and their American backers.

Once in Tehran, Nafisi began to realize that the unsettling airport scene had been only the tip of the iceberg. She soon came to bitterly regret the mindless revolutionary zeal of her youth, and to realize that her revolutionary dream had turned into a nightmare, as they so often do:

When in the States we had shouted Death to this or that, those deaths seemed to be more symbolic, more abstract, as if we were encouraged by the impossibility of our slogans to insist upon them even more. But in Tehran in 1979, these slogans were turning into reality with macabre precision. I felt helpless: all the dreams and slogans were coming true, and there was no escaping them.

Although the revolutionaries back in Oklahoma and elsewhere had been decidedly leftist, the revolution they helped birth was a restrictive theocracy. One of the most interesting portions of the book describes how those leftists, at least in the early stages, managed to rationalize and excuse such clear signs that things had gone sharply awry as the imposition of the veil and the subjugation of women.

Nafisi was not one of those excusers, however; she describes her horror at the relentless approach of the suffocating clasp of the mullahs, a chill embrace undreamt of in her leftist days in Oklahoma.

And it got worse, much worse; there are many passages in the book that reminded me uncannily of what it must have been like for French revolutionaries to have watched the unfolding of the Reign of Terror (those who survived, that is), not to mention Stalin’s ex-comrades viewing the purges of their ranks:

In later months and years, every once in a while Bijan [Nafisi’s husband] and I would be shocked to see the show trials of our old comrades in the U.S. on television. They eagerly denounced their past actions, their old comrades, their old selves, and confessed that they were indeed the enemies of Islam. We would watch these scenes in silence…I turned and ask Bijan, Did you ever dream that this could happen to us? He said, No, I didn’t, but I should have.

“No, I didn’t, but I should have.” What quiet words of chilling despair! And indeed, one wonders how it was that smart people could have been so dumb; by the mid-to late-1970’s, when Nafisi and her friends were supporting a leftist revolution in Iran, surely the jury was no longer out on the fact that this was a road that would lead to the revolution swallowing its own as well as many others. But we see such a phenomenon again and again, as history repeats itself in its winding, twisting path.

In Nafisi’s case, she seems to have been mainly a romantic, interested in literature almost to the exclusion of other topics—such as history, apparently. Unfortunately for her, she had to learn the lessons of history the hard way, from personal experience. And so, too, did her revolutionary Iranian comrades-in-arms, unfortunately for them—and for us, and for the world as well. They could never have guessed at the trajectory their lives would follow from those long-ago days of sartorial playing at being revolutionaries, sporting Che and Mao jackets, to their final moments in the executioner’s chamber.

And, if you can believe this interview, the Iranian students who took the Americans hostage in the last year of Jimmy Carter’s administration were hardly more serious or more focused than Nafisi herself. Read it and weep.

Nafisi’s story underscores the fact that there does seem to be something in the literary mind that is especially susceptible to romantic ideals of revolution, that doesn’t accept that institutions of government will always be flawed, that seeks a sort of misty perfection, and that believes in the power of youth to proclaim those ideals merely by taking to the streets and wishing it very, very hard.

Posted in Iran, Liberty, Literature and writing | 38 Replies

Open thread 8/17/24

The New Neo Posted on August 17, 2024 by neoAugust 17, 2024

Posted in Uncategorized | 36 Replies

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