Ezra Klein and I are asking essentially the same question, although we’re phrasing it a bit differently. He wonders why the lame duck session been so “productive;” I’m not so sure I’d use that particular word.
However, we’re in agreement on the point that there’s been a flurry of bills passed lately, and that most of the “compromise” has been on the part of RINOs who let these bills go forward instead of waiting till late January, when the new Congress will be in session and Republicans could get a much sweeter deal.
The reason? Klein’s guess is that the RINOs aren’t pleased with the more conservative makeup of the new Congress and want to pass what Klein calls “sensible” legislation. They disagree with their new Republican colleagues on principle.
I’d add that the RINOs are distressed that the extraordinary power they now hold by being the swing votes will be diminished in the upcoming more Republican Congress. For politicians, it’s often about personal power, I’m afraid. In addition, since these RINOs are mostly from fairly liberal states and would prefer to be re-elected, they don’t want their constituents to take it out on them; after all, bills such as the repeal of DADT are very popular with the American public in general and certainly with the voters of Maine and Massachusetts.
Another reason I think this may be happening now is that the Pelosi/Reid Congress purposely tried to get its most leftist and controversial bills passed in the early days of the session, when liberal strength was strongest. What’s left now are those bills that are more amendable to compromise, bills that had some sort of bipartisan (RINO, in particular) support, or bills with some time urgency (the so-called “Bush tax cuts”).
It also might be that the Republican leadership just isn’t very tough. You’d think they’d have the power right now to threaten RINOs with loss of privileges in the next session if the line isn’t toed, but that doesn’t seem to be happening. Or, if it has been happening, it’s been ineffective.
It may also be that Republican leaders don’t want to validate their own reputation for being the party of “no.” Some of these bills (such as the aforementioned DADT repeal) have broad popular appeal with the public, and drawing a line in the sand on them seems both mean-spirited and counterproductive, especially when it’s unclear that the bill’s passage will have a negative effect on the military (the only argument I can see that could justify blocking it).
Many Republican—and especially conservative—voters have had tons of experience with disappointment with Republicans in Congress. My guess is that in the next session, even with the Republicans more in control, there’ll be plenty more of that to come.
