It’s mostly Russians who are calling the recent drone attack by Ukraine “Russia’s Pearl Harbor,” because that would make Russia seem the innocent victim of a sneak attack that was unprovoked. Russia, of course, started this war, which makes the analogy absurd. However, Russia apparently did sustain quite a blow.
What it does to the peace talks is anybody’s guess.
More:
On Sunday, the Russian Ministry of Defense issued an official statement that a coordinated Ukrainian drone swarm attack targeted and damaged military aircraft across several airbases located deep within Russian territory. …
Multiple U.S. media outlets—including Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, and CBS News—have independently confirmed the Ukrainian drone swarm operation targeted and destroyed approximately 40 Russian military aircraft across four airbases.
According to Ukrainian intelligence officials cited by CBS News, the aircraft destroyed include Tu-95MS and Tu-22M3 bombers, which play a central role in Russia’s strategic and nuclear-capable long-range aviation forces.
These are aircraft that have been used to launch attacks on Ukraine. Ukraine says it informed Washington; the Trump administration denies this.
More details here.
The larger picture is that drone attacks seem to be the new face of warfare and probably will necessitate a huge adjustment in strategy and tactics. We’ve known about this need for quite some time; let’s hope we’re preparing quickly. Here’s an article with some details:
[Gen. Randy George, chief of staff of the Army] noted that technology is changing too rapidly on the modern battlefield to be wedded to these large procurement programs that historically have taken years to develop and once fielded, can be largely obsolete.
He wants to shrink the timeline it takes to develop systems and get them in the hands of soldiers, especially given much of these capabilities, such as drones, communications gear and electronic warfare tools, are increasingly available on the commercial market.
…
The Army has been experimenting with this approach through what it calls transforming-in-contact, which aims to speed up how the service buys technologies and designs its forces by injecting emerging capabilities into units and letting them experiment with them during exercises and deployments. …He also noted that Ukraine’s drone attack over the weekend flips the cost curve. Kyiv used relatively cheap systems to destroy millions to billions of dollars worth of Russian combat power.
“Look at how cheap those systems were compared to what they took out. We have to be thinking about that [with] everything we’re doing,” George said.
The attack, furthermore, exemplified how transparent battlefields are becoming, meaning there is nowhere to hide.
“We talk a lot about you can’t really hide anymore on the modern battlefield. You’re going to have to be dispersed, lower signature, all of those things, which we talk a lot about with our troops and with our commanders,” George said.
Our military needs to scramble to figure out a way to defend against this sort of thing, and I hope they’ve been working on it for quite some time because the threat has been obvious for a while.
