How goes Indiana?
The state of Indiana has a primary on May 3, and most analysts feel it will be pivotal in terms of the GOP nomination (and Ted Cruz knows it). But all that speculation about which way the state will go … Continue reading →
Category Archives: Election 2016
A few more post-NY-primary thoughts
Here’s an interesting article at RedState that crunches the delegate numbers and finds that it still won’t be easy for Trump to win the GOP nomination on the first convention ballot. I’m not at all sure about any of these … Continue reading →
New York primary: if Trump can make it there…
…can he make it everywhere? In other words, what is the significance of Donald Trump’s yuuge win in his home state? He was expected to win, and win big. That was already factored into projections about his final vote total … Continue reading →
Yeah, it’s New York primary day
[UPDATE below] You wanna make something of it? I’m not expecting a fun result. The real question is how big Trump’s margin will be, and how the various districts will go. Here’s an open thread to discuss it all. UPDATE … Continue reading →
On Rush Limbaugh
In comment after comment around the blogosphere, I’ve noticed quite a few Rush Limbaugh’s fans saying that they’re incredibly disappointed in him for his coverage of the 2016 primary, and have abandoned him and his show. Some of them were … Continue reading →
Old Testament and New: Trump and “an eye for an eye”
Get ready for something unusual: I’m going to defend Donald Trump. At least, a little bit. Yesterday Trump said something that was immediately pounced on by many listeners as being un-Christian: WHAM 1180 AM radio host Bob Lonsberry asked the … Continue reading →
The lack of endorsements from Republican senators and governors
Leon H. Wolf points out that there have been relatively few endorsements of either Trump or Cruz from elected GOP officials: Surprising as it is, there are still a lot of people who are on the sidelines as the party … Continue reading →
Cruz vs. Donald
Here’s an interesting interview with Ted Cruz, worth listening to. But right now I’m particularly interested in the part between minutes 11:17-12:00, when Cruz talks about calling Trump “Donald.” I have a very good friend who pointed out this phenomenon … Continue reading →
Paul Ryan says he isn’t running
Paul Ryan just made an announcement: “I do not want, nor will I accept the nomination for our party,” Ryan said in an announcement at the Republican National Committee. “Count me out.” …”So let me speak directly to the delegates … Continue reading →
New York polls
Polls of New York Republicans (not an oxymoron) say that Donald Trump should be getting slightly over 50% of the vote in the April 19 primary there. That wouldn’t be surprising; after all, it’s his home state. But let’s take … Continue reading →
How Ted Cruz might get elected despite his personality
Here’s one plausible scenario. It’s worth reading the whole thing, but here’s an excerpt: …[T]he assumption is that Cruz cannot improve his image among the broader electorate, but that’s hard to know for sure, because he’s never had to do … Continue reading →
Contested primaries
Here’s a pretty good article about how presidential primaries work, and why it’s that way: …[I]ncreasingly, any primary process can be effectively overwhelmed by a highly motivated subset of voters who bear little resemblance to the electorate as a whole. … Continue reading →