Here’s an interesting article at RedState that crunches the delegate numbers and finds that it still won’t be easy for Trump to win the GOP nomination on the first convention ballot. I’m not at all sure about any of these … Continue reading →
…can he make it everywhere? In other words, what is the significance of Donald Trump’s yuuge win in his home state? He was expected to win, and win big. That was already factored into projections about his final vote total … Continue reading →
[UPDATE below] You wanna make something of it? I’m not expecting a fun result. The real question is how big Trump’s margin will be, and how the various districts will go. Here’s an open thread to discuss it all. UPDATE … Continue reading →
In comment after comment around the blogosphere, I’ve noticed quite a few Rush Limbaugh’s fans saying that they’re incredibly disappointed in him for his coverage of the 2016 primary, and have abandoned him and his show. Some of them were … Continue reading →
Get ready for something unusual: I’m going to defend Donald Trump. At least, a little bit. Yesterday Trump said something that was immediately pounced on by many listeners as being un-Christian: WHAM 1180 AM radio host Bob Lonsberry asked the … Continue reading →
Leon H. Wolf points out that there have been relatively few endorsements of either Trump or Cruz from elected GOP officials: Surprising as it is, there are still a lot of people who are on the sidelines as the party … Continue reading →
Here’s an interesting interview with Ted Cruz, worth listening to. But right now I’m particularly interested in the part between minutes 11:17-12:00, when Cruz talks about calling Trump “Donald.” I have a very good friend who pointed out this phenomenon … Continue reading →
Paul Ryan just made an announcement: “I do not want, nor will I accept the nomination for our party,” Ryan said in an announcement at the Republican National Committee. “Count me out.” …”So let me speak directly to the delegates … Continue reading →
Polls of New York Republicans (not an oxymoron) say that Donald Trump should be getting slightly over 50% of the vote in the April 19 primary there. That wouldn’t be surprising; after all, it’s his home state. But let’s take … Continue reading →
Here’s one plausible scenario. It’s worth reading the whole thing, but here’s an excerpt: …[T]he assumption is that Cruz cannot improve his image among the broader electorate, but that’s hard to know for sure, because he’s never had to do … Continue reading →
Here’s a pretty good article about how presidential primaries work, and why it’s that way: …[I]ncreasingly, any primary process can be effectively overwhelmed by a highly motivated subset of voters who bear little resemblance to the electorate as a whole. … Continue reading →
On the face of it, the question seems like a no-brainer. What happened? As Edward Morrissey writes, he shot himself in the foot—dissing popular governor Scott Walker, and flubbing abortion questions—and ended up losing by 13 points, 35 to Cruz’s … Continue reading →