Here’s one plausible scenario. It’s worth reading the whole thing, but here’s an excerpt: …[T]he assumption is that Cruz cannot improve his image among the broader electorate, but that’s hard to know for sure, because he’s never had to do … Continue reading →
Here’s a pretty good article about how presidential primaries work, and why it’s that way: …[I]ncreasingly, any primary process can be effectively overwhelmed by a highly motivated subset of voters who bear little resemblance to the electorate as a whole. … Continue reading →
On the face of it, the question seems like a no-brainer. What happened? As Edward Morrissey writes, he shot himself in the foot—dissing popular governor Scott Walker, and flubbing abortion questions—and ended up losing by 13 points, 35 to Cruz’s … Continue reading →
People on the left and the right keep talking about Cruz’s unpleasant face. I’ve heard such discussions, I’ve read them, and you’ve probably heard and read them too. Perhaps you even agree that Cruz has a remarkably unpleasant face. Oddly, … Continue reading →
I feel a great sense of relief at the GOP results from Wisconsin, but of course this is just one state. If Trump had won a resounding victory there, though, I would have said that his chances of getting a … Continue reading →
As usual with these primaries, I am very anxious. This particular primary has been hyped as Extremely Important, maybe The Most Important One of All. I think that’s hyperbole, but it’s not all that far from the truth. The polls … Continue reading →
Roger Stone has a message for voters, and for delegates to the RNC [emphasis mine]: If Trump does not run the table on the rest of the primaries and the caucuses, we’re looking at a very, very narrow path in … Continue reading →
Trump doesn’t seem to quite understand the nomination process—unless, of course, he “misspoke” again. But I think that words—especially ad-libbed words like the following from Trump—can reveal what’s in/on a person’s mind better than scripted ones, and Trump has used … Continue reading →
A couple of weeks ago Rush Limbaugh opined on Democratic support for Trump: Now, what’s going on here? You think this is legit? Look at these three states: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois…Rust Belt states, traditionally Democrat states other than Ohio, which … Continue reading →
The Wisconsin primary is coming up on April 5, and Wisconsin’s governor Scott Walker has endorsed Ted Cruz, saying: Ted Cruz is a principled constitutional conservative who understands that power belongs to the states ”” and to the people ”” … Continue reading →
…support Kasich, at least according to the national polls, which you may or may not believe or care about. That poll result is one of the many very strange things that have emerged so far this campaign season. Another is … Continue reading →
I cannot recall a campaign season even remotely like this one, where the majority of voters dislike both front-runners, as confirmed by a recent CBS News/New York Times poll: Compared to frontrunners in previous presidential primary races, Trump and Clinton’s … Continue reading →