The recurring question of why the Jews didn’t leave Germany and Europe in time
[NOTE: This is a reposting of an old piece of mine that I think could use another go-round. The reason is that I often see people reference the idea that the Jews of Germany ignored or rationalized or denied or excused what was happening in Germany during the 1930s, and didn’t sound the alarm and leave in time. The idea is used to illustrate various points, but the reason I’m posting this is that for the most part the idea simply isn’t true. I’d like to try to clear that up once again.
I’ve also written or taken voluminous notes for drafts on other misconceptions – for example, that Jews went meekly “like lambs to the slaughter” and never resisted when in fact they might have or could have. Another topic for another time.]
It occurs to me from a recent exchange in the comments section that it might be a good idea to visit the topic of the reaction of the Jews of Germany to Hitler.
First I’d like to clear up one thing: the question of what percentage of the German population was Jewish back then. I wrote a post about the topic in September of 2005. Here’s an except:
…[I]n the course of doing some research on World War II and the Holocaust, I came across a statistic that absolutely stunned me: the percentage of Jews in the population of Germany prior to World War II and Hitler’s rise.
Since then, every so often I will ask people if they can guess what it might have been, and no one’s ever gotten it right off the top of their heads, or even come close.
So, what percentage of the population of pre-WWII Germany do you suppose was Jewish? Take a moment and think about it. Then guess.
You can do that now.
Here’s the answer, and it will almost undoubtedly surprise you (unless, of course, you were reading this blog years ago and remember that previous post):
According to the census of June 1933, the Jewish population of Germany consisted of about 500,000 people. Jews represented less than one percent of the total German population of about 67 million people.
Now that we’ve got that cleared up, let’s go to the larger topic: did the great majority of these Jews naively and hopefully fail to see the Nazi menace, and did they stay in Germany too long?
The answer to that is: it doesn’t seem that way. Actually, the majority of them left rather than wait it out. And many who waited it out did so because they could not leave—either because they were old and ill, and/or poor, and/or because all avenues of escape were closed to them.
Here are the statistics:
Increasing antisemitism prompted a wave of a Jewish mass emigration from Germany throughout the 1930s. Soon after their rise to power in 1933, the Nazis negotiated the Haavara Agreement between Zionist authorities in Palestine, which was signed on August 25, 1933. Under its terms, 60,000 German Jews were allowed to emigrate to Palestine and take $100 million in assets with them. Between 1929 and 1939, a total of 250,000 Jewish immigrants arrived in Palestine, mostly from Germany. Of these, 174,000 arrived between 1933 and 1936. After that, the British Mandatory authorities imposed limits on Jewish immigration, which led to clandestine illegal immigration. This wave of immigration was part of the Fifth Aliyah, and saw many Jewish doctors, lawyers, professionals, and professors leave the country.
The United States was another destination for German Jews seeking to leave the country, though the number allowed to immigrate was restricted due to the Immigration Act of 1924. Between 1933 and 1939, more than 300,000 Germans, some 90% of them Jews, applied for immigration visas to the United States. By 1940, only 90,000 German Jews had been granted visas and allowed to settle in the United States…
Overall, of the 522,000 Jews living in Germany in January 1933, only 214,000 were left by the eve of World War II.
It was probably easier to leave earlier in the 1930s as opposed to later. But from the above numbers you can see that a lot of people were trying—and even succeeding—during the mid-30s. For example, by my calculations, one-third of the entire German Jewish population managed to get to Palestine by 1936, before things tightened up and it became much more difficult to emigrate there (but even before that, numbers were limited by law).
What’s more, some who did leave Germany early on got trapped in their supposed places of refuge as time went on:
Some 100,000 German Jews also moved to Western European countries, especially France, Belgium, and the Netherlands. However, these countries would later be occupied by Germany, and many of them would still fall victim to the Holocaust.
In most cases emigration required cunning, connections, and money, and even then it often failed. The German Jews were generally more well-off and assimilated than Jews in countries where the Jewish population was much larger, such as Poland. I’ve talked mostly about Germany so far, but as is evident from the statistics, the Jews of Germany constituted a very small minority compared to the Jews of Europe. However, German Jews were more directly affected early on by Hitler and the Nazis and their restrictive laws. In other parts of Europe, the Jews would have been alerted to the dangers only later. But they were subject to all the restrictions mentioned, and it’s actually quite amazing that many made it out at all.
For every person who managed to leave, I would guess (although I have no way of knowing for sure) there were many many more who tried very hard and yet failed. A personal anecdote: I have read the translation of a series of letters written by a Polish Jew who was a relation by marriage. These documents are utterly heartbreaking and chilling. They begin in 1936 and continue to 1939, although there is one very brief one written in the early 1940’s. They consist of reports of what’s happening in Poland and requests for help in order to emigrate to America, where my ex-husband’s uncle (the recipient of the letters) was living at the time.
The writer was eventually trapped in Poland and murdered in the Holocaust. He was an ordinary man in the sense of having no particular wealth—as I recall, he had a small textile business—and he even had a brother in the US willing to help and pull every string he could find, including promising the US government that he would take financial responsibility for him. All to no avail.
The following excerpts will give you a flavor of the sentiments and thoughts expressed in these missives. Here’s a quote from the earliest letter that survived (from 1936):
Our situation here grows worse from day to day. A Jew here is worse off than a dog that runs about the streets…The burden of taxes is unbearable. Not a week goes by that there isn’t something new. And it is always on the Jew. It is truly indescribable. You Jew, you have money for everything. And on the other hand, the Jew is persecuted as a Communist. The whole story of the Middle Ages is being repeated.
…Polish Jewry is in a desperate state. Above all, there are no prospects in life for the young people. Very few marriages are taking place among Polish Jews, and so on. The young people see no future for themselves here. They want to emigrate, but unfortunately the world is completed closed to them…Above all, we are very frightened…These days, the people in high places speak openly about how they need to rid Poland of at least 100,000 Jews. Anti-Semitism is growing by leaps and bounds. They send free anti-Semitic newspapers into every village. The Jew is blamed for everything.
Here is one from 1939:
Now, my dear brother, let’s get down to business. You write that you spoke to a “lawyer” [Eng.] and he told you that he would find out everything that needs to be done. My dear brother, you should know that I dwell on this day and night; I simply don’t sleep.
Most importantly, you must understand what I write you. First, the American consulate here is very strict about the papers it receives. First, the papers must indicate that the person submitting them is in a good financial situation ”“mainly that his income exceeds his expenses, that he can support [the immigrants.]. If so, they grant a visa. I don’t know if you can show this. If your boss [Eng.] can provide certification that you are paid, for example, $70, and that you require only $40, and you can also show that you have a couple of thousand in the bank, that is good. My dear, I would very much like to rescue the children from this fire. I believe that there is sure to be a war in Europe, and you are well aware what the word “war” represents.
They do everything they can to get rid of the Jews. A young person, if only he has the wherewithal, wants to escape, as if from hell. Oh, my dear brother, we must do everything with great care and deliberation, to see that things go well, because in the American consulate in Warsaw they look to see who has better papers, and better guarantees, and those people get a visa sooner. That’s the thing you have to see to. There are people whose papers have been lying in the consulate for three years already, and still nothing has happened. And whoever has papers that show that someone can put up a lot of money as a guarantee, and also makes a good living, then it’s OK. May God help us get this done successfully.
Here is one from later in 1939:
If I had something happy to write, I would write to you twice a week. Unfortunately, such terrible things happen occasionally, they are indescribable. What times we are living in! People were mistaken in their belief that the aristocracy will win, and that courtesy and decency will rule. Instead, we have barbarism, ferocious violence, concentration camps and women buried alive with babies in their arms. This continues, and England still supports it and gives [untranslatable word] and so on.
…And it’s now clear that war is inevitable. Hitler has arms and people; he needs bread. All of world Jewry must be ready to fight all on fronts with strength and money and influence, to make sure that he fails. For he has decreed that Jews are bad and must be stamped out and their possessions taken.
Now, my dear brother, I know you are eager to know what has happened with the papers you sent. It is not a simple matter. Everyone loves the Jews but nobody wants them [as immigrants in their country]. The American consulate is inundated with [illegible word] and it goes with great difficulty.
From two letters late in 1939:
This week I got your letter with the [illegible word] that you wrote to the senator [word is in English]. I see that you are devoted and want to rescue my children from this powder keg. Today it said in the paper that America will be closed for 5 years…
America pities and sends wishes to the Jews. Can’t they let in a couple of million Polish, German, Rumanian and Austrian Jews?
It’s like the rich man who was very charitable. A poor man came begging at his door in winter. It was exceptionally cold. The rich man stood at the door and gave him alms. Shouts the poor man, I don’t want alms. It’s cold and I’m freezing. Let me in so I can warm myself a bit. No answer. The rich man gives him a couple more pennies, but doesn’t let him in.
There was a time when the Spanish and German Jews were chased out and Poland took them in. And now in such developed countries as America and England”“they know how to give alms but they won’t allow you to come in and warm yourself.
I’ll stop there, but I’ll add that these represent only a few short excerpts from a much lengthier series of letters that show a man who knows that he and his children are almost certainly trapped and doomed, and yet is fighting with all his might to escape. It is inexpressibly sad to read these letters and know what happened.
How typical this man’s sentiments and knowledge were at the time I do not know. But to me they suggest that a substantial number of the Jews who stayed in Europe in the 30s and died there in the 40s were quite aware of the fate that awaited them, either in general or very specific terms, and had tried their best to escape. But for most of them there was no way to do it and nowhere to go.
I’ve found working around the world that people are very aware of where they can and can’t go to get out of a risky or just unfortunate home country. They know visa policies of places like the USA better than many junior foreign service officers. We haven’t improved in our ability to manage/judge true refugee applicants, confusing pure economic migrants with people who will be killed.
Equally important is the ability to shelter and transfer funds. The traditional Swiss bank accounts were lifesavers for many. Our current government obsession with grabbing every penny has ruined these safe havens. What would you do if the state police were after you for your religion and they froze your bank account?
William Rubenstein of the University of Wales calculated (IIRC) that 72% of the Jewish population of Germany had emigrated by September 1939 and that the rest would have been gone within a few years had not the war prevented emigration. The trouble was, quite a number went to neighboring countries. France, the Low Countries, Denmark, and Poland were all under occupation by the middle of 1940.
The United States was another destination for German Jews seeking to leave the country, though the number allowed to immigrate was restricted due to the Immigration Act of 1924. Between 1933 and 1939, more than 300,000 Germans, some 90% of them Jews, applied for immigration visas to the United States. By 1940, only 90,000 German Jews had been granted visas and allowed to settle in the United States…
Depression-era legislation allowed the mortgaging of immigration quotas in order to provide more inflow.
Here’s the answer, and it will almost undoubtedly surprise you
No surprise. Have a gander at Steve Sailer’s comboxes. They’re chock-a-block with shnooks who fancy the Jewish population is a collection of criminal supervillains, so capable of damaging society no matter how small are their numbers.
It is worth remembering that many people in the 1930s, especially outside of Germany, simply had no true comprehension of the magnitude of the horror that the Nazis were planning. One illustration of this is a short story published in 1939; “Into Egypt” by Stephen Vincent Benet. It tells of the expulsion of the “Accursed People” (read Jews) from the land (read Germany) at the command of the Leader and the Party. It begins:
” It had finally been decided to let them go and now, for three days, they had been passing. The dust on the road to the frontier had not settled for three days or nights. But the strictest orders had been given and there were very few incidents. There could easily have been more.
Even the concentration camps had been swept clean, for this thing was to be final. After it, the State could say “How fearless we are–we let even known conspirators depart.” It is true that, in the case of those in the concentration camps, there had been a preliminary rectification–a weeding, so to speak. But the news of that would not be officially published for some time and the numbers could always be disputed. If you kill a few people, they remain persons with names and identities, but, if you kill in the hundreds, there is simply a number for most of those who read the newspapers. And, once you start arguing about numbers, you begin to wonder if the thing ever happened at all. This too had been foreseen.”
The story is told from the view point of a newly commissioned lieutenant in charge of a minor border crossing. He is fanatically loyal to the Leader and the Party, very proud to be part of this “great victory” and, at the same time, extremely anxious that he not fail in his first independent command. I won’t reveal the twist at the end.
Benet (best remembered today for his story “The Devil and Daniel Webster”) obviously regarded the persecution of the Jews in Germany as an atrocity, a horror. His story shows this clearly. But, when we look back, knowing the real horrors of the Holocaust, how better the fate of those in his story looks compared to the ghastly reality. Only a few hundred killed in the camps? Just being forced to walk into exile with only what you could carry? How much better that would have been than enslavement, starvation, torture and the murder of millions. Benet died in the early ’40s so he never saw the evidence from the liberated concentration camps.
You can find this story in a collection entitled “By the Waters of Babylon and Other Fantasies and Prophecies” Stephen Vincent Benet (available on Kindle).
I had read the same thing, as Art Deco notes, in a book called “The Myth of Rescue” a couple of years ago, by a researcher named William D. Rubenstein. He outlined very clearly that the majority of German Jews, especially the younger generation saw very clearly that there was no safety for them under the Nazis – and the only ones remaining in Germany were elderly, or optimistic, or had family responsibilities and couldn’t leave. And there were many – like Otto Frank’s family, who did leave, but didn’t go far enough, and were caught when Germany occupied Holland.
The serious roundups and killings of Jews didn’t really get underway until after war began, and then there was damned little that could be done. An interesting book, I thought.
Those letters are just heart-breaking!
charles:
I find them heart-breaking, too.
Sgt. Mom, another example of fleeing the Nazis but not far enough is the story of Francoise Frenkel. She was Jewish, born in Poland, and in 1921 she opened a French language bookstore in Berlin. It became a famous center for French culture and literature. She finally fled Germany in 1938 after Kristallnacht. Naturally, as a Francophile, she sought refuge in Paris. Not a good choice as it proved.
Amazingly she survived the war and wrote a remarkable account of her experiences which has recently been reprinted: “A Bookshop in Berlin,
The Rediscovered Memoir of One Woman’s Harrowing Escape From the Nazis”.
John+F:
Wait a minute! Benet wrote about concentration camps in 1939?!
When most in America had zero knowledge of them. Remember, it was the Great Depression, and newspapers then were the same biased voices as now. I believe the US would not have entered the European war except for Pearl Harbor and Hitler, allied with Japan, then immediately declaring war on the USA. Yes, he did. Stupid? Yes.
Did FDR et al. know this in 1939 or did they simply pretend ignorance, refusing to grant entry of the large majority of German Jews seeking US admission? A shipload of Jews was denied landing at all US ports at about that time, IIRC, after crossing the Atlantic. Several hundred souls.
FDR was naturally a Democrat. The history of the Democratic Party is morally filthy, going all the way back to the Civil War era.
Social Security when initiated was a con job, with eligibility at age 65. But life expectancy for a white American male that same year, 1935, was 64 years. Not coincidental, in my view.
My maternal grandfather was one of two surviving members of his entire extended family, who lived in northeast Poland, not far from Suvolk. I have family members who have been enslaved much more recently than any relatives of Ibram X. Kendi or Ta Nehisi Coates.
I have the impression there was much casual antisemitism in 30s America. That, combined with the isolationist mood of the time, made it unlikely FDR would have let in big waves of Jews immigration.
Furthermore, though I haven’t looked into it, there is a fair amount of writing that FDR himself was at least somewhat antisemitic. It wouldn’t surprise me.
Cicero, yes people knew about concentration camps in 1939. Remember the Nazi had been in power about 6 years by then. The information was available…if you wanted to look for it. But people, at the time, thought of concentration camps not as mass extermination centers but open air prisons. It is also worth remembering that the Nazis took the term “concentration camps” from the British. The British set up concentration camps in the latter stages of the Boer War. They were intended to “concentrate” the population under British control and thus cut off support for Boer guerrillas. The British camps in South Africa did cause a lot of deaths, principally because a lack of medical knowledge and proper provisions. The Afrikaners still remember this with great bitterness.
The sheer scale of the horrors discovered when Allied troops entered the camps was stunning. One of the reactions to it was to document it with movies and photographs so that people back home could see it for themselves. Otherwise, military commanders feared civilians would never believe it.
“Some 100,000 German Jews also moved to Western European countries, especially France, Belgium, and the Netherlands. ”
Yes , Anne Frank wasn’t a Dutch Jewish girl, but rather a German Jewish girl.
A bigger question should be why did Jews keep on returning to Germany after one genocide after the other .( the Shoah was one of many)
the Ravensberg massacre, the Crusade and Rhineland massacres, the Black Plague massacres, the stealing of the host massacres, Hussite war massacres, thirty year war massacres etc,
and when things were occasionally good it was a top down thing with a righteous sovereign, never the Volk.
do we bear any accountability?
”
Furthermore, though I haven’t looked into it, there is a fair amount of writing that FDR himself was at least somewhat antisemitic. It wouldn’t surprise me.”
hard core. when FDRyms was on the Harvard Board in the 20’s he instituted the Jewish quota
“My maternal grandfather was one of two surviving members of his entire extended family, who lived in northeast Poland, not far from Suvolk. I have family members who have been enslaved much more recently than any relatives of Ibram X. Kendi or Ta Nehisi Coates.”
and your family came here long after scum like Obama were forced to give up their slaves
It was a reasonable calculation from 33 up until 38/39 that as a Jew one did not have a long-term future in Germany. Nazis took a certain pleasure in applying some rather unkind Nudge policies to encourage them to decamp. In 2021, the likes of Thaler and Sunstein are celebrated for giving Whitey the Nudge, whether he likes it or no. Forcing a wage slave to buy ‘Health Insurance’ that doesn’t insure his health isn’t as bad as making him wear a yellow star and cancelling his law licence or tearing up his habilitation, I’ll grant. Then again Jeremy Bentham or Peter Singer might have looked at relative numbers and areas under the curves — relative sum totals of human misery. Climate definitely got nastier in 38 with Kristallnacht and was clear that war was just around the corner and then emigration became orders of magnitude more difficult.
But clearly the aim was to Nudge (Force. Same thing.) German Jews to emigrate, whilst of course emptying out their pockets.
To wit, The Haavara Agreement:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haavara_Agreement
More interesting question about the mid-30s is why other countries were not super enthusiastic about an influx of Jews. All other things being equal, who wants an influx of anyone alien? So not super surprising that world was largely indifferent, except for diaspora Jews who had a perfectly natural concern for their ethnic kin. I guess so too, did engaged elements of the Left who until Molotov-Ribbentrop were ideologically bound to at least point the finger.
Now, the Polish Jews were right to live in fear once Hitler started picking on Poland. As were the Poles. The Nazis were determined to get rid of as many Slavs as possible — perhaps keeping some of the peasantry around as serfs, but they ran a campaign of elimination against the Polish Intelligentsia from the get go once they had Poland. But again… it was possible for a Pole to have doubts about how things would go until 1939. Don’t forget that Poland got a Chunk of Czechoslovakia as part of C’s dismemberment by Hitler. The big push up until things soured in 39 was to get Danzig back and some kind of right of way to Koenigsberg. Poles were stupid not to cut a deal. Would have been a bad deal, but might have bought some time. Poles pretty much brought the First Partition upon themselves and didn’t do themselves any favours in the 30s after Pilsudski’s untimely death… hopefully they’ve learned.
But still… think about being a Jew in Poland. You lived under a hyper-nationalist regime that in 1935 was probably *more* anti-Semitic in daily life to the average Jew than Germany itself was. But you got by. Why? I guess one reason was that a Polish Jew lived in a Sea of Jews mostly — there were a lot of them and the Poles were, well Slavs… not the most efficient most of the time. German efficiency later on… well… that was another thing.
What I’m trying to get at is that we look at this with hindsight. In the moment it really wasn’t that clear. Until it became Very Clear. And then it was too late. But it’s always like this and suddenly Too Late when History turns into a Bitch.
And so when Clio flipped into PMS Mode and the Nazis went full horror show on Slavs (more) and Jews (we *hear* more, but still 6M is a terrible crime), well what were a few more German Jews but an afterthought… so into the trains they went along with the rest.
The lesson should be that past performance is no guide to future results and that beastliness goes exponential faster than we can imagine.
In addition to the Haavara Agreement, there’s this interesting historical footnote:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_settlement_in_the_Japanese_Empire
Never let it be said that the Japanese lack a sense of humour. They named their plan to leverage Jewish Emigration to Manchukuo and other bits of their empire the Fugu Plan. Fugu is a deady poisonous (neurotoxin, no less) Puffer Fish which requires extremely careful handling and preparation — which if done successfully results in a culinary delight and if bungled rapidly kills he who ingests it. Safer than Russian Roulette, but there’s always that frisson when you sit down to guzzle Fugu Sashimi.
Japanese Imperialists traipsing around China were not unfamiliar with Jewish Success.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sassoon_family
Just to pick the most prominent.
To this day, one of the wealthiest families in Hong Kong is descended from a Sassoon protege:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kadoorie_family
Their bank account ticks over as I sit here with the aircon going. All hail the Kadoories. And to be fair I’d rather enrich them than the Chinese scumbag who owns the other power company.
One of history’s weird by-ways and what-ifs.
Re: Fugu…
Zaphod:
One of the hottest sushi restaurants in San Francisco when I lived there was “Blowfish: Sushi to Die For.” Catchy. Pretzel, my yoga teacher, took me there for some computer work I did on her behalf.
Apparently it’s still closed due to Covid, but looking to reopen. In the meantime a copycat restaurant in the Mission grabbed the name and is running with it.
As to what was known when, there are a couple of complexities.
For example, most camps in the west were built as and run as forced labor camps. Dachau, one of the most recognizable, was built in 1933. It took in criminals, enemies of the party, communists, homosexuals, gypsies, etc. For all its horror, eighty-five percent of the intake survived the war.
My father’s division, 104th ID TImberwolves, liberated Mittelbau Dora. About two thirds of those inmates survived.
We can reasonably presume that conditions worsened as the war went on, which would mean the death rate in the beginning was not as high as it would have been later. So…don’t be a commie, keep your mouth shut about politics, you should be okay and not go to prison.
It wasn’t until the Wannsee Conference, January of 42 when the war was well and truly on, that the formal process of total extermination was on the docket. Everything had been handled except, to be a smart ass, the railroad schedules, and that’s what Wannsee was about. These camps were to be built in Poland and only later than the forced-labor models of the west. Auschwitz killed 85% of its intake and would have done more if not interrupted by the Red Army which arrived with many of the most recent intake not yet processed plus the inmates required to do the dirty work.
Whatever the Jews in Germany thought prior to, say, 1940, from the outside it may well have looked as if the Nazis were being particularly rough in handling the internal upsets–nothing like the US or UK or France or others would have done–which were embroiling much of Europe. Note that almost without pause, after the Armistice, large units of Friekorps were fighting in the Baltics. Clemenceau, looking at the chaos of the late Austro-Hungarian Empire, remarked, “Must every little language have its own country?”
The Spanish Civil War was inexplicable, killed many tens of thousands, and gave us the Fifth Column which proved that just because a guy’s on your side of a line and speaks with the same accent you do doesn’t mean he’s on your side.
The Brits had, among others, the Tonypandy riots which were severe and required massive outside resources to quell. Why wouldn’t things get worse and in a benighted place like Germany, late opponent in the worst war in anybody’s grandfather’s living memory, get much worse?
Then we might picture a politician asking a woman, most of whose male relatives were dead or crippled in the war and who has maybe one son left on hand what ought to be done about forced labor camps harboring rioters and suchlike in the accursed Germany?
That national governments would do severe things to get on top and stay on top would not have surprised onlookers, even if the severity were seen to be excessive.
Thus, I suggest, outside concern was likely in accord with what was happening, not what would happen, until nothing else could be done but win the war.
As an appendix, the call to “bomb the camps” would have resulted, in the west, the deaths of tens of thousands who otherwise would have survived the war. And the extermination camps were in the east, beyond the combat radius of our bombers.
@Huxley:
Catchy name. I like it.
Second helpings all round!
I took delivery of a kilogram of Biltong yesterday. Take a while to gnaw through that lot. All I need now is a Horse, a Mauser and some Britishers to shoot at.
https://www.shootingtimes.com/editorial/longgun_reviews_st_boermodel_201007/99362
Richard Aubrey:
Great stuff!
Eisenhower and everyone fighting the Nazis, who thought they knew Nazi brutality, were still shocked by the real camps. The second-guessing about what we should have done is a little too easy.
Richard Aubrey:
Just to add another grim detail, in the East, beyond Poland, the Germans killed millions IIRC without camps, Eisenstatzgruppen and the Heer (not just the SS).
huxley, so true. As if the Poles were dealing with civilized regimes in 1939.
Another major branch of the Diaspora — I knew about the WWII refugees, but not the earlier migrations. But then, are Conversos* still Jewish?
Somewhat like the distinction of white and non-white Hispanics**, I suspect that they are whatever suits the needs of the current Power That Be.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Jews_in_Latin_America_and_the_Caribbean
*”A converso, “convert”, was a Jew who converted to Catholicism in Spain or Portugal, particularly during the 14th and 15th centuries, or one of his or her descendants.”
** by TommyJay
https://www.thenewneo.com/2021/06/11/whiteness-as-quasi-religious-dogma-in-the-new-anti-racism-church/#comment-2559101
Those missives are incredible and incredibly sad. Thank you for sharing them.
I recently read “Defying Hitler” on recommendation from the commentariat here. Thank you for that.
Another good book that addresses the question of what people knew (or thought they knew) about Germany under the Nazis before the war is “Travelers in the Third Reich: The Rise of Fascism: 1919-1945” by Julia Boyd, 2018. There were people who visited Germany in the 1930s and saw the growing threat. But there were also a lot of people who returned and essentially told everyone “Nazi Germany, it’s a great tourist destination!”
If you look hard enough, or even if you don’t, you will find examples of “man’s inhumanity to man” throughout history, in all places and for a myriad of reasons. We have this from the online version of Encyclopedia Britannica just for starters:
“According to Thucydides, for example, the people of Melos were slaughtered after refusing to surrender to the Athenians during the Peloponnesian War. Indeed, in ancient times it was common for victors in war to massacre all the men of a conquered population. The massacre of Cathari during the Albigensian Crusade in the 13th century is sometimes cited as the first modern case of genocide, though medieval scholars generally have resisted this characterization. Twentieth-century events often cited as genocide include the 1915 Armenian massacre by the Turkish-led Ottoman Empire, the nearly complete extermination of European Jews, Roma (Gypsies), and other groups by Nazi Germany during World War II, and the killing of Tutsi by Hutu in Rwanda in the 1990s.”
Not to mention the Communist slaughters of hundreds of millions in the century just passed. So, it hardly comes as a surprise that Jews were targeted during one particularly notorious period. What does surprise me is the total absence of a single mention in any of these comments regarding the common denominator in all this carnage, namely, the inability of the slaughtered to fight back against the slaughterers. So allow me to interject this admonition: If you want to avoid being pogromed and genocided, never, ever give up your guns. Even if you are eventually unsuccessful in your efforts at self-defense, it’s better to die on your feet than on your knees.
OM. WRT non-camp massacres; among other things, they tell us of the regime’s determination which wouldn’t be stopped by some magic inconvenience or international condemnation.
@Steve:
Yes to all.
Jews without Guns could profitably go read Ron Unz for 30 minutes and then scald any incoming malefactors to death with the steam coming out their ears.
But Guns are always best. You guys are still incredibly lucky to be able to have them.
Steve (retired/recovering lawyer):
Their have been other genocides, it’s true, but the Holocaust was a unique genocide. Here’s a post of mine explaining what was unique about it.
Billy Wilder famously said that the optimists died in the gas chambers and the pessimists have pools in Beverly Hills.
A bigger question should be why did Jews keep on returning to Germany after one genocide after the other .( the Shoah was one of many)
the Ravensberg massacre, the Crusade and Rhineland massacres, the Black Plague massacres, the stealing of the host massacres, Hussite war massacres, thirty year war massacres etc,
Contemporary accounts from medieval sources can be rather florid. (Barbara Tuchman discusses the problem in A Distant Mirror). Try as a null hypothesis the notion that the massacres in question had a death toll an order of magnitude smaller than conventional accounts would indicate.
“Try as a null hypothesis the notion that the massacres in question had a death toll an order of magnitude smaller than conventional accounts would indicate.”
But don’t try it at home on *this* one if you know what’s good for you 😀
The massacre of Cathari during the Albigensian Crusade in the 13th century is sometimes cited as the first modern case of genocide, though medieval scholars generally have resisted this characterization.
Emmanuel LeRoy Ladurie provided a quite detailed account of how the Albigensian crusade played out in one particular French village, and, no, there was nothing resembling any massacre.
But don’t try it at home on *this* one if you know what’s good for you
Why do you fancy my family would object?
Twentieth-century events often cited as genocide include the 1915 Armenian massacre by the Turkish-led Ottoman Empire, the nearly complete extermination of European Jews
I think about 1/3 of Europe’s Jewish population did survive. Britannica‘s going down hill.
Art Deco; Zaphod:
The Jews kept being chased out of countries in Europe periodically, and then welcomed back by other regimes in those countries, only to be expelled again. Germany was actually one of the countries that, from the 1800s until the Nazis, gave the Jews the most rights. However, plenty of countries had higher percentages of Jews than Germany did, and were considered better for Jews. Poland was the country with the highest percentage of Jews because it was considered most welcoming de jure and de facto. That certainly didn’t make it any picnic for Jews, even before the Nazis came.
As far as the massacres go, the German ones were probably at least as awful as described, and there is some genetic evidence for that. At least, that is a a hypothesis described here as an explanation for the severe genetic bottleneck in the past of Ashkenazi Jews as evidenced by their DNA. The DNA indicates that the Jews of Europe were reduced at one point to about 350 breeding individuals.
Art Deco:
If you look at the link I gave to “Steve” the recovering lawyer, you will find this, which I believe explains what the encyclopedia is talking about:
In other words, the Nazis killed nearly all the Jews who had remained in Europe. About a third had escaped through emigrating. Most of these Jews lived in Poland, where they were trapped when the Nazis successfully invaded and succeeded with lightning speed to take over the country. Many of them – like the author of the letters in the present post – tried desperately to escape even prior to the Nazi invasion but could not.
If not all German Jews saw it coming, the Diaspora was more on the ball:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germany_Must_Perish%21
History is not just weird. It’s weirder than any of us can imagine.
A Thousand Years Hence, the Chinese Historians won’t know what to make of us.
In other words, the Nazis killed nearly all the Jews who had remained in Europe. About a third had escaped through emigrating.
IIRC, there were ca. 1980 not quite 3 million Jews living in Britain, France, and Soviet Russia. I suppose some of them could have been those who returned to Europe after the war.
The DNA indicates that the Jews of Europe were reduced at one point to about 350 breeding individuals.
I hear you. I’d have some native reserve to taking that at face value and would want to see if this conclusion is replicated. It’s hard to imagine a population that size being multifocal, so just where were they hiding out in 1300?
Rogan, in The Fall of The Ottomans, gives a detailed account of the Armenian issue. Originally, the Ottomans wanted to move Christians and western-oriented ethnic groups away from the coast(s) where they might aid the Allies.
That included the unpopular Armenians.
The result was a catastrophe made up of indifferent and incompetent logistics, the control by sadistic and/or incompetent managers of the move, and disease.
I am reluctant to use the term “genocide” unless there is official notice in advance of the desire to eliminate an ethnic/religious group. What happened to the Armenians might have satisfied a number of Turkish citizens, or not, presuming anybody knew anything about it. But, unless there are references to elimination officially, it would be a worse Trail of Tears.
I’ve found this site to be useful in examining the various mass killings done over the centuries.
http://www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/welcome.html
Art Deco:
Britain was a place to which some of the Jews of mainland Europe in countries with much larger Jewish populations managed to emigrate during the 1930s. Of course, by 1980, the Jewish population of Britain also included their descendants. Here are the population stats for Jews in Britain.
I don’t know where you’re getting your figures, but here are current figures for the Jewish population of those countries and others. Not many Jews at all compared to before the war.
I don’t know where you’re getting your figures
Newspaper stories lodged in my memory. I think the Jewish population of all three countries has declined. In the case of Russia and the old Union Republics, there was mass emigration after 1984, with the largest segment going to Israel. IIRC, there are only about 200,000 Jews left in Russia proper. I think it has declined in Britain and France as well. Non-orthodox Jews tend to have low fertility and Jews outside the orthodox and conservative illuminations tend to boil off into the surrounding goy population. One of the critiques of Charles Silberman’s A Certain People said he was far too sanguine about the vigor of Jewish community life and maintained pace Silberman that the descendants of the mid-19th century German Jewish influx simply did not consider themselves Jews and that undermined one of his theses (that conversion of gentile spouses balances out losses to the gentile society). (A prominent example would be the Ochs and Meyer families who’ve owned The New York Times and The Washington Post, respectively). Orthodoxy has had such a commanding position in British Jewry that you’d think they’d be demographically vigorous, but I think they’re declining there.
Art Deco:
The Jews of Russia were mostly in Ukraine, Belarus, Latvia, and Lithuania rather than Russia proper. However, quite a few of those people escaped east to Russia as the Germans advanced, and survived there, although a huge number were killed by the Einsatzgruppen in Ukraine and the rest. After the war the remaining Jews of Russia (most of them ethnic rather than religious Jews) had a rough time under the Soviets and many emigrated to other countries (US and Israel, primarily I think) when they were finally allowed to do so.
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Edith Stein seemed to be coldly realistic about the degree of violence in the making.
Perhaps… but could be that Edith Stein is about as popular as Israel Zolli or Jean-Marie Lustiger in these parts.
But objectively, a Convert who joined a strict religious order and did not convert merely to smooth way to marriage or assimilation / social advancement is a rare bird indeed and bespeaks an outlier mindset.
Brave enough anyway. She had a chance to run and chose not to.
Really though.. and as much as I enjoy poking folk with a stick.. the real lesson of the increasing troubles of the Jews in Europe during the 30s and then the switch flip to outright mass murder is that it’s all debatable and one can find example and counter-example and delicious irony until one is blue in the face but simple fact is that up until the gates of hell opened it was possible for people to doubt the outcome and comfort themselves with the thought that things couldn’t get much worse.
Although like most non-Jews I am suffering from Holocaust Fatigue (Just the Facts, Ma’am) there’s a valuable lesson here which was I guess the point of Neo’s post. We live in Interesting Times now and it’s impossible to predict how bad things might become. Future Chinese or Robot Historians may well look back and wonder why we were so sanguine in 2021.
” Future Chinese or Robot Historians may well look back and wonder why we were so sanguine in 2021.”
For myself I am “sanguine” do to age, and personal conditions which make all those “flee-flee-flee” scenarios non-starters. Plus in any case, we, the USA, are the place others flee to when things get bad. We don’t really have a place to flee to and so we must stand and fight, as we can, where we are.
One advantage we have over those in the ’30s is we now truly know, or should know, what monsters those who yearn for totalitarian rule are.
On seeing what’s coming, and fleeing:
A family friend grew up in Vienna in the 1930s. Her father was a businessman. He saw what was coming and stashed money in various cities in East-Central Europe and in Turkey. They got out of Vienna in 1938 and managed to stay one step ahead of the Nazis. First Prague, then Belgrade, then Istanbul, then, finally, Palestine. In Palestine they taught our friend to sew and to shoot. With a Mauser, but an 8×57, not a 7×57 (the South American/Boer variant). She also met her husband there. He was originally from Berlin, got out in 1939, and served with the British Army in the Middle East and Italy. They emigrated to the States after the war.
Austrian filmmaker Axel Corti made a great dramatic trilogy about Jewish WWII refugees for Austrian TV back in the 1980s. Called “Where To and Back” (“Wohin und Zuruck”), it came out on DVD in 2007 or 2008:
https://jewishfilm.org/Catalogue/films/wheretoandback.htm
Samples from the third installment, set in Vienna in late 1945:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAMKy1Ee_9o
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HQeMjqPx5os
Reviews on NPR and in The Forward:
https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=28310288
https://forward.com/culture/12482/to-black-and-back-01129/
Worth watching, if you can still get it.
@Hubert:
“A family friend grew up in Vienna in the 1930s. Her father was a businessman. He saw what was coming and stashed money in various cities in East-Central Europe and in Turkey. They got out of Vienna in 1938 and ***managed to stay one step ahead of the Nazis***.”
Smart man. It’s not just about Head-on-a-swivel-sniff-the-air, it’s not just about being fortunate enough to have the financial means to escape, let alone set up diversified options for escape, there’s some X-Factor ‘Always Be Closing’ survival trait as well. You had to be quick on your feet and lucky… but that flexibility was the have-to-be-in-it-to-win-it precondition for ‘Luck’. Escape like much business success was probably more often an iterative process than the ‘Miracle’ or ‘Good Samaritan’ tropes which make for compelling drama.
Can Do! assumes there will be Chinese historians in 1000 years. Much like the Inca Historians, Aztec Historians, Egyptian Historians, the future is a funny thing, but we don’t live there.
@om:
Chinkydides:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Records_of_the_Grand_Historian
“In all, the Records is about 526,500 Chinese characters long, making it four times longer than Thucydides’ History of the Peloponnesian War and longer than the Old Testament.[16][17]”
Ever heard of the Lindy Effect? It’s a handy metric for estimating survival of institutions, trends, whatever. GIYF.
I’d say there’s a far better chance of there being Han Chinese Historians 2000 years hence than White Caucasian Chroniclers.
Here’s the thing. The Aztecs, Incas, Egyptians are History. Their genes survive as Fellaheen Peasantry. Probably coming to live next door to you next year :).
The Chinese have a good 3,000+ years of continuous history and Civilization. They absorbed and assimilated barbarian invaders multiple times and wore them down.
Don’t get me wrong. I think it’s great that you’re an American Chauvinist. So go forth and smite some people who have no business living in your street, town, county… Bloviating about Chinese is just wasting your Oxygen budget.
Can Do! lecturing me about bloviating about the Chinese. Do mirrors or work in Can Do! land? Are there concepts of “self awareness” or “own goal?” in the mind of “Can Do!” ?
Here’s a clue for Can Do! Next door neighbors are hispanic Americans and have been for most of the last 40 years. Good people. Try your dusky people phobias on someone else. It’s the character not the melanin. You are such a small tool.
Can’t Do! beeblebrox Can’t Do!
Can Do!
GIYF
Duck Duck Go.
I try not to give Google any clicks. You be you Can Do!
Worship the Han, your new masters, everyone has a price or so I’ve heard.
Zaphod,
Our friend’s father was apparently a very clever man, and very quick on his feet. She told a story about how he once passed off his son as his wife’s gigolo to deflect a documents check during a surprise visit by the police. The family was accompanied in flight by their Austrian housekeeper, who exclaimed “Da iss er schon wieder!”–“There he (Hitler) is again!”–when the Nazis marched into Czechoslovakia (1939) and Yugoslavia (1941). Eventually they got beyond his reach, but there were some close calls.
Axel Corti’s “Welcome in Vienna” has some interesting interplay between Sergeant Adler, a German Jewish Communist refugee serving with a U.S. Army propaganda outfit, and his Jew- and Communist-hating alcoholic lieutenant, an earlier German immigrant to the States. You might enjoy it.
The Chinese have a good 3,000+ years of continuous history and Civilization.
There’s been continuous history and civilization in the Near East, in India, and in Europe all that time. The Erlitou culture was confined to a modest segment of the Yellow River valley and left no written records. It postdated the Indus Valley civilization, Sumer, Egypt, and Minoan Crete by more than 1,000 years. The advent of the Shang dynasty was contemporary with that of Mycenean Greece and the Ganges civilization in India.
Although like most non-Jews I am suffering from Holocaust Fatigue
No, you’re suffering from projection.
@Hubert:
“She told a story about how he once passed off his son as his wife’s gigolo to deflect a documents check during a surprise visit by the police.”
That’s some next-level Judo right there. Julius Streicher would not have been amused by that bit of borrowing.
Thanks for the Corti tip. Would have been fascinating to have been a fly on the wall during Gustave Gilbert’s interviews with the surviving Nazi leadership before the Nuremberg Trials. Must read the book he wrote about this one day.
Updated for 2021 (taking the broad view)?
https://www.jns.org/opinion/lethal-own-goal-war-journalism/
“…and many emigrated to other countries (US and Israel, primarily I think)…”
Rather ironically, many decided (and were encouraged by the German govt.) to move to Germany…(to be joined later by significant numbers of Israeli youth who were among other things attracted by the vibrancy, openness and effervescence of a reunited Berlin; though I suppose it may also have appealed to a certain perversity of sentiment, not uncommon in youth, generally, at least until they “grow up”…).
“History may not repeat itself but it [has a wicked sense of humor]”?
“…interesting interplay…”
Reminds one of the not-so-delicate dynamics behind the Iron Curtain woven into “The Spy Who Came in from the Cold”…..
@BarryMeislin
They’d be well advised to not make it excessively vibrant. Not everybody was positively inspired by the Christopher Isherwood stuff last time around.
Good point….
Though I’m not sure they really listen to anyone, actually.
(It’s more like “I am a Smartphone” so sod off…).
Though maybe at some stage they’ll “listen” to Erdogan and his merry minions of Young (German-speaking) Turks…hopefully before it’s too late….
But at least when push comes to shove they’ll have somewhere to go back to (unless Hamas, Iran, Hezbullah and friends get lucky…which is entirely possible, I mean what are the odds? One in ten? Twelve—now THERE’s a lucky number—Fifteen? Twenty?…To be sure, this time around they have “Biden” at their backs…but—ssshhhh—don’t tell anyone, since it is very well known, by practically everyone, that the Democrats are fully supportive of the Zionist Entity, didn’t you know…)
Well, never a dull moment….sigh…..
@Barry Meislin:
“I am a Smartphone”
Well played, Sir!
(Om: Look up Ping Pong Diplomacy)
“Well, never a dull moment….sigh….”
The Chinese “May you live in Interesting Times” curse is apocryphal, but…
*hoofbeats*
Oh.. crap!
Ping Pong diplomacy was really terrific while it lasted. Seems like such an innocent time, actually. (And relatively cheap as sports go, especially in relation to the Nuclear Olympics.)
Now, it just seems like endless Wuhan Follies, bottomless Orwellian pieties and a nasty world that’s ever increasingly ZUBAR.
http://www.jewishworldreview.com/0621/steyn061421.php3
Gotta be a way out, though, especially since the evil ones usually, ultimately, do themselves in…but “How long, Lord?….
“…usually, ultimately…”
Exhibit ~:
https://justthenews.com/accountability/russia-and-ukraine-scandals/moneighteen-months-later-democrats-first-impeachment
OTOH, what if a sequoia-sized scandal fell down in the forest and all news about it was squelched?….
Rather ironically, many decided (and were encouraged by the German govt.) to move to Germany…(to be joined later by significant numbers of Israeli youth who were among other things attracted by the vibrancy, openness and effervescence of a reunited Berlin;
Yah. The Jewish World Review puts the Jewish population of Germany at 118,000. I think it was around 33,000 in 1980.
Total population within the boundaries of Tsarist Russia is about 250,000, of whom 65% are supposedly in Russia proper and 19% in the Ukraine.
Zaphod studies his ancient history and finds the China Card and Ping Pong Diplomacy. Lived through that. What does that have to do with this topic? Well it is Can Do! and a new day. More smoke from the CCP it seems.
Can’t Do! beeblebrox Shan’t Do!
Barry,
Good catch. Fiedler the Jew and Mundt the ex-Nazi: two people ostensibly on the same side and in the same organization (East German secret police) who hate each other’s guts. “The Spy Who Came In from the Cold” has to be one the grimmest movies ever made.
Om,
I appreciate Zaphod’s warnings about the PRC’s growing technical expertise. Remember the U.S. Navy’s dismissal of the IJN’s surface warfare capabilities before WWII. We got a rude awakening in the Java Sea and at Savo Island. If the balloon goes up in the Pacific again, we won’t have a year in which to make mistakes and get our act together.
My problem with Zaphod’s race realism prism is precisely what he is always encouraging us to pay attention to: what is happening in front of our noses. I live in a small town in the deep South that is 50 percent African American. Most of the people I rub shoulders with around town and at work just want to get along and provide for their families. Unless I’m missing something–and I’ve lived here almost 20 years–the level of interracial tension is low. In fact, people are extremely civil to each other. The kind of black-on-white violence that Zaphod likes to highlight hasn’t happened here (black-on-black violence is another story), perhaps because of the region’s history (e.g. the Klan, and the cautionary realization that there are still some people around who would be happy to revive it if given a pretext). Furthermore, I work every day at university with black and brown people who are way smarter than I am, including a physicist colleague from the Virgin Islands. Finally, I’m old enough to remember when there was a rising black middle class in this country and inner-city black high schools that outperformed their white counterparts. Given Zaphod’s experience, I understand his jaundiced view of multiracial societies and his contempt for CivNattery. Based on my own Lived Experience, I don’t buy into his worldview. Yet. With enough malice and stupidity, however, anything is possible. So he could turn out to be right in the end.
Hubert:
cdrsalamander.blogspot.com has been keeping an eye on the state of the US Navy and the CCP (and most other actors) for a long time. I check in with them daily. Zaphod is way behind their curve as far a information goes. Three Gorges Dam, 3000 year flood. His race obsession is a sad thing to “watch.” I see Zaphod stoking that malice and stupidity.
I live in a small town in the deep South that is 50 percent African American. Most of the people I rub shoulders with around town and at work just want to get along and provide for their families.
There’s daily life, which is unremarkable. Then there’s the world of politics / media / education / and corporate HR, which is insane. The question is, can the normies get their act together and stomp the woke-tards flat? I’m not optimistic.
@Hubert:
That’s a fair and charitable statement of my positions, for which thanks.
I think that you are fortunate to live in a smaller community and in the South at that. It’s a truism that racial relations are generally better in the Rural South (even if Northerners cannot get their heads around this) because Blacks and Southern Whites know each other’s foibles and have long experience of rubbing along together. Whether that is true or not today in the bigger cities is a separate question.
There’s always going to be Blacks who are smarter and better people than I am. That’s cool. Bump into them professionally too, even out here — although Asia is not necessarily the most fun posting for them. But while it’s the individual who counts in our normal daily lives, it’s Mass Man who matters when the Earth tips off its axis (metaphor alert for Art+Deco + Om). Which seems to be on the cards.
For the rest, I try to be a Realist. Idealists of all sorts have killed more than enough people already directly and via their policy prescriptions and it worries me that Idealism has insinuated itself into just about every aspect of discourse today.
@om:
Commander Salamander spends most of his time railing about Nautical Tranny Worship Week and pissing money away on Littoral Combat ships and the various corruption / incompetence cluster@#@%ks around getting the Ford Class carriers shaken down and the catapults working, not to mention the minor detail of their being all kinds of horror show holes in planning for next generation of what they’re going to fly off these giant floating missile targets.
You *do* realise that the main reason the USN has carriers in 2021 is because the only Cursus Honorum that counts in the USN is through Naval Aviation to command of a battle group. Cart pulling horse. They’re useful for intimidating Somalis. Giant Floating Big Swinging @#$%s.
So I wouldn’t say that it’s all under control.
I also wouldn’t say that All Is Lost, We’re Doomed!
But see if you can get your head around this basic concept:
In both World Wars, the Western Democracies started off way behind the Militarist Non-Democracies — a whole bunch of poor sods had to die killed by incompetent peace time perfumed princes and boondoggle equipment that didn’t perform as advertised before military reverses taught the relevant lessons. This used to be a feature, not a bug. The Arsenal of Democracy (hohoho) bestirred itself, spooled up, processed the information from its ‘unfortunate early mistakes’ (Open Society, yay!) and in a year and a bit was excreting Liberty Ships like you after a trip to your local Turkish Kebab shop.
Given a long enough war with the right incentives and your factories out of range of the enemy on a huge continent with bloody great oceans protecting it and a more or less homogeneous more or less agreed on kicking asses population whipped up by a patriotic press (Yes, Virginia), well yeah. All the squabbling competing interests and the freer movement of information signals through the entire vast decision making process will probably beat out the Militarist Monolithic Robot State of Prussians or Japs. Gross oversimplification, but in effect that is the argument.
Great. Tried and Tested. Worked Twice Before.
That’s a huge trend we got right there. Twice. Let’s bet the farm on it.
OK it’s 2021. Distance means next to nothing. Your factories are mostly inside your one serious Peer Competitor’s landmass. You don’t have time to spend a year sorting your @#$% out. And even if you did have a year, you can’t build back Pittsburgh and 50 other cities.
So I’d be putting on my Yamamoto Cap and thinking hard.
Oh.. and blowing the Three Gorges Dam. That’s Los Angeles and San Diego. Might be worth the trade. Not my call.
Hint: During the Japanese rape and pillage of China the KMT did this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1938_Yellow_River_flood
to try to stop a Japanese advance. You might want to look at how the Communists broke Nationalist morale at the Siege of Changchun and other sieges late in the Civil War. There’s a different calculus about human life once conflict starts with the Chinese and other East Asians.
I think better to be focusing on cleaning out the Augean Stables at home in the USA and instituting some kind of Autarky to get back a good deal of the physical and social capital which has been strip mined and exported these past decades. Of course the guilty parties who would do badly in a National Purification / Scouring of the Shire would rather see you die in an EMP event while they chill in their bunkers than that happen.
America is still a great power and there’s a huge amount of ruin in a nation… if nobody does anything stupid.
Smart money should be on letting the Chinese dig their own holes in their own time.
But what would I know?
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I recommend the The Journal of Helene Berr published in 2009. It is the diary of a Parisian Jewish girl in her eraly 20s. Being an older man, I almost didn’t read it, not wanting to wade through crushes and such. I couldn’t put it down. The journal entries take you through the increasing humiliations imposed by nazi occupation to the unhappy end. This young woman knows what is coming, is alarmed by the denial of many around her, but decides not to flee, but to stay and help her community within her means.