Haley has suspended her campaign.
It was merely a question of “when” rather than “if.” Also, I’m sure she would unsuspend it if somehow the anti-Trump lawfare – or anything else – were to put Trump out of commission. But for now, it’s just Trump, the last Republican standing.
Some reflections here from Byron York:
[Haley’s loss] tells us, as if we needed another reminder, that the GOP cannot return to the days of leaders like George W. Bush, John McCain, Mitt Romney, and Paul Ryan. …
Each Republican candidate running in 2024 had to reckon with Trump’s complicated legacy — and then with Trump himself. Some tried to be super Trumpy. Some tried to be anti-Trumps. Some tried to be old school. None succeeded.
All had to recognize one fact: For the GOP, there was no going back. …
But there are still those Republicans who are nostalgic for a more orderly GOP. And many of them looked to Haley as their final hope, at least for now, of making that happen. Haley spoke passionately about the “chaos” that surrounds Trump — and indeed, he is a man facing 91 felony counts and all the trouble that entails. She promised a return to a calmer and more disciplined Republican Party. Her problem was that there were not nearly enough Republicans who want that, too. Some love Trump, others don’t love him but like his results, and others think that for all his flaws he is what the GOP needs to fight a Democratic Party dominated by progressive activists. Some would even like to move on from Trump but don’t believe there is another Republican on the scene with the strength and talent to lead the party in a new direction. In any event, Haley has lost, and those supporters who want to change today’s Republican Party will have to wait for new circumstances to bring new leaders.
I agree with York that there’s no going back. But I think most of Haley’s support was not from never-Trumper Republicans at all, it was from right-leaning Independents and moderate Democrats. Also, in the list of things that draw Republicans to Trump, he left out a very important point, which is that a great many Republicans recognize that although the attacks on Trump are tailored to him, the left will attack any Republican who runs. Not necessarily during the primaries; then the left will shore up their preferred candidate. But once a nomination is secure, the left and the MSM invariably takes the proverbial gloves off and the GOP nominee is fair game, no matter how moderate. Look what they did to Romney.
The question is whether such attacks will stick, and to how many voters. Trump made that task easy with many voters, because he really is a difficult personality who rubs a lot of people the wrong way. But Trump is also a charismatic personality to a lot of people, and he has a track record as president that compares very favorably indeed with Biden’s. That’s what accounts for his popularity – that and the correct perception that the left has persecuted him in ways that really do threaten our republic.
[ADDENDUM: Senator Sinema of Arizona isn’t running for re-election. Does this help or hurt Lake, the Republican in the race? Perhaps it helps her, because her Democrat opponent is further to the left than Sinema was. But I don’t know; Lake’s track record isn’t good, and she is “Trumpy” enough (without his history of accomplishment) that she puts off a lot of people.]