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A blog about political change, among other things

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A tribute to Gerard

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2023 by neoAugust 25, 2023

From a writer he helped.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged Gerard Vanderleun | 4 Replies

When is a view not a view?

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2023 by neoAugust 25, 2023

When it’s counted on Twitter – that is, on X.

Here’s the scoop:

I've probably "viewed" Trump's interview a dozen times when I when to Tucker's profile page and it auto played or saw it playing in the feed and when others shared it. But I haven't "watched" almost any of it. "Views" does not equal people watching it. https://t.co/SkqUe0Puhi

— William A. Jacobson (@wajacobson) August 24, 2023

Much more at the link.

This approach is standard operating procedure for Trump – what he does is always the biggest, the best, the most. In this case, not only is the tactic aimed at positioning for the primaries, but it’s also about sticking it to Fox News on the part of Tucker Carlson. Trump supporters will trumpet (pun intended) the word about the yuuuge number of views, and many people will buy it. Plus, I have no doubt that a lot of people did in fact watch his interview with Tucker. How many? We don’t know.

Trump is an inveterate braggart, but when he was president he often – not always, but often – actually delivered the goods. To me it’s obvious that views don’t mean much and in particular a very significant number of the people watching his Tucker interview might be Trump-haters shouting expletives at their screens. But what’s that old saying? “There is no such thing as bad publicity.”

I didn’t watch the Trump interview. I’ve been saturated with Trump for eight years, and I don’t need to watch another sit-down with Carlson, who rubs me the wrong way. I think I’m very very familiar with Trump. But I was unfamiliar with many of the other candidates, and curious, so I watched the debate instead.

Posted in Election 2024, Politics, Pop culture, Theater and TV, Trump | 16 Replies

Trump’s mug shot and beyond

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2023 by neoAugust 25, 2023

The left is apparently chortling with vengeful glee (the two can coexist) at Trump’s mugshot.

However, Trump knows its value and is using it this way:

https://t.co/MlIKklPSJT pic.twitter.com/Mcbf2xozsY

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 25, 2023

No doubt much money will be made off it in the form of T-shirts and the like, perhaps by both sides. And I have no doubt that Trump carefully planned his expression and meant it to send a message.

To me, it immediately conjured up this:

The poster was used for recruitment during the world wars, a rallying cry for patriotism and unity in a cause. I very much assume Trump adopted a similar expression – even to the eyebrows – consciously and purposely, although perhaps many people will receive the message only subliminally.

Trump’s expression also reminded me of this iconic and defiant image, and I believe the resemblance to this one is purposeful as well. Note that in his Twitter message, Trump writes “NEVER SURRENDER!,” a quote from this famous Churchill speech:

So, what happens now? Will most people just accept the banana republicization of our country? I don’t know. But my impression of late has been that most people are of the Roper “cut down all the laws” variety. Or maybe that’s giving them too much credit. Maybe – and this is what I think is more common – they aren’t following the details and are just thinking some form of this: Trump’s an awful person and he’s got to be guilty of tons of bad things – all the smart and nice people say so – and therefore it’s good he’s finally going to be tried and I hope he goes to prison and gets out of our faces.

I also strongly believe that the activist left is very much hoping for some violence from the right, so that they can crack down even further.

And what am I hoping for? I’m hoping that this latest leftist enterprise wakes enough people up to what’s really happening, and the left loses power as a result – even though leftists clearly seem to think that they will never lose power again.

Posted in Election 2024, Law, Painting, sculpture, photography, Trump | 46 Replies

Open thread 8/25/23

The New Neo Posted on August 25, 2023 by neoAugust 25, 2023

Posted in Uncategorized | 39 Replies

Putin gets his man Prigozhin

The New Neo Posted on August 24, 2023 by neoAugust 24, 2023

Prigozhin’s plane has crashed, apparently killing everyone onboard:

Prigozhin, an ex-convict turned billionaire, was to leave for Belarus as part of an amnesty deal offered by President Vladimir Putin to him and his mercenary force.

While thousands of his armed fighters arrived in Belarus, Prigozhin did not leave Russia — raising questions about President Putin’s real intentions regarding his former confidant.

Prigozhin’s private jet, en route to St. Petersburg, reportedly crashed some hundred miles north of Moscow. “The Embraer business jet crashed in the Tver Region near the settlement of Kuzhenkino. According to preliminary data, all 10 people on board the plane have died,” Russian state news agency TASS reported Wednesday.

The obvious explanation is that Putin ordered it. But the entire Prigozhin/Putin story for the last couple of months has been so Byzantine that some people think Prigozhin is still alive and this is some sort of fake. I go with the first theory, but I freely admit one cannot be certain.

Posted in Violence, War and Peace | Tagged Putin, Ukraine | 23 Replies

The debate: in the eye of the beholder

The New Neo Posted on August 24, 2023 by neoAugust 24, 2023

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: I really really don’t like debates – or what passes for political debates these days. How I managed to sit through last night’s I’m really not sure, but I think what drove me was curiosity; perhaps morbid curiosity. A debate with that many people comes down to a series of prepared short speeches, cliches, attempts at “gotcha” moments – both by the candidates and by the news people asking them the questions – with a lot of loud crosstalk and supercharged verbal energy. Political debates make me cringe, and it almost doesn’t matter who is talking.

It’s possible that I feel this way in particular this year because I suspect none of it really matters – that we will get Biden versus Trump and a repeat of 2020 in terms of the results. I know things could change for the better, but I really don’t see how that can happen.

I looked around the internet at random bunches of comments – including here, of course – and it seems to me that people almost always see what they want to see in these debates. Or perhaps they see what they already thought. And/or perhaps they spin it the way they believe it will benefit their preferred candidate – because after all, most people don’t watch debates and instead form their opinions based on what other people say about them.

Trump supporters are chortling at how awful everyone was compared to wonderful fabulous Trump in his Tucker interview (a totally different format, of course). Vivek supporters thought he did just fine, whereas I thought he sounded like he’d swallowed an entire bottle of amphetamines, accentuating what I see as his simplistic arrogance. I expected to like him at least a bit more and ended up liking him less. Pence was puffed up with his own self-righteousness. Christie seemed to be there to bash Trump and to needle Ramaswamy. Hutchinson came from some other world and time. Burgum has eyebrows that transfixed me. Haley played the woman card. DeSantis sounded as I expected, which was better than the others. But those who already hated him continue to hate him and mock him.

And is the following true? And if it is true, does that even matter to those who are determined to nominate Trump this year?

The most loathsome hosts and reporters are desperate for the GOP candidates to try to destroy DeSantis.  That tells you something.

— Mark R. Levin (@marklevinshow) August 23, 2023

Politico reports Team Trump “wining and dining” some of the biggest Trump haters from CNN, NYT, NBC, ABC, in their united cause to destroy Ron DeSantis at tonight’s debate. Pathetic/ pic.twitter.com/BHsrHnY2i6

— Miranda Devine (@mirandadevine) August 23, 2023

A little personal anecdote – the other day I was making an appointment for November. When an early November date was suggested, I quickly thought I should check to see when Election Day is going to be, because I didn’t want a conflict. And then of course when I checked I realized that the election is a year from this November. That’s something I obviously already knew, but it seems like we’ve been at this so long that the idea of the election still being close to a year and a quarter away seems mindboggling.

Posted in Election 2024, Politics | 34 Replies

The Republican dilemma redux: Don Quixote versus Sancho Panza

The New Neo Posted on August 24, 2023 by neoAugust 24, 2023

For a long time I’ve seen the repetitive Republican in-fighting in terms of that classic work, Don Quixote. Today’s example starts with this from commenter “Bauxite,” Panza’s stand-in:

Gregory Harper wrote – “With the exceptions of DeSantis and Vivek, everybody on the stage last night was completely irrelevant. They represent a party that no longer exists.”

It may no longer exist, but its remaining voters exist and they are increasingly refusing to vote for Trump and similar candidates. Hence, Trump and other MAGA candidates’ spectacular failures in general elections over the past three cycles.

What Trumpers fail to grasp is that MAGA is not a majority, not even close. You need a coalition with that party that “no longer exists.” You can’t, for example, swear off John McCain voters because you can’t win without them.

This isn’t rocket science. It’s arithmetic. I’m flabbergasted that Trumpers still haven’t figured this out after 2018, 2020, and 2022.

However, the sentiment comes from many long years of those same people – who now are the die-hard Trump supporters referred to there as “Trumpers” – being angered and frustrated at being told to support tepid losers such as McCain and Romney, as well as those RINOs who continue to vote with the left on certain important issues. Bauxite is correct that you can’t win without McCain voters, but I think most Trump supporters would respond by saying, “Well, you can’t win without us either, and we’re sick and tired of that loser argument. We won in 2016 and we can do it again – or maybe no Republican can do it because of fraud anyway. But we’d rather go out with a fighting candidate than one we can barely distinguish from the opposition.”

And what do I think? It might sound like a copout, but I think they both make excellent points and that’s the reason we’re stuck in this miserable in-group conflict on the right. We don’t know the answer, the formula that leads to victory. That formula might change from election to election and place to place. We don’t know if victory is possible on the presidential level with either approach. Meanwhile, the left racks up too many victories and the outcome of each election becomes more and more important. There is a sense that we might run out of time to remedy things in our lifetimes.

“Frederick” – standing in for Don Quixote – responded to “Bauxite” this way:

@Bauxite: “You can’t, for example, swear off John McCain voters because you can’t win without them.”

Obamacare forever. Debt ceiling increases forever. “Winning” has to mean something other than putting red hogs at the trough instead of blue.

The GOP has spent at least thirty years trading full loaves for quarter loaves and then smugly telling us that “half a loaf is better than none” and “what are you going to do, vote for the Democrats”? Too many people have woken up.

But does Frederick – or those who would agree with him – actually think a half loaf isn’t better than none? Because if you can’t get a full loaf, you will starve without a half.

Personally, I’d rather have red hogs at the trough than blue ones. Because in politics and government, there will always be a lot of hogs at the trough, until we’ve found the secret to cloning Jimmy Stewart’s Mr. Smith.

NOTE: The other thing I want to mention is that I don’t see that the middle-of-the-road candidates like Hutchinson have any chance whatsoever of the nomination. And anyone who sees DeSantis as a middle-of-the-road candidate, policy-wise, has fallen prey to anti-DeSantis propaganda. You don’t have to like DeSantis or his style to notice that his record is a strongly conservative one.

Posted in Election 2024, Literature and writing, Politics | 82 Replies

Open thread 8/24/23

The New Neo Posted on August 24, 2023 by neoAugust 24, 2023

Posted in Uncategorized | 65 Replies

There’s a GOP debate tonight

The New Neo Posted on August 23, 2023 by neoAugust 23, 2023

And Trump won’t be there.

It will be interesting to see what dynamics emerge among the others.

Posted in Election 2024 | 39 Replies

Fires in Paradise

The New Neo Posted on August 23, 2023 by neoAugust 23, 2023

Reading about the horribly destructive fires in Maui and the victims as well as survivors who endured so much has got me remembering. Maui – a place I’ve never been, although I’ve been to Oahu – is often thought of as a kind of Paradise.

And the place I’m remembering is another Paradise, which was just a town. Five years ago, as most of you know, it was destroyed by fire. Most of you also probably know that Gerard had lived there and escaped that morning. But I’ve never written about my own experiences in Paradise, before that fire and after.

Gerard moved there from Seattle in 2014 to help take care of his mother, who was still in pretty good shape despite being about to turn 100, but who needed more help than before. He’d had it with Seattle, and decided to return to the part of California in which he’d grown up. I helped him move.

Initially, he thought maybe he’d live in Chico, where his mom lived. But rentals there were more expensive than in Paradise, which was a smaller town about twenty minutes away. The road from Paradise to Chico is called Skyway, and it’s aptly named, passing by a lovely canyon for most of its route is it moves from the higher elevation – and slightly cooler clime – of Paradise down to the flat heat of Chico. The house he rented in Paradise had a relaxing yard and deck, three bedrooms and the usual comforts, and it suited him just fine.

I, on the other hand, would have preferred Chico. Paradise was somewhat dull, and almost every time he needed to buy anything more than groceries, or wanted to go to a restaurant, we’d haul ourselves off to Chico. But I had to admit that the Skyway views were beautiful, as were the vistas from a park there. I spent somewhere between two months and four months living there each year during the four years Gerard rented that house, and so I got to know the town very very well and found my own rhythms within it.

I wasn’t there for the fire. But on November 8, 2018, I got an uncharacteristically early call from Gerard. It was about 1 PM my time, 10 AM his time, and he started out by saying, “Well, I’ve moved in with my mother.”

I had no idea what was going on. It sounded like a joke, or maybe his mother had taken ill – but no. He explained that he’d woken up around 6:30 AM and it looked a bit hazy outside, and then he smelled the faint whiff of smoke. As someone who’d grown up in that area, he knew that he probably shouldn’t mess around. So he grabbed the cat, the cat carrier, his computer, his hard drive, and a few shirts, and drove down the Skyway. Just to be safe. He expected to return in a couple of days.

He had left before the road became a corridor between two walls of flame. You’ve probably seen the videos; people who left just a while later encountered a harrowing journey and some didn’t make it. But for Gerard, although there was a lot of traffic, it wasn’t yet too bad. And when he spoke to me, he had no idea the town was no more.

About an hour or so later my phone rang again. It was Gerard. This time he said, “It’s gone.”

“What’s gone?” I asked. “What are you talking about?”

“Paradise,” he said. “It’s completely destroyed. Everything. Gone.”

Then of course I followed the news and spoke to him daily, and I arrived there about three weeks later shortly after he’d managed to get a tiny apartment in the same apartment complex as his mother. The day I got there, there were two things in that apartment: a couch and a chair. Three things I guess, because to me Olive the cat was a new addition. For the next month or so, I went with Gerard as he outfitted both himself and the new apartment. There were large warehouse-type places with donated clothing and household goods, there were trips to Walmart and Costco and the Dollar Tree and many others. We kept meeting other people with carts piled high, full of basic goods like brooms and dustpans and pots and Comet and everything a person might need to completely outfit a new dwelling.

Slowly but surely, the apartment started filling up. Packages arrived daily from readers who sent all sorts of things: toys for Olive, books for Gerard. At the end of November, it was his mother’s 104th birthday, and I took a few photos. Here’s one:

A short while later, the authorities let the ex-residents of Paradise return to the town to look at their homes. Gerard already knew his was destroyed. We drove up the Skyway from Chico and stopped at a checkpoint where Gerard had to show his ID, and then they gave us two Hazmat suits. It was a strangely foggy day that lent an unreal quality to an already unreal scene, as though Paradise was a mirage that had emerged from some sort of time warp.

When we got to the town, I was surprised to see that, because many of the thick trees were now gone, the views were far more spectacular from many more places. Other than that, though, what we saw was grim even though we expected it. Here are a few of my photos. The first is the moment of our arrival at his house, which is directly in front of us:

It was almost completely reduced to ashes, except for a few metal things that were twisted but recognizable. Here’s Gerard’s ironing board, minus its padding and cover:

Here’s the Safeway where we used to shop. The carts are still all neatly lined up:

As we drove around, we saw many sights like this one: entrances made of fire-proof material such as brick, now leading to nowhere instead of their former homes:

Here’s Gerard talking to his neighbor; she’s in a Hazmat suit, but he never wore his. Those are her kids’ tricycles:

This is what the road back to Chico looked like:

And then, about a week later, I was walking near Gerard’s apartment and I felt a sinking feeling when I saw a neighbor of his mother’s running fast towards me. He asked me urgently which apartment Gerard lived in. Gerard’s mother had fallen and it turns out she’d sustained a concussion and went to a rehab facility for a few weeks. This was the beginning of a cascade of events that signaled the end for her; she died about six months later.

What a year.

Gerard returned to Paradise two more times after that with me, and I’m pretty sure those were the only two times he ever went back. The first time was for a benefit concert. The second was at my urging, perhaps a year later. I wanted to see what had been rebuilt, but he didn’t want to go. I decided to go myself and was okay with that, but he suddenly decided he’d go with me. He was very quiet on the trip, and on the way home he said, “That’s it. I’m not ever going back.”

And that was that.

Posted in Disaster, Me, myself, and I | Tagged Gerard Vanderleun | 34 Replies

More developments on the anti-Trump lawfare front

The New Neo Posted on August 23, 2023 by neoAugust 23, 2023

John Eastman, esteemed law professor, appeared in the Georgia court today to surrender. But he had a few things to say:

He’s a man of letters; he’s a teacher, a debater, a serious constitutional thinker, and a generous donor of his time to causes he believes need his expertise. And suddenly, he’s confronted by a “buffoon” of a district attorney, who accuses the constitutional law professor of being a mobster for the crime of representing a client who believes the election was rigged. …

John Eastman’s crime, therefore, is that he gave President Donald Trump the same advice the left has previously tried but with which it now conveniently disagrees. Therefore, John Eastman’s career must die, and he must go to jail. …

“I am here today to surrender to an indictment that should never have been brought,” Eastman announced to a small gaggle of reporters outside the courthouse. He warned that the indictment of a president’s attorney “represents a crossing of the Rubicon for our country, implicating the fundamental First Amendment right to petition the government for redress of grievances.”

Eastman wrote these words that Fani Willis had apparently never heard before.

“As troubling,” he said, “it targets attorneys for their zealous advocacy on behalf of their clients, something attorneys are ethically bound to provide and which was attempted here by ‘formally challeng[ing] the results of the election through lawful and appropriate means.’” An opportunity, he added, that was, “never afforded them in the Fulton County Superior Court.”

“Troubling” is a mild word for what it is. I think that the current charges against Trump, in Georgia and elsewhere, are definitive signs that our legal system is utterly politicized and very dangerous – something we already knew.

There’s also been a somewhat puzzling development in the Mar-al-Lago case. You can read about it in in this post by Professor Jacobson at Legal Insurrection. The gist of it is that one of the potential witnesses against Trump has changed his story and now implicates Trump in the act of trying to delete subpoenaed security footage.

What we know for certain is that this witness – “Trump Employee Number 4” – has lied to authorities. But was it then or now? And what made him change his mind? Was it a threat? And is there other evidence to back up his new claim, or does it rest merely on his word?

Another thing we know is that the feds will be using the pressure technique, threatening Draconian prosecution, in order to get some witnesses or especially some co-defendants to flip against Trump. This always makes such a person’s testimony suspect, although sometimes there is independent corroboration, which makes it stronger.

We also know that this case would never have been brought against Biden, Obama, Hillary Clinton, or probably any other Democrat had that person done the same exact things as Trump and his employees.

Posted in Law, Trump | 13 Replies

Open thread 8/23/23

The New Neo Posted on August 23, 2023 by neoAugust 23, 2023

Posted in Uncategorized | 38 Replies

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